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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52006

    #141
    Mati with great info straight from the track...like a live reporter, but just for us!



    with this inside info, i might win my 1st F1 bet this weekend...if i do, its just becuase i tailed u guys though
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61516

      #142
      Originally posted by MatI
      Hey fellas. Big day at the track today, went out for dinner afterwards and only got just got home now.

      Only bet that is worrying me, and Opti has already alluded to, is DiResta/Stutil. I expected Sutil to be the one that looked rusty, but DiResta looked quite raged and uncomfortable during the sessions, and even had an off in practice 2. Still, the race could be completely different.

      As regards to track side observations, only one car stood out from the rest. And that is Red Bull. Specifically Vettel. He looked visibly faster than any other driver and also looked the smoothest. The rest of the other potential contenders all showed flashes of speed at times, just like testing. Lotus, Ferrari. Mercedes all looked strong, but no where near Red Bull.

      On the other end of the spectrum was McLaren. They didn't look that slow, but they didnt look that fast either. And definitely not front runners. Both drivers have fairly smooth driving styles, but you could still see them trying to force the car to do things it just didnt want to do. Speed entering an exiting the corners was also a lot less then anything Red Bull was able to produce.

      At this stage, after just one day, I would say Red Bull ahead with Ferrari/Lotus/Merc slightly off the pace and McLaren coming in behind them.
      Great day when you get home from the races at 2.00am :-)


      Got burnt backing Webber for podium so many times last year. Took it for 2 or 3 of his 4ths

      Wish I had taken it before practice again though now. Think he was about $6.00, now $2.50
      .
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 52006

        #143
        how about kimi for fastest lap, any chance for that?

        Mati says RB is fast, and he is on that team right?

        i bet that 3-4 times last year for fastest lap (lost them all) and feel like if i dont he will come thru
        Comment
        • shaunovery
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-15-07
          • 18143

          #144
          Originally posted by 5mike5
          how about kimi for fastest lap, any chance for that?

          Mati says RB is fast, and he is on that team right?

          i bet that 3-4 times last year for fastest lap (lost them all) and feel like if i dont he will come thru
          no mike red bull drivers are vettel and webber

          Kimi drives for lotus
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52006

            #145
            Originally posted by shaunovery
            no mike red bull drivers are vettel and webber

            Kimi drives for lotus
            oops, thanks for correcting me there Shaun

            looks like i know even less than i thought

            im going to stop embarrassing myself now
            Comment
            • shaunovery
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-15-07
              • 18143

              #146
              Originally posted by 5mike5
              oops, thanks for correcting me there Shaun

              looks like i know even less than i thought

              im going to stop embarrassing myself now
              just don't want you to make a mistake when betting f1
              Comment
              • MatI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5200

                #147
                I wouldnt touch the fastest lap bet. Generous odds but really hard to predict. Especially if a Safety Car is likely.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52006

                  #148
                  Originally posted by shaunovery
                  just don't want you to make a mistake when betting f1
                  thanks i need the help...im just going to pick 1-2 bets and tail u guys
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61516

                    #149
                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                    how about kimi for fastest lap, any chance for that?

                    Mati says RB is fast, and he is on that team right?

                    i bet that 3-4 times last year for fastest lap (lost them all) and feel like if i dont he will come thru
                    That's probably my fault. I was spouting on about him having more fastest laps than any other driver in history and loved getting them... and I went abo0ut 1-7 betting on him for it myself.

                    But.... I do still b eleive all that, and there were good reasons he could not go fast at trhe end of races last year. Early season especially.

                    So it was one of the first bets I looked at again. But he was +800 this year and opened around +1600 last year here from memory. So odds don't excite me.

                    Originally posted by MatI
                    I wouldnt touch the fastest lap bet. Generous odds but really hard to predict. Especially if a Safety Car is likely.
                    ^ listen to Mati is probably a better plan.
                    .
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61516

                      #150
                      Do you guys think the Marussias will be reliable to finish the race?
                      .
                      Comment
                      • bubblebuttluv
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-13-12
                        • 5179

                        #151
                        One of the Marussias could finish, but I doubt either one will. the bottom tier teams are generally terrible in F1.
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61516

                          #152
                          Damn it's like demolition derby in Q1

                          Gutierrez does not look like he has moved in the cockpit after that hit, but no one seems to have noticed
                          .
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 61516

                            #153
                            Damn, I wish I was on Alonso right now, with quali looking like being washed out after Q1.

                            Vettel should reopen at at least +400 imho. And only come in from there I'd say.
                            .
                            Comment
                            • Optional
                              Administrator
                              • 06-10-10
                              • 61516

                              #154
                              Wow, quali on in the morning before the race.

                              That will make a great Sunday for MatI at the track
                              .
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61516

                                #155
                                Originally posted by Optional
                                Damn, I wish I was on Alonso right now, with quali looking like being washed out after Q1.

                                Vettel should reopen at at least +400 imho. And only come in from there I'd say.
                                ^^ ignore all that, I was thinking they would start by Q1 order when I wrote it.
                                .
                                Comment
                                • MatI
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5200

                                  #156
                                  Man, glad to be home. It is absolutely bucketing down now. Torrential.

                                  Not sure why they kept delaying the qual session when the weather was only going to get worse. Conditions were tricky, and there were a lot of offs in Q1, but it didn't seem dangerous.

                                  The track side commentary just kept saying we are in a delay for restart, and I believed it. But when you could see the drivers getting out of their balaclava's, etc, it seemed pretty clear nothing was going to happen today! That is when we gave up and got out of there!
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 61516

                                    #157
                                    Tomorrow should make up for it. Although I hear it will be mighty chilly. Not that that matters. (well apart from for tyre issues)

                                    I'm kinda sorta disappointed that we won't have the jumbled grid order now.
                                    .
                                    Comment
                                    • shaunovery
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-15-07
                                      • 18143

                                      #158
                                      bloody woke up expecting some qualifying and fuk me it looked like Manchester on a good day
                                      Comment
                                      • MatI
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-17-11
                                        • 5200

                                        #159
                                        yep, tomorrows forecast is getting colder by the hour.

