Jbex plays

[JBEX]

added santa anita 4 5

[JBEX]

keeneland

R2 #10 my sweet baboo (4-1)
R4 #3 her giant (12-1)
R5 #1 tuned (7-2)
R6 #7 beverly park (6-1)
R8 #9 time on target (8-1)
R9 #4 parlor (6-1)
R10 #3 cairo cutie (3-1)



belmont

R6 #2 elektronic (5-1)
R8 #1 bull feathers (30-1)



santa anita

R4 #6 connection (7-2)
R5 #5 mainframe judy (8-1)
R7 #7 angel's advocate (12-1)

finished

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice

[JBEX]

thanks

[JBEX]

meadowlands thoroughbred (12:30)

R2 #4 dangerous woman (8-1)
R4 #7 dynamic miss (6-1)
R5 #2 black dynamite (8-1)
R6 #1 matzo bella (8-5)

keeneland

R1 #8 wrath (8-1)
R4 #9 art buff (9-2)
R5 #1 entry (either part..same jock listed)
R6 #11 saxony (20-1)

R7 #1 proliferate (9-2)

R8 #1 executive branch (12-1)
R8 #6 edgemont road (12-1)

2 horses.. 50% more divided by 2.. ex $4 win bettor alone then $3 on each of these


R10 #2 due to his charm (12-1)


belmont

passing 1 2..probably look at later races


R3 #1 roses from ben (15-1)
R5 #8 channel island (7-2)
R7 #6 cap de creus (3-1)

[JBEX]

added keeneland through 5

[JBEX]

bel 5 kee 6

[JBEX]

finished bel kee 8

[JBEX]

finished

[JBEX]

keeneland

R2 #6 baquero (6-1)
R4 #6 joy of learning (15-1)
R5 #6 debating (7-2)

R6 #3 loaded (12-1)

rusty arnold below avg with debuters but lots of good pedigree things here.. expensive and out of a stakes placed indian charlie (speed, class) mare.. solid works and always like to bet debut horses with names like this


R6 #8 ursula (12-1)

another firster with big pedigree and very capable debut trainer.. btw chad brown has a firster in here (surprise, surprise) #7 palio flag (9-2)and he can (and might) beat me.. too easy to take him and hats off if he does **

** not that I wouldn't bet one of his debut horses but prefer to try and beat them.. depends on what I see



R7 #3 fast boat (4-1)
R8 #7 cautious giant (6-1)
R9 #5 castle lady (7-2)

lightly raced, monster ped, multiple euro graded stakes winner (inc g1).. 2nd choice to, you guessed it.. cb #3 camber parc (8-5)

R10 #5 first wave (5-1)

[JBEX]

finished.. keeneland and for the day

[mrginandtonic]

keeneland

R6 #3 loaded (12-1)

rusty arnold below avg with debuters but lots of good pedigree things here.. expensive and out of a stakes placed indian charlie (speed, class) mare.. solid works and always like to bet debut horses with names like this

R6 #8 ursula (12-1)

another firster with big pedigree and very capable debut trainer.. btw chad brown has a firster in here (surprise, surprise) #7 palio flag (9-2)and he can (and might) beat me.. too easy to take him and hats off if he does **

** not that I wouldn't bet one of his debut horses but prefer to try and beat them.. depends on what I see

No need to worry, the 7 is scratched... GL

[JBEX]

No need to worry, the 7 is scratched... GL

thanks mgnt...out and going to watch everything on replay later

[JBEX]

santa anita

R8 #8 hootie (8-1) 888 ... not why

[JBEX]

you inspired me to get a jump on it lkid


belmont

R5 #9 lookn fine as wine (12-1)
R6 #7 wajeeha (3-1)
R8 #5 olympico (8-1)


gulfstream west

R3 #4 remember the maine (6-1)
R4 #7 unequal (9-2)
R7 #6 interest (6-1) lower lol

R9 #3 translate slowly (15-1)**
R9 #6 purecrazidude (20-1)

** 2 horses



santa anita


R8 #3 big barrel (5-2)

[JBEX]

added gulfstream west

[JBEX]

added santa anita 8

[JBEX]

parx

R3 #4 black light (5-2)
R4 #7 noble kent (20-1)
R5 #6 trilogy (10-1)
R7 #2 south sea (10-1) morning line ridiculous



indiana grande

R2 #3 eager to go (9-2)
R3 #7 gifted justice (5-2)
R5 #6 tricky tune (9-2)
R7 #1 blueberry shine (12-1)
R8 #8 beentheredonethat (7-2)

[JBEX]

added indiana

[JBEX]

look at the remaining races later (prx, ind)


playoffs =1 and HD and p:A and s:W and line >=130

playoffs..
home dog >=130..
previous away..
starter won last start



2-10 (+143) (-3.17)
3-9 runline

8 of the 9 runline losses were by >2 runs and many huge blowouts


hou -1.5 +110

[JBEX]

added indy 7

[JBEX]

keeneland got over an inch of rain between 3-9am but clearing up after that..still probably going to be muddy there today..possibly you'll get through the first 3 at belmont dry but then the heavy rain starts

[JBEX]

keeneland


R1 #1 spearette (8-1)

got through clm5k n1y - n3y conditions at beltera park and I feel ran respectable vs starter allowance company there.. clm $7500 might be a good fit here class-wise..always the small track prejudice when shipping to keeneland

