Salmon Steak - NHL - 2010/2011

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  • Salmon Steak
    SBR MVP
    • 03-05-10
    • 2110

    #71
    Originally posted by Canukc
    All under last night? In the past I have just played unders unless there were not enough. Super for playoffs! Lately I've strayed into the world of the overs and I got whacked last two nights. Between COL,TB, ATL, NYR (Top four out of five overs) last 2 nights scored 2 goals. Not 2 goals each. Two goals total? I'm going back` to unders. Everyone is going under on NYR/NJ and PIT/ANA??? I can't fathom why but I am following your numbers and taking PITT/ANA under. Back in the RED.
    Tail this if you want but it has not been so great... so far. long term it might be better to fade I don't know. We seem to get a lot of juice with the lines. that and not winning the bigs really hurt us. time will tell.
    Comment
    • Salmon Steak
      SBR MVP
      • 03-05-10
      • 2110

      #72
      Saturday 06 - UPDATED - some scary money out there with all the juice. I never realized how important 10-20 cents is on a line as it relates to your profit till doing this.

      Saint Louis (1.2.3.1) -.25 (1.1.2.1) -1.916 v Boston (1.3.3.2) 1.416 (1.1.1.3) -.833
      => -1.583 (+1.0) .583 (NO PLAY)
      Florida (2.2.2.3) 1.083 (3.1.3.3) 1.833 v Carolina (1.1.3.3) 1.333 (2.2.1.3) 0
      => 4.249 (+.5) 4.75 (O5.5 EV) RISKING $4.75
      Ottawa (3.1.2.3) .75 (2.3.1.1) -1.583 v Montreal (2.1.1.2) -1.666 (1.2.2.1) -1.333
      => -3.832 (+.5) -3.33 (U5.5 -125) RISKING $4.16
      Philadelphia (2.1.2.3) .5 (1.3.1.1) -1.833 v Islanders (1.3.1.1) -1.833 (2.1.3.3) 1.583
      => -1.583 (+.5) -1.08 (U5.5 +105) RISKING $1.03
      Buffalo (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (3.3.3.2) 1.916 v Toronto (1.1.1.3) -.833 (1.1.2.3) .25
      => -1.417 (+.5) -.92 (NO PLAY)
      Chicago (3.2.1.2) -.833 (3.1.2.3) .75 v Atlanta (3.2.3.1) .25 (2.3.2.2) .583
      => .75 (+.5) 1.25 (O5.5 -125) RISKING $1.56
      Minnesota (1.1.1.1) -3 (1.2.1.1) -2.416 v Columbus (2.1.2.2) -.583 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
      => -7.832 (+.5) -7.33 (U5.5 -140) RISKING $10.26
      Dallas (1.3.3.3) 2.5 (3.1.1.2) -1.416 v Colorado (2.3.3.1) .583 (3.3.1.2) -.25
      => 1.417 (+.5 ) 1.92 (O5.5 -135) RISKING $2.59
      Pittsburgh (1.2.1.1) -2.416 (2.1.3.2) .5 v Phoenix (3.1.3.2) .75 (1.2.2.3) .833
      => -.333 (+.5) .17 (NO PLAY)
      Nashville (3.1.1.2) -1.416 (2.2.3.3) 2.16 v Los Angeles (1.3.2.1) -.75 (2.1.1.1) -2.75
      => -2.756 (+.5) -2.26 (U5.5 -130) RISKING $2.94
      Detroit (1.3.1.2) -.75 (3.1.1.1) -2.5 v Vancouver (3.2.3.2) 1.333 (2.1.2.1) -1.666
      => -3.583 (+.5) -3.08 (U5.5 -115) RISKING $3.54
      Tampa Bay (3.2.1.1) -1.916 (2.1.2.1) -1.666 v San Jose (3.3.1.1) -1.333 (1.1.1.1) -3
      => -7.915 (+.5 ) -7.42 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $8.16
      Comment
      • Canukc
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-11-10
        • 139

