Live Plays Thread for all sports.

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  • angelo63
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-04-12
    • 416

    #1
    Live Plays Thread for all sports.
    Lets see how we can get some good wins on live bets here .
  • angelo63
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-04-12
    • 416

    #2
    Dogs v Panthers. I like panthers at the +8 before kick off, its 6 nil to Dogs atm after 6 mins , Thoughts?
    Comment
    • angelo63
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-04-12
      • 416

      #3
      Its going to be a topsy turvy one this one -6-6, The over 8.5 tries with Betvictor is heavily juiced at 1.72 , but much better than the over 50.5 total points with 365.
      Comment
      • angelo63
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-04-12
        • 416

        #4
        Storm + 18 at Sportsbet at 35 mins look juicy
        Comment
        • lordkai35
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-20-13
          • 202

          #5
          great idea
          Comment
          • lordkai35
            SBR High Roller
            • 07-20-13
            • 202

            #6
            Roosters -12.5 $1.89 sportsbet live

            -roosters always play it close at HT and blowout FT. titans tries both came in first 8 mins and didn't show much after that, roosters blundered a bunch of opportunities.
            Comment
            • rohan22no
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-20-11
              • 365

              #7
              Hi Angelo (and others experienced in live betting).

              As someone who's only ever tentatively dabbled in live betting, I am curious about live betting strategies.

              For eg. If I bet $100 on a team paying $5 pre game, at what odds/point in the game do I trade out and for how much, and why?

              If anyone could answer the above example, and give a few others that would be great. Also interested in your overall live betting strategy and how/why you use it.

              Thanks
              Comment
              • aussieH
                SBR MVP
                • 02-04-11
                • 1188

                #8
                Good thread but live betting sux from the point if view of placing a bet. Hating ringing on,y for the line to change whilst the operator looks for the bet.
                Comment
                • angelo63
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-04-12
                  • 416

                  #9
                  There is Pinny where you can place live bets from Australia but not on our sports. NFL is starting so we will be able to bet live in play there on Fridays for the live Thursday Night Football and Mondays For Sunday night and Tuesdays for Monday Night football. Bet Victor is also somewhere you can bet live in Australia on all sports. Tennis is also a great sport to bet live as well.
                  the more people in here when a game is on the better.I will defintley be here for the Broncos Ravens game on Friday morning.
                  Comment
                  • angelo63
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-04-12
                    • 416

                    #10
                    Rohan here is an example of live betting when you have placed a bet pre game on a big dog like the Tigers on Friday night.

                    Say you had 100 Tigers ML @10.00 pre kickoff

                    You decided before the game if the Tigers were at came into 2.00 at any stage of the game you would sell out or hedge etc.

                    A)You either back the Rabbitohs at 1.72 when it was 18-0 for whatever you want to cash out at, you could put 1000 on rabbitohs at 1.72

                    and watch the game hoping the Rabbitohs win and you collect 720 profit less your 100 on Tigers leaving you 620 in front if the Rabbitohs win.

                    B) 500 on Rabbitohs at 1.72 for a profit of 319 for a Rabbioths win or a Profit of 400 of Tigers win ( that is a good return for no risk for a 100 intital investment

                    There are lots of scenarios all depending on how you see the game going or how much you want to risk etc, The most important part is you have identified a Dog that has performed better than expected and has made it a game.

                    Titans game today would of been the same, the trick is getting the right team at the right odds before or during a game .

                    You can set your sell out price before the game via betfair etc so if you are not watching and the team you have backed has performed you wont have to worry about getting on as long as the market has enough liquidity.
                    Comment
                    • angelo63
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-04-12
                      • 416

                      #11
                      Eels v Dragons at kick off on Sportsbet 2.20 Eels 1.66 Dragons line is -2.5 @ 1.90
                      Comment
                      • angelo63
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-04-12
                        • 416

                        #12
                        7 mins Rein Scores a try 6-0

                        Eels 3.00 Dragons 1.36 now
                        Comment
                        • angelo63
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-04-12
                          • 416

                          #13
                          15mins Try to Dragons and now eels 6.00 on Betfair and 5.00 on Sportsbet whilst Dragons are 1.16.
                          Lets give it 5 mins and see if The eels can show some defence at least,
                          Comment
                          • angelo63
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-04-12
                            • 416

                            #14
                            Fui Fui scores.
                            Eels now 3.50 and Dragons 1.30 in Sportsbet

                            I will place a unit on Eels here at the 3.50 ( Betair is 5.00)

                            100 Eels at 3.50
                            Comment
                            • angelo63
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-04-12
                              • 416

                              #15
                              21 Mins
                              1 unit EEls + 8 at 1.87
                              100 @ 1.87
                              Comment
                              • Domestic
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-10-09
                                • 6323

                                #16
                                Best of luck mate, don't have the same confidence in them myself though.
                                Comment
                                • OZnBa Fan
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-24-12
                                  • 697

                                  #17
                                  +8.5 on bet365
                                  Comment
                                  • angelo63
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-04-12
                                    • 416

