JBEX Tracking Thread N. America T-Bred and Harness

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23422

    #211
    Originally posted by Chi_archie
    Oh sorry no that wasn't what I meant.

    I didn't see many of the races but I did see a few including the 4th race at fairgrounds

    I made a comment about how you had two long shots on that race that were right there at the finish and how exciting it was


    I then read the note under your picks about not commenting on picks because you might watch later. So I edited my comment. I put my reason in the edit comment box but it didn't take I guess?

    Anyways I would never comment on a bad day, but from the races I saw I didn't think it was bad. The 4 race was worth the price of admission alone. I think I tailed and won some money on mountain tree as well, so thanks
    no I didn't take it as a derogatory remark..I think it's something that needs to be pointed out every once in a while as it's my belief as to the realities of this game..for the most part when I do bad I don't feel it was because of bad handicapping..I am careless on occasion and look back and say how did I miss that or a gray area decision that I feel i went the wrong way with but I feel these are more the exceptions rather than the rule..I don't watch trips or note biases from past races so that type of info not part of my decision making process..most of the other important things I do look at though
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23422

      #212
      gulfstream

      R4 #6 so darn hot (10-1) 3WP

      great name for a firster whose trainer has been crushing it this meet..he happens to be an excellent debut trainer anyway.. very expensive horse with a totally route pedigree (going a mile today).. castellano aboard


      R6 #2 queen field (12-1)

      really bad trip last out and in vs listed stakes horses 2 back.. starts 3 and 4 back fit well vs these.. think that ml a little too high


      tampa bay


      R6 #10 one fine ride (3-1) 3WP

      this race clm 5k n1y (6 months 9/22)..last win for this horse on that date so he just qualifies..claimed last race by a way above average 1st claim trainer ..think he's very capable vs this field



      oaklawn (know sloppy)


      R6 #1 turnstone (6-1) 3WP


      hey str..joe rocco aboard




      R9 #1 miss notorious (3-1) 4W






      santa anita


      R4 #10 bedrock (10-1) 3WP

      always liked the flintstones lol..just kidding lots of angles



      R9 #7 bird (5-1) 4W
      .
      Last edited by JBEX; 03-22-20, 02:58 PM.
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23422

        #213
        added 6
        Comment
        • Jellymancan
          SBR MVP
          • 03-09-20
          • 3695

          #214
          Dylan Davis on So Darn Hot. Like the pick, but I also like a couple of others in that race.
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23422

            #215
            Originally posted by Jellymancan
            Dylan Davis on So Darn Hot. Like the pick, but I also like a couple of others in that race.

            oh good to know.. I will not play obvious horses (#8) in this type of race.. my other would be the other expensive firster #5 but as I said like the fact weaver's having such a good meet
            Comment
            • Jellymancan
              SBR MVP
              • 03-09-20
              • 3695

              #216
              Yea, 4 and 5 other possibilties for me.
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23422

                #217
                added tampa 6
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23422

                  #218
                  added oak 6
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63167

                    #219
                    good luck today!
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23422

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Chi_archie
                      good luck today!
                      thanks chi_archie. .you too
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23422

                        #221
                        added santa 6
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23422

                          #222
                          added oaklawn 9
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23422

                            #223
                            added santa 9
                            Comment
                            • Easy-Rider 66
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-14-12
                              • 36100

                              #224
                              Originally posted by jbex
                              gulfstream

                              r4 #6 so darn hot (10-1) 3wp

                              great name for a firster whose trainer has been crushing it this meet..he happens to be an excellent debut trainer anyway.. Very expensive horse with a totally route pedigree (going a mile today).. Castellano aboard


                              r6 #2 queen field (12-1)

                              really bad trip last out and in vs listed stakes horses 2 back.. Starts 3 and 4 back fit well vs these.. Think that ml a little too high


                              tampa bay


                              r6 #10 one fine ride (3-1) 3wp

                              this race clm 5k n1y (6 months 9/22)..last win for this horse on that date so he just qualifies..claimed last race by a way above average 1st claim trainer ..think he's very capable vs this field