        #73
        Originally posted by Salmon Steak
        friday 5th - (FINAL)

        rangers (2.1.2.1) -1.666 (3.1.1.3) -.333 v new jersey (1.1.1.3) -.833 (1.2.2.2) -.25
        -3.082 (+1.0) -2.08 (U5 +110) RISKING $1.89 W
        boston (1.1.3.3) 1.333 (2.1.1.1) -2.75 v washington (1.1.3.3) 1.333 (1.1.1.3) -.833
        => -.917 (+.5) -.42 (NO PLAY)
        montreal (3.2.1.1) -1.916 (2.1.2.2) -.583 v buffalo (2.2.1.1) -2.166 (3.3.3.3) 3
        => -1.665 (+.5) -1.17 (U5.5 -130) RISKING $1.52 W
        carolina (3.1.1.3) -.333 (2.2.2.1) -1.083 v florida (1.2.2.2) -.25 (2.3.1.3) .583
        => -1.083 (+.5) -.58 (NO PLAY)
        calgary (3.3.1.1) -1.333 (3.3.3.1) .833 v minnesota (1.1.1.1) -3 (2.1.2.1) -1.666
        => -5.166 (+1.0) -4.17 (U5 +110) RISKING $3.79 W
        phoenix (1.3.1.3) .333 (3.1.2.2) -.333 v dallas (1.1.3.3) 1.333 (3.3.1.1) -1.333
        => 0 (+.5) .5 (NO PLAY)
        detroit (3.1.3.1) -.333 (3.3.1.1) -1.333 v edmonton (3.1.3.2) .75 (3.2.3.3) 2.416
        => 1.5 (+.5) 2.00 (O5.5 -130) RISKING $2.60 L
        pittsburgh (2.1.2.1) -1.666 (3.2.1.3) .25 v anaheim (3.1.1.2) -1.416 (1.1.3.1) -.833
        => -3.665 (+.5) -3.17 (U5.5 +115) RISKING $2.76 W

        RECORD (37-37) 50% -9.74
        VG day 4-1. NYR/NJ, PITT/ANA SAVED MY BACON. Would not have taken either!
        Comment
        • Salmon Steak
          SBR MVP
          • 03-05-10
          • 2110

          #74
          Sunday 7th - UPDATED

          I would really encourage people never to take a fav over -150. It is just too hard to make it. I have been looking at it quite a bit. Taking dogs and small favs will make your money last longer. My two cents. On a different topic if a team is in a funk like washington was and then they come out of it this won't catch it in time so avoid those. This just assumes the 5th games will be like the last four. Feel free to post if you want. I don't want anything from anybody even if this starts to win. Have a safe night everybody

          philadelphia (1.2.3.1) -.25 (3.1.1.1) -2.5 v washington (1.3.3.3) 2.5 (1.1.3.2) .25
          => 0 (NO PLAY)
          edmonton (1.3.2.1) -.75 (2.3.3.2) 1.666 v chicago (2.1.2.3) .5 (1.2.3.3) 1.916
          => 3.332 (+.5) 3.83 (O5.5 -135) RISKING $5.17
          st louis (2.3.1.1) -1.583 (1.2.1.1) -2.416 v rangers (1.2.1.2) -1.333 (1.1.3.1) -.833
          => -6.165 (+1.0) -5.17 (U5 +110) RISKING $4.70
          nashville (1.1.2.1) -1.916 (2.3.3.3) 2.75 v anaheim (1.1.2.2) -.833 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
          => -1.832 (+.5) -1.33 (U5.5 -135) RISKING $1.80
          Comment
          • Canukc
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-11-10
            • 139

            #75
            Whew

            Biggest payday this season for me! If only DAL/COL had gone over. Two real nailbiters last night. MTR game was 3-2 for a long time, then OTT pulled thier goalie with 1:30 left. Also NASH was 4-0 early. Todays card is for suckers. Good things coming on Wed. GL

