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  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61508

    #1
    Homestead
    Hamlin NOT win Sprint Cup +152


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  • Boscoe
    SBR MVP
    • 02-08-10
    • 2811

    #2
    what's it going to take for jimmie to pass him? simply finish ahead in the race?
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61508

      #3
      I'm thinking a Chevy ends Hamlin's chances before half distance. He has 7 of them out there in teams directly fighting him and a few more with engines or chassis' from his competitors that likely won't be helpful either.
      .
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61508

        #4
        And Jimmie to win is only +100, so it seemed like a good value play.

        And I was itchin to get into the action on this race.
        .
        Comment
        • avssakic
          SBR MVP
          • 12-12-07
          • 1795

          #5
          its going to be an interesting race to say the least
          Comment
          • sideloaded
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-21-10
            • 7561

            #6
            Sorry but have you seen the way Denny is racing? He's went straight up with the 48 on pure speed and outclassed him.
            Comment
            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 61508

              #7
              He still has to stay as cool as Jimmie to survive to the end, and deal with all those Chevs.

              Probably doesn't help my judgment that I just don't want him to win it though.
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              Comment
              • sideloaded
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-21-10
                • 7561

                #8
                Yeah Jimmie does have the experience but not one championship did he come into homestead and take it away from someone. He's always protected. Right now Joe Gibbs Racing just has the total package.
                Comment
                • ATP123
                  Restricted User
                  • 10-30-10
                  • 1094

                  #9
                  i had denny in this race last year and he was a stud, most likely expecting more of the same, do have the inkling that one of the three will be involved in something bad but dont have a gut feel on which, avoided some big crashes lately, this may be the one. Dont count out Happy Harvick, just saying.
                  Comment
                  • hawk 5
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-12-06
                    • 3982

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Boscoe
                    what's it going to take for jimmie to pass him? simply finish ahead in the race?
                    No. Not unless he leads the most laps and wins. Depending on where they are on the leader board Jimmie has to beat him by at least 3 spots. Then it depends on who lead a lap and if it was the most laps. It might be 4 spots to win and not tie.
                    Comment
                    • sideloaded
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-21-10
                      • 7561

                      #11
                      Hmm anyone have a hot qualifying matchup?
                      Comment
                      • your pixel army
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-15-09
                        • 454

                        #12
                        I'm thinking the pressure gets to Hamlin and he implodes. I may lay some on that +money for the field to take the championship.

                        I put a bet on Harvick at +2800 to win the championship around week 10 I think, so I'm hoping for some big wrecks near the front of the field
                        Comment
                        • rickie65
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-27-07
                          • 2895

                          #13
                          Originally posted by sideloaded
                          Yeah Jimmie does have the experience but not one championship did he come into homestead and take it away from someone. He's always protected. Right now Joe Gibbs Racing just has the total package.
                          true, but even without any pressure JJ still hasn't been worse than 15th the last 4 years. now he reason to drive harder and you know he can win at any track.

                          in the last 4 Homestead races Hamlin has the best avg finish, but Harvick best avg in the 2 COT races. This really could come down to the last lap!
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 61508

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sideloaded
                            Hmm anyone have a hot qualifying matchup?
                            Nothing hot, but I'm tossing up these options

                            Carl Edwards -115 v Greg Biffle -115
                            Jeff Burton -115 v Matt Kenseth -115
                            Regan Smith -135 v Marcos Ambrose +105
                            Ryan Newman -145 v Kyle Busch +115
                            .
                            Comment
                            • hawk 5
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-06
                              • 3982

                              #15
                              Taking Biffle +850 and Edwards +700 to win. Will add 2 more.
                              Comment
                              • ATP123
                                Restricted User
                                • 10-30-10
                                • 1094

                                #16
                                what are the odds on burton, im not seeing them at my site
                                Comment
                                • hawk 5
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-06
                                  • 3982

                                  #17
                                  Burton is at +2200 at DSI.
                                  Comment
                                  • avssakic
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-12-07
                                    • 1795

                                    #18
                                    I think Johnson's avg finishes here are a little skewed. Mainly because he usually comes in here with the championship just about wrapped up and cruises around to avoid all that trouble
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 61508

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Optional
                                      Ryan Newman -145 v Kyle Busch +115
                                      Figured I would take that one. New baby might help distract the rocket man for me.
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • shock11
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-16-08
                                        • 838

                                        #20
                                        i'll be shocked if anybody besides Hamlin, Johnson, Harvick, Edwards and Biffle win this race
                                        Comment
                                        • hawk 5
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-06
                                          • 3982

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by shock11
                                          i'll be shocked if anybody besides Hamlin, Johnson, Harvick, Edwards and Biffle win this race
                                          I'm with you. Can't find Harvick at a decent # or I'd be on him. See what happens tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • shock11
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-16-08
                                            • 838

                                            #22
                                            LOL HAMLIN STARTS 37TH
                                            Comment
                                            • avssakic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-12-07
                                              • 1795

                                              #23
                                              hamlin just made it interesting starting in the back
                                              Comment
                                              • sideloaded
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-21-10
                                                • 7561

                                                #24
                                                Track is going to be hot and slick, groove way next to the wall. I like Kevin Harvick in this spot.
                                                Comment
                                                • avssakic
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-12-07
                                                  • 1795

                                                  #25
                                                  anyone think harvick can pull it off?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hawk 5
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-12-06
                                                    • 3982

                                                    #26
                                                    I think he can win the race but not the championship.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • your pixel army
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-15-09
                                                      • 454

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by avssakic
                                                      anyone think harvick can pull it off?
                                                      God I hope so. That would be fun.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shock11
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-16-08
                                                        • 838

                                                        #28
                                                        I'll take Gordon at 20-1, top 7 in all 3 practices starting 11th. 5 top 5 finishes at homestead in his last 9 races there. add Jamie Mcmurray tomorrow don't think his odds will go anywhere but up
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82813

                                                          #29
                                                          like stewart romorrow
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61508

                                                            #30
                                                            It would be just like Smoke to pop up and steal the last race when nobody seems to be thinking about him.
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • rickie65
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-27-07
                                                              • 2895

                                                              #31
                                                              yep, smoke hasn't showed anything, doesn't even look like a top 10, so he'll probably win.

                                                              took burton/kahne/gordon/mac that combined are about a +450 for me. includes a CYA bet on harvick.

                                                              good luck all! I"m off to the race.....look for me, I'll be the guy in turn 1 drinking a beer....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hawk 5
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-12-06
                                                                • 3982

                                                                #32
                                                                Adding Happy Harvick at +1000. Tough to win this at his starting spot but he's got a hot rod. No gay stuff here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hawk 5
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-06
                                                                  • 3982

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by shock11
                                                                  I'll take Gordon at 20-1, top 7 in all 3 practices starting 11th. 5 top 5 finishes at homestead in his last 9 races there. add Jamie Mcmurray tomorrow don't think his odds will go anywhere but up
                                                                  Gordons a great pick, but he won't ever finish the job anymore. Anyway, good luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Optional
                                                                    Administrator
                                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                                    • 61508

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by rickie65
                                                                    yep, smoke hasn't showed anything, doesn't even look like a top 10, so he'll probably win.

                                                                    took burton/kahne/gordon/mac that combined are about a +450 for me. includes a CYA bet on harvick.

                                                                    good luck all! I"m off to the race.....look for me, I'll be the guy in turn 1 drinking a beer....
                                                                    Have fun, ya lucky bastard!
                                                                    .
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawk 5
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-06
                                                                      • 3982

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Adding Burton +1900. Has a fast car.
                                                                      Comment
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