Game 1 of the Seattle Storm - Minnesota Lynx series.
INJURY UPDATE:
The key to this series is Lauren Jackson. She is a defensive presence down low as she is on the offensive end. Although she has yet to fully show her MVP form during the regular season, I think this is the series that we will see her at her best because she is up against the defending champion and the best team in the WNBA.
The Storm have shown us all that they can win against the Lynx even without Jackson via a 62-65 home win in the regular season, so having her Jackson back and at her best will definitely make this series interesting. I think the line -13 for Minnesota is a bit too high. I am not under estimating the Lynx as they are arguably the best team but I believe that the bookies are under estimating the Storm.
The Storm's game is defense and with their defensive anchor, Jackson, back they will just even get stronger on both ends which means that they won't allow the other team to outscore them by a lot and they won't let them score many. The way I am seeing this series is that all games will be close and will go under.
Out of their 4 regular season matchups, 3 were below 149.5 and that is without Lauren Jackson.
The average of their 4 regular season meetings? 143.5 pts per game.
The average of their 2 regular season meetings in Minny? 144.5 pts per game.
FINAL VERDICT:
Seattle Storm +13 @ 1.757 for 10 units
Under 149.5 @ 1.952 for 10 units
INJURY UPDATE:
Seattle Storm | |||||||||
09/25/12 | F | Svetlana Abrosimova | Wrist | is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Min Lynx |
Min Lynx | |||||||||
09/24/12 | F | Amber Harris | Illness | is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Seattle Storm |
The Storm have shown us all that they can win against the Lynx even without Jackson via a 62-65 home win in the regular season, so having her Jackson back and at her best will definitely make this series interesting. I think the line -13 for Minnesota is a bit too high. I am not under estimating the Lynx as they are arguably the best team but I believe that the bookies are under estimating the Storm.
The Storm's game is defense and with their defensive anchor, Jackson, back they will just even get stronger on both ends which means that they won't allow the other team to outscore them by a lot and they won't let them score many. The way I am seeing this series is that all games will be close and will go under.
Out of their 4 regular season matchups, 3 were below 149.5 and that is without Lauren Jackson.
The average of their 4 regular season meetings? 143.5 pts per game.
The average of their 2 regular season meetings in Minny? 144.5 pts per game.
FINAL VERDICT:
Seattle Storm +13 @ 1.757 for 10 units
Under 149.5 @ 1.952 for 10 units