            Originally posted by Salmon Steak
            Sunday 7th - waiting on games tonight... I would really encourage people never to take a fav over -150. It is just too hard to make it. I have been looking at it quite a bit. Taking dogs and small favs will make your money last longer. My two cents. On a different topic if a team is in a funk like washington was and then they come out of it this won't catch it in time so avoid those. This just assumes the 5th games will be like the last four. Feel free to post if you want. I don't want anything from anybody even if this starts to win. Have a safe night everybody

            philadelphia v washington (1.3.3.3) 2.5 (1.1.3.2) .25
            edmonton (1.3.2.1) -.75 (2.3.3.2) 1.666 v chicago
            st louis v rangers (1.2.1.2) -1.333 (1.1.3.1) -.833
            nashville v anaheim (1.1.2.2) -.833 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
            Comment
            • Salmon Steak
              SBR MVP
              • 03-05-10
              • 2110

              #76
              Saturday 06 - FINAL

              Saint Louis (1.2.3.1) -.25 (1.1.2.1) -1.916 v Boston (1.3.3.2) 1.416 (1.1.1.3) -.833
              => -1.583 (+1.0) .583 (NO PLAY)
              Florida (2.2.2.3) 1.083 (3.1.3.3) 1.833 v Carolina (1.1.3.3) 1.333 (2.2.1.3) 0
              => 4.249 (+.5) 4.75 (O5.5 EV) RISKING $4.75 L
              Ottawa (3.1.2.3) .75 (2.3.1.1) -1.583 v Montreal (2.1.1.2) -1.666 (1.2.2.1) -1.333
              => -3.832 (+.5) -3.33 (U5.5 -125) RISKING $4.16 W
              Philadelphia (2.1.2.3) .5 (1.3.1.1) -1.833 v Islanders (1.3.1.1) -1.833 (2.1.3.3) 1.583
              => -1.583 (+.5) -1.08 (U5.5 +105) RISKING $1.03 W
              Buffalo (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (3.3.3.2) 1.916 v Toronto (1.1.1.3) -.833 (1.1.2.3) .25
              => -1.417 (+.5) -.92 (NO PLAY)
              Chicago (3.2.1.2) -.833 (3.1.2.3) .75 v Atlanta (3.2.3.1) .25 (2.3.2.2) .583
              => .75 (+.5) 1.25 (O5.5 -125) RISKING $1.56 W
              Minnesota (1.1.1.1) -3 (1.2.1.1) -2.416 v Columbus (2.1.2.2) -.583 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
              => -7.832 (+.5) -7.33 (U5.5 -140) RISKING $10.26 W
              Dallas (1.3.3.3) 2.5 (3.1.1.2) -1.416 v Colorado (2.3.3.1) .583 (3.3.1.2) -.25
              => 1.417 (+.5 ) 1.92 (O5.5 -135) RISKING $2.59 L
              Pittsburgh (1.2.1.1) -2.416 (2.1.3.2) .5 v Phoenix (3.1.3.2) .75 (1.2.2.3) .833
              => -.333 (+.5) .17 (NO PLAY)
              Nashville (3.1.1.2) -1.416 (2.2.3.3) 2.16 v Los Angeles (1.3.2.1) -.75 (2.1.1.1) -2.75
              => -2.756 (+.5) -2.26 (U5.5 -130) RISKING $2.94 W
              Detroit (1.3.1.2) -.75 (3.1.1.1) -2.5 v Vancouver (3.2.3.2) 1.333 (2.1.2.1) -1.666
              => -3.583 (+.5) -3.08 (U5.5 -115) RISKING $3.54 L
              Tampa Bay (3.2.1.1) -1.916 (2.1.2.1) -1.666 v San Jose (3.3.1.1) -1.333 (1.1.1.1) -3
              => -7.915 (+.5 ) -7.42 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $8.16 L

