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Comment -
risked $733/returned $728.10 ROI: 99.3%Comment -
finished parx (4865)Comment -
risked $761/returned $734.10 ROI: 96.5%Comment -
parx
R3 #3 no more fast women (20-1)1WP <8-1>
R4 #6 vow's son (5-2) 2WP <3.3>
R5 #6 lucky stash (6-1)2W <4>
R5 #7 river miss (10-1)2W <13>
R6 #4 high moon (4-1)2WP <5-1>
R7 #3 hammers vision (8-1)1W <2.6>
R7 #8 helloitsme (12-1)1W <8-1>
R8 #10 king koa (10-1)1WP < 5-2>
R9 #7 norma's charm (2-1)3WP <5-2>
R10 #4 tiz super (6-1)2WP <6-5>
(morning line) < actual >
the problem with playing in advance...I use ml odds as a guide post even though I often realize he's probably off.. too many low odds I may have not have been on if I was playing live.. . at least on them a lot smaller at parxComment -
this is a majority advance play thread.. while this is probably worse than the norm it does happen often enough.. this should be taken into consideration when judging the results
also of note so I don't have to keep mentioning it..
lp >>within 30 mins of post
2hp >> within 2 hours postComment -
mahoning valley
R4 #3 eskendulce (10-1) 1WP.. 2hp
jockey meet 64-0-3-7 / trainer meet 68-0-5-7/horse career 38-12-9-3
don't think I've ever seen anything so extreme.. this horse was claimed last out in a race he won by a head.. 7yo gelding who was 12-6-4-0 last year and is 13-7-2-2 at this track.. trained by owner
R5 #8 wild justice (8-1) 1WP.. lp
R6 #11 oaks honey*(8-1)1WP.. 2hp
R7 #10 orphan queen (4-1) 1WP
R8 #10 lady driven (3-1) 4W
R9 #9 outthink'em (8-5) 4W
post 4875.. this will always be postedComment -
added R5.. looking at latter part of the cardComment -
finished mahoningComment -
risked $777/returned $741.80 ROI: 95.5%Comment -
gulfstream
R1 #7 alpha orionis (5-2) no play for me
a $325k yearling who made his debut last month at tampa bay vs msw as a 3yo.. obviously that late start and at tampa means this one didn't pan out as hoped.. now up for sale for $12.5k second start can understand abandoning despite the ml.. I say they're just realistic and putting where he can win.. the owners are long time players in this game and pletcher has excellent numbers in relative categories.. the way he ran in the debut sets him up nicely for the stretch out.. going to recommend in horizontals as price will be low
R2 #1 impunity (7-2) 3 WP
R5 #1 the kid in syd (6-1) 2WP
R6 #3 she's no joke (7-2) 2WP
25-1-1-2 so won't go 3WP despite low ml odds
R7 #4 medina ridge (6-1) 2 WP
R8 #8 dancing starlet (8-1) 1 WP
R10 #2 matzo bella (7-2) 2WP
I
tampa bay
R2 #2 timuquana place (5-1)2WP ..2hp
R3 #8 domestic violet (6-1) 2WP..2hp
R4 #6 king's castle (8-1)2WP.. 2hp
R6 #8 happy wanderer (10-1)1WP
R7 #4 nephew howard d (3-1) 2WP
post 4875.. this will always be postedComment -
added tampa 2 3
got a nice jump on it.. will look at restComment -
added tampa 4 6Comment -
finished gulfstreamComment -
added tam 7Comment -
risked $817/returned $758 ROI: 92.8%Comment -
Dawn Lightning Jaramillo Emisael 123 6.80 3.80 3.00 8 Dancing Starlet Saez Luis 121 4.00 3.80 7 Draft Reyes Leonel 121 3.60 $1 Daily Double $68.30 3-3 $28,728 $1 Exacta $21.60 3-8 $133,989 $0.10 Superfecta $72.09 3-8-7-2 $50,767 $1 Super High Five $4,981.30 3-8-7-2-1 $5,046 $0.50 Trifecta $47.75 3-8-7 $70,144 $0.50 Pick 3 $53.90 5-3-3 (3 correct) $37,357 $1 w/p so Half the $4 place winnings?Owner: Veb Racing Stable Corp Trainer: Victor Barboza, Jr. Breeder: Centaur Farms, Inc. (FL ) Also Ran: 2 - Appealing Lalibela, 1 - Special Counsel, 4 - Michelle'z Laugh, 5 - Optimistic Shot, 9 - High End Lady, 6 - Troya Comment -
OK No worries. Thx for checking rundown. I Try to be accurate but mistakes can be made.Comment -
aqueduct thursday
R1-6 pass
R7 #2 calculated riskier (5-2) 5W
R8 #2 shaken not stirred (8-1) 2WP
gulfstream
R1-3 pass
R4 #7 blue whale (30-1) 2WP
R5 #1 just kitten you (9-2) 3WP
R6 #8 a bit of both (2-5) no play... surest 5% you'll ever make if there's show betting
R7 #2 abaco dream (9-2) 2WP
R8-10 pass
fairgrounds (race 2 and race 3 no play)
R2 #3 previous honor (3-1)
the first of two 10yo horses (mare) running in consecutive races . just rooting
74-13-17-10 career and past 2 years (8+9) 21-8-8-1 so most of the damage done recently
R3 #6 paddy's notes (3-1)
this one's a gelding.. 50-16-6-3 overall and 16-9-1-1 last 2 years.. she wasn't horrible prior to last couple of years ..both trained by top guys but they are competitive races
R6 #2 warriors gem (8-1) 2WP
R9 #4 vigilante (8-1)1WP
R10 #8 curzon street (6-1)1WP
santa anita
R9 #5 oh pretty woman (4-1) 2WP..2hpComment -
finished gulf and tampaComment -
did some fairgroundsComment -
Jbex are you playing it too close to the vest with these $1 w/p from Major tracks? I can see the minor venues, but would like to get an accurate representation of your final tally and the more money risked the better. See if you can better Mr. G&T's 95.5% and my 81%. Guess this conservative approach is working so far, but how much confidence can one have in $1w/p wager from a major track. Just my 2 cents. BOL.Comment -
Comment
Probably why I did not hit closer to 85%-90% in my thread. Did not lower roll enough on the action bets.