DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • crissthor
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-02-11
    • 24

    #1226
    Stilll Sabres are in the game... hockey is crazy game!
    Comment
    • lilb999
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-13-10
      • 997

      #1227
      Gettin kinda nervous for this over
      Comment
      • Fernburn74
        SBR MVP
        • 09-28-10
        • 1643

        #1228
        com on over!!!!! need this over
        Comment
        • skyscrapers
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-02-11
          • 6168

          #1229
          We need 2 more goals in the third...c'mon
          Comment
          • DemoralizdDreamr
            SBR MVP
            • 02-04-11
            • 4319

            #1230
            Tough one here. NHL's been a killer this year.
            Comment
            • skyscrapers
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-02-11
              • 6168

              #1231
              BUFFALO SCORES!!!! Need 1 more boys...maybe empty net
              Comment
              • MatI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5200

                #1232
                Good stuff Buffalo! Still 15 in the period.... hopefully one more!
                Comment
                • DemoralizdDreamr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-04-11
                  • 4319

                  #1233
                  Why didnt the sabres pull the goalie earlier near the 2 min mark?? they pulled him with 1 min and had very little time to be on a and advantage.
                  Comment
                  • skyscrapers
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-02-11
                    • 6168

                    #1234
                    1 goal short tonight.
                    Comment
                    • lilb999
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-13-10
                      • 997

                      #1235
                      What a joke....
                      Comment
                      • MatI
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5200

                        #1236
                        Bad luck DG, get 'em next time!
                        Comment
                        • DennisGreen
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-27-08
                          • 18369

                          #1237
                          That's so sick over doesn't hit. Shoulda hedged the bet after 2 I guess. FML.
                          Comment
                          • lolguy999
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-28-10
                            • 3070

                            #1238
                            sick shit... but to take note this enroth guy isn't half bad... miller brodeur and all the popular goalies even varlamov now are choke artists so next time enroth starts maybe the other team under 2.5 could be the play... who knows. I really wanna say sick beat on it.. i mean it is true after the 3 goals before 10 minutes had a non-choke artist been at net it coulda been 1-0 and in the end 2-1 buffalo
                            Comment
                            • DennisGreen
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-27-08
                              • 18369

                              #1239
                              1-1 -$99 on the day.
                              Comment
                              • southpaw74
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-21-09
                                • 7104

                                #1240
                                Figures. Everyone and their mother was on the over. 3 goals in the first 6 minutes and we get slow rolled.
                                Comment
                                • DennisGreen
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-27-08
                                  • 18369

                                  #1241
                                  Buffalo ruined the over by putting Enroth in. Guys unreal. Philly couldn't score a goal on the guy in 55 minutes.
                                  Comment
                                  • Trivial
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-22-09
                                    • 1328

                                    #1242
                                    Thinking live bet, under 4.5 for COL for GAME. Thoughts?
                                    Comment
                                    • DennisGreen
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-27-08
                                      • 18369

                                      #1243
                                      Originally posted by Trivial
                                      Thinking live bet, under 4.5 for COL for GAME. Thoughts?
                                      Missed responding earlier but yeah I liked the under in this game before it started.
                                      Comment
                                      • DennisGreen
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-27-08
                                        • 18369

                                        #1244
                                        Fcuk still pissed about that over not hitting but shit happens in the NHL. Full schedule of games tomorrow to pick from
                                        Comment
                                        • lilb999
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-13-10
                                          • 997

                                          #1245
                                          Loving van ml at -125.
                                          Comment
                                          • DennisGreen
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-27-08
                                            • 18369

                                            #1246
                                            Originally posted by lilb999
                                            Loving van ml at -125.
                                            Minny usually plays them tough but VAN has looked unreal last few games. I also like DET to pummel the Flames as they will definitely be on tilt.
                                            Comment
                                            • lilb999
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-13-10
                                              • 997

                                              #1247
                                              Idk. Somethings not right with Detroit. Datsyuk and zetterberg don't look good at all, no secondary scoring. 5 goals in 5 games...tough to watch
                                              Comment
                                              • investing4us
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-25-11
                                                • 128

                                                #1248
                                                Originally posted by lilb999
                                                Loving van ml at -125.
                                                Be careful home team is 10-1 in last 11 in this series.
                                                Comment
                                                • DennisGreen
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-27-08
                                                  • 18369

                                                  #1249
                                                  Was gonna say Over 5 looks golden in VAN/MIN game tomorrow but will be Schneider vs Harding. Goals should be hard to come by.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MJG24
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 01-26-11
                                                    • 46

                                                    #1250
                                                    Schneider is 4-1 with a 1.67 GAA and .927 SV% vs MINN

                                                    Harding is 0-3 in 4 appearances against the Canucks with a 4.40 GAA and .843 SV%

                                                    1.80 is fabulous odds for Canucks ml IMO. Looks like they found their game. Look out.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • investing4us
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-25-11
                                                      • 128

                                                      #1251
                                                      Det looks good. Cgy is 3-10 last 13 in Det. Over is 8-1 in last 9 in Det.