              RECORD (42-41) 50.6% -$13.54
              Comment
              • Salmon Steak
                SBR MVP
                • 03-05-10
                • 2110

                #77
                mon 8th

                phoenix (1.3.2.2) .333 (2.2.3.3) 2.166 v detroit (3.1.2.3) .75 (1.1.1.3) -.833
                2.416 (+.5) 2.92 (O5.5 EV) RISKING $2.92
                Comment
                • Salmon Steak
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-05-10
                  • 2110

                  #78
                  Sunday 7th - FINAL

                  philadelphia (1.2.3.1) -.25 (3.1.1.1) -2.5 v washington (1.3.3.3) 2.5 (1.1.3.2) .25
                  => 0 (NO PLAY)
                  edmonton (1.3.2.1) -.75 (2.3.3.2) 1.666 v chicago (2.1.2.3) .5 (1.2.3.3) 1.916
                  => 3.332 (+.5) 3.83 (O5.5 -135) RISKING $5.17 L
                  st louis (2.3.1.1) -1.583 (1.2.1.1) -2.416 v rangers (1.2.1.2) -1.333 (1.1.3.1) -.833
                  => -6.165 (+1.0) -5.17 (U5 +110) RISKING $4.70 W
                  nashville (1.1.2.1) -1.916 (2.3.3.3) 2.75 v anaheim (1.1.2.2) -.833 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
                  => -1.832 (+.5) -1.33 (U5.5 -135) RISKING $1.80 L

                  RECORD (43-43) 50% -$15.34
                  Comment
                  • Canukc
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-11-10
                    • 139

                    #79
                    Phx-det

                    I agree. DET is almost always over at home this year. Good odds today for a change.

                    Originally posted by Salmon Steak
                    mon 8th

                    phoenix (1.3.2.2) .333 (2.2.3.3) 2.166 v detroit (3.1.2.3) .75 (1.1.1.3) -.833
                    2.416 (+.5) 2.92 (O5.5 EV) RISKING $2.92
                    Comment
                    • Salmon Steak
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-05-10
                      • 2110

                      #80
                      TUE 9th - UPDATED

                      edmonton (3.2.1.1) -1.916 (3.3.2.1) -.25 v carolina (1.3.3.2) 1.416 (2.1.3.1) -.583
                      => -1.333 (+.5) .83 (NO PLAY)
                      washington (3.3.3.2) 1.916 (1.3.2.1) -.75 v rangers (2.1.2.1) -1.666 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
                      => -2.333 (+.5) -1.83 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $1.83
                      vancouver (2.3.2.3) 1.666 (1.2.1.3) -.25 v montreal (1.1.2.1) -1.916 (2.2.1.2) -1.083
                      => -1.583 (+.5) -1.08 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $1.08
                      atlanta (2.3.1.3) .583 (3.2.2.3) 1.333 v ottawa (1.2.3.2) .833 (3.1.1.1) -2.5
                      => .249 (+.5) .75 (NO PLAY)
                      toronto (1.1.3.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v tampa bay (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (1.2.1.3) -.25
                      => -3.000 (+.5) -2.50 (U5.5 -120) RISKING $3.00
                      calgary (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (3.3.1.1) -1.333 v colorado (3.3.1.3) .833 (3.1.2.1) -1.416
                      => -4.416 (+.5) -3.92 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $3.92
                      anaheim (1.2.2.3) .833 (3.1.1.3) -.333 v san jose (3.1.1.3) -.333 (1.1.1.1) -3
                      => -2.833 (+.5) -2.33 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $2.56
                      Comment
                      • Salmon Steak
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-05-10
                        • 2110

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Canukc
                        I agree. DET is almost always over at home this year. Good odds today for a change.
                        Thanks Canukc, lets hope it goes over.
                        Comment
                        • ZulTarik
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-07-10
                          • 8

                          #82
                          nice play
                          Comment
                          • Salmon Steak
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-05-10
                            • 2110

