AylukeAy's AFL thread.

[aylukeay]

Fremantle 4 units @ 1.67 (betstar)


most dispoasl group a (sportsbet)
Kennedy 0.9 units @ 4.50
Mcveigh 0.6 units @ 5.50

most disposals groub b (sportsbet)
Parker 1 unit @ 3.00
Malceski 0.5 units @ 5.00

Most goals (sportsbet)
Pavlich 1 unit @ 4.50

[aylukeay]

coll - north Props:



Most Disposals (sportsbet)
Beams 1 unit @ 3.50
Pendelebury 0.5 units @ 4.50

[aylukeay]

Port-Wce Props
most disposals group a (tomw)
Cornes 1 unit @ 3.25
Boak 0.5 units @ 5.50




most disposals groub b (sb)
Masten 0.75 units @ 4.75
Shuey 0.75 units @ 4.75


most goals:
Wingard 0.3 units @ 14.00 (sb)
Schultz 0.8 units @ 5.00 (tab)
Westhoff 0.6 units @ 17.00 (tab)

[aylukeay]

Ess-Stk Props:
most goals (sb):
Carlisle 0.4 units @ 8
Daniher 0.46 units @ 8
Chappy 0.64 units @ 6.50


group 2 (tomw)
Myers 0.36 units @ 5.50
Hibbered 1.64 units @ 2.75




group 1 (tomw)
Watson 1.1 unit @ 3.75
Heppel 0.9 units @ 4.50

[aylukeay]

ade-gws props



Most disposals A
Treloar 1 unit @ 5.00 (sportsbet)


Most disposals B
Thompson 3 units @ 3.00 (sportsbet)

[aylukeay]

melb- goldc props

Most goals (tab)


Day 0.6 units @ 8.00
Dawes 0.4 units @ 11.00

[aylukeay]

Carlton 3 units @ 2.40 (365)


Most disposals a (tomw)
Boyd 1.42 units @ 2.85
Macrae 0.58 units @ 7.00


most disposals b (sportsbet)
Gibbs 1.06 units @4.00
Dahlhaus 0.44 units @ 7.00


most goals:
Waite 0.7 units @ 6.00 (sportsbet)
Casboult 0.2 units @ 21 (tab)
Crameri 0.6 units @ 10 (tab)

[aylukeay]

hawks-cats props


Most disposals a (sportsbet)
Mitchell 1.25 units @ 4.00
Johnson 0.75 units @ 3.50


Most disposals b (sportsbet)
Duncan 0.6 units @ 6.00
Hodge 0.8 units @ 4.60


Most Goals
Hawkins 0.6 units @ 6.00 (tab)
Gunston 0.5 units @ 6.00 (sb)

[aylukeay]

Geelong V Hawthorn*This has been a good Round so far, recording a profit of 11.23 units heading into the Easter Monday blockbuster (meaning we are free rolling this match with some nice profit in the bank for the round). The rivalry between these two sides in recent years always gives us great matches and are often highlights of the year. Given the form the teams are both in we could have another epic on the cards. Both sides sit undefeated and have hardly set a foot wrong in the season so far.*As we all know the Cats have ruled the head to head record between the two but couldn’t be under closer circumstances, with the Hawks leading for major parts of the game in most of the matches. In the Prelim final last year the shoe was on the other foot as the Hawks came from behind at three quarter time to snatch a five point victory. It’s quite difficult to predict what will happen in this contest, but we know that a contest is exactly what we will get.**

Sam Mitchell has not trained all week but apparently got through a fitness test and trained fine yesterday. He has had the most disposals four of the last five matches between these sides, including the last three straight making him a great money spinner for most disposals. Cats have been known to tag him but generally only in the middle and now with Mitchell rotating loose off half back racking up the pill he is tagged less and will win groups more. Especially against a side like Geelong who are happy to back their lose defender to beat the oppositions.**

Geelong {+10.5} 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)
Most disposals a (sportsbet)
Mitchell 1.25 units @ 4.00
Johnson 0.75 units @ 3.50
Most disposals b (sportsbet)
Duncan 0.6 units @ 6.00
Hodge 0.8 units @ 4.60
Most Goals
Hawkins 0.6 units @ 6.00 (tab)
Gunston 0.5 units @ 6.00 (sb)

[aylukeay]

+15.95 units profit for the week is a nice result.

