2013 NHL Picks

[Seeing Stars]

Thanks to Detroit
yesterday 3-3

yes sir, 3-2-1 for day...Chao, you get full credit on this one, thanx

Wager Type:	Money Line
Wager Status:	Win
Risk / To Win Amount:	100.00 / 165.00 (USD) Accepted 2/28/2013 10:38 PM - EST
Won:	165.00
Amount Paid:	265.00
Sport / Period:	Reduced Hockey / Game
Line:	Detroit Red Wings 2/28/2013 10:35:01 PM - (EST) +165
Opponent:	San Jose Sharks

[Seeing Stars]

Chao, I have another parlay on tap....how about PL for all FAVS tonight!

Hows that grab ya??

166001931-1	3/1/13 2:36am	$100.00	$1376.00	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	3/1/13 8:05pm NHL Hockey 52 St. Louis Blues -1½ +170* vs Edmonton Oilers
				Pending	3/1/13 8:35pm NHL Hockey 54 Chicago Blackhawks -1½ -105* vs Columbus Blue Jackets
				Pending	3/1/13 10:05pm NHL Hockey 56 Anaheim Ducks -1½ +180* vs Minnesota Wild

[Kpn]

Looks great, but how confident do you feel about St louis over Edmonton?

[cotes17]

Yesterday

3-2 +$151

[cotes17]

Ytd: 121-123-6 +$1,296.40

[Chaosiam]

yes sir, 3-2-1 for day...Chao, you get full credit on this one, thanx

Wager Type:	Money Line
Wager Status:	Win
Risk / To Win Amount:	100.00 / 165.00 (USD) Accepted 2/28/2013 10:38 PM - EST
Won:	165.00
Amount Paid:	265.00
Sport / Period:	Reduced Hockey / Game
Line:	Detroit Red Wings 2/28/2013 10:35:01 PM - (EST) +165
Opponent:	San Jose Sharks

Nice one Stars! And you are welcome But I must confess. I did make a little parlay yesterday jsut before I went to sleep...





On the right side of the ticket you can see +1.5 team I picked. Ask if you need more translation or info..
Cha-Chingggg.....

[Chaosiam]

Chao, I have another parlay on tap....how about PL for all FAVS tonight!

Hows that grab ya??

166001931-1	3/1/13 2:36am	$100.00	$1376.00	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	3/1/13 8:05pm NHL Hockey 52 St. Louis Blues -1½ +170* vs Edmonton Oilers
				Pending	3/1/13 8:35pm NHL Hockey 54 Chicago Blackhawks -1½ -105* vs Columbus Blue Jackets
				Pending	3/1/13 10:05pm NHL Hockey 56 Anaheim Ducks -1½ +180* vs Minnesota Wild

I´m seriously scared to pick Chicago. They have to loose at some point... I like the ducks and I think St. Louis game can end both ways. Edmonton had nice groove on yesterday. If they can keep it up they will propably win today.. Hard to say. I´m going to do some research..

[Seeing Stars]

I´m seriously scared to pick Chicago. They have to loose at some point... I like the ducks and I think St. Louis game can end both ways. Edmonton had nice groove on yesterday. If they can keep it up they will propably win today.. Hard to say. I´m going to do some research..

My thinking is this, STL has to be pissed about last nights outcome, Ducks at home and rolling, Chicago is lights out the best team in NHL right now. B2B by EDM and MIN on the road off of a win, fatigue and letdown. HAWKS at home and its CBJ....

Yes, its a risk and reward thing, called parlay, odds are never in my favor but when it hits, BOOM!!

[Huckleberry Pig]

Updated Spreadsheets. Got 4 teams coming on the B2B tonight, two of which play eachother...

3-1 BTB by Date.pdf

3-1 BTB by Team.pdf

[Seeing Stars]

Looks great, but how confident do you feel about St louis over Edmonton?

I'm not confident that EDM can repeat that feat last night, on the road and B2B, combine that with STL 8-2-1 vs EDM anyway.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Beginning my research

[Huckleberry Pig]

1st Lean:

Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks, Under 5.5 (-140) - Really like this pick (almost too much juice but I'll take it under -150). Out of Chicago's last 10 games, 8 have stayed Under including the last 4. Out of Chicago's 4 BTB games, 3 have hit the under including both home games. For the Blue Jackets, 6 of the last 10 have hit the under including 4 of the last 5. Chicago may be tired and probably wont get as many goals as they'd like but I think they lock down on Defense. Couldn't believe this line was at 5.5 actually. The only thing that worries me is that the HTH between these two teams has gone over 5 of their last 7 games. However, the last game ended 1-0 and I have more confidence in the current trends from this year (more specifically the last 10 games) than I do last year. Like the Under.

Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks, Blue Jackets +1.5 (-115) - Talk about a value pick. Out of the last 10 games for the Blue Jackets, 7 have been within one goal. Out of the last 10 losses by the Blue Jackets, 6 have been within one goal. 5 of the last 6 Blue Jackets losses have been by 1 goal. Now for the fun part... The Blackhawks have had 9 games at home all year, they have won 8 of them. Out of those 8 wins, 7 have come by 1 goal. Only 1 of their home wins has been by more than one goal and that was coming off of two days rest. Again, only thing that worries me is that HTH the Blackhawks PL against the Blue Jackets is 6-1 over the last two years (with that 1 coming a few days ago). Still, coming off a B2B the Blackhawks are 4-0, but 3 of those wins have come by 1 goal. Couple that with the stats above and I'm still taking Blue Jackets +1.5.

[Chaosiam]

1st Lean:

Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks, Under 5.5 (-140) - Really like this pick (almost too much juice but I'll take it under -150). Out of Chicago's last 10 games, 8 have stayed Under including the last 4. Out of Chicago's 4 BTB games, 3 have hit the under including both home games. For the Blue Jackets, 6 of the last 10 have hit the under including 4 of the last 5. Chicago may be tired and probably wont get as many goals as they'd like but I think they lock down on Defense. Couldn't believe this line was at 5.5 actually. The only thing that worries me is that the HTH between these two teams has gone over 5 of their last 7 games. However, the last game ended 1-0 and I have more confidence in the current trends from this year (more specifically the last 10 games) than I do last year. Like the Under.

Combined Chicagos great offence playbook and CBJs bad defence there could come alot of goals. The over depends if CBJ can finish off the scoring because St. Louis had difficulties at that point.. This could go over.. Oh well. Everything could go over in sports, but mostly my doubt is based on a feeling that this isnt so obvious than it seems.. Nice job Huck, as always waiting more!

[Huckleberry Pig]

2nd Lean:

Wild @ Ducks, Under 5 (even) - Expecting at least a push here. Out of the last 10 Wild games, only 2 have gone over five goals. Meanwhile, 6 of the last 7 road games for the Wild have gone Under five goals. The Ducks games have been hitting the over quite a bit lately but out of their 8 home games all year, only 3 have gone over 5 goals. They ripped Nashville last game but Nashville has been playing pretty poor lately while the Wild have been playing very well. Out of the Wild's last 3 BTB, 2 have gone under and 1 was a total of 5. Taking the Under here. (Will be waiting on starting goalies before making this official, like with all total picks).

Wild @ Ducks, Ducks PL (+165) - This is the pick I'm least confident in. The Ducks don't blow many people out but they are playing a Wild team that is on the 2nd leg of a B2B, both being road games. Ducks are great at home and while the Wild have been playing well lately, I think the Ducks are rolling right now, esp at home, and take this one by a 3-1 maybe even 4-1 type of score.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Combined Chicagos great offence playbook and CBJs bad defence there could come alot of goals. The over depends if CBJ can finish off the scoring because St. Louis had difficulties at that point.. This could go over.. Oh well. Everything could go over in sports, but mostly my doubt is based on a feeling that this isnt so obvious than it seems.. Nice job Huck, as always waiting more!

Thanks Chaos! And it could always go the other way mate! haha I just try to make the pick that I think has the best odds. I expect Chicago's O to be a little tired from playing last night, think that will keep their scoring down but don't expect CBJ to score much. We shall see!

[Huckleberry Pig]

Third Lean:

Oilers @ Blues, Under 5 (+105) - For some reason, the Blues have had major struggles at home as of late. In their last 7 home games, they have scored a total of 9 goals, and 5 of those came in one game. The last 4 Blues game have gone Under as they continue to struggle finding the net. The Oilers have had 9 road games all year, and only 2 have gone Over 5 goals while 4 have gone Under. The Oilers have scored 11 goals in their last 5 games but five of those came last night against a Dallas team that has been playing poor Defensively. Blues have the 2nd best PP% in the league, but the Oilers have the 4th best PK% in the league. If the Oilers can keep from committing penalites, I like the Under here. Will wait for the goalie report since both are coming off a B2B before I make this official though.