                            #83
                            mon 8th - Final

                            phoenix (1.3.2.2) .333 (2.2.3.3) 2.166 v detroit (3.1.2.3) .75 (1.1.1.3) -.833
                            2.416 (+.5) 2.92 (O5.5 EV) RISKING $2.92 L

                            Record (43-44) 49.42% -$18.26
                            Comment
                            • Salmon Steak
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-05-10
                              • 2110

                              #84
                              Wed 10th - UPDATED

                              buffalo (1.1.1.2) -1.916 (3.3.2.1) -.25 v new jersey (1.1.3.1) -.833 (2.2.2.2) 0
                              => -2.999 (+.5) -2.50 (U5.5 -145) RISKING $3.63
                              boston (3.3.2.1) -.25 (1.1.3.1) -.833 v pittsburgh (2.1.1.3) -.583 (1.3.2.2) .333
                              => -1.333 (+.5) -.833 (NO PLAY)
                              st. louis (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (2.1.1.1) -2.75 v columbus (1.2.2.1) -1.333 (3.1.1.2) -1.416
                              => -7.999 (+1.0) -7.00 (U5 -110) RISKING $7.70
                              toronto (1.1.3.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v florida (2.2.3.1) 0 (1.3.3.2) 1.416
                              => 1.416 (+.5) 1.92 (O5.5 +105) RISKING $1.83
                              phoenix (3.2.2.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v chicago (1.2.3.1) -.25 (2.3.3.1) .583
                              => .333 (+.5) .833 (NO PLAY)
                              islanders (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (1.3.3.1) .333 v anaheim (2.2.3.2) 1.083 (1.1.1.2) -1.916
                              => -3 (+.5) -2.5 (U5.5 +105) RISKING $2.38
                              Comment
                              • Salmon Steak
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-05-10
                                • 2110

                                #85
                                TUE 9th - FINAL - I MIGHT JUST DO THIS THROUGH 100 PLAYS B/C IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL HIT 50%

                                edmonton (3.2.1.1) -1.916 (3.3.2.1) -.25 v carolina (1.3.3.2) 1.416 (2.1.3.1) -.583
                                => -1.333 (+.5) .83 (NO PLAY)
                                washington (3.3.3.2) 1.916 (1.3.2.1) -.75 v rangers (2.1.2.1) -1.666 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
                                => -2.333 (+.5) -1.83 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $1.83 L
                                vancouver (2.3.2.3) 1.666 (1.2.1.3) -.25 v montreal (1.1.2.1) -1.916 (2.2.1.2) -1.083
                                => -1.583 (+.5) -1.08 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $1.08 W
                                atlanta (2.3.1.3) .583 (3.2.2.3) 1.333 v ottawa (1.2.3.2) .833 (3.1.1.1) -2.5
                                => .249 (+.5) .75 (NO PLAY)
                                toronto (1.1.3.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v tampa bay (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (1.2.1.3) -.25
                                => -3.000 (+.5) -2.50 (U5.5 -120) RISKING $3.00 W
                                calgary (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (3.3.1.1) -1.333 v colorado (3.3.1.3) .833 (3.1.2.1) -1.416
                                => -4.416 (+.5) -3.92 (U5.5 EV) RISKING $3.92 L
                                anaheim (1.2.2.3) .833 (3.1.1.3) -.333 v san jose (3.1.1.3) -.333 (1.1.1.1) -3
                                => -2.833 (+.5) -2.33 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $2.56 W

                                RECORD (46-46) 50% -$18.10
                                Comment
                                • Canukc
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-11-10
                                  • 139

                                  #86
                                  Going back to Monday Oct 25 (when I saw your name and recognised it from playoffs) record is
                                  37-28 60% +$11.00 Don't forget the early season games are somewhat less pedictable.

