Post best bet or follow ups of the day

[harthebar]

updated

BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}						Lines From:05-19-2014 16:56:34
	Cut Off	#	Type		Description		Odds
BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}
BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING} - May 22
~~~~ NO REFUNDS ON NON STARTERS ~~~~~
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92051	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		CALIFORNIA CHROME		EV
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92052	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		WICKED STRONG		+600
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92053	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		DANZA		+650
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92054	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		RIDE ON CURLIN		+1500
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92055	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		SAMRAAT		+1650
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92056	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		TONALIST		+1000
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92057	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		SOCIAL INCLUSION		+2250
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92058	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		INTENSE HOLIDAY		+1850
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92059	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		COMMANDING CURVE		+1000
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92060	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		KID CRUZ		+2250
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92061	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		CANDY BOY		+3250
	May 22 - 10:45 AM	92062	BELMONT STAKES - WINNER {ALL IN BETTING}		COMMISSIONER		+3250

[harthebar]

nortghfield race drew bromac n

[JBEX]

mnr R9 #7 harbor mistress (8-1)

guessing 3-1 as favorite scratched

[harthebar]

P L Gyro is scheduled to run on 5/19/2014 in Race 7 at Woodbine Harness.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Toss Danza from the Belmont. Pletcher said today he is a no go.

[mikemca]

Wednesday 5/21

Belmont
Race 1
2-Offlee Catty 6-1- Best value of the contenders ran a good 2nd in debut with J Ortiz aboard then fell off a bit in 2nd start with bug A Worrie riding.Gets Ortiz back and a return to 1st race would be competitive.
6-Official 2-1- Probably the most likely winner as Jacobson is lights out dropping horses into maiden claimers from MSWs off a trainer change.
4-Mary's In Utopia 12-1 has the best last race and it was at this track and distance 18 days ago.1 for 32 trainer the last year is the scary part.
Of the others 9-5 fave Baby B has shown best on turf but Contessa good with the quick turn around and also drops from MSW.Rudy has the only firster in 1-Rockaway 4-1 but he is only 1 for 27 last year with 1st timers.

2-Offlee Catty
6-Official
4-Mary's In Utopia

Race 2
4-Brilliant Command 8-1- Is my best bet on the day at the price.Field is wide open though with many fitting into a very tight window ability wise.This one could attract some attention because of B Brown's hot start.Started 7 for 14 and now 7 for 20.If price gets cut in half no longer best bet.
3-Upper East Side 3-1- Pletcher runner ran better than looks when 3rd last race 1st time on turf.Switch to Castellano a plus.
7-Bolt From The Blue 12-1- Adds value to a 3 horse box and trainer Bush positive roi 1st route and also 1st turf.Bush having a much better 2014 so far than his abysmal 2013.
The others are obvious C Clement's Knight Of Valor 4-1 and 6-Private Relations 7-2 who have very under rated duo of Junior Alvarado/J Kimmel.

4-Brilliant Command
3-Upper East Side
7-Bolt From The Blue
Race 3
Looks like a 3 horse race for the win between the 3 favorites.If wanting to try a long shot 4-Newyork Conspiracy 10-1 would add value while dropping one of the favorites from a 3 horse box.

7-Bridgetta
5-Purling
4-Newyork Conspiracy

Race 4
Hard to get past the 2 faves 5-White Sangria 2-1 and 9-Neck Of The Moon 3-1 but 3-Marcy 50-1 is very interesting.

5-White Sangria
9-Neck Of The Moon
3-Marcy

Race 5
Hard to gauge when more than half the betting interests have been running on turf.While the only dirt runners in favored McLaughlin 1/1A entry and 2nd choice 5-Sea Trial for Shug clearly have superior numbers.

1/1A Entry
5-Sea Trial

Race 6
Would most likely not try with exotics and just go with co-2nd choice 2-Papy 3-1 for Clement/Lezcano.If I try for the exacta would add 4-Nowhere To Run 15-1 who beat some good horses when he broke his maiden and 5-2 fave 3-Legendary.

2-Papy
3-Legendary
4-Nowhere To Run

Race 7
Another chalky looking race but could do worse than throwing a win bet on 3rd choice 6-Star Magnolia 4-1 and if wanting to take on a speed holding scenario then throw 4-See The Music 10-1 in the ex with the 3 and 6 and hope it's 4-6 around the track.

6-Star Magnolia
3-Accomplish First
4-See The Music

Race 8
Hate to keep going back to the well but Clement is amazing bringing horses back from layoffs.They come back running better than ever and 2-Maximova 4-1 was pretty good when she went to the bench.Otherwise it looks obvious 6-8 or 8-6.

