2013 NHL Picks

[cotes17]

Today

NYI -0.5 reg -105 $105 to win $100
Caps ml +140 $100 to win $140
Caps O5 -104 $104 to win $100
Pens -1 -106 $106 to win $100
Bolts ml +128 $100 to win $128
Blues -0.5 reg +132 $100 to win $132
Pens O6 -118 $118 to win $100

[cotes17]

Got that too. Good luck mate! I need to go get some sleep

Good luck to your too bud. Hopefully you wake up richer than when you went to bed!

[Kpn]

Wow crazy cotes almost identical to everything I locked in last night, Goodluck!

[cotes17]

Wow crazy cotes almost identical to everything I locked in last night, Goodluck!

Fingers crossed for us man! GL

[ericallen555]

For Monday night I got :

1

DET Redwings

DET Redwings @ PHX Coyotes (Money Line)

03/25/2013

None

+105

To Run

1

NAS Predators

EDM Oilers @ NAS Predators (Money Line)

03/25/2013

None

-150

To Run

[Chaosiam]

3/24/2013


Pittsburgh 1P O1.5 -139 -- 0.5u to win 0.36u (Took this one from DennisGreen)
Islanders -0.5 +100 -- 1u to win 1u
Vancouver -0.5 +130 -- 0.5u to win 0.65u
St. Louis -0.5 +135 -- 0.5u to win 0.675u
Pittsburgh -0.5 -122 -- 1u to win 0.82u
Caps ml +145 -- 0.5u to win 0.725u

Parlay:
Caps -1.5
Islanders -1.5
Pittsburgh -1.5
+3680
1u to win 36.8u

Daily total 3-4-0 (-0.625)
P O/U: 0-1-0 (-0.5u)
ml: 1-0-0 (+0.725u)
reg: 2-2-0 (+0.15u)
parlays: 0-1-0 (-1u)


Back to basics record 11-13-0 (5 documented days)
O/U: 2-1-0 (+0.11u)
O/U TT: 0-1-0 (-1.5u)
P O/U: 0-1-0 (-0.5)
ml: 5-2-0 (+0.245u)
reg: 4-6-0 (-2.240u)
parlays: 0-2-0 (-1.29u)

Starting bankroll: €100 ($129.39)
Current bankroll: €50 (-€50)

[Chaosiam]

Early leans:

Toronto ml
Ottawa ml
Nashville ml
Ottawa Under 5.5

I think I ll stick in ml underdogs. Obviously they are bringin me money.

[Chaosiam]

Good luck to your too bud. Hopefully you wake up richer than when you went to bed!

Well I surely did not.. Maybe I should just pick one and put all in.

[Seeing Stars]

Well I surely did not.. Maybe I should just pick one and put all in.

I did and it stung

but I'm happy to say that since then....+723, VAN got me ML, -1/2, and OV 2.5 yesterday added to my rise from the ashes...

[Seeing Stars]

I like several dogs today....NJ, LA, DET, and maybe TOR

OVER in STARS GAME

UNDER in NJ, TOR, SJ, EDM, and LA should but....

OVER in DET, DAL, and why do I feel like maybe LA

[finnishfcuk]

Minnesota looks good over Dallas with them trading Morrow yesterday

[Checkerboard]

just wanted to check in and let yall know I didn't kick the bucket lol probably gonna take a break for a few days though. it was fun while it lasted.

glad u survived the partyin', thx for sharing ur plays, bol the rest of the way

[Huckleberry Pig]

here is the updated B2B spreadsheet. Got two games tonight, the highlighted boxes at the bottom right are the ones you'll want to use to determine future games.

3-25 NHL B2B.pdf

[Chaosiam]

here is the updated B2B spreadsheet. Got two games tonight, the highlighted boxes at the bottom right are the ones you'll want to use to determine future games.

[ATTACH]55182[/ATTACH]

So Detroit should win @ Phoenix and Ducks shouls lose at home?

[Huckleberry Pig]

actually the Redwings chances of winning based on situation only are 37%, however they have done fairly well this season in B2B (4-3 record) so this would likely be a no-play for me. The situation for the Ducks is a 50-50 with only 8 games to base it off of, not much data there so that'd be a no play for me as well, but given how poorly they've been playing the last two games it may be worth a shot.

[Chaosiam]

actually the Redwings chances of winning based on situation only are 37%, however they have done fairly well this season in B2B (4-3 record) so this would likely be a no-play for me. The situation for the Ducks is a 50-50 with only 8 games to base it off of, not much data there so that'd be a no play for me as well, but given how poorly they've been playing the last two games it may be worth a shot.

Have you recovered from the losses and ready to return to the top of NHL betting? I can feel how your sticky betting fingers are restless and have a need to place some bets!

[Huckleberry Pig]

Have you recovered from the losses and ready to return to the top of NHL betting? I can feel how your sticky betting fingers are restless and have a need to place some bets!

haha I definitely have the itch but I need to really let the losses sink in a bit to remind myself how terrible my bankroll mgmt was. I'm literally embarrassed by it. I'd also like to find a local bookie to work with because the online stuff worries me as far as payouts and what not. Will likely wait another week or so before I hop back in

[Chaosiam]

haha I definitely have the itch but I need to really let the losses sink in a bit to remind myself how terrible my bankroll mgmt was. I'm literally embarrassed by it. I'd also like to find a local bookie to work with because the online stuff worries me as far as payouts and what not. Will likely wait another week or so before I hop back in

Yeah I understand. Big loss easily makes you blind, and then there is no sign of smart bankroll mgmt. You had awesome run, but those $250 bets was the breakpoint IMO.. And after that 1350 loss you still had 400 profit mut when you got the blindness, it´s hard to see thing clearly.. But I´ll be waiting you to return

[Kpn]

haha I definitely have the itch but I need to really let the losses sink in a bit to remind myself how terrible my bankroll mgmt was. I'm literally embarrassed by it. I'd also like to find a local bookie to work with because the online stuff worries me as far as payouts and what not. Will likely wait another week or so before I hop back in

We've all made the same silly mistake, that's why betting based on preset unit values keeps you from being reckless. Lets say my bankroll is (to make it simple I'll make it 100) so $100 the old unit = 5% therefore $5 is always good way to go, then only the rules change if you hit 200, unit becomes $10 (still 5%). Making sure the most on a single bet is never more than 2 units or 10% of your bankroll.