                                  I realize its a lot of work, but another week should prove whether this approach is worthy continueing. If not GL in the future and thanks! Fred Anderson aka Canukc
                                  Comment
                                  • Salmon Steak
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-05-10
                                    • 2110

                                    #87
                                    Thur 11 - UPDATED

                                    montreal (1.2.1.1) -2.416 (2.1.2.1) -1.666 v boston (3.2.1.3) .25 (1.3.1.3) .333
                                    => -3.499 (+1.0) -2.5 (U5 +105) RISKING $2.38
                                    philadelphia (2.3.1.1) -1.583 (1.1.1.2) -1.916 v carolina (3.3.2.3) 1.916 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
                                    => -3.416 (+.5) -2.92 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $3.21
                                    buffalo (1.1.2.3) .5 (3.2.1.3) .25 v rangers (1.2.1.2) -1.333 (3.1.1.3) -.333
                                    => -1.499 (+.5) -.999 (NO PLAY)
                                    tampa bay (1.1.1.3) -.833 (2.1.3.1) -.583 v washington (3.3.2.3) 1.916 (3.2.1.2) -.833
                                    => -.333 (+0) -.333 (NO PLAY)
                                    minnesota (1.1.1.2) -3 (2.1.1.1) -2.75 v atlanta (3.1.3.1) -.333 (2.2.3.3) 2.16
                                    => -3.923 (+.5) -3.42 (U5.5 -105) RISKING $3.59
                                    edmonton (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (3.2.1.3) .25 v detroit (1.2.3.2) .833 (1.1.3.1) -.833
                                    => -2.5 (+.5) -2 (U5.5 +110) RISKING $1.82
                                    vancouver (3.2.3.1) .25 (2.1.3.1) -.583 v ottawa (2.3.2.3) 1.666 (1.1.1.1) -3
                                    => -1.667 (+.5) -1.17 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $1.29
                                    nashville (1.2.1.3) -.25 (3.3.3.3) 3 v st. louis (1.1.1.1) -3 (1.1.1.3) -.833
                                    => -1.083 (+.5) -.583 (NO PLAY)
                                    dallas (3.3.3.1) .833 (1.1.2.3) .25 v los angeles (3.2.1.3) .25 (1.1.1.1) -3
                                    => -1.667 (+.5) -1.17 (U5.5 -125) RISKING $1.46
                                    islanders (1.1.1.1) -3 (3.3.1.1) -1.333 v san jose (1.1.3.1.) -.833 (1.1.1.2) -1.916
                                    => -7.082 (+.5) -6.58 (U5.5 -105) RISKING $ 6.91
                                    Comment
                                    • Salmon Steak
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-05-10
                                      • 2110

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by Canukc
                                      Going back to Monday Oct 25 (when I saw your name and recognised it from playoffs) record is
                                      37-28 60% +$11.00 Don't forget the early season games are somewhat less pedictable.

                                      I realize its a lot of work, but another week should prove whether this approach is worthy continueing. If not GL in the future and thanks! Fred Anderson aka Canukc

                                      no prob fred. I was looking for better results but oh well. I might keep it going a bit longer.
                                      Comment
                                      • Salmon Steak
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-05-10
                                        • 2110

                                        #89
                                        Wed 10th - FINAL

                                        buffalo (1.1.1.2) -1.916 (3.3.2.1) -.25 v new jersey (1.1.3.1) -.833 (2.2.2.2) 0
                                        => -2.999 (+.5) -2.50 (U5.5 -145) RISKING $3.63 L
                                        boston (3.3.2.1) -.25 (1.1.3.1) -.833 v pittsburgh (2.1.1.3) -.583 (1.3.2.2) .333
                                        => -1.333 (+.5) -.833 (NO PLAY)
                                        st. louis (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (2.1.1.1) -2.75 v columbus (1.2.2.1) -1.333 (3.1.1.2) -1.416
                                        => -7.999 (+1.0) -7.00 (U5 -110) RISKING $7.70 L
                                        toronto (1.1.3.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v florida (2.2.3.1) 0 (1.3.3.2) 1.416
                                        => 1.416 (+.5) 1.92 (O5.5 +105) RISKING $1.83 L
                                        phoenix (3.2.2.1) -.833 (1.2.3.2) .833 v chicago (1.2.3.1) -.25 (2.3.3.1) .583
                                        => .333 (+.5) .833 (NO PLAY)
                                        islanders (3.1.1.1) -2.5 (1.3.3.1) .333 v anaheim (2.2.3.2) 1.083 (1.1.1.2) -1.916
                                        => -3 (+.5) -2.5 (U5.5 +105) RISKING $2.38 W