2-Maximova
6-Scampering
8-Filimbi

Race 9
Clement shows up again here with favorite Point Roll 2-1 whose first race blows away this field but next race was surprisingly poor.Hard to trust but if he runs his first race it's game over.He also has a firster who I would much prefer in the win pool in 8-Thurgood 8-1.The most interesting price is 9-Electric Currency 12-1 first off the claim for L Rice and trying turf for the first time.

7-Point Roll
8-Thurgood
9-Electric Currency

[harthebar]

thanks mike, mike do you know if there will be any other horses in the belmont, that have decided yet...or the one's i posted..is that it already..

Wednesday 5/21

Belmont
Race 1
2-Offlee Catty 6-1- Best value of the contenders ran a good 2nd in debut with J Ortiz aboard then fell off a bit in 2nd start with bug A Worrie riding.Gets Ortiz back and a return to 1st race would be competitive.
6-Official 2-1- Probably the most likely winner as Jacobson is lights out dropping horses into maiden claimers from MSWs off a trainer change.
4-Mary's In Utopia 12-1 has the best last race and it was at this track and distance 18 days ago.1 for 32 trainer the last year is the scary part.
Of the others 9-5 fave Baby B has shown best on turf but Contessa good with the quick turn around and also drops from MSW.Rudy has the only firster in 1-Rockaway 4-1 but he is only 1 for 27 last year with 1st timers.

2-Offlee Catty
6-Official
4-Mary's In Utopia

Race 2
4-Brilliant Command 8-1- Is my best bet on the day at the price.Field is wide open though with many fitting into a very tight window ability wise.This one could attract some attention because of B Brown's hot start.Started 7 for 14 and now 7 for 20.If price gets cut in half no longer best bet.
3-Upper East Side 3-1- Pletcher runner ran better than looks when 3rd last race 1st time on turf.Switch to Castellano a plus.
7-Bolt From The Blue 12-1- Adds value to a 3 horse box and trainer Bush positive roi 1st route and also 1st turf.Bush having a much better 2014 so far than his abysmal 2013.
The others are obvious C Clement's Knight Of Valor 4-1 and 6-Private Relations 7-2 who have very under rated duo of Junior Alvarado/J Kimmel.

4-Brilliant Command
3-Upper East Side
7-Bolt From The Blue
Race 3
Looks like a 3 horse race for the win between the 3 favorites.If wanting to try a long shot 4-Newyork Conspiracy 10-1 would add value while dropping one of the favorites from a 3 horse box.

7-Bridgetta
5-Purling
4-Newyork Conspiracy

Race 4
Hard to get past the 2 faves 5-White Sangria 2-1 and 9-Neck Of The Moon 3-1 but 3-Marcy 50-1 is very interesting.

5-White Sangria
9-Neck Of The Moon
3-Marcy

Race 5
Hard to gauge when more than half the betting interests have been running on turf.While the only dirt runners in favored McLaughlin 1/1A entry and 2nd choice 5-Sea Trial for Shug clearly have superior numbers.

1/1A Entry
5-Sea Trial

Race 6
Would most likely not try with exotics and just go with co-2nd choice 2-Papy 3-1 for Clement/Lezcano.If I try for the exacta would add 4-Nowhere To Run 15-1 who beat some good horses when he broke his maiden and 5-2 fave 3-Legendary.

2-Papy
3-Legendary
4-Nowhere To Run

Race 7
Another chalky looking race but could do worse than throwing a win bet on 3rd choice 6-Star Magnolia 4-1 and if wanting to take on a speed holding scenario then throw 4-See The Music 10-1 in the ex with the 3 and 6 and hope it's 4-6 around the track.

6-Star Magnolia
3-Accomplish First
4-See The Music

Race 8
Hate to keep going back to the well but Clement is amazing bringing horses back from layoffs.They come back running better than ever and 2-Maximova 4-1 was pretty good when she went to the bench.Otherwise it looks obvious 6-8 or 8-6.

2-Maximova
6-Scampering
8-Filimbi

Race 9
Clement shows up again here with favorite Point Roll 2-1 whose first race blows away this field but next race was surprisingly poor.Hard to trust but if he runs his first race it's game over.He also has a firster who I would much prefer in the win pool in 8-Thurgood 8-1.The most interesting price is 9-Electric Currency 12-1 first off the claim for L Rice and trying turf for the first time.

