DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

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  • colts
    SBR MVP
    • 01-09-10
    • 1563

    #1016
    Took the caps TT over 2.5. I hope they smoke the oilers. GLTA.
    Comment
    • xraygord
      SBR MVP
      • 09-18-09
      • 2599

      #1017
      Originally posted by DennisGreen
      Thursday Early Plays

      WPG/PHI Over 5.5 (+108)

      MTL/BOS Over 1.5 (1st) (+122)

      Shea Weber Over 0.5 Points (+125)

      FLA (-104)

      LA/DAL Under 4.5 (+100) (Regulation Only)

      I picked the OVER in the WPG/PHI game also.

      Good luck!

      Yeah, the Nucks just look terrible. I went pretty big on the TT over yesterday, took my bankroll down. Time to hunker down now.
      Comment
      • UpsetSpecial09
        SBR MVP
        • 05-01-10
        • 1438

        #1018
        Win/Phi at +$ lol!

        I also took Philly in a parlay and thought for sure they were done for down 4-1....now 7-6 crazy!
        Comment
        • DennisGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-27-08
          • 18369

          #1019
          LOL @ 8-7 Winnipeg. Barely hit that over
          Comment
          • DennisGreen
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-08
            • 18369

            #1020
            Unreal busy at work.

            WAS -0.5 (+101)
            Comment
            • DennisGreen
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-27-08
              • 18369

              #1021
              9-8 Winnipeg LOOOOOL. This seems like the most unreal night in NHL history. WTF is going on
              Comment
              • xraygord
                SBR MVP
                • 09-18-09
                • 2599

                #1022
                Originally posted by DennisGreen
                9-8 Winnipeg LOOOOOL. This seems like the most unreal night in NHL history. WTF is going on
                I'll take the two points however they come. yeehaw. What a wild game.
                Comment
                • UpsetSpecial09
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-01-10
                  • 1438

                  #1023
                  DG any feeling on the NJ/Phx game? Thinking about making a play on NJ
                  Comment
                  • skyscrapers
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-02-11
                    • 6168

                    #1024
                    The FLA/OTT game is crazy too. 3 goals in the last 2 minutes and we lost the friggin' bet too.

                    Also NSH finally scores 5 goals since last season but Weber has no points.
                    Comment
                    • DennisGreen
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-27-08
                      • 18369

                      #1025
                      Originally posted by skyscrapers
                      The FLA/OTT game is crazy too. 3 goals in the last 2 minutes and we lost the friggin' bet too.

                      Also NSH finally scores 5 goals since last season but Weber has no points.
                      Yup and the sick thing is he's +4 on the night. Was on the ice for 80% of the Preds goals
                      Comment
                      • Cicima6709
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-12-10
                        • 1023

                        #1026
                        Originally posted by DennisGreen
                        Yup and the sick thing is he's +4 on the night. Was on the ice for 80% of the Preds goals
                        shitty...
                        Comment
                        • TomJSports
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 1177

                          #1027
                          Originally posted by xraygord

                          I'll take the two points however they come. yeehaw. What a wild game.
                          As a Flyers fan, that was depressing as hell. As someone who's ecstatic to see the Jets back in the league, I can't imagine a bigger win in their first season back in the Peg.
                          Comment
                          • DennisGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-27-08
                            • 18369

                            #1028
                            The NHL is just un-cappable right now it seems. Just insane shit happening all over. If you're up money at this point you're a super hero.
                            Comment
                            • Cicima6709
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-10
                              • 1023

                              #1029
                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                              The NHL is just un-cappable right now it seems. Just insane shit happening all over. If you're up money at this point you're a super hero.
                              Dont want to sound cocky, but this is one of my better starts to the NHL season in a while. Been hitting dogs like crazy, and would be up even more if not for countless crazy ass comebacks. Focus on dogs man, especially home dogs. Look at it like this...all these games where you like the regulation bet...think about why you dont like the ML? Is it because the juice is way too high? If you dont like that high juice, chances are, its because it IS too high, and there is value on the other side.

