WATKINS GLEN--5mike5

[5mike5]

Alright guys and gals, were headed off for some road course racing this weekend at WATKINS GLEN!!...this is the 2nd and last road course of the Sprint Cup season...the nationwide series will also be racing at the glen on saturday afternoon..the truck series is off this week..personally, i think the Glen is 10x the race that sonoma is every year, just WAY more action and way faster as well....i always enjoy this race....

ill be focused on going big again on a few single H2H plays and picking a few winners...also will be more picky than usual on my early wagers....ive already started watching past 4 races, and looking over my personal notebooks for all drivers and my Wakins Glen track notebook...

Watkins Glen is a 2.45 mile road course with a total of 7 turns

as always just want to invite all regulars here to post any useful thoughts/leans for the races this weekend...no way this thread is the HUGE moneymaker it is without everybody's participation each and every week...and i appreciate all our regular OPs help all season long....ill be going for my 14th straight winning CUP race this week....

GOODLUCK to everybody and hope we all win big money...AGAIN!!!

[5mike5]

SPRINT CUP SCHEDULE:

PRACTICES: FRIDAY @ noon and 4pm (both airing on SPEED channel)

QUALIFYING:SATURDAY @ 11:30AM and is on ESPN2

RACE: SUNDAY @ 12PM ON ESPN

**all times listed are et

[5mike5]

NATIONWIDE SCHEDULE: (WATKINS GLEN)

PRACTICES: FRIDAY @ 2pm airing on SPEED channel

QUALIFYING: SATURDAY @ 9:30am (ESPN)

RACE: SATURDAY @ 2pm AIRING ON ABC

**all times listed are et

[5mike5]

the TRUCK series is off this weekend, and will be back at Michigan on Aug 18th

[Optional]

Woo Hoo... road racing weekend.

[5mike5]

Woo Hoo... road racing weekend.

watkins glen>sonoma

[MatI]

Did I hear someone say Ambrose!?!?!

[Optional]

watkins glen>sonoma

I used to think so as well. But I've come to quite like Sonoma too.

Montreal beats em both.

[Optional]

Did I hear someone say Ambrose!?!?!

Do you think he deserves auto favoritism here Matt?

I think he has lost most of his natural advantage on road courses now. Still the best I'd say, but not that much ahead of everyone else after 5 or 6 years on ovals now.

[MatI]

Montreal beats em both.

Definitely, I would love to see Cup guys race at Montreal. Such an awesome truck.

I do prefer Watkins compared to Sonoma, WG is such a fast flowing track with a nice rhythm, but both are pretty cool. Sonoma very technical.

[5mike5]

i totally agree Opti

no way i would back ambrose at a crazy price below +500...he just doesnt deserve it imo..but worst fiish of 3rd place in 4 career races hard to argue i guess...these teams realy focus on road courses now

but sonoma just way too slow for my liking, the glen is a much more action packed race with high speeds

[MatI]

Do you think he deserves auto favoritism here Matt?

I think he has lost most of his natural advantage on road courses now. Still the best I'd say, but not that much ahead of everyone else after 5 or 6 years on ovals now.

I do think he will be auto favourite, but probably nowhere near as much as he was at Sonoma. Especially since he screwed it up come race day.

But he is a gun at WG. He has killed it at Watkins the last 2-3 years in both Nationwide & Cup. Off the top of my head worst result was like 2nd or 3rd?

[5mike5]

1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen

[MatI]

1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen

Thanks, I knew it was solid. He has also won the last 2 races in Nationwide I believe.

I will be loading up on Marcos Top 5 finish.

[5mike5]

1,3,2,3 is marcos finishes in his CUP career at watkins glen

pretty damn amazing actually

[5mike5]

Thanks, I knew it was solid. He has also won the last 2 races in Nationwide I believe.

I will be loading up on Marcos Top 5 finish.

would have to bet 1,000 to win a few hundred probably

-300 to -400 i would guess...i dont bet top 3 and 5s so maybe im way off as i dont know that market well

top 3 maybe little bit more reasonable

[MatI]

would have to bet 1,000 to win a few hundred probably

-300 i would guess and maybe alot more juic

top 3 maybe little bit more reasonable

Last year it was -200. I remember because I went way too large on it and I was nervous all week!

I am thinking it will be good parlay filler this time around.

[5mike5]

marcos has won 3 nationwide races (think everytime he has entered actually)

2008,2009,2010

he did not enter last years race (kurt busch won)

[5mike5]

so basically between 7 races in nationwide/CUP races, the worst finish Ambrose has ever had is 3rd place at the Glen



thats flat out amazing

[5mike5]

stewart and ambrose are definatley biggest threats to win the race

too bad theres no way in hell u can bet both and make any money

just have to pick 1 and go with it, sprinkled with 1-2 others to win at high prices

smoke has won 4 of last 8 races at the glen

[Reno Paul]

No way I can play a low number on Ambrose this week.

Think I'm more hyped up on the PGA Championship compared to this race.

[5mike5]

cant agree on that, i wouldnt be more excited about golf if only a nationwide race was on, but thats just me

[5mike5]

all depends on the prices for me on race winner

ill be focused on going big on a few H2H singles

[Optional]

Let's hope Tony is generous with the openers, I want to bet Marcos.

[shaunovery]

Let's hope Tony is generous with the openers, I want to bet Marcos.

7-2 with me opti

[Optional]

Well that's a little worse than what I thought it would be. Wanted Tony to give us 5-1

[5mike5]

be interesting to see

[Optional]

All time at The Glen





Last 5 Races at The Glen

[Reno Paul]

Looking at drivers who has to win to make the chase (i.e. Kyle, Gordon)

[5mike5]

watched last 4 races today, not much slow time in them either

and noticed were some BAD wrecks almost every race here....lots of race action at the Glen,thats why i like it so much better than sonoma...

[DDT]

Do we think Gordon will be the favorite coming off his win?

[5mike5]

no way...

he will be 3rd or 4th favorite imo

no way hes above smoke and ambrose

[Vegas39]

I used to think so as well. But I've come to quite like Sonoma too.

Montreal beats em both.

Road America >Montreal >sonma > the glen

[5mike5]

gordon only has 1 finish inside top 10 since his last win here over 10 years ago, and that was a 9th place finish

hes NOT that good here over the last decade

[5mike5]

Road America >Montreal >sonma > the glen

sonoma by far the worst imo...

WAY too slow and absolutley NO action