Just how I play now after making silly mistakes, whatever works for every person is great and no one is the same or should follow anything blindly. Just giving my 2cents on how I changed.

[Chaosiam]

We've all made the same silly mistake, that's why betting based on preset unit values keeps you from being reckless. Lets say my bankroll is (to make it simple I'll make it 100) so $100 the old unit = 5% therefore $5 is always good way to go, then only the rules change if you hit 200, unit becomes $10 (still 5%). Making sure the most on a single bet is never more than 2 units or 10% of your bankroll.

Just how I play now after making silly mistakes, whatever works for every person is great and no one is the same or should follow anything blindly. Just giving my 2cents on how I changed.

I like your opinion. I have atm €100 starting bankroll and unit size is €10 because it´s easier for the bankroll mgmt. Usually my bets still are ½unit (5%).

[Huckleberry Pig]

We've all made the same silly mistake, that's why betting based on preset unit values keeps you from being reckless. Lets say my bankroll is (to make it simple I'll make it 100) so $100 the old unit = 5% therefore $5 is always good way to go, then only the rules change if you hit 200, unit becomes $10 (still 5%). Making sure the most on a single bet is never more than 2 units or 10% of your bankroll.

Just how I play now after making silly mistakes, whatever works for every person is great and no one is the same or should follow anything blindly. Just giving my 2cents on how I changed.

great advice KPN, much appreciated

[Seeing Stars]

Minnesota looks good over Dallas with them trading Morrow yesterday

certainly can't be a BAD play, and one of the reasons I like OVER....if they lose they like to give up 4-5 goals, DAL that is.

[Seeing Stars]

great advice KPN, much appreciated

I feel a little guilt for starting the BIG BET and seeing it drag everyone else down, the money is nice but the action is why I play....of course winning is even better

[bigbadbruins22]

guys, great value on Boston -0.5 tonight


you guys know i shy away from the Bruins and this is not a homer pick

crush it

[Huckleberry Pig]

I feel a little guilt for starting the BIG BET and seeing it drag everyone else down, the money is nice but the action is why I play....of course winning is even better

last I checked you weren't the one that clicked the mouse to submit my bet. nothing on you at all. I'd bet that game the same way 10 times over. Happens. My fault for pitiful BR mgmt, should have never put more than 10-25% of my BR on a single bet.

[Huckleberry Pig]

see lots of people on the redwings tonight, wondering if fading the crowd wouldn't be a bad idea

[ZdenoK]

see lots of people on the redwings tonight, wondering if fading the crowd wouldn't be a bad idea

Time for Wings to lose and Coyotes to win? Coyotes are well rested while Wings are on the road again, I think Phoenix will show more offensive power, produce more shots on net and deliver more hits. On the other hand, Coyotes lost Smith and Howard is currently hot at Wings so it could turn either way. Totals under perhaps?

My pick of the day is Nashville.

[Chaosiam]

see lots of people on the redwings tonight, wondering if fading the crowd wouldn't be a bad idea

Huck I Placed 1unit for Phoenix this morning.. Hopefully this works today, like it have worked this way several times in past week.

[Kpn]

Fading popular is too superstitious, I don't care how many people are on something, simply do the research look for factors you care about, if the game doesn't feel right just avoid it. Bookmakers don't have special information, they make the odds and win either way based on how payouts work (point spreads are never even money -105 or -110).
My two cents anyways.

[ZdenoK]

What do you think about Ottawa? Kovalchuk is out...

[Chaosiam]

Today´s picks 3/25/2013

Dallas ml -114 -- 1u to win 0.88u
Ottawa ml -134 -- 1u to win 0.75u
Phoenix ml -134 -- 1u to win 0.75u
Toronto ml +175 -- 1u to win 1.75u
Chicago -0.5 +110 -- 1u to win 1.1u

Back to basics record 11-13-0 (5 pending) (5 documented days)
O/U: 2-1-0 (+0.11u)
O/U TT: 0-1-0 (-1.5u)
P O/U: 0-1-0 (-0.5)
ml: 5-2-0 (+0.245u)
reg: 4-6-0 (-2.240u)
parlays: 0-2-0 (-1.29u)

If this night goes south, I´m taking some time off

[Chaosiam]

Fading popular is too superstitious, I don't care how many people are on something, simply do the research look for factors you care about, if the game doesn't feel right just avoid it. Bookmakers don't have special information, they make the odds and win either way based on how payouts work (point spreads are never even money -105 or -110).
My two cents anyways.

Detroit b2b on the road and phoenix is rested. I just have better feeling about phoenix.

[anoun]

huck, what are your picks for tonight?

[Huckleberry Pig]

won't be doing bets for a few days but tonight I like Chicago at home, Coyotes at home on multiple days rest while Detroit is on a B2B, Boston at home, Nashville at home, and the Wild on the road.

[Kpn]

Only game I'm putting money on is the Wild ML.