7-Point Roll
8-Thurgood
9-Electric Currency

[mikemca]

ur not gonna know for a week or two....a lot can happen between now and when entries are due

[harthebar]

i figured as much, any horse out there that you would like to see jump in.....i figured one of thoses speed horses that ran at gulfstream, i think kid cruz got a lot of hype in preakness, being a homey..

ur not gonna know for a week or two....a lot can happen between now and when entries are due

[matrix1022]

Mike you do the best layout for "picks ever! Regardless of the results , thanks for the work involved !

[mikemca]

thx


I don't know why I do it that way but I always have.Just looks right to me.

[brucedenton]

Mike you do the best layout for "picks ever! Regardless of the results , thanks for the work involved !

I agree. Mike is the best!!

[TonyP]

Mike always enjoy reading your selections as lot of times they saved me for the day.

[harthebar]

yes he,he takes that time,lays out it there, i just copy and paste........im lazy.....im going to give him some points right now.and every winner today im going to give him 10 points.

[harthebar]

because its the right way to do it, your a professional.....im just chicken stratch.....for real..

thx


I don't know why I do it that way but I always have.Just looks right to me.

[JBEX]

Bel

R2 #6
R3 #7
R4 #9
R5 #5
R6 #6
R7 #5
R8 #8
R9 #8

bit of a hurry today

[harthebar]

BELMONT
RACE 3 Rettalfa

[harthebar]

Belmont
race 4 invanding humor

[harthebar]

3rd race exacta
20 POINTS

wednesday 5/21

belmont
race 1
2-offlee catty 6-1- best value of the contenders ran a good 2nd in debut with j ortiz aboard then fell off a bit in 2nd start with bug a worrie riding.gets ortiz back and a return to 1st race would be competitive.
6-official 2-1- probably the most likely winner as jacobson is lights out dropping horses into maiden claimers from msws off a trainer change.
4-mary's in utopia 12-1 has the best last race and it was at this track and distance 18 days ago.1 for 32 trainer the last year is the scary part.
Of the others 9-5 fave baby b has shown best on turf but contessa good with the quick turn around and also drops from msw.rudy has the only firster in 1-rockaway 4-1 but he is only 1 for 27 last year with 1st timers.

2-offlee catty
6-official
4-mary's in utopia

race 2
4-brilliant command 8-1- is my best bet on the day at the price.field is wide open though with many fitting into a very tight window ability wise.this one could attract some attention because of b brown's hot start.started 7 for 14 and now 7 for 20.if price gets cut in half no longer best bet.
3-upper east side 3-1- pletcher runner ran better than looks when 3rd last race 1st time on turf.switch to castellano a plus.
7-bolt from the blue 12-1- adds value to a 3 horse box and trainer bush positive roi 1st route and also 1st turf.bush having a much better 2014 so far than his abysmal 2013.
The others are obvious c clement's knight of valor 4-1 and 6-private relations 7-2 who have very under rated duo of junior alvarado/j kimmel.

4-brilliant command
3-upper east side
7-bolt from the blue
race 3
looks like a 3 horse race for the win between the 3 favorites.if wanting to try a long shot 4-newyork conspiracy 10-1 would add value while dropping one of the favorites from a 3 horse box.

7-bridgetta
5-purling
4-newyork conspiracy

race 4
hard to get past the 2 faves 5-white sangria 2-1 and 9-neck of the moon 3-1 but 3-marcy 50-1 is very interesting.

5-white sangria
9-neck of the moon
3-marcy

race 5
hard to gauge when more than half the betting interests have been running on turf.while the only dirt runners in favored mclaughlin 1/1a entry and 2nd choice 5-sea trial for shug clearly have superior numbers.

1/1a entry
5-sea trial

race 6
would most likely not try with exotics and just go with co-2nd choice 2-papy 3-1 for clement/lezcano.if i try for the exacta would add 4-nowhere to run 15-1 who beat some good horses when he broke his maiden and 5-2 fave 3-legendary.

2-papy
3-legendary
4-nowhere to run

race 7
another chalky looking race but could do worse than throwing a win bet on 3rd choice 6-star magnolia 4-1 and if wanting to take on a speed holding scenario then throw 4-see the music 10-1 in the ex with the 3 and 6 and hope it's 4-6 around the track.

6-star magnolia
3-accomplish first
4-see the music

race 8
hate to keep going back to the well but clement is amazing bringing horses back from layoffs.they come back running better than ever and 2-maximova 4-1 was pretty good when she went to the bench.otherwise it looks obvious 6-8 or 8-6.