[TEAMSPORTS]

Great work dutching!!

[aylukeay]

Thanks mate, had a good week with props last week winning 6ish,, but of course that was the one week i did not post them and only posted the 'result bets' that where -4 units. lol always seems to be the way.

Nice to have a round where both win instead of winning in and losing the other for small losses or small wins.

[aylukeay]

Sportingbet got as promo for Collingwood at $2.00 i would encourage you all to bet this on as many accounts/friends accounts as you can get your hands on. for the purpose of this thread will bet 2 units and add the rest of which ever bet later. Might even try to middle this bet tomorrow (with ess +8.5), and make a completely different bet for 'real' will wait for team news before making a final decision.



Collingwood 2 units @ 2.00 (sportingbet)

[Domestic]

Thanks for the heads up on the $2 promo.

[TEAMSPORTS]

bookmaker has $2 lines promtion $100 max - essendon +7.5 for middle

[aylukeay]

Palmerbet offer the same thing which should run all today-tomorrow, but still not sure if i want to middle or ride it out...




Sydney (-42.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (Palmer)

West Coast (-4.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (Palmer)

Adelaide (-6.5) 4 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

[aylukeay]

Multi- St.Kilda/Fremantle 4 units @ 1.79 (sportsbet)

[aylukeay]

Sportingbet got as promo for Collingwood at $2.00 i would encourage you all to bet this on as many accounts/friends accounts as you can get your hands on. for the purpose of this thread will bet 2 units and add the rest of which ever bet later. Might even try to middle this bet tomorrow (with ess +8.5), and make a completely different bet for 'real' will wait for team news before making a final decision.



Collingwood 2 units @ 2.00 (sportingbet)

Okay, decided to middle this bet above and take ESS +9.5 on ladbrokes/bookmaker.....this will just be for a middle, and i will make a further 3 unit proper play on essendon with the line as well as this fun middle freeroll
if ess win = break even
if collingwood win by 10 or more = break even
if collingwood win by 1-9 points = +4 units


Essendon {+9.5} 2 units @ 2.00 (ladbrokes)

[aylukeay]

Stk V Bris Props:

most goals:
Riewoldt 1.1 units @ 3.00 (sb)
Brown 0.4 units @ 6.50 (betstar)

Most disposals group A:
Rockliff 1.12 units @ 3.25 (tab)

Most disposals group B:
Hayes 0.88 units @ 4.00 (sb)

[aylukeay]

Freo-Nth Props:

Most goals:
Pavlich 1 unit @ 4.00 (sb)


Most disposals group a (sb)
Fyfe 1 unit @ 4.00
Dal Santo 0.5 unis @ 7.00

[aylukeay]

Coll-Ess


Essendon +10.5. 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

most disposals A (sportsbet)
Watson 0.75 units @ 5.50
Swans 0.75 units @ 5.50


Most disposals B:
Hibbered 0.9 units @ 4.25 (betstar)
Merrett 0.44 units @ 7.00 (sportsbet)
Chapman 0.16 units @ 13.00 (betstar)


Most Goals
Cloke 0.8 units @ 4.25 (betstar)
Chapman 0.4 units @ 8.00 (sb)
Winderlich 0.3 units @ 17.00 (tab)

[aylukeay]

Gold Coast (-30.5) 3.5 units @ 1.92 (betstar)



Most disposals A (sportsbet)
Ablett 2.5 units @ 1.80

Most disposals B (tomw)
Rischitelli 1 unit @ 4.00

Most Goals
Day 0.35 units @ 9.00
Lynch 0.35 units @ 9.00
Cameron 0.8 units @ 4.00

[aylukeay]

Most Goals (Sportsbet)
Kennedy 1 unit @ 4.00
Darling 0.5 units @ 8.00

Most disposals A (sportsbet)
Rosa 0.85 units @ 5.50
Masten 0.65 units @ 7.00

Most disposals B (tomw)
Gaff 1.1 unit @ 3.50


already posted bet on WCE - previously

[aylukeay]

Most Goals
Dawes 0.4 units @ 13 (tab)
Franklin 1.1 units @ 3.50 (sportsbet)

Most disposals group a (tomw)
Jones 0.6 units @ 5.25
Kennedy 0.9 units @ 3.75

Most disposals group b (sb)
Hannerbury 1.5 unit @ 3.50


already bet syd - previously

[aylukeay]

Carrazo is a late out, so will be refunded on original Gaff bet and need to bet again.


