95% of the Public on OVER in Wash/Pitt Tonight

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  • bruceBRUCEbruce
    SBR MVP
    • 06-20-09
    • 2560

    #36
    4 public 90% plays tonight;
    boston puckline
    columbus puckline
    chicago/flyers over 5.5
    san jose puckline
    Comment
    • bruceBRUCEbruce
      SBR MVP
      • 06-20-09
      • 2560

      #37
      public goes 1-3 last night, for a 5-11 total since I've tracked these

      pretty awful beat in the Philly/Chicago game, 4 goals after the 1st and it goes under!
      Comment
      • bruins35
        SBR MVP
        • 09-19-11
        • 4011

        #38
        whats top public play today blues?
        Comment
        • bruceBRUCEbruce
          SBR MVP
          • 06-20-09
          • 2560

          #39
          blues/hawks looks to be about 50/50 right now, early on it looks like TB/TML over 5.5 will be at 90%+, i'll update later
          Comment
          • tonywayne
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-05-13
            • 229

            #40
            When do you pull the trigger on a fade, bruce? I had to make my bets a little earlier than usual yesterday, so I had 9 plays. But, I went 7-2, so it worked out. (I used both Wunderdog and Odds Shark.)

            Won: Chi/Phi under, Philly puckline, Was/Ana under, Carolina puckline, Nas/Edm over, Car/CBJ under, Florida puckline
            Lost: Dallas puckline, Islanders puckline
            Comment
            • bruceBRUCEbruce
              SBR MVP
              • 06-20-09
              • 2560

              #41
              I check these numbers a couple times a day and will have my plays in by 7pm.
              I don't wager early ever.

              I have played all these for 1 unit and will continue to do so till the end of the year, this fade seems to be a good trend to ride.

              not sure if anyone would have historical figures anywhere to take a longer look back at this trend? [probably not]
              Comment
              • tonywayne
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-05-13
                • 229

                #42
                Thanks. I do try to wait as long as possible before placing a bet, but, well, you know... life happens.

                I noticed you use Wunderdog - any particular reason you prefer that one? I don't know much about where any of these sites get their data from, or if there's a site that perhaps does some aggregate reporting on the action...
                Comment
                • bruceBRUCEbruce
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-20-09
                  • 2560

                  #43
                  Originally posted by tonywayne
                  I noticed you use Wunderdog - any particular reason you prefer that one?
                  they get their numbers from Vegas sportsbooks.
                  I think that's preferable because those numbers aren't skewed by groups of people betting small amounts on these games via onlinebooks.
                  Comment
                  • tonywayne
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-05-13
                    • 229

                    #44
                    Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                    they get their numbers from Vegas sportsbooks.
                    I think that's preferable because those numbers aren't skewed by groups of people betting small amounts on these games via onlinebooks.
                    Great, thanks bruce. I appreciate the info.
                    Comment
                    • bruceBRUCEbruce
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-20-09
                      • 2560

                      #45
                      looks like no plays tonight, tor/tb over/under has dipped below 90%

                      Comment
                      • mrginandtonic
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-09
                        • 7734

                        #46
                        Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                        looks like no plays tonight, tor/tb over/under has dipped below 90%

                        Although there may not be +90% plays tonight, what I find it interesting is that the dogs tonight got bet quite a bit. TAM went from dog to favorite, same with WIN. Both STL and NAS got bet down as well. All these line movements, which is the correct one?? Was gonna take TAM, now I am leaning TOR.
                        Comment
                        • bruceBRUCEbruce
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-20-09
                          • 2560

                          #47
                          tonight thus far:
                          edmonton puckline (92%)
                          phoenix puckline (92%)
                          Comment
                          • bruceBRUCEbruce
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-20-09
                            • 2560

                            #48
                            public with an 0-2 night with those tricky puckline bets

                            public record: 5-13

                            Comment
                            • bruceBRUCEbruce
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-20-09
                              • 2560