                                                      Edm might be worth a shot at +155 the road team is 10-2 in the last 12 head to head. I also like the under since both teams are 1,2 respectfully in goals against. Under is 8-2 last 10.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DennisGreen
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-27-08
                                                        • 18369

                                                        #1252
                                                        Originally posted by MJG24
                                                        Schneider is 4-1 with a 1.67 GAA and .927 SV% vs MINN

                                                        Harding is 0-3 in 4 appearances against the Canucks with a 4.40 GAA and .843 SV%

                                                        1.80 is fabulous odds for Canucks ml IMO. Looks like they found their game. Look
                                                        out.
                                                        Yeah I definitely wouldn't be betting vs VAN after their last two games. Teams on fire offensively.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TomJSports
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-31-11
                                                          • 1177

                                                          #1253
                                                          Originally posted by TomJSports
                                                          Over seems reasonable, but Miller/Bryz are just so unpredictable lately, could be a 1-0 or a 9-8.
                                                          Oooor 3-2. I picked the under in the SBR contest, but didn't put any real money on it. Figured you guys had your over after the start, but Buffalo shored up defensively. Was so nervous with that game getting way too close for comfort. I love Enroth's game, I've seem him in person a couple of times. I think he's a Southern boy and played at Södertälje. He's a welcome change from the giants like Lindbäck. You need to sign Joacim Eriksson without a Swedish keeper in your system. Was a fun, intense game to watch. Sorry the over didn't hit, I was rooting for you (well rooting for it to be 4-2 Flyers, same thing )
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DennisGreen
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-27-08
                                                            • 18369

                                                            #1254
                                                            2011-2012 YTD Record (Up to Nov 2nd)
                                                            52-65-3 -$1480

                                                            Game Totals 18-13-1 +$725
                                                            ML 10-7 +$288
                                                            1st Period Totals 9-11 -$37
                                                            Player Props 1-3-1 -$325
                                                            Team Totals 5-7-1 -$399
                                                            Live Bets 4-8 -$602
                                                            Regulation 5-16 -$1130
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DennisGreen
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-27-08
                                                              • 18369

                                                              #1255
                                                              Gonna have around 4-6 plays today it's looking like. Busy night with lots of value Scouting everything right now.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • somethingelse
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 05-22-11
                                                                • 43

                                                                #1256
                                                                Hey Dennis, been following you throughout this season and I'm starting to learn things to watch for, especially in the "totals" department. While checking line movements this morning, the ones I happened to notice significant movement were:

                                                                Calgary @ Detroit (DET ML Decrease)
                                                                Anaheim @ N.Y. Rangers (ML Bouncing back and forth)
                                                                Toronto @ Columbus (CBS ML Increase)
                                                                Nashville @ Phoenix (PHX Opening ML Favorite, now Nashville)
                                                                Edmonton @ L.A. (L.A. ML Decrease)

                                                                While I still have much to learn, my "significant movement" comment was directed at ML movement where there was a 10-15 cent shift either direction. Is there anything associated with these movements that I should pay attention to, or is it just public money starting to roll in? As always, best of luck with all your plays tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Cicima6709
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-10
                                                                  • 1023

                                                                  #1257
                                                                  DG, hope you dont mind me stealing this question...

                                                                  ...but i focus on line movement a LOT.

                                                                  Been betting early line movement for the last two weeks (after tracking it to start the season), and it has come up with a 36-23 record and +19 units. I think the first few hours of line movement are very significant in hockey. Your average bettor doesnt really understand what the difference between a -133 and a -146 is, its just numbers to him. Its not like football where they understand how different a +3 is from a +7. However sharps hit those numbers hard early on, and if you track early line movement and compare it to the results of the game, you will see that most of the underdogs that get hit early end up winning the game. I try not to pay attension to line movement throughout the day, because no one really knows if its the books just trying to get the public money on a certain side, however i do believe that early movement right after the lines are out can accurately predict the outcome of a game.

                                                                  Iv been following this trend for years, and it has been very +$.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TomJSports
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                                    • 1177

                                                                    #1258
                                                                    Very interesting Cicima. I haven't been tracking it, but anecdotally it certainly seemed to be that way. Thanks for that.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DennisGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-27-08
                                                                      • 18369

                                                                      #1259
                                                                      What he said

                                                                      No but honestly I find line movement in hockey is the least significant of any of the major sports.

                                                                      Most ML favorites of -180 or higher I find will drop pretty much everytime from the inflated opening line.

                                                                      Just my opinion. Could be right, could be wrong.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • somethingelse
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 05-22-11
                                                                        • 43

                                                                        #1260
                                                                        Originally posted by Cicima6709
                                                                        DG, hope you dont mind me stealing this question...

                                                                        ...but i focus on line movement a LOT.

                                                                        Been betting early line movement for the last two weeks (after tracking it to start the season), and it has come up with a 36-23 record and +19 units. I think the first few hours of line movement are very significant in hockey. Your average bettor doesnt really understand what the difference between a -133 and a -146 is, its just numbers to him. Its not like football where they understand how different a +3 is from a +7. However sharps hit those numbers hard early on, and if you track early line movement and compare it to the results of the game, you will see that most of the underdogs that get hit early end up winning the game. I try not to pay attension to line movement throughout the day, because no one really knows if its the books just trying to get the public money on a certain side, however i do believe that early movement right after the lines are out can accurately predict the outcome of a game.

                                                                        Iv been following this trend for years, and it has been very +$.
                                                                        Cicima, thanks for the detailed look at line movement. I had been reading some articles about it online, however it didn't give any detail as to how accurate or profitable it was or can be. Still have a lot to learn but it's definitely worth the time to cover all bases. Thanks again for the information.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...