Gaff 1.5 units @ 3.00 (Tomw)

[aylukeay]

Adelaide (-6.5) 4 units @ 2.00


Most goals:
Jenkins 0.5 units @ 6.50 (tab)
Crameri 0.5 units @ 6.00 (sb)
Danger 0.2 units @ 15 (sb)
Betts 0.4 units @ 7.00 (sb)

Most disposals B (Tab)
Smith 0.6 units @ 6.00
Dalhaus 0.4 units @ 9.00

Most disposals a (sb)
Griffen 0.7 units @ 6.00
Thompson 0.7 units @ 6.00

[aylukeay]

Richmond {+32.5} 3 units @ 1.93

Most Goals:
Gunstan 0.7 units @ 6.00 (sb)
Riewoldt 0.8 units @ 6.00 (tab)

Most disposal A (sb)
Martin 0.3 units @ 12.00
Cotchin 1.2 units @ 3.50

Most disposals B (sb)
Pettard 0.3 units @ 11.00
Lewis 0.7 units @ 5.00
Ellis 0.5 units @ 9.00

[aylukeay]

Port Adelaide (1-39) 3 units @ 2.70 (sb)

Most Goals
Hawkins 0.9 units @ 4.00 (tab)
Schults 0.6 units @ 5.00 (sb)

Most disposals A (betstar)
Stevie.J 1.06 units @ 3.00
Stokes 0.44 units @ 7.00

Most disposals B (Sportsbet)
Polec 0.8 units @ 4.50
Duncan 0.7 units @ 6.50

[aylukeay]

Such a brutal week last week, i feel that about 4 of those bets should have won which could have changed the fortunes ten fold.
According to my spread sheet from afl this year

-11.42 units..with about 18 of that coming in the last week.

[aylukeay]

Collingwood (-23.5) 4 Units @ 2.00 (Palmer)


Most disposals A
Beams 0.8 units @ 3.75 (tomw)
Swan 0.7 units @ 4.50 (sb)

Most Goals
Elliot 0.4 units @ 8.50 (betstar)
White 0.3 units @ 11 (betstar)
Cloke 08 units @ 5.00 (sb)

[aylukeay]

Geelong (-28.5) 4 units @ 2.00 (Palmer)

[aylukeay]

Adelaide (-44.5) 4 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Essendon (-22.5) 3.5 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Port Adelaide (-46.5) 3.5 units @ 1.92 (sb)

Sydney (-25.5) 3 units @ 1.93 (365)

[aylukeay]

Most Goals
Riewoldt 0.44 units @ 7.00 (tomw)
Gunston 0.68 units @ 4.50 (tab)
Bruest 0.38 units @ 8.00


Most disposals group B (sb)
Smith 0.38 units @ 8.00
Hodge 1.12 units @ 2.75

[aylukeay]

Most Goals
Westhoff 0.3 units @ 13 (tab)
Schultz 0.86 units @ 5.00 (sb)
Wingard 0.34 units @ 9.00 (sb)

Most disposals groub a
Cornes 1.1 unit @ 3.50 (sb)
Ward 0.4 units @ 8.00 (tomw)

Most disposals B (star)
Hartlett 0.75 units @ 4.15
Shaw 0.75 units @ 4.25




edit-grp b Hartlett late out so both bets refunded, will not be betting that group now

[aylukeay]

Ade-melb props

Most disposals A (star)
Thompson 0.56 units @ 5.50
Jones 0.94 units @ 3.25

Most disposals B (Star)
Smith 0.6 units @ 5.00
Janesch 0.9 units @ 4.15