                              #49
                              tonight: Chi-cago Blackhawks Puckline a public play at 96%!
                              Comment
                              • husky
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-14-13
                                • 261

                                #50
                                Puckline odds can be heavy juice though
                                Comment
                                • remeedella
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-17-12
                                  • 4089

                                  #51
                                  come on boston, cover -1,5 here
                                  Comment
                                  • remeedella
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-17-12
                                    • 4089

                                    #52
                                    There it is!!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • remeedella
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-17-12
                                      • 4089

                                      #53
                                      is it tru3 7 minutes into 3rd and no shots on net against boston?
                                      Comment
                                      • remeedella
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-17-12
                                        • 4089

                                        #54
                                        13 minutes later and a full powerplay and colorado get their first shot in the period :O
                                        Comment
                                        • remeedella
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-17-12
                                          • 4089

                                          #55
                                          wow puckline hit!
                                          Comment
                                          • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-20-09
                                            • 2560

                                            #56
                                            ^^


                                            Last night, 0-1, 5-14 overall public record
                                            nothing tonight. tb/pitt over was close, LA ml is close, but no 90%ers
                                            Comment
                                            • Marquee
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 12-10-13
                                              • 55

                                              #57
                                              Tp/pitts was over 90% before puck drop. Crazy 3rd period.
                                              Comment
                                              • chabooky386
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-22-12
                                                • 1873

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Marquee
                                                Tp/pitts was over 90% before puck drop. Crazy 3rd period.
                                                how i felt throughout the game!
                                                Comment
                                                • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-20-09
                                                  • 2560

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Marquee
                                                  Tp/pitts was over 90% before puck drop. Crazy 3rd period.
                                                  I saw it in the 80's, but you're right it crept to 90%, we'll give the public one W for that, 6-14 overall.

                                                  today has chicago puckline at a massive 97& and Anaheim puckline at 94%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-20-09
                                                    • 2560

                                                    #60
                                                    1-1 last night for the public, Chicago somehow losing twice to Nashville at home within a couple weeks, overall record of 7-15 now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-20-09
                                                      • 2560

                                                      #61
                                                      San Jose puckline at 92% right now.
                                                      Dallas puckline is at 88%, close.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-20-09
                                                        • 2560

                                                        #62
                                                        they both lost, but only one official 90%+ play
                                                        public now is 7-16 on these
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheFlash
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 08-29-12
                                                          • 694

                                                          #63
                                                          Anything for today?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-20-09
                                                            • 2560

                                                            #64
                                                            Pens Puckline 90%
                                                            SJSharks Puckline 93%

                                                            Chicago Puckline is at 88% right now
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-20-09
                                                              • 2560

                                                              #65
                                                              1-1 last night
                                                              public plays now 8-17 overall
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-20-09
                                                                • 2560

                                                                #66
                                                                only a few games, nothing doing tonight over 90% yall
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-20-09
                                                                  • 2560

                                                                  #67
                                                                  nothing looks too promising tonight

                                                                  St. Louis puckline is at 87%, Colorado puckline is at 86%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tonywayne
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-05-13
                                                                    • 229

                                                                    #68
                                                                    What should we make of a 90%+ on an underdog puckline? I don't imagine there's much correlation there to be taking the favorite puckline as an "against the public" play...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-20-09
                                                                      • 2560

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by tonywayne
                                                                      What should we make of a 90%+ on an underdog puckline? I don't imagine there's much correlation there to be taking the favorite puckline as an "against the public" play...
                                                                      Haven't seen it yet
                                                                      the 2 last night were both favs laying -1.5 on the puckline, the dogs were probably around -150 for +1.5, which isn't bad if you're playing these.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bruceBRUCEbruce
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 06-20-09
                                                                        • 2560

                                                                        #70
                                                                        um, wow.

                                                                        Chicago puckline is 99% today [wunderdog showing 6,465 plays on that to 85 against]
                                                                        Anaheim puckline is 98% today

                                                                        both of those moneylines are above 90% also
                                                                        Comment
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