Flea Hotel's Legendary Chalk Free Plays

[Nostradam]

Really? Another chalk free win? How do I do it?

For all i know you flip coins. I've gone on hot little runs like 10-0, 30-10, etc, many times over the past 25 years.
Doing that, as many do, doesn't prove statisticly one can win consistently over years. Even the best cappers will have losing months & seasons.

[Flea Hotel]

I agree, I am the best capper and I do indeed have losing months. Never a losing season, but losing months for sure. Been capping since I was in Grade 12, almost ten years ago. Won through my BSc. Won through ms MSc. Won every year of my PhD and after I graduate, I'll win every year until I die. That's just a fact of life that I could prove to you but don't want to, cuz anyone who trolls a guy posting free winners doesn't deserve anymore time than I'm giving you now. I'll never acknowledge you again. I'll just keep on doing what I do: Cash Money and hot Asian girls.

I won't post anymore picks here for a while since you are annoying so you can troll someone else and once you finally get banned, I'll come back and share the wealth. For now, I'll post my winners somewhere else, always free, and always cash money.

For all i know you flip coins. I've gone on hot little runs like 10-0, 30-10, etc, many times over the past 25 years.
Doing that, as many do, doesn't prove statisticly one can win consistently over years. Even the best cappers will have losing months & seasons.

[Nostradam]

I agree, I am the best capper and I do indeed have losing months. Never a losing season, but losing months for sure. Been capping since I was in Grade 12, almost ten years ago. Won through my BSc. Won through ms MSc. Won every year of my PhD and after I graduate, I'll win every year until I die. That's just a fact of life that I could prove to you but don't want to, cuz anyone who trolls a guy posting free winners doesn't deserve anymore time than I'm giving you now. I'll never acknowledge you again. I'll just keep on doing what I do: Cash Money and hot Asian girls.

I won't post anymore picks here for a while since you are annoying so you can troll someone else and once you finally get banned, I'll come back and share the wealth. For now, I'll post my winners somewhere else, always free, and always cash money.

Wow. I'm speechless.

"We welcome lively and passionate debate, but when the posts turn simply personal in nature, SBR reserves the right to either edit or move those posts as seen fit. If anyone sees a thread or post that appears out of line, please report the post using the report post link that appears under all posters’ ID and avatar."

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/faq.php

Once again i say to you, best of luck with all your sports & other investments.

[Nostradam]

You sound quite confident in yourself. Are you up to a 10K head to head challenge?

Even if not i may start posting my picks.

[franknikki1]

Flea Hotel, I've been following you since you started, please keep posting your picks. I always go to your Thread first bro. Don't let Nostradam mess it up for the rest of us. Or let me know where else to see your picks.

[Flea Hotel]

Hey all, I am emailing support to see if they if they will make it so only SBR pros can post in my threads, to get rid of the troll(s). If they do, I'll start posting winners again. I'm not giving away free money and getting trolled by some loser for it. Hell no.

[franknikki1]

Great, one freaking troll ruins it for us all. I should give you my email address to send it there lol.

[franknikki1]

Flea you seem like an intelligent person. I don't think Nostradam will say anything again. Just ignore the haters.

[Flea Hotel]

I'm very thin skinned, to a fault, by trollers when you give free picks that win, especially when dude doesn't even have a thread of his own. I can't fathom how sad a life you must have to troll people who are up 15units in 5 days. I might throw another play down in a day or two but either way, I'm taking the weekend off from hockey and focusing on NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NFL tomorrow. I'm tailing JayRow's picks today for my hockey fix.

Flea you seem like an intelligent person. I don't think Nostradam will say anything again. Just ignore the haters.

[Flea Hotel]

How exactly does flipping a coin work when you're picking +130 to +210 plays? My picks have to be +130 or better to qualify. I don't post any chalk plays. Why don't you go 6-3 on PL's and in regulation dogs and then troll me.

For all i know you flip coins. I've gone on hot little runs like 10-0, 30-10, etc, many times over the past 25 years.
Doing that, as many do, doesn't prove statisticly one can win consistently over years. Even the best cappers will have losing months & seasons.

[Nostradam]

How exactly does flipping a coin work when you're picking +130 to +210 plays? My picks have to be +130 or better to qualify. I don't post any chalk plays. Why don't you go 6-3 on PL's and in regulation dogs and then troll me.

Since you requested it this will be my last post in any of your threads forever, even though after said request
you are inviting me to respond to this above. If answered it will be in a thread i start or elsewhere.

Best of luck, always.

[Flea Hotel]

I don't mind you posting in my threads and even a bit of friendly hating if I'm getting killed but not having your own thread with your own picks and hating on me winning huge is just lame. I spend hours on my picks and being hated for WINNING is annoying af. No one on this site has been as hot as me the past five days, I shouldn't be getting any hate. Period.