                              oaklawn (know sloppy)


                              r6 #1 turnstone (6-1) 3wp


                              hey str..joe rocco aboard




                              r9 #1 miss notorious (3-1) 4w






                              santa anita


                              r4 #10 bedrock (10-1) 3wp

                              always liked the flintstones lol..just kidding lots of angles



                              r9 #7 bird (5-1) 4w
                              .
                              bump
                              Comment
                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-14-12
                                • 36100

                                #225
                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                gulfstream

                                R4 #6 so darn hot (10-1) 3WP

                                great name for a firster whose trainer has been crushing it this meet..he happens to be an excellent debut trainer anyway.. very expensive horse with a totally route pedigree (going a mile today).. castellano aboard


                                R6 #2 queen field (12-1)

                                really bad trip last out and in vs listed stakes horses 2 back.. starts 3 and 4 back fit well vs these.. think that ml a little too high


                                tampa bay


                                R6 #10 one fine ride (3-1) 3WP

                                this race clm 5k n1y (6 months 9/22)..last win for this horse on that date so he just qualifies..claimed last race by a way above average 1st claim trainer ..think he's very capable vs this field



                                oaklawn (know sloppy)


                                R6 #1 turnstone (6-1) 3WP


                                hey str..joe rocco aboard




                                R9 #1 miss notorious (3-1) 4W






                                santa anita


                                R4 #10 bedrock (10-1) 3WP

                                always liked the flintstones lol..just kidding lots of angles



                                R9 #7 bird (5-1) 4W
                                .
                                GP: no good
                                TB: no good
                                SA: no good
                                Oak: 1 place pays $13.20
                                Comment
                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-14-12
                                  • 36100

                                  #226
                                  T-Bred YTD: Risk $542/return $319.65

                                  Harness YTD: Risk $52/return $13.50






                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23422

                                    #227
                                    fonner park


                                    R2 #8 laine's peach (6-1)

                                    8yo homebred maiden making her 33rd career start.. exits an extremely fast figure race and returns in 10 days.. last 2 times when she returned in 10 days she ran 2nd.. outside posts do well at this distance



                                    R3 #6 friend of dubai (6-1)

                                    cuts back from 6.5 to 4f after showing speed which not surprisingly does well at this short distance.. exits a very high figure race also.. top jockey and trainer


                                    R4 #3 friendly and kind (6-1)



                                    R5 #2 i'm a rock (6-1)
                                    R6 #5 alexandrias throne (12-1)
                                    R7 #1 cuckoo kenia (5-2)
                                    R9 #7 wacca wacca wacca (5-2)





                                    .
                                    Last edited by JBEX; 03-23-20, 09:48 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23422

                                      #228
                                      through 4 @ fonner
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23422

                                        #229
                                        done fonner
                                        Comment
                                        • Easy-Rider 66
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-14-12
                                          • 36100

                                          #230
                                          It would be interesting JBEX if you do well today. A minor league track for sure and you are firing away. GL I will be coming in as well,
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23422

                                            #231
                                            liked what I saw..wouldn't force it
                                            Comment
                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-14-12
                                              • 36100

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                              liked what I saw..wouldn't force it
                                              yeah there must have been quite a few angles you saw. I try and keep my action plays to total $4 risked but really need to lower that to $2 or $3 gl today. looking over WRD now.
                                              Comment
                                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-14-12
                                                • 36100

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                                fonner park


                                                R2 #8 laine's peach (6-1)

                                                8yo homebred maiden making her 33rd career start.. exits an extremely fast figure race and returns in 10 days.. last 2 times when she returned in 10 days she ran 2nd.. outside posts do well at this distance



                                                R3 #6 friend of dubai (6-1)

                                                cuts back from 6.5 to 4f after showing speed which not surprisingly does well at this short distance.. exits a very high figure race also.. top jockey and trainer


                                                R4 #3 friendly and kind (6-1)



