5 Horsemen handicapping strategies

[zebra58]

i'll check in before (sat) noon to send ncaa play if any

i will send nfl sunday by 1pm

[mikemca]

i'd be more confident w/ncaa but nfl will do you guys don't like my 3 plays? lol

I don't really mess around with totals so I wouldn't feel confident saying I like one.I like the Arkansas play just like Clemson more.
In sports betting I kinda think second level like in poker.Which is trying to think about what your opponent is thinking and how to exploit it.To me in sports betting the opponent is the public because the books make and adjust their lines accordingly.So I see the public loves the Detroit Lions and think the books would make the Vikings favored if not for the media darlings.Plus Minny has beaten them 13 times in a row at home and Detroit is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and 3-22 straight up since 2008.See Adrian Peterson carrying the ball a lot and keeping the Lions offense on the sidelines.Minny also gets a D Tackle back after he served a suspension.
Clemson is just good and Florida St. is gonna be hung over after their biggest game of the year vs Oklahoma.Plus their QB is banged up as well as one of their receivers.Clemson is at home and -3 seems fair to me but we are only giving -2.5 after the line opened at Florida St. -3.Despite Florida State taking 66% of the spread money.The line should be going the other way but its not.

[zebra58]

i just never been much on going w/stats, sounds good though

[Rio DiNero]

My picks are:

NFL- HOU,MIN,BUF
NCAA- MISS, SoMISS, CLEM

[mikemca]

My picks are: NFL- HOU,MIN,BUF NCAA- MISS, SoMISS, CLEM

Thats a few of us that like Minny and Clemson.I like Mississippi also but seem to be the only one.

[TonyP]

so far I like Clemson,Arkansas

[runner5k]

It looks like Clemson could be a go! Vikings have 3 of our support and I'll look more into ol miss and Arkansas

[TonyP]

The Vikes are my favorite team and have been for 20yrs so I cant have an opinion on this game however Detroit is on the improve and not so sure about minny.

[TonyP]

how long are we waiting to put in plays?

[zebra58]

good question tony

[runner5k]

Well I say put in clemson now its -2.5 and the NFL games we can wait till tomorrow though minn line has moved against us. Not sure if we have a consensus 2nd pick

[mikemca]

Minnesota is going to win outright.I would take the money line if I could.

[zebra58]

clemson in, others today or sun?

[TonyP]

clemson in at -2.5

[mikemca]

What do you guys think about the Raiders?They have played well this year and the Jets are traveling across the country.Darren McFadden is a beast plus they have a pretty good receiving corps and I know they had trouble stopping the Bills in the 2nd half last week but don't think the Jets passing attack is nearly as good and their running game sucks.

[TonyP]

What do you guys think about the Raiders?They have played well this year and the Jets are traveling across the country.Darren McFadden is a beast plus they have a pretty good receiving corps and I know they had trouble stopping the Bills in the 2nd half last week but don't think the Jets passing attack is nearly as good and their running game sucks.

That is one thinking of taking in another contest

[runner5k]

I like Minn a lot more than Oakland I think they can be a very 2 headed team and will either win outright or lose by double digits. I like Tampa bay and Houston a lot more.

[zebra58]

love the jets

[mikemca]

I like the Vikes best also...just trying to think of a third if not Mississippi or Arizona State.What about Miami?I'm not buying the Browns.I think they are kinda like Detroit.Suddenly the Browns are good because they beat the Colts?I think I've heard every year for the past 5 years that Detroit and Arizona were going to do good this year.Detroit blew out the Chiefs, I think East Appalachain State could blow out the Chiefs.

[runner5k]

Well i think if we can not agree on a 2nd or 3rd pick lets just agree on what we think are good bets and then pick from that list. Like i think Houston and Minn and Miami are good bets. I see ASU as a coin flip

[TonyP]

I already played Mississipp in another contest

[runner5k]

FSU starting their freshman qb!!

[TonyP]

I like Arkansas over Alabama

[TonyP]

are we putting the minny in now

[mikemca]

Yeah I am.Think NFL I am going with Min and Mia

[TonyP]

put minny in at +3

[TonyP]

made my own pick for the 3rd pick took Arkansas +12.5

[runner5k]

Good luck tony I will root for Arkansas!

[zebra58]

Good luck tony I will root for Arkansas!

guess i'll take ark & minn also

[mikemca]

made my own pick for the 3rd pick took Arkansas +12.5

Good luck tony I will root for Arkansas!

Me too.I'm scared of Bama at home they may be the best team in the country but the fact that the line is 13.5 and not 14.5 makes me think Arkansas has some chance to keep it close.

[TonyP]

the opening did not look that well for arky

[runner5k]

good start for clemson...arky just fell for a trick play is all

[TonyP]

arky ties it up. looking good

[mikemca]

How can that play/touchdown stand in the Clemson game?I guess his knee being down and the ball in his hand is an optical illusion?

[runner5k]

Yeah that was ridiculous! I think they are starting to take indisputable evidence too far