2-maximova
6-scampering
8-filimbi

race 9
clement shows up again here with favorite point roll 2-1 whose first race blows away this field but next race was surprisingly poor.hard to trust but if he runs his first race it's game over.he also has a firster who i would much prefer in the win pool in 8-thurgood 8-1.the most interesting price is 9-electric currency 12-1 first off the claim for l rice and trying turf for the first time.

7-point roll
8-thurgood
9-electric currency

[harthebar]

Sir Melo's Z Tam in Race 14 at Harrahs Philadelphia
Kimberley R is scheduled to run on 5/21/2014 in Race 8 at Balmoral Park
:Burkentine Hanover is scheduled to run on 5/21/2014 in Race 8 at Plainridge
.:Jaworski is scheduled to run on 5/21/2014 in Race 8 at Northfield Park

[harthebar]

let me know if you opened them

that work
Separation is entered today at EVANGELINE DOWNS.

[mikemca]

3rd race exacta
20 POINTS

thx hart but the points really aren't necessary.I'm just sharing my opinion.

Today 2 of the exactas(3rd/8th) were obvious and the other 2 exactas(1st/9th) had 1 obvious horse.Only the first race paid decent.

Don't like the cards tomorrow.Didn't look at Friday yet but Evangeline looks good on Saturday

[harthebar]

you deserve them, you put a lot of time into this,...and you share it....must be some big races at Evangeline,missed the 8th race exacta 20 points ..lol saturday.

thx hart but the points really aren't necessary.I'm just sharing my opinion.

Today 2 of the exactas(3rd/8th) were obvious and the other 2 exactas(1st/9th) had 1 obvious horse.Only the first race paid decent.

Don't like the cards tomorrow.Didn't look at Friday yet but Evangeline looks good on Saturday

[Slimpickens]

Hart, what site do you watch Gulfstream replays? Cant find em on the Gulfstream site, only has trakus info.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Hart, what site do you watch Gulfstream replays? Cant find em on the Gulfstream site, only has trakus info.

BLOODHORSE streams the stakes races from GP for free. Do not know where else to find the other races other than paying for an Equibase subscription. Maybe hart knows.

[Slimpickens]

Yea. I usually use Formulator for replays so I havent the 1st clue where to look now that DRF has went off the grid. Several GP shippers at AQU tommorow is why I was wondering... Thanks.

[mikemca]

Don't you guys have Twinspires accounts?

You can see any replay since 2005 there.

[mikemca]

you deserve them, you put a lot of time into this,...and you share it....must be some big races at Evangeline,missed the 8th race exacta 20 points ..lol saturday.

thx again but like I told Easy, It sets a precedent that people should send me points.I don't want that.

You/Everybody should save their points and get gift cards.


Not really that big of races at EVD .It's a state bred day but their are 7 stakes with good fields.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Don't you guys have Twinspires accounts?

You can see any replay since 2005 there.

NO. I live in a state that restricts ADW's. DW and offshore for me.

[mikemca]

That sucks...You should really try to find a way to get access even if you can't bet.Get a relative to set up an account from out of state or something.All the resources like replays,trainer,jockey,trainer/jockey,sire,dam, and basically everything formulator charges a zillion dollars for is free.

If you have twinspires for all that and then timeform for speed figs/pace figs and historical charts , you have everything you could ask for pennies on the dollar of what it costs elsewhere.

[TonyP]

you can get historical charts for free at equibase

[mikemca]

you can get historical charts for free at equibase

Equibase just shows the running lines and chart caller

TFUS charts are interactive and also have speed and pace figs for all the horses.

[Easy-Rider 66]

That sucks...You should really try to find a way to get access even if you can't bet.Get a relative to set up an account from out of state or something.All the resources like replays,trainer,jockey,trainer/jockey,sire,dam, and basically everything formulator charges a zillion dollars for is free.

If you have twinspires for all that and then timeform for speed figs/pace figs and historical charts , you have everything you could ask for pennies on the dollar of what it costs elsewhere.

Yeah about 15 or so states restrict ADW access. Might look into that.

[TonyP]

MIke are you going to play the rainbow 6 mandatory payout?

[JBEX]

Bel

R1 #5 golden nugget
R2 #3 william's lucky gray (5-1)
R4 #12 canarsie kid
R9 #10 mental iceberg

CD

R3 #10 jomelo
R4 #5 mr right (5-2)
R5 #3 rulelikecleo (2-1)
R7 #7 contrapuntal (10-1)