Race 4 alive to the 7,8,11,12 in the double and to stay alive in pick 3 and my $15 show goes to the 8 this race.
tuesday
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homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#36Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#37It’s pretty sad that my best bets today have been show bets hahaha.Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#42If I can get this double and stay alive for pick 3 I will be free rolling. I will probably bet something on 9 in second and third race 5 if I’m alive And if not rebet him to win. other than that the only other horse I like on this card is the 10 in race 8. Race 6 and 7 seemed easy but when I dig into really wide open and race 9 seems over the top chalky with not value.Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#43I added just a ex box for a $1 this race with
7,8,11,12Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#45Public really can’t make up their mind this raceComment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#46Well got my double and exacta and stayed alive for pick 3. Not bad.Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#47I’m alive to the 7,9,10 hahaha the 7’s will pay is like $2300 go 7!!!Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#51And thanks!!!Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#52Boo!!!Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#53Okay two bets race 6
.50 pick 3 $5.50
2
All
10
$20
Show on 2Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#54Adding race $6
$5 WP
2Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#55One more race 6
Pick 3 50 cent. $5.50
7
All
10Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#56American Dream ran closer to 50-1 today thankfully.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23399
#58a horse like that should never be 50-1 ml in a debut spot..believe he wound up at 2-1 which is close to what I said..he broke really bad and that was probably that but more than likely that's why he wasn't at a big venue..something not right. .I sometimes try and look at it the other way as I explained earlier which is give an elite pedigree horse an easier first race vs throwing her in against the wolves at the big tracks right away ..purse difference means nothing to this owner..really a guessing gameComment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#59I agree he shouldn’t be 50-1 but the problem is with the tools I use since there is only so much information On a first time starter so it Either rates a horse awesome or not awesome and like I said they show up as super low or super high. but it’s the best set of tools I have to rate first time starters and typically when they are listed super high like that they don’t run well their first start.Comment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#60Ugh the 2 sucked that race. See I should have quit back when I said nothing else looked good.Comment -
JBEXSBR Posting Legend
- 01-02-12
- 23399
#61I agree he shouldn’t be 50-1 but the problem is with the tools I use since there is only so much information On a first time starter so it Either rates a horse awesome or not awesome and like I said they show up as super low or super high. but it’s the best set of tools I have to rate first time starters and typically when they are listed super high like that they don’t run well their first start.
my final takeaway is he wasn't starting at a major circuit for a reason..there are top turf trainers like clement, chad and mcgaughey that will let a really well meant firster debut at tampa bay and are not concerned about the purse.. in my opinion it's because they don't want the horse to be used too hard first out.. ok ready to move on from thisComment -
homerbushSBR MVP
- 11-17-08
- 2317
#62I do like the 10 in race 8.... I had the right idea with all on race 7 in the pick 3 wish i played it all/all/10 wouldn’t have cost more than the money I wasted in race 6.Comment -
KnuckleHeadzSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-19
- 8194
#63Racing ticket #10206712
Jun-02 LON R8 5.00 USD EXX 1,6,10Comment
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