HOMESTEAD-finale--5mike5

[5mike5]

took harvick to win the truck race...will also take a match-up parlay too when they are posted....i cant resist wagering on all 3 this weekend since i wont be able to again for 3 months!!!!
decided not to bet too much but needed action on last truck race of the year(just 39 bucks)

will post a matchup b4 the race, but will probably just be a long-shot parlay as usual

well didnt like much so went big longshot here: (9.85 to 1)

hornaday over hamlin(+130)
whitt over klingerman(-130)
piquet jr. over buschler(+130)

[5mike5]

SPRINT CUP will have 2 practices tomorrow morning at 9:00am and another after that session and qualifying at 2:40pm est....

thats if the weather is better tomorrow

[5mike5]

i still havent took anybody early as of yet, but if odds comeback out on 5dimes tonight i probably will....i was wanting to see the pracyices 1st and take a few b4 qualifying but thats not going to be possible now with the rain delaying everything into 1 big bunch in the morning...if 5D doesnt post tonight ill just wait and take the entire roster after everything is said and done tomorrow

[5mike5]

looks like its going to rain tomorrow for sure...damn south florida weather ...better not ruin finale weekend damn it!!!!

[5mike5]

odds back up at 5dimes...

so far just took biffle(+1300) and hamlin(+2200) and kurt B(+2700) just for value purposes...be completley shocked if any of those 3 win, but those are my underdogs this weekend so far...probably take just 2/3 more drivers becuase im just focusing on big prophit this weekend....may take 1 cover wager and that will be about it...go big or go home on finale weekend


saving the rest of Cup bankroll to see who runs good on lap averages IF we get at least 1 or the 2 practices in the morning...will be deciding between several of the favorites probably just depending on how the odds shake out...

[Optional]

Only 20% chance of rain in morning. Fingers crossed.

[5mike5]

Only 20% chance of rain in morning. Fingers crossed.

thank god! going to be a full day today...

[5mike5]

last nationwide race and college football all day!!! love the weekends!!!!

[Optional]

Oh great it's on!

Was watching an Earnhardt doco on Speed wondering why practice was late

[5mike5]

nice to have some stats to look at anyways...but wont get too involved in these stats cause every team going ballz out this weekend more than most...i think ur goping to see alot of stragety this week...ill post up nationwide plays later....college football right now though!!!!

[Optional]

Kenseth, Edwards and Junior are the only chase drivers that looked obviously good I thought. Not that I think that means the others are crap. Just don't know there.

Lots n lots of laps for Smoke worrying anyone?

Looks like Marcos has unloaded a clunker this week

[5mike5]

i really wont break anything down til later this evening(or morning depending when odds are posted) after the nationwide race...todays is loaded with football, nationwide, and UFC tonight....great day of gambling

[5mike5]

took hamlin to win the race so far in nationwide for value purposes..probably my only wager to win the race...saving most for sprint cup..

also took a longshot H2H parlay

keslowski over carl
stenhouse over sadler
allgahier over sadler

[Optional]

Ugh... I was thinking of taking Elliot in matchups...

I notice BradK has yet another new chassis for this week. And yet again Kurt is driving one of Brad's old cars.

[5mike5]

Ugh... I was thinking of taking Elliot in matchups...

I notice BradK has yet another new chassis for this week. And yet again Kurt is driving one of Brad's old cars.

i dont really pay any mind to new or old chassis honestly...maybe i should but never have

and dont follow my H2H, i just go with loong odds and never expect to win them, and rarely ever do...just more entertainment during race for me

[5mike5]

took hamlin to win the race so far in nationwide for value purposes..probably my only wager to win the race...saving most for sprint cup..

also took a longshot H2H parlay

keslowski over carl
stenhouse over sadler
allgahier over sadler

threw in bowyer too...so now got hamlin(+450) and bowyer(+1000) to win nationwide race..both just cause odds were longer than bk/edwards +200 and below now.didnt want to risk alot on the winner at those odds..so i went for the upset here...lol

[5mike5]

i forgot how much i like all these grooves in this track

[5mike5]

that was a great nationwide race right there....cant wait til tomorrow!!!

[5mike5]

i can only dream tomorrow goes even close to how damn amazing saturday was...WOW

[Optional]

A lot of people criticize Homestead as a boring track, but personally I think there have been 3 or 4 races there over the last 5 years that have been real crackers.

Nationwide race was great. Let's hope Cup is even better.

[5mike5]

start to beak down everything after breakfast

im excited

[5mike5]

added edwards(+450) and harvick(+1900) this moring with my 3 early longshotwagers so far.probably will add 1 more driver to win the race with top odds, and i doubt im taking cover wagers this week, im going all out for the finale and focusing on all prophit!!!..will also take matchup H2H later b4 the race....

getting excited....only 30% chance of showers today

[hawk 5]

I agree with your fords. Edwards +550, Kenseth +850, and The Biff at +1400. Will add one more.