                              Oh and dont bet against the Pens.
                              Comment
                              • DennisGreen
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-27-08
                                • 18369

                                #1030
                                Yup for sure blindly betting dogs has definitely been profitable. Hell 90% of people who bet hockey and probably don't even know who JVR is or how many periods are played and what offside is are killing me on the year

                                Applying in-depth hockey knowledge is useless to hockey betting at this point when usually it pays off to know teams inside and out.
                                Comment
                                • Cicima6709
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-10
                                  • 1023

                                  #1031
                                  Disagree with you on that. Applying hockey knowledge helps a ton...but you have to look at other stuff too. Gotta find the value. For instance, i hit Oilers at +145 today. Yes, any random hockey fan knows that the Capitals are a good team, and more talented then the Oilers. But WASH was very unproven on the road so far, winning only 2 games, one of which they got dominated by a depleted Pens team yet managed to squeak out. The Oilers are also playing well, and have been 4-1 at home, allowing just 1.50 goals per game at home. Yeah, caps are the better team, but when you factor in home play and the fact that both teams are playing well, ill gladly take the +145 team at home. It may not always win, but im fairly certain i can hit that close to 50% and make a ton of profit.

                                  Anyways, thats the way i saw the game. Yea, someone bad blindly bet dogs and hit it. But im fairly certain even after more favorites start winning, i can pick out dogs that have a 50/50 chance to win, yet have + odds attached to them.
                                  Comment
                                  • DennisGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-08
                                    • 18369

                                    #1032
                                    Yeah you obv make a good point. Just so frustrated at this point at my results. Even when I pick dogs they lose.

                                    Feel like the guy at the poker table having his Aces cracked all in pre by 78 suited over and over again
                                    Comment
                                    • Viperpiper
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-12-10
                                      • 885

                                      #1033
                                      Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                      Yeah you obv make a good point. Just so frustrated at this point at my results. Even when I pick dogs they lose.

                                      Feel like the guy at the poker table having his Aces cracked all in pre by 78 suited over and over again
                                      i hit 70% last year and im getting f%cking grilled this year too man...

                                      I dont get it and cant figure it out...
                                      Comment
                                      • DennisGreen
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-27-08
                                        • 18369

                                        #1034
                                        Originally posted by Viperpiper
                                        i hit 70% last year and im getting f%cking grilled this year too man...

                                        I dont get it and cant figure it out...
                                        Yeah man just been game after game of insane shit so far this year. Like I remember this to start the year in past years but so many dogs are hitting. We just gotta hang in there, we will be alright when it's all said and done.
                                        Comment
                                        • MatI
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5200

                                          #1035
                                          DG, I like your plays, but 5 plays in one day when your confidence is low not getting any breaks? Where is the common sense in that?

                                          When I'm on a cold streak I lower my units and only make one confident play a day...
                                          Comment
                                          • DennisGreen
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-27-08
                                            • 18369

                                            #1036
                                            Originally posted by MatI
                                            DG, I like your plays, but 5 plays in one day when your confidence is low not getting any breaks? Where is the common sense in that?

                                            When I'm on a cold streak I lower my units and only make one confident play a day...
                                            Yeah I lowered my plays to 1 unit each and decided to go to flat betting all low juice or +$ plays. Figured a high volume night with good odds would be the solution.

                                            Clearly I'm a bit out of my element right now and trying different thing to try and break the slump.

                                            As I've warned people before, when Im in a bad slump like this it's best to lay off until I get things together. Trust me I feel bad knowing people are tailing me and losing money. If anyone is actually tailing it's best to either lay off or drop your unit size for
                                            awhile. I have no doubt I'll come out on top in the end of the year.
                                            Comment
                                            • keyboarding
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-30-09
                                              • 6817

                                              #1037
                                              Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                              Hell 90% of people who bet hockey and probably don't even know who JVR is or how many periods are played and what offside is are killing me on the year
                                              Or RNH. Most can't explain the trap. And I'm sure a ton of them don't know what team Winnipeg replaced.
                                              Comment
                                              • TomJSports
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-31-11
                                                • 1177

                                                #1038
                                                JVR is some advanced law degree

                                                RNH is Rogers and Hammerstein

                                                'The Trap' is like a mouse trap, but on ice

                                                And the Winnipeg Blue Bombers is the old Atlanta Flames franchise
                                                Comment
                                                • DennisGreen
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-27-08
                                                  • 18369

