KANSAS--5mike5

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 02:37 PM

looking back at our bets from the spring Kansas race thread this year, we almost ALL made a boat load of $$$$...i mean we hit all kinds of h2h, race winners, parlays...hopefully this week is as easy as last race here was...

when u come out of the last pit stops and u got 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place u know its ur day.....we all gave the books a swift kick to the balls that day

funny to read past threads sometimes

shaunovery · 09-30-13, 02:42 PM

Even without looking i seem to remember kansas not kyles fav track

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by shaunovery

Even without looking i seem to remember kansas not kyles fav track

u remember correctly....

only 2 top 10 finishes in his CAREER at kansas....

best finish of 7th place

38 ,31, 10, 11, 12, 21, 12, 28, 41, 7, 21, 37 are his career finishes @ kansas (in recent order)

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 02:45 PM

Kyle has qualified in the top 5 in 4 of the last 5 races from kansas though....

could be a great fade oppurtunity in the H2Hs after books overreact to his qualifying position....if he does that well again

Vegas39 · 09-30-13, 02:49 PM

bet in qualifying fade for Race

shaunovery · 09-30-13, 02:53 PM

Presume kenseth be fav this week

Vegas39 · 09-30-13, 02:55 PM

have to think so with his record this year on mile and a halfs

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 02:57 PM

He's gonna be an ugly 5-1

shaunovery · 09-30-13, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

He's gonna be an ugly 5-1

Doubt we will see more than 5-1 rest of the chase expect maybe dega

Slimpickens · 09-30-13, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by shaunovery

Presume kenseth be fav this week

I was just thinking that. Wouldnt suprise me if he and Jimmy open at co favorite just because Jimmy has to be favored every race. Jimmy back to a slight favorite at sportsbook.ag to win the championship.

shaunovery · 09-30-13, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by Slimpickens

I was just thinking that. Wouldnt suprise me if he and Jimmy open at co favorite just because Jimmy has to be favored every race. Jimmy back to a slight favorite at sportsbook.ag to win the championship.

Gotta think chase only concerns 3 drivers now even if kahne or bowyer/harvick wins a race ciukdnt see jimmy ir matt dropping enough points

Vegas39 · 09-30-13, 03:14 PM

its a 3 way chase barring a Kyle meltdown .

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 04:32 PM

I figured more would be 40+ behind. In suprised several within 39 or less like biff and harvick staying alive. Still alot but not impossible. Math was it isn't at least. Lol. I agree its a 3- man race still at this point. After dega next week we will know if any1 else sneaks in there cause anything can happen to top 3 there. Hope it stays close I love when championship is a 10-race battle. Be something to watch with Jimmie being a step behind on the 1.5 s this season. But a win last week could start a landslide for that team.

Reminds me just how shit the championship was b4 they started the chase format. Most seasons it would already be way way over and these races til end of the season were meaningless

JayHorne3 · 09-30-13, 05:59 PM

What the he!! is up everyone

5mike5 · 09-30-13, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by JayHorne3

What the he!! is up everyone

ITS A JAYHORNE SIGHTING!!!!!

JayHorne3 · 09-30-13, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

ITS A JAYHORNE SIGHTING!!!!!

Lol, had some computer issues and been wrapped up with a lot of college football articles that I have had to write. Trying to get back on the NASCAR money bucket this week

Vegas39 · 09-30-13, 06:48 PM

Good to see ya Jay

Optional · 10-01-13, 06:53 AM

Will only take 2 unlucky wrecks and kyle beating himself to see harvick Junior and Biffle into joint favorites by the time we leave Dega!

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 07:37 AM

Yeah dega could easily change this whole thing around and really bring In more drivers to realistically have a shot. I can't wait for talladega. Especially after having Kansas this week

uncle vinny · 10-01-13, 09:57 AM

even if all 3 get involved at dega, the last 4 races are tracks that matt and jj are great on. would go back to them being in position to win, running top 5 each week. dont see anyone coming after them. not to mention the last 3 plate races, jj and matt have run together up front and that should keep them from trouble.

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 10:50 AM

We don't see it happening either

flyboy · 10-01-13, 12:40 PM

I honestly think match ups are going to be the way to make money on this race. And of course with mikes new betting the favorite with a match up!

shaunovery · 10-01-13, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by flyboy

I honestly think match ups are going to be the way to make money on this race. And of course with mikes new betting the favorite with a match up!

Nice strategy but would hate to throw away a race winner with a match up or vice versa

flyboy · 10-01-13, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by shaunovery

Nice strategy but would hate to throw away a race winner with a match up or vice versa

Ya just like everything, it's certainly not going to hit all the time but it is better than betting a 2 or 3 to one favorite straight up in my opinion.

JayHorne3 · 10-01-13, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Good to see ya Jay

Thanks Bud

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by shaunovery

Nice strategy but would hate to throw away a race winner with a match up or vice versa

Yeah it just depends. No $ to be made on Jimmie at his raceday price but I had 1/3 of the risk and 3x the profit had I bet him straight up to hit my profit margins instead if doing what I did. All just depends

Of course its risky to do most of the time cause if u win race h2h are always tricky especially cause u can't bet a chalk one u have to take a chance and hope it wins too, but like my race winner parlays lately it paid off in a big way. Just depends on the situation each bettor is un and what U already have bet.

Just another tool in the arsenal but its a good 1 to have I think

shaunovery · 10-01-13, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

Yeah it just depends. No $ to be made on Jimmie at his raceday price but I had 1/3 of the risk and 3x the profit had I bet him straight up to hit my profit margins instead if doing what I did. All just depends

Of course its risky to do most of the time cause if u win race h2h are always tricky especially cause u can't bet a chalk one u have to take a chance and hope it wins too, but like my race winner parlays lately it paid off in a big way. Just depends on the situation each bettor is un and what U already have bet.

Just another tool in the arsenal but its a good 1 to have I think

Agree good tool to have that bet in your aresnal just gotta make sure of that h2h

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 02:30 PM

Yeah and they rejected several bowyer h2hs I tried to bet for some reason. I opened the parlay with Jimmie to get his current price an then started looking for a h2h. Can't remember which ones got rejected but the truex fade wasn't even my first or 2nd choice . They might have saved me from losing by rejecting the first ones I tried with Clint . LOL

Vegas39 · 10-01-13, 03:24 PM

No reasoning why they rejected them Mike?

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

No reasoning why they rejected them Mike?

Just said it wasn't allowed in the same parlay. Not sure why I tried several cause thought I faded kahne in 1 and maybe he was Hendrick car too maybe but that wasnt it. Then thought was just bowyer for some reason but that wasnt it either.

No reason I could find why some were accepted and others were not

JayHorne3 · 10-01-13, 04:59 PM

Bowyer +1900

5mike5 · 10-01-13, 05:13 PM

Kennseth already bet down to +375. Wow.

not really suprising I guess being his best 1.5 probably

Vegas39 · 10-01-13, 05:21 PM

So if he gets pole +175

shaunovery · 10-02-13, 01:43 AM

What was the openers did anyone ssve them