                                        RECORD (47-49) 48.95% -$28.76
                                        Comment
                                        • Salmon Steak
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-05-10
                                          • 2110

                                          #90
                                          Thur 11 - FINAL

                                          montreal (1.2.1.1) -2.416 (2.1.2.1) -1.666 v boston (3.2.1.3) .25 (1.3.1.3) .333
                                          => -3.499 (+1.0) -2.5 (U5 +105) RISKING $2.38 W
                                          philadelphia (2.3.1.1) -1.583 (1.1.1.2) -1.916 v carolina (3.3.2.3) 1.916 (1.3.1.1) -1.833
                                          => -3.416 (+.5) -2.92 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $3.21 L
                                          buffalo (1.1.2.3) .5 (3.2.1.3) .25 v rangers (1.2.1.2) -1.333 (3.1.1.3) -.333
                                          => -1.499 (+.5) -.999 (NO PLAY)
                                          tampa bay (1.1.1.3) -.833 (2.1.3.1) -.583 v washington (3.3.2.3) 1.916 (3.2.1.2) -.833
                                          => -.333 (+0) -.333 (NO PLAY)
                                          minnesota (1.1.1.2) -3 (2.1.1.1) -2.75 v atlanta (3.1.3.1) -.333 (2.2.3.3) 2.16
                                          => -3.923 (+.5) -3.42 (U5.5 -105) RISKING $3.59 L
                                          edmonton (2.1.1.1) -2.75 (3.2.1.3) .25 v detroit (1.2.3.2) .833 (1.1.3.1) -.833
                                          => -2.5 (+.5) -2 (U5.5 +110) RISKING $1.82 L
                                          vancouver (3.2.3.1) .25 (2.1.3.1) -.583 v ottawa (2.3.2.3) 1.666 (1.1.1.1) -3
                                          => -1.667 (+.5) -1.17 (U5.5 -110) RISKING $1.29 L
                                          nashville (1.2.1.3) -.25 (3.3.3.3) 3 v st. louis (1.1.1.1) -3 (1.1.1.3) -.833
                                          => -1.083 (+.5) -.583 (NO PLAY)
                                          dallas (3.3.3.1) .833 (1.1.2.3) .25 v los angeles (3.2.1.3) .25 (1.1.1.1) -3
                                          => -1.667 (+.5) -1.17 (U5.5 -125) RISKING $1.46 W
                                          islanders (1.1.1.1) -3 (3.3.1.1) -1.333 v san jose (1.1.3.1.) -.833 (1.1.1.2) -1.916
                                          => -7.082 (+.5) -6.58 (U5.5 -105) RISKING $ 6.91 W

                                          RECORD (50-53) 48.54% -$28.42
                                          Comment
                                          • Salmon Steak
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-05-10
                                            • 2110

                                            #91
                                            okay guys thanks for looking at my attempt. At about 100 plays we are (50-53) 48.54% -$28.42. I was trying to see if using the previous four games using goals scored and goals against would help predict the fifth game. The answer is no. Actually, we almost always took a lot of juice which really hurt us and ended with a poor percentage. My advice on totals would be to not take any side that is juiced because you will lose. The juice will kill you and it is likely the wrong side long term. Just go back in this thread and see all the juice we were taking. If anyone wants to take this over and do all the work you are welcome to the information. I don't really have the time especially with basketball in full swing. Good luck to everyone and
                                            Comment
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