                                                  #1039
                                                  Originally posted by keyboarding
                                                  Or RNH. Most can't explain the trap. And I'm sure a ton of them don't know what team Winnipeg replaced.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DennisGreen
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-27-08
                                                    • 18369

                                                    #1040
                                                    Originally posted by TomJSports
                                                    JVR is some advanced law degree

                                                    RNH is Rogers and Hammerstein

                                                    'The Trap' is like a mouse trap, but on ice

                                                    And the Winnipeg Blue Bombers is the old Atlanta Flames franchise
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 16johnnymac
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-27-10
                                                      • 3499

                                                      #1041
                                                      Pens are on a roll best team in NHL!! Easy money on ml and unders! Wait till Crosby comes back this upcoming westcoast swing. Your missing the boat last night was easy money$$$$$ j Mac
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hultas
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 11-14-09
                                                        • 59

                                                        #1042
                                                        DennisGreen, no need to lower your stakes or anything. Just keep your calm and be collected. You know the drill, find value and bet. Eventually you will always come out on top if you are having a positive expected value.

                                                        Good luck on the rest of the season!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DennisGreen
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-27-08
                                                          • 18369

                                                          #1043
                                                          Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                                                          Pens are on a roll best team in NHL!! Easy money on ml and unders! Wait till Crosby comes back this upcoming westcoast swing. Your missing the boat last night was easy money$$$$$ j Mac
                                                          Yup I continue to underrate the Pens for some reason. Pens have been the most consistent team in the league night in and night out so far.

                                                          Originally posted by hultas
                                                          DennisGreen, no need to lower your stakes or anything. Just keep your calm and be collected. You know the drill, find value and bet. Eventually you will always come out on top if you are having a positive expected value. Good luck on the rest of the season!
                                                          Good advice. I don't handle losing well sometimes so just trying to stay calm here and not tilt away the entire bankroll. Thanks man, will get back on my feet soon
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DennisGreen
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-27-08
                                                            • 18369

                                                            #1044
                                                            Friday Plays

                                                            SJ/DET Over 1.5 (1st) (-110)

                                                            SJ/DET Over 5.5 (-113)


                                                            EDM/COL Under 5.5 (-128)

                                                            EDM/COL Under 5 (+137)
                                                            -Also taking total at 5 on Pinny to reduce some chalk.

                                                            GL today all.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • leafs_ducks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-22-09
                                                              • 3147

                                                              #1045
                                                              Woah. Total in the sj game jump to -113?. Ur plays looks good. Good Luck tonight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OnTheRise23
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-09-10
                                                                • 476

                                                                #1046
                                                                GL man, you wil figure it out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • a4u2fear
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                                  • 8147

                                                                  #1047
                                                                  Gl dg.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lolguy999
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                                    • 3070

                                                                    #1048
                                                                    with my blind eye i see hurricanes ML, under 5.5 /// wings -0.5, over /// Avs -1.5, oilers TT under 2, Avs -0.5 under/// really can't predict the flames/blues game... With ya on this one DG!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • xraygord
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-18-09
                                                                      • 2599

                                                                      #1049
                                                                      Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                                      Yeah I lowered my plays to 1 unit each and decided to go to flat betting all low juice or +$ plays. Figured a high volume night with good odds would be the solution.

                                                                      Clearly I'm a bit out of my element right now and trying different thing to try and break the slump.

                                                                      As I've warned people before, when Im in a bad slump like this it's best to lay off until I get things together. Trust me I feel bad knowing people are tailing me and losing money. If anyone is actually tailing it's best to either lay off or drop your unit size for
                                                                      awhile. I have no doubt I'll come out on top in the end of the year.
                                                                      You never know how a new season is going to play out. I suggest just take it easy for October to see how things play out, and when you got a better idea how things are going in the league then play like you normally do. But of course, you are a way better capper then me, so my advice may not be too sound...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • xraygord
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-18-09
                                                                        • 2599

                                                                        #1050
                                                                        Originally posted by TomJSports
                                                                        As a Flyers fan, that was depressing as hell. As someone who's ecstatic to see the Jets back in the league, I can't imagine a bigger win in their first season back in the Peg.

                                                                        It was a great win, but certainly got worried there for awhile. But that said, the Jets can do no wrong this year. Its obviously dissappointing when they lose, but this is just a year of celebration of having a team in Winnipeg.
                                                                        Comment
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