Jeffy Gordon +1000 at DSI. GL All. Can't wait for February.

[5mike5]

GOODLUCK HAWK!!!!!!

may add kennseth and/or gordon myself to round out the roster

[5mike5]

i finished my roster with adding kennseth and i will only have 1 covering wager which will be jimmy johnson...

finishing up a H2H parlay and will post up everything shortly

matt going over 10 to 1 too good a value IMO

[Optional]

Here's the props I have under consideration if anyone wants to chime in with advice.


7303 T.Stewart fin.position over 5½* -115 vs T.Stewart fin.position under 5½

7306 M.Kenseth fin.position under 6½* -130 vs M.Kenseth fin.position over 6½

7311 C.Bowyer fin.position over 10½* +100 vs C.Bowyer fin.position under 10½

7314 D.Earnhardt Jr fin.position under 10½* -130 vs D.Earnhardt Jr fin.position over 10½

8505 Matt Kenseth #17* +110 vs Tony Stewart #14

8510 Jimmie Johnson #48* +120 vs Tony Stewart #14

8512 Jimmie Johnson #48* -115 vs Jeff Gordon #24

8523 Kyle Busch #18* +110 vs Greg Biffle #16

8526 Denny Hamlin #11* +125 vs Kyle Busch #18

8528 Denny Hamlin #11* +120 vs Clint Bowyer #33

8529 Brad Keselowski #2* -130 vs Kurt Busch #22

8538 AJ Allmendinger #43* +105 vs Martin Truex Jr #56

8540 Dale Earnhardt Jr #88* -130 vs Ryan Newman #39

8543 Brad Keselowski #2* -130 vs Denny Hamlin #11

8551 Marcos Ambrose #9* -120 vs Paul Menard #27

8557 Brad Keselowski #2* +110 vs Greg Biffle #16

10121 Carl Edwards wins Sprint Cup Champ* -170 vs Tony Stewart wins Sprint Cup Champ


Sprint Cup Motor Racing Ford 400 - Bets Finish Group A : Matt Kenseth +280
Biffle, Harvick, Johnson, Kahne, Kenseth

Sprint Cup Motor Racing Ford 400 - Bets Finish Group B : Brad Keselowski +300
Bowyer, Keselowski, Newman, Ragan, Truex Jr

Sprint Cup Motor Racing Ford 400 - Bets Finish Group C : Dale Earnhardt Jr +200
Burton, Earnhardt Jr, Logano, Martin, Montoya

[5mike5]

well i got hamlin over bowyer . jj over stewart, and ragan over truex jr for my H2H parlay

but keep in mind i take underdog picks usually in my parlay weekly(over 10 to 1 today)

[Optional]

Hmmm just tried to take JJ>Smoke/Ragan>Truex/Kese>Biffle and they say Ragan and Kese can't be parlayed. (wish I had any clue how they determined these things there!)

[5mike5]

FINAL ROSTER FOR HOMESTEAD FINALE

to win the race: (prophits)
1. carl edwards
2. kurt busch
3. matt kennseth
4. kevin harvick
5.denny hamlin
6. greg biffle

cover all wager:
1. jimmy johnson



H2H matchup parlay (10 to 1 longshot)
jimmy j over stewart
hamlin over bowyer
ragan over truex. jr

*switched it up for the finale and threw everything on big prophit wins and only 1 cover wager
**thinking edwards wins the championship and maybe race unless rain/or fuel mileage enter the picture
***been a wild and crazy year but very, very prophitable and enjoyed this year more than any other in recent memory
****if i add anything else i will post it up b4 the race, but this probably it
*****so glad i came to forum late in the year, the info and comments that we post here make it fun and very informative, so thanks to the select few that are here every week

goodluck everybody!!!! and cant wait til febuaray for daytona!!!!!!!!!

[StanleySharp]

Goodluck mike and Opti, if anyone wants a good fade, here are mine:

Brad K +2000
Harvick +1800
Bowyer +2800

[Optional]

Good luck Stanley. Have to admit I am fading Bowyer. With you on BK though!

Have gone with Kenseth +1000, Kese +2200 and Junior +2300.

Took those 3 to win each group bet at 5D as well.

And Dinger and Ambrose.

Got a few parlays but really like this one for +850

Jimmie Johnson #48* +120 vs Tony Stewart #14
AJ Allmendinger #43* +105 vs Martin Truex Jr #56
Brad Keselowski #2* +110 vs Greg Biffle #16

[5mike5]

goodluck opti ans stanley!!!!

i like that H2H parlay as well....we got that j.j. over stewart and i bet against truex. jr. too, but with ragan

[Optional]

Tried to tail your Ragan one but 5D would not allow it with BK. Liked Dinger better anyway in end I think.

Lets finish this year with a bang!

[5mike5]

odd becuase i originally had dale jr in matchup, and 5D said i couldnt parlay him with my J.J. matchup either....

wierd

[5mike5]

ready to get this thing started!!!!!