R3 #2 world riot (8-1)

trainer has uncaany numbers in multiple pattern categories over very large samples..one of them is "blinkers back on" and she ran a poor race with them off for the first time.. good spot for this one and slop ok

R4 #5 dawn's early light (3-1)

$285k 2yo purchase dropping to mdn $30k in his 3rd career start with a trainer who just burns money with this move over a large sample..so why pick him?? what he did in his last race at churchill vs msw breaking from the 11 post and contesting the pace before giving it up badly late.. translated to this field might be a big win



R5 #3 sweet sneak (15-1)
R5 #6 party goer (12-1)

R7 #2 patriot drive (8-1)
R8 #5 takechargrmatriarch (8-5






belmont

R1 #1 fusi (2-1)


encouraged by the quick turnaround (6 days) and blinkers on (trainer excels)...first time on dirt this low in brief career where he's shown talent on the grass multiple times.. early speed and inside posts fare well here


R3 #2 sandy kitten (9-5) if stays on turf
R3 #1a quaabil (2-1) if off turf

crappy race and these 2 will be low odds

[JBEX]

finished kee

[JBEX]

keeneland.. ( both 1 and 4 must be on the turf)

R1 #7 achievable (12-1)


R4 #6 handy (15-1)

expensive relative to the pedigree
capable under the radar turf jock whose 2 for 3 with trainer


R4 #8 free spender (20-1)

think got a little fitness and education at oddball track kentucky downs in the debut.. trainer has nice numbers 2nd career grass race.. this one expensive but not what I'd consider relative to the pedigree (borderline)



R5 pass



R7 #8 blended citizen (15-1)

i'm always willing to forgive a bad race at kentucky downs (last).. the prior race in a grade 2 @ del mar going 1 3/8 on the turf was halfway decent especially factoring in (at least in his last 10 races) that he hadn't done a turf marathon before.. has back class as a 3yo dirt horse.. doug o'neil's only other start at the meet was a winner


R8 #7 kitty's promise (15-1)

a 2yo filly who cost $1k at auction makes her fifth career start.. of course with an expensive purchase like that you don't want to risk losing her lol.. all msw..kee debut.. R 2 and 3 @ elp and last at kd.. avg odds 57-1 including 102-1 last out.. oh yeah trainer 0-15 on the year.. while last race placing absolutely ridiculous, starts 2 and 3 back are a good fit vs these mcl $30k.. gets in light with a 7lb bug

[JBEX]

finished keeneland

[JBEX]

keeneland.. ( both 1 and 4 must be on the turf)

R1 #7 achievable (12-1)


R4 #6 handy (15-1)

expensive relative to the pedigree
capable under the radar turf jock whose 2 for 3 with trainer


R4 #8 free spender (20-1)

think got a little fitness and education at oddball track kentucky downs in the debut.. trainer has nice numbers 2nd career grass race.. this one expensive but not what I'd consider relative to the pedigree (borderline)



R5 pass



R7 #8 blended citizen (15-1)

i'm always willing to forgive a bad race at kentucky downs (last).. the prior race in a grade 2 @ del mar going 1 3/8 on the turf was halfway decent especially factoring in (at least in his last 10 races) that he hadn't done a turf marathon before.. has back class as a 3yo dirt horse.. doug o'neil's only other start at the meet was a winner


R8 #7 kitty's promise (15-1)

a 2yo filly who cost $1k at auction makes her fifth career start.. of course with an expensive purchase like that you don't want to risk losing her lol.. all msw..kee debut.. R 2 and 3 @ elp and last at kd.. avg odds 57-1 including 102-1 last out.. oh yeah trainer 0-15 on the year.. while last race placing absolutely ridiculous, starts 2 and 3 back are a good fit vs these mcl $30k.. gets in light with a 7lb bug

last 2 races listed as R7 R8 should be R8 R9...sorry

[JBEX]

keeneland

R2 #6 new day dawning (8-1)
R3 #8 instigated (4-1)
R4 #9 davidic line (2-1)
R5 #6 chelsea cloisters (8-1)
R6 #3 bayerness (8-1)


R8 #9 high regard (8-1)
R10 #1 come on venezuela (6-1)


intrigued jose ortiz would jump aboard this one

[Louisvillekid1]

Good luck today?

Look at ny?

[JBEX]

I looked at the first half of the card and nothing grabbed me..may peek at the later races

[JBEX]

if i'm looking at a race and feel even if I hit ,it's not a situation I have an edge on than it should be a pass..that however is often a grey area decision in itself

[JBEX]

finished keeneland

[JBEX]

laurel (noon post, belmont 12:20 and kee 1:05)

R1 #3 capucine (12-1) be much lower
R4 #9 no more talk (12-1)


belmont

R1 #1 steelersfanforlife (15-1)
R2 #2 naked avenger (1-1)
R3 #2 graphite dutchess (15-1)
R4 #8 cross border (5-1)
R6 #1 build to suit (2-1)



keeneland

R2 #1 fridaynitestar (4-1)
R3 #2 takechargeangel (2-1)
R4 #1 better tapit (9-2)
R5 #1 chitto (5-1)
R6 #2 echo alpha six (10-1)
R7 #3 hansens mischief (5-1)
R9 #2 bell's the one (12-1)
R10 #4 fooch (9-2)

[JBEX]

did belmont through 6.. going to look at keeneland and go back to laurel and belmont after

[mrginandtonic]

if i'm looking at a race and feel even if I hit ,it's not a situation I have an edge on than it should be a pass..that however is often a grey area decision in itself

Not sure I understand what you mean by that?