                                                R5 #2 i'm a rock (6-1)
                                                R6 #5 alexandrias throne (12-1)
                                                R7 #1 cuckoo kenia (5-2)
                                                R9 #7 wacca wacca wacca (5-2)





                                                .
                                                1 winner Pays $8.20
                                                2 places pay $10.80 and $4.80
                                                Also about 3 shows
                                                Comment
                                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-14-12
                                                  • 36100

                                                  #234
                                                  T-Bred YTD: Risk $570/return $343.45

                                                  Harness YTD: Risk $52/return $13.50
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23422

                                                    #235
                                                    will rogers downs

                                                    R2 #3 mr misleading (6-1)


                                                    sam houston


                                                    R9 #5 scattered mist (5-1)







                                                    .
                                                    Last edited by JBEX; 03-24-20, 11:25 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23422

                                                      #236
                                                      added sam houston 9


                                                      didn't like what I saw today so that's it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                        • 36100

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                        added sam houston 9

                                                        didn't like what I saw today so that's it
                                                        SH suspended.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23422

                                                          #238
                                                          ok.. thanks
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Easy-Rider 66
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-14-12
                                                            • 36100

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                                            will rogers downs

                                                            R2 #3 mr misleading (6-1)


                                                            sam houston


                                                            R9 #5 scattered mist (5-1)







                                                            .
                                                            nothing today horse is a scratch will be back tomorrow. will check to see if you post as well JBEX.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36100

                                                              #240
                                                              T-Bred YTD: Risk $570/return $343.45

                                                              Harness YTD: Risk $52/return $13.50






                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ventura
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-06-17
                                                                • 226

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                fonner park



                                                                R2 #8 laine's peach (6-1)

                                                                8yo homebred maiden making her 33rd career start.. exits an extremely fast figure race and returns in 10 days.. last 2 times when she returned in 10 days she ran 2nd.. outside posts do well at this distance



                                                                R3 #6 friend of dubai (6-1)

                                                                cuts back from 6.5 to 4f after showing speed which not surprisingly does well at this short distance.. exits a very high figure race also.. top jockey and trainer


                                                                R4 #3 friendly and kind (6-1)



                                                                R5 #2 i'm a rock (6-1)
                                                                R6 #5 alexandrias throne (12-1)
                                                                R7 #1 cuckoo kenia (5-2)
                                                                R9 #7 wacca wacca wacca (5-2)





                                                                .
                                                                Regarding your comment on Laine’s peach exiting a fast figure race - what figure are you going off of? (I own the horse that ran 2nd that day and we were 8 clear of everyone else. We would have been 3/5 in this spot yesterday but are opting to come back against straight 3yos next week)

                                                                Thanks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23422

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by Ventura
                                                                  Regarding your comment on Laine’s peach exiting a fast figure race - what figure are you going off of? (I own the horse that ran 2nd that day and we were 8 clear of everyone else. We would have been 3/5 in this spot yesterday but are opting to come back against straight 3yos next week)

                                                                  Thanks!

                                                                  no problem ..brisnet figure..laine's peach ran a 50 in that race and lost by 15..at about 1.5 pts a length that means the winner ran around a 72..the par for msw at fonner park is 63..so that race was about 6 lengths faster than par
                                                                  Last edited by JBEX; 03-24-20, 03:20 PM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23422

                                                                    #243
                                                                    actually think it's 1.7 to 1.8 per length so it's more like a 75-76 final fig for the winner of that race..very fast race for that level
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ventura
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 09-06-17
                                                                      • 226

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Thanks.

                                                                      The winner that day probably could have opened up even more.

                                                                      Oddly, the equibase figure changed for both us and winner to a lower figure a couple days after the race.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23422

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Ventura
                                                                        Thanks.

                                                                        The winner that day probably could have opened up even more.

                                                                        Oddly, the equibase figure changed for both us and winner to a lower figure a couple days after the race.
                                                                        not surprised they lowered it..7-8 lengths is a lot and guess whatever their process is thought that was a little high
                                                                        Comment
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