2012-13 NBA Picks

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 07:12 PM

NO +1.5 1H (1.1U to win 1)
NO +115 1H (1U to win 1.15)

**blanco** · 12-26-12, 07:14 PM

Gl with NOH, love it

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 07:18 PM

Might add the Nets with Williams out.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by blanco

Gl with NOH, love it

Thanks. You too blanco.

**lunchbawks** · 12-26-12, 07:23 PM

11	18	24	28

18	28	7	22

81

75

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by lunchbawks

11	18	24	28

18	28	7	22

81

75

I'm well aware. Sadly, I recognized it without even blinking.

Just had to dig that knife in a little deeper.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 08:00 PM

BROOK +5.5 (3.3U to win 3)

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

NO +1.5 1H (1.1U to win 1)
NO +115 1H (1U to win 1.15)

More of the same.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 08:01 PM

Adding 3U to Philly +9.

**t-wizzle** · 12-26-12, 08:03 PM

Rudy Gay is out.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Rudy Gay is out.

Thanks t-wizz. Still think Philly covers.

**Ace_of_Spades** · 12-26-12, 08:08 PM

NC, you gotta feel on this Laker/Nuggs game? I'm trying to tell myself the Lakers lose??

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

NC, you gotta feel on this Laker/Nuggs game? I'm trying to tell myself the Lakers lose??

Line indicates Nuggets are the play, but I'm not buying it. Pass for me.

**BigDofBA** · 12-26-12, 08:33 PM

A similar line was thrown out there when Denver played Miami earlier in the year and Miami wiped the court with them.

I wouldn't play Denver here. They aren't playing well at all.

**suicidekings** · 12-26-12, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Line indicates Nuggets are the play, but I'm not buying it. Pass for me.

I love the Lakers tonight at +150 or better. Seems to me the wheels are finally turning for them and it's a great spot for them to take advantage of Denver after the Nuggets late game last night.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

I love the Lakers tonight at +150 or better. Seems to me the wheels are finally turning for them and it's a great spot for them to take advantage of Denver after the Nuggets late game last night.

Really surprised this line didn't close in the -2.5 range.

Some sharp money must like Denver.

**suicidekings** · 12-26-12, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Really surprised this line didn't close in the -2.5 range.

Some sharp money must like Denver.

The reputation of the thin mountain air and LA's poor transition defense are enough to make Denver seem like the strong play. Gotta remember that even at the worst of times, the Lakers take public big money, so the 60/40 split on the line today isn't that unusual. I haven't gone back to check, but it seems to me that when LA goes to these "difficult" venues like Utah/Denver, they play well more often than not.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 09:46 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

The reputation of the thin mountain air and LA's poor transition defense are enough to make Denver seem like the strong play. Gotta remember that even at the worst of times, the Lakers take public big money, so the 60/40 split on the line today isn't that unusual. I haven't gone back to check, but it seems to me that when LA goes to these "difficult" venues like Utah/Denver, they play well more often than not.

I just saw the game as unbettable personally, though gun to my head, I would've taken LA.

**suicidekings** · 12-26-12, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I just saw the game as unbettable personally, though gun to my head, I would've taken LA.

I got ML+193 in the 1Q on live betting. I'll be surprised if it's not at least competitive late in the game.

**No coincidences** · 12-26-12, 10:56 PM

3-6, +2.75U tonight
62-80, -24.2U thread

What disappointing performances by the T'Wolves and Jazz.

NBA just handcuffing me this year.

**suicidekings** · 12-27-12, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by suicidekings

I got ML+193 in the 1Q on live betting. I'll be surprised if it's not at least competitive late in the game.

Starting to look like I've become the worst gambler ever... Across all sports, I'm legitimately hitting around 30% for the month of December. It's unreal.

The NBA has been unbelieveably difficult this season. I can't even wrap my head around it, and seeing guys like you and Dex having a rough time as well makes me think there's been some fundamental differences to how lines are set or the market efficiency. Things have changed somehow.

**No coincidences** · 12-27-12, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Starting to look like I've become the worst gambler ever... Across all sports, I'm legitimately hitting around 30% for the month of December. It's unreal.

The NBA has been unbelieveably difficult this season. I can't even wrap my head around it, and seeing guys like you and Dex having a rough time as well makes me think there's been some fundamental differences to how lines are set or the market efficiency. Things have changed somehow.

I've been in the black with the NBA and thought I had the market cornered each of the past two seasons.

It's kicking my ass this year. Repeatedly.

**sparky12** · 12-27-12, 04:15 AM

good luck this year bro. same sides for me.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-12, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by sparky12

good luck this year bro. same sides for me.

You too, sparky.

LAC/BOS under 94.5 2H (2.2U to win 2)

**BigDofBA** · 12-28-12, 12:55 AM

Well if this damn under hits I will have made back my losses from that F*CKING Duke game.

I swear, I'm always on the wrong side of those beats. That was ridiculous.....First and goal at the 5 in a tie game with one minute left. All they had to do was fall down three times and kick FG. Here is the sequence all in one minute mind you.

- Fumble
- Give up 95 yard touchdown drive in like 20 seconds.
- Get ball quickly in Cincy territory
- Get blindsided for a fumble
- Instead of just falling down with it, the lineman takes it 60 yards to the house.

WTF!

Pretty much everything that had to go wrong did. The fumble. Letting Cincy go 95 yards in like three plays. The interception. The return. What are the odds?

Has to be like less than half a percent.

**Dexter** · 12-28-12, 05:12 AM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Starting to look like I've become the worst gambler ever... Across all sports, I'm legitimately hitting around 30% for the month of December. It's unreal.

The NBA has been unbelieveably difficult this season. I can't even wrap my head around it, and seeing guys like you and Dex having a rough time as well makes me think there's been some fundamental differences to how lines are set or the market efficiency. Things have changed somehow.

4 MONTHS left.....we'll get there.

Just don't chase during your cold streak and you'll be fine.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-12, 07:35 PM

UTA +3.5 (4.6U to win 4)
SAC +3 (1.1U to win 1)

**Ambition** · 12-28-12, 08:31 PM

Hey, No Coin. Just posted my plays a few moments ago.

I'm on Jazz ML for a .5unit tonight, BOL to us!

**No coincidences** · 12-29-12, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by Ambition

Hey, No Coin. Just posted my plays a few moments ago.

I'm on Jazz ML for a .5unit tonight, BOL to us!

Don't even know what to say about that one, pal. Half Jazz choke, quarter Clips rally, and quarter 8-on-5 down the stretch.

**sarasmith** · 12-29-12, 12:05 AM

Please Sacramento please....please noooooooo WTF

**No coincidences** · 12-29-12, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

UTA +3.5 (4.6U to win 4)
SAC +3 (1.1U to win 1)

2-0, +5U tonight
65-80, -17.2U thread

**No coincidences** · 12-29-12, 07:25 PM

Boston +3 (2.06U to win 2)
Houston +4.5 (2.06U to win 2)
Philadelphia +3 (2.06U to win 2)

**No coincidences** · 12-30-12, 06:47 PM

Make some progress, then get slapped around again.

DET -135 (5.4U to win 4)

**Dexter** · 12-30-12, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Make some progress, then get slapped around again.

DET -135 (5.4U to win 4)

you're a genius....thats all i can say.

**No coincidences** · 12-30-12, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

you're a genius....thats all i can say.

I've been through the "there's no way a fave can lose at -1.5 or -2.5" angle so many times in the NBA that I've learned my lesson.