Since you requested it this will be my last post in any of your threads forever, even though after said request
you are inviting me to respond to this above. If answered it will be in a thread i start or elsewhere.

Best of luck, always.

[Flea Hotel]

The numbers don't lie.

FLEA HOTEL OVERALL STATS

My Legendary Chalk Free Plays Thread: 6-3, 6.5u
My Iconic NHL Team Totals Thread: 6-1, 5.33u
My Life Redefining NBA Totals Thread: 2-1, 1.72u

OVERALL
14-5, 13.55u

[franknikki1]

I agree bro, your picks have come in very strong. I doubt it's coin flipping lol. I appreciate the work you put in bro. Ok I hope to see your hockey picks soon. Have a good weekend.

[Flea Hotel]

I'll be back to the NHL on Monday, gotta do girlfriend/christmas crap, even though it's not even close to being xmas and there's too much college stuff and the nfl tomorrow.

I agree bro, your picks have come in very strong. I doubt it's coin flipping lol. I appreciate the work you put in bro. Ok I hope to see your hockey picks soon. Have a good weekend.

[Flea Hotel]

Anaheim def Detroit in regulation (+133) 1 unit to win 1.33u

[Flea Hotel]

Knew I shouldn't have posted that, rushed through all the math. Meh.. Will be back with a huge PL -1.5 next. Won my TT bet on my other thread so as usual, still a NHL cash money night.
6-4, 5.5u

Anaheim def Detroit in regulation (+133) 1 unit to win 1.33u

[Flea Hotel]

Tonight's play
(6-4, 5.5u)

NY RANGERS -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units

[Flea Hotel]

Some people are messaging me what the difference is between a -1 and a -1.5

A -1 means if the team wins by 1 in reg, it's a push. A -1.5 means it's a loss. For some reason, two of my books have the same prices for -1's and -1.5s. Weirdly, there is a lot more juice on the +1 vs the +1.5. I emailed both books and they both essentially said, do you have a problem with that. No, I don't.

[Flea Hotel]

Should have one or two team totals in my other thread if my girlfriend will hurry up and go home.

[franknikki1]

That's crazy how the minus 1 and 1.5 have the same odds. Awesome for you though lol. GL Bro

[Flea Hotel]

Thanks, I'm not sure why, it's been that way all year. Its the same at 5Dimes too.

That's crazy how the minus 1 and 1.5 have the same odds. Awesome for you though lol. GL Bro

[franknikki1]

let me ask you this, my damn book does'nt offer the minus 1, they only have minus 1.5. should i take it or stay away from it? or just go Rangers straight up minus 190?

[knicksrulez]

Hey Flea, I guess if you bet 3-way and they win by a goal, the correct result is tie (that's why is 3-way)

Bet 3-way for -1 is the same as betting -1.5 2-way, thus the same odds

[Stackzilla]

Some people are messaging me what the difference is between a -1 and a -1.5

A -1 means if the team wins by 1 in reg, it's a push. A -1.5 means it's a loss. For some reason, two of my books have the same prices for -1's and -1.5s. Weirdly, there is a lot more juice on the +1 vs the +1.5. I emailed both books and they both essentially said, do you have a problem with that. No, I don't.

If your 3-Way Betting -1 you have to win by 2 to win the bet and if you only win by 1 you lose the bet because it ends draw as knicks pointed out. Ex...NYR wins 2-1 and your on -1 3-Way Betting your bet is graded as a loss...2-1 turns to 1-1 Tie...that's the reasoning for -1.5 line and -1 (3-way bet) is the same....Now if they win 3-1 your bet is a win.

[Flea Hotel]

Thanks but I'm still confused as to the difference between a -1 and a -1.5. I thought the -1 meant if my team wins by 1 in reg, it's a push. I've yet to be in a push situation but that's what the Bet365 guy told me. I don't know wtf is up. Can you clarify the difference in the -1 and the -1.5? Thanks

If your 3-Way Betting -1 you have to win by 2 to win the bet and if you only win by 1 you lose the bet because it ends draw as knicks pointed out. Ex...NYR wins 2-1 and your on -1 3-Way Betting your bet is graded as a loss...2-1 turns to 1-1 Tie...that's the reasoning for -1.5 line and -1 (3-way bet) is the same....Now if they win 3-1 your bet is a win.

[Flea Hotel]

LOSS!

Tonight's play
(6-4, 5.5u)

NY RANGERS -1 (+170) 1 unit to win 1.7 units

[Flea Hotel]

Will come back strong with a winner tomorrow or Tuesday.