                                    #18
                                    25 Mins
                                    1 unit over 49.5 for game at 1.87
                                    100 on Over 49.5 at 1.87
                                    Comment
                                    • angelo63
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-04-12
                                      • 416

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Domestic
                                      Best of luck mate, don't have the same confidence in them myself though.
                                      Im a Dragons fan, I have confidence in them to not concentrate for 80 mins, i can see the Dragons winning though .
                                      Comment
                                      • angelo63
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-04-12
                                        • 416

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OZnBa Fan
                                        +8.5 on bet365
                                        Thanks mate , the more info we have the better. This is more an excercise to post and bet whilst watching. Ill be on tommorrow doing the NCAAF game with FSU as well
                                        Comment
                                        • angelo63
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-04-12
                                          • 416

                                          #21
                                          30 Mins Eels try 12-12

                                          eels 2.20 Dragons 1.66.......................eels were 7.00 on Betfair at 0-12
                                          Comment
                                          • angelo63
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-04-12
                                            • 416

                                            #22
                                            36 Mins Fui FUi try 16 to 12 EEls

                                            2.62 for Dragons On Sportsbet so I willl have 2 units on Dragons at 2.62

                                            200 Dragons at 2.62
                                            Comment
                                            • OZnBa Fan
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-24-12
                                              • 697

                                              #23
                                              What do u think of over 49.5 now half time?
                                              Comment
                                              • Domestic
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-10-09
                                                • 6323

                                                #24
                                                Any half time plays?
                                                Comment
                                                • angelo63
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-04-12
                                                  • 416

                                                  #25
                                                  Half Time

                                                  Bets placed

                                                  100 Eels @ 3.50
                                                  100 Eels @ +8 @ 1.87
                                                  100 Over 49.5 @1.88
                                                  200 Dragons @ 2.62

                                                  Scenarios are

                                                  Eels win 537 return on 400 Outlay
                                                  Dragons win by more than 8, 524 return for 400 Outlay
                                                  Dragons win by 8 624 return for 400 Outlay
                                                  Dragons win by 7 or less 711 return for 400 Outlay
                                                  Draw 767 Return on 400 Outlay

                                                  Its a WIN WIN situation but anything can happen in the second half


                                                  The Over is separate to Sides and Line bets
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OZnBa Fan
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-24-12
                                                    • 697

                                                    #26
                                                    U still recommend the over mate?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Domestic
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-10-09
                                                      • 6323

                                                      #27
                                                      Surprised to not see the total at 50+ right now. Congrats on the "can't lose" scenario already.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OZnBa Fan
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-24-12
                                                        • 697

                                                        #28
                                                        Do the dragons win this?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • angelo63
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-04-12
                                                          • 416

                                                          #29
                                                          AT this point I cant lose even of the over doesnt hit, so its not neccesary to have a half time play, This is a low quality game and anything can happen so I am happy to watch .
                                                          Originally posted by angelo63
                                                          Half Time

                                                          Bets placed

                                                          100 Eels @ 3.50
                                                          100 Eels @ +8 @ 1.87
                                                          100 Over 49.5 @1.88
                                                          200 Dragons @ 2.62

                                                          Scenarios are

                                                          Eels win 537 return on 400 Outlay
                                                          Dragons win by more than 8, 524 return for 400 Outlay
                                                          Dragons win by 8 624 return for 400 Outlay
                                                          Dragons win by 7 or less 711 return for 400 Outlay
                                                          Draw 767 Return on 400 Outlay

                                                          Its a WIN WIN situation but anything can happen in the second half


                                                          The Over is separate to Sides and Line bets
                                                          Comment
                                                          • angelo63
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-04-12
                                                            • 416

                                                            #30
                                                            55 Mins Roberts try now its 22-16 eels

                                                            Dragons are 3,50 at Sportsbet so its worth another unit

                                                            100 Dragons at 3.50
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-14-12
                                                              • 869

                                                              #31
                                                              Good work Angelo
                                                              Comment
                                                              • angelo63
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 01-04-12
                                                                • 416

                                                                #32
                                                                68 Mins 26-16 Crappy game but it could be a grandstand finish.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dRavidC
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 2516

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by angelo63
                                                                  68 Mins 26-16 Crappy game but it could be a grandstand finish.
                                                                  22-26
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • angelo63
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-04-12
                                                                    • 416

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Result
                                                                    100 Eels @ 3.50
                                                                    100 Eels @ +8 @ 1.87
                                                                    100 Over 49.5 @1.88
                                                                    200 Dragons @ 2.62
                                                                    100 Dragons @ 3.50

                                                                    600 Outlay return from Eels 100 @ 3.50 and Eels +8 @ 1.87
                                                                    Total return 537

                                                                    Loss of 73 Dollars or.73 of a unit

                                                                    For a crappy game there was some value, at 12-0 nil it was worth a unit on Eels at Betfair at 7.00 but that's how it goes. Hope for more of us to have input during the next few weeks and especially in NFL and Ncaaf.


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rohan22no
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-20-11
                                                                      • 365

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Thanks Angelo, really cool illustration of live betting today, even if the result wasnt quite what you wanted.

                                                                      I have a feeling this thread will really shine during the home cricket season.
                                                                      Comment
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