Oilers @ Blues, Oilers ML (+150) - Oilers have been playing very well in their last 3 and with they looked great last night with Hall back. Blues havn't looked great in their last 4 and have a home record of 1-6 in their last 7 games. The Blues are also 1-3 on B2B's. Both teams are coming off a B2B but I just like the way the Oilers have been playing lately. Taking them here for what I think is a great value pick at +150. Again, as with all bets, will be waiting for goalies to be announced before I make anything official.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Just wanted to give yall an update... since implementing my new system I am 18-13 (last 5 nights) and here's how my picks are breaking down:

ML Picks: 8-3

Total Picks: 9-7

PL Picks: 1-3

Total: 18-13


Overall not a great card tonight, all the favorites are HEAVILY juiced which forces me to go other alternatives (like the PL which clearly I'm not too great at). I like sticking with ML and Totals but tonight is just not looking to be one of those nights.

[cotes17]

I agree guys. Edmonton looked solid last night and I'd like the ducks -1 just to be a bit safe. I was actually thinking Columbus +1.5 at that kind of price too... They played Chicago a few days ago and only lost 1-0

[cotes17]

I don't know about the blue jackets under huck. I was actually looking at the over for that game lol

[Huckleberry Pig]

I don't know about the blue jackets under huck. I was actually looking at the over for that game lol

I'm all ears... what makes ya lean that way

[Huckleberry Pig]

Any releases on starting Goalies for tonight's games?

[Seeing Stars]

Just wanted to give yall an update... since implementing my new system I am 18-13 (last 5 nights) and here's how my picks are breaking down:

ML Picks: 8-3

Total Picks: 9-7

PL Picks: 1-3

Total: 18-13


Overall not a great card tonight, all the favorites are HEAVILY juiced which forces me to go other alternatives (like the PL which clearly I'm not too great at). I like sticking with ML and Totals but tonight is just not looking to be one of those nights.

Good job!! Just shy away from PLs then, ML's are excellent...pending on the scores of the Pls, perhaps -1 or 1/2 reg could be options instead of PL.

[Seeing Stars]

I agree guys. Edmonton looked solid last night and I'd like the ducks -1 just to be a bit safe. I was actually thinking Columbus +1.5 at that kind of price too... They played Chicago a few days ago and only lost 1-0

Cotes, we DO think alike...and BECAUSE the game was close SHOULD motivate the Hawks tonight, they are solid in goal, no backup, 1 and 1a

[Seeing Stars]

Combined Chicagos great offence playbook and CBJs bad defence there could come alot of goals. The over depends if CBJ can finish off the scoring because St. Louis had difficulties at that point.. This could go over.. Oh well. Everything could go over in sports, but mostly my doubt is based on a feeling that this isnt so obvious than it seems.. Nice job Huck, as always waiting more!

I'm amazed at how you can send me your thoughts, CHI OFF vs CBJ DEF....1-0 is not common amongst these two combatants.

[Seeing Stars]

All that said, a parlay is high risk, so I need O/Us to play on???




I guess I could fade one of my picks for insurance but which one will it be?? It will have to be an EVEN or + line.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Picks for 3/1/2013 (made one change from my leans, going Wild/Ducks Over):

Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks, Under 5.5 (-140) - Really like this pick (almost too much juice but I'll take it under -150). Out of Chicago's last 10 games, 8 have stayed Under including the last 4. Out of Chicago's 4 BTB games, 3 have hit the under including both home games. For the Blue Jackets, 6 of the last 10 have hit the under including 4 of the last 5. Chicago may be tired and probably wont get as many goals as they'd like but I think they lock down on Defense. Couldn't believe this line was at 5.5 actually. The only thing that worries me is that the HTH between these two teams has gone over 5 of their last 7 games. However, the last game ended 1-0 and I have more confidence in the current trends from this year (more specifically the last 10 games) than I do last year. Like the Under.

Blue Jackets @ Blackhawks, Blue Jackets +1.5 (-115) - Talk about a value pick. Out of the last 10 games for the Blue Jackets, 7 have been within one goal. Out of the last 10 losses by the Blue Jackets, 6 have been within one goal. 5 of the last 6 Blue Jackets losses have been by 1 goal. Now for the fun part... The Blackhawks have had 9 games at home all year, they have won 8 of them. Out of those 8 wins, 7 have come by 1 goal. Only 1 of their home wins has been by more than one goal and that was coming off of two days rest. Again, only thing that worries me is that HTH the Blackhawks PL against the Blue Jackets is 6-1 over the last two years (with that 1 coming a few days ago). Still, coming off a B2B the Blackhawks are 4-0, but 3 of those wins have come by 1 goal. Couple that with the stats above and I'm still taking Blue Jackets +1.5.

