Suicidekings 2012-13 NBA Thread

[suicidekings]

11/11

Hawks / Clippers Over 195 (-105) x2
Grizzlies +2 (-106) x1

[suicidekings]

11/11

Hawks / Clippers Over 195 (-105) x2
Grizzlies +2 (-106) x1

11/11: 1-1 (-1.05u)
YTD: 23-23-2 (-2.18u)

[suicidekings]

11/12

Wolves +7 (-107) x1
Celtics +3 (-110) x1
Blazers -3 (-105) x1

[suicidekings]

11/13

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Lakers pk (-106) x1

[suicidekings]

LIVE (11-4 Bucks, 9:13 1Q)

Sixers ML (-104) x1

[suicidekings]

LIVE (21-13 Raptors, 5:27 1Q)

Jazz ML (+111) x1

[celtics3388]

like this live strategy u got going 1Q's mean next to nothing in the nba

[suicidekings]

LIVE (Halftime, 51-45 Pistons)

Thunder ML (-130) x1

[suicidekings]

like this live strategy u got going 1Q's mean next to nothing in the nba

The first timeout of the game often offers some pretty crazy value. However it requires you to watch several games at once sometimes to get a feel for how the game is playing out.

[suicidekings]

11/12

Wolves +7 (-107) x1
Celtics +3 (-110) x1
Sixers ML (-104) x1
Jazz ML (+111) x1
Thunder ML (-130) x1
Blazers -3 (-105) x1

11/12: 4-2 (+2.02u)
YTD: 27-25-2 (-0.16u)

[celtics3388]

The first timeout of the game often offers some pretty crazy value. However it requires you to watch several games at once sometimes to get a feel for how the game is playing out.

That's true, I have 5D so I can only do it for nationally televised games... I would assume some of the less popular games would have more opportunites for value. You must use pinny right?

[amarius87]

played okc end of 3Q at 5.90 odds to win
and chi/celts under 198.5 at 1.90 towards end of Q3.
good payout that was

[amarius87]

198.5 at 1.83 not 1.90

[suicidekings]

11/13

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Lakers pk (-106) x1

Pacers -9 (-105) x2

The Raptors played triple OT last night and the Pacers are rested. This should be a blowout.

[suicidekings]

That's true, I have 5D so I can only do it for nationally televised games... I would assume some of the less popular games would have more opportunites for value. You must use pinny right?

Yeah, Pinnacle offers every game in live betting. Overall, I'd say the value is all across the board but the best opportunities are in playing ML faves in games where the dog gets off to a fast start. Case in point, the Thunder last night were a -270 fave pre-game, and I got a relatively bad line at -130, compared to what was ultimately available, but taking an elite team like OKC/MIA/SAS as a small fave is a huge +EV opportunity over time because those teams know how to close out games.

[celtics3388]

Yeah, Pinnacle offers every game in live betting. Overall, I'd say the value is all across the board but the best opportunities are in playing ML faves in games where the dog gets off to a fast start. Case in point, the Thunder last night were a -270 fave pre-game, and I got a relatively bad line at -130, compared to what was ultimately available, but taking an elite team like OKC/MIA/SAS as a small fave is a huge +EV opportunity over time because those teams know how to close out games.

Yea I agree I loved doing this in the playoffs... I think the NBA is the best sport for this strategy too since it's not rare for a team to barely show for the first few mins or quarter and start playing for real later in the game.. plus its the sport with the most possessions for each side so the better team has ample opportunites to comeback and usually will prevail. Wish I could get a pinny account but I live in the Land of the Free...

Anyways i'll stop clogging up your thread, bol with your plays

[suicidekings]

11/13

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Lakers pk (-106) x1
Pacers -9 (-105) x2

Lakers pk (-103) x2

[suicidekings]

Yea I agree I loved doing this in the playoffs... I think the NBA is the best sport for this strategy too since it's not rare for a team to barely show for the first few mins or quarter and start playing for real later in the game.. plus its the sport with the most possessions for each side so the better team has ample opportunites to comeback and usually will prevail. Wish I could get a pinny account but I live in the Land of the Free...

Anyways i'll stop clogging up your thread, bol with your plays

Talking strategy & matchups is always welcome. Stop by anytime.

[suicidekings]

11/14

Jazz +6 (-105) x1
Bulls -2 (-105) x2

[suicidekings]

11/13

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Lakers pk (-104) x3
Pacers -9 (-105) x2

Parlay: Knicks 1Q ML / Pacers 1Q ML (+117) x1

[suicidekings]

LIVE (7:21 2Q, 36-27 Raptors)

Pacers -1.5 (-108) x3

[suicidekings]

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Pacers -9 (-105) x2
Parlay: Knicks 1Q ML / Pacers 1Q ML (+117) x1
Pacers -1.5 (-108) x3

1-3 (-5.34u) Good start...

Pending

Lakers pk (-104) x3

[suicidekings]

Blazers ML (+115) x1

[suicidekings]

Bobcats -1.5 (-105) x1
Pacers -9 (-105) x2
Parlay: Knicks 1Q ML / Pacers 1Q ML (+117) x1
Pacers -1.5 (-108) x3
Lakers pk (-104) x3
Blazers ML (+115) x1

11/13: 2-4 (-7.31u)
YTD: 29-29-2 (-7.47u)

[suicidekings]

11/14

Jazz +6 (-105) x1
Bulls -2 (-105) x2

Sixers -7 (-110) x1

[suicidekings]

Sixers -7 (-110) (-114) x1

Correction

[suicidekings]

Grizzlies ML (+196) x2

[suicidekings]

LIVE (37-27 Bobcats, 8:23 2Q)

Wolves ML (+120) x1

[suicidekings]

Hawks ML (+102) x2
Clippers ML (+103) x2

[hougigo]

I was on the Hawks ML, but I'm a lil worried Horford is out

[suicidekings]

11/14

Jazz +6 (-105) x1
Bulls -2 (-105) x2
Sixers -7 (-110) x1
Grizzlies ML (+196) x2
Wolves ML (+120) x1
Hawks ML (+102) x2
Clippers ML (+103) x2

11/14: 4-3 (+4.88u)
YTD: 33-32-2 (-2.59u)

[suicidekings]

I was on the Hawks ML, but I'm a lil worried Horford is out

I almost bought out of it in the 2Q, but i hesitated and then it was too late. At least they made it exciting at the end.

[suicidekings]

11/15

Spurs -6 (+115) x2

I don't think this game will be all that close...

[suicidekings]

11/15

Spurs -6 (+115) x2

Celtics ML (+169) x3

[celtics3388]

Is Rondo playing??