                                        Could still be a mixed grid. All i know is, I will be packing clothing for all weather conditions!
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 52006

                                          #160
                                          F1 Race:

                                          Pic over Garde (-140)...maxed it

                                          hopefully this tail gets me my 1st ever F1 winner!!!!

                                          GL guys

                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61516

                                            #161
                                            Good luck Mike!

                                            Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                            Pending 3/17/13 2:00am Formula1 Motor Racing 7713 Charles Pic -150* vs Giedo Van der Garde
                                            Pending 3/17/13 2:00am Formula1 Motor Racing 7725 Kimi Räikkönen -115* vs Felipe Massa

                                            for +211

                                            Kimi Raikkonen Top 6 -150 <-- biggish for me


                                            Fastest Lap : Sebastian Vettel +215
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • Optional
                                              Administrator
                                              • 06-10-10
                                              • 61516

                                              #162
                                              My final F1 bets





                                              Good luck all!
                                              .
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 61516

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                F1 Race:

                                                Pic over Garde (-140)...maxed it

                                                hopefully this tail gets me my 1st ever F1 winner!!!!

                                                GL guys

                                                We just got a luck break, after Pic got a bad start to the race.

                                                Van Der Garde just had to pit for a slow leaking puncture and stuffed up his strategy.
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • Optional
                                                  Administrator
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 61516

                                                  #164
                                                  Had a nice win, but still disappointed with myself. I was seriously thinking about risking 20 units on Kimi top 6, but as usual wimped out and only bet 3. Also, to miss him putting in the fast lap burns a little. he got it by putting in a blistering lap when he didn't need to just to get it, which is why he is a better bet for fastest than most, as he will usually go for it if its within reach at the end.

                                                  Bet too much on Ricciardo/DiResta too.

                                                  Turned what should have been a brilliant day into an ok win.

                                                  .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shaunovery
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-15-07
                                                    • 18143

                                                    #165
                                                    a win is a win mate build up the pot for tonight's race
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52006

                                                      #166
                                                      Did pic beat grade? I been asleep damn it !
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 52006

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                        F1 Race:

                                                        Pic over Garde (-140)...maxed it

                                                        hopefully this tail gets me my 1st ever F1 winner!!!!

                                                        GL guys

                                                        winner!!! Thanks mati and optional for the pick!!!

                                                        broke my F1 cherry

                                                        Comment
                                                        • MatI
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 5200

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                          winner!!! Thanks mati and optional for the pick!!!

                                                          broke my F1 cherry

                                                          No worries mate, never thought i would be involved in breaking your cherry!

                                                          Opti, sorry about leading you astray on that DiResta pick. Sutil had a great race.

                                                          It was a great weekend, even with the freezing rain yesterday! I'm freakin exhausted though, 2.5 hours until the bristol race. I need a nap!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61516

                                                            #169
                                                            Cup bets

                                                            I went a bit bonkers


                                                            Kyle or Bradk or Jimmie win +186 2.6u

                                                            Jimmie top 4 +113

                                                            Jimmie ov Kenseth +125

                                                            Gordon over Kahne +200

                                                            Gordon over Hamlin +215

                                                            Gordon to beat Edwards/Newman/Harvick +190

                                                            Parlay Vickers over Newman / Bowyer over Junior / Gordon over Edwards +363

                                                            And 4 sets of 3 way parlays made from these

                                                            Jimmie Johnson #48* +115 vs Matt Kenseth #20
                                                            Brian Vickers #55* -125 vs Martin Truex Jr #56
                                                            Clint Bowyer #15* +150 vs Kasey Kahne #5
                                                            Brad Keselowski #2* +100 vs Denny Hamlin #11
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BarrCanada
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 12-07-12
                                                              • 43

                                                              #170
                                                              Nice Thread
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MatI
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 5200

                                                                #171
                                                                Where is Opti?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61516

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by MatI
                                                                  Where is Opti?
                                                                  Hi Matt. Having a bet tonight?



                                                                  I think it will be between Vettel and Alonso and Webber for the podium spots.

                                                                  I expect Red bull to 3 stop and take new hards each time. And Alonso to 4 stop probably taking softs 1 or 2 of those stints.

                                                                  Alonso is going to need to be 25 seconds faster than Vettel over the race to make up for the extra stop. Should be an interesting battle of both strategy and driving if it turns out that way.

                                                                  I think Lotus won't be fast enough on the hard tyre as well as having to 4 stop.

                                                                  Mercedes just not 100% sure about, but the bookies don't like their chances.

                                                                  Took Vettel for the win +245

                                                                  Vettel to be leading after lap 10 +350

                                                                  Webber for podium +650

                                                                  Rosberg to beat Grosjean and Massa -120

                                                                  Ricciardo to beat Button and Vergne +175

                                                                  Raikkonen fastest lap +1000
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shaunovery
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-15-07
                                                                    • 18143

                                                                    #173
                                                                    I've had

                                                                    vettel +245
                                                                    Ferrari winner +350

                                                                    gl
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Optional
                                                                      Administrator
                                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                                      • 61516

                                                                      #174
                                                                      GL Shaun.

                                                                      Hoping Seb can grab the lead off the start.
                                                                      .
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Optional
                                                                        Administrator
                                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                                        • 61516

                                                                        #175
                                                                        need Rosberg to pit on lap 9
                                                                        .
                                                                        Comment
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