(YTD 6-5, 4.5u)

[knicksrulez]

I'm gonna use today's game as an example, let's assume the scenarios

Rangers tie the game 2-2 in regulation (the real scenario), since you handicaped it -1 the outcome is 1-2 (Devils win), thus we lost the bet

Rangers win the game in regulation 3-2, the handicap turns it 2-2, correct result being a draw (third line in your print at odds +550), we lose because rangers didn't win the game with the handicap (-1), they draw it

Rangers win the game 4-2 in regulation, the handicap turns it 3-2, we win the bet (the same way we would win if it was -1.5)

The odds are the same because if the game goes to OT, the max advantage a winning team can get it's one goal, thus making it a draw in the 3-way handicap and losing the bet, therefore, betting -1.5 in regulation is the same as betting -1 (3-way).

As to why the +1.5 and the +1 are different is the same reasoning, except that you can win with +1.5 in OT, and not with +1, did you get it?

By the way, thanks for the plays, I'm tailing you since the beginning!

[Flea Hotel]

Got it.. I just started betting at a book with 3 way betting, I just knew in regulation, ML and PL's. I'll stick to the PL -1.5's that I've always used and the in regs to avoid chalk. Thanks for tailing, my team totals thread is a bit lower risk, lower reward but I'm doing quite well on it. Hopefully I can find a juicy reverse PL tomorrow or Tuesday, they are my favs to hit. Cheers.

I'm gonna use today's game as an example, let's assume the scenarios

Rangers tie the game 2-2 in regulation (the real scenario), since you handicaped it -1 the outcome is 1-2 (Devils win), thus we lost the bet

Rangers win the game in regulation 3-2, the handicap turns it 2-2, correct result being a draw (third line in your print at odds +550), we lose because rangers didn't win the game with the handicap (-1), they draw it

Rangers win the game 4-2 in regulation, the handicap turns it 3-2, we win the bet (the same way we would win if it was -1.5)

The odds are the same because if the game goes to OT, the max advantage a winning team can get it's one goal, thus making it a draw in the 3-way handicap and losing the bet, therefore, betting -1.5 in regulation is the same as betting -1 (3-way).

As to why the +1.5 and the +1 are different is the same reasoning, except that you can win with +1.5 in OT, and not with +1, did you get it?

By the way, thanks for the plays, I'm tailing you since the beginning!

[knicksrulez]

I sure am, cashed with you on Blackhawks tonight, you are killing it

No pressure for plays, I believe the best plays come out if you're not in a rush to win, and not putting a lot of volume, and you've been systematic, love the discipline, unit plays, 1 or 2, high confidence

Keep it up!

Got it.. I just started betting at a book with 3 way betting, I just knew in regulation, ML and PL's. I'll stick to the PL -1.5's that I've always used and the in regs to avoid chalk. Thanks for tailing, my team totals thread is a bit lower risk, lower reward but I'm doing quite well on it. Hopefully I can find a juicy reverse PL tomorrow or Tuesday, they are my favs to hit. Cheers.

[Stackzilla]

Got it.. I just started betting at a book with 3 way betting, I just knew in regulation, ML and PL's. I'll stick to the PL -1.5's that I've always used and the in regs to avoid chalk. Thanks for tailing, my team totals thread is a bit lower risk, lower reward but I'm doing quite well on it. Hopefully I can find a juicy reverse PL tomorrow or Tuesday, they are my favs to hit. Cheers.

Exactly, just gotta make sure your paying attention. There's also a lot of value on taking +1, if it ends in a draw and your bet is +1 you win and if they win outright you win but if they lose by 1 it's a loss. The value is on if you think the team can win but may end draw. Less chalk on +1's then +1.5's and your able to bet on D or W but when your betting +1.5 your betting W, D, or L -1. BOL.

[franknikki1]

Great job Flea Hotel, I couldn't get the Rangers minus 1 so I just took them straight up to win, won that one and your team total Blackhawks over 2.5. Thank you brother

[the tross]

Willhill has all 3 options.
3 way handicap
Asian handicap (60 min)
Asian handicap full game including shootout.
But as stackz says pay attention.
Made the mistake on the oilers yesterday -1 (60min) and lost coz they drew. Appreciate the plays Mr Flea.

[Flea Hotel]

Yeah I'm seeing the value in the +1's way more than the -1's. Weird that my book told me -1 was something different. Anyway, now I know. I complained to their service and they gave me a free bet which was cool on their part.

Exactly, just gotta make sure your paying attention. There's also a lot of value on taking +1, if it ends in a draw and your bet is +1 you win and if they win outright you win but if they lose by 1 it's a loss. The value is on if you think the team can win but may end draw. Less chalk on +1's then +1.5's and your able to bet on D or W but when your betting +1.5 your betting W, D, or L -1. BOL.