Oilers @ Blues, Under 5 (+105) - For some reason, the Blues have had major struggles at home as of late. In their last 7 home games, they have scored a total of 9 goals, and 5 of those came in one game. The last 4 Blues game have gone Under as they continue to struggle finding the net. The Oilers have had 9 road games all year, and only 2 have gone Over 5 goals while 4 have gone Under. The Oilers have scored 11 goals in their last 5 games but five of those came last night against a Dallas team that has been playing poor Defensively. Blues have the 2nd best PP% in the league, but the Oilers have the 4th best PK% in the league. If the Oilers can keep from committing penalites, I like the Under here.

Oilers @ Blues, Oilers ML (+150) - Oilers have been playing very well in their last 3 and with they looked great last night with Hall back. Blues havn't looked great in their last 4 and have a home record of 1-6 in their last 7 games. The Blues are also 1-3 on B2B's. Both teams are coming off a B2B but I just like the way the Oilers have been playing lately. Taking them here for what I think is a great value pick at +150.

Wild @ Ducks, Over 5 (even) - Switched this bet. Ducks been scoring like crazy lately, Wild might have their backup goalie in and I just like the Over here. Could see a 4-2 or 5-1 type of score here. Fasth has been great at home but the Ducks have the best PP% in the league and are going against a Wild team on the second leg of a B2B. Think there will be quite a few PP opportunities for the Ducks and I think this one will go Over.

Wild @ Ducks, Ducks PL (+165) - This is the pick I'm least confident in. The Ducks don't blow many people out but they are playing a Wild team that is on the 2nd leg of a B2B, both being road games. Ducks are great at home and while the Wild have been playing well lately, I think the Ducks are rolling right now, esp at home, and take this one by a 3-1 maybe even 4-1 type of score.

[Seeing Stars]

Third Lean:

Oilers @ Blues, Under 5 (+105) - For some reason, the Blues have had major struggles at home as of late. In their last 7 home games, they have scored a total of 9 goals, and 5 of those came in one game. The last 4 Blues game have gone Under as they continue to struggle finding the net. The Oilers have had 9 road games all year, and only 2 have gone Over 5 goals while 4 have gone Under. The Oilers have scored 11 goals in their last 5 games but five of those came last night against a Dallas team that has been playing poor Defensively. Blues have the 2nd best PP% in the league, but the Oilers have the 4th best PK% in the league. If the Oilers can keep from committing penalites, I like the Under here. Will wait for the goalie report since both are coming off a B2B before I make this official though.

Oilers @ Blues, Oilers ML (+150) - Oilers have been playing very well in their last 3 and with they looked great last night with Hall back. Blues havn't looked great in their last 4 and have a home record of 1-6 in their last 7 games. The Blues are also 1-3 on B2B's. Both teams are coming off a B2B but I just like the way the Oilers have been playing lately. Taking them here for what I think is a great value pick at +150. Again, as with all bets, will be waiting for goalies to be announced before I make anything official.

Forgive me if its in the pdf, but what is the results, if we know, of B2B home winning percentages vs B2B road games??? The one reason I like STL better in the B2B battle is they actually run four individual lines, not mix and match threes...less time on ice last night and no travel.

Oh, add one more variable, B2B road teams who won 1st game.....usually expect a letdown there.

[Seeing Stars]

ANAHEIM worries me the most, Hiller in goal....OVER or MIN ML, a real possibility or PROBABILITY

[Huckleberry Pig]

ANAHEIM worries me the most, Hiller in goal....OVER or MIN ML, a real possibility or PROBABILITY

I switched to the Over in that game, esp at 5. With how Ducks have been playing, I'm expecting at least a Push.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Forgive me if its in the pdf, but what is the results, if we know, of B2B home winning percentages vs B2B road games??? The one reason I like STL better in the B2B battle is they actually run four individual lines, not mix and match threes...less time on ice last night and no travel.

Oh, add one more variable, B2B road teams who won 1st game.....usually expect a letdown there.

Interestingly enough, there have been 46 wins on the 2nd leg of a B2B this year, 26 have come on the road and 20 have come at home. That gives you away wins @ 57% and home wins @ 43%. However, when a team is coming off a road win and has another road game in the B2B, their win % drops to 33%. Looks good for Blues but they are also coming off a B2B and that particular situation you describe in your last line hasn't happened yet this year (team on B2B road games who won the first playing another team on a B2B). So that could skew things a bit. I just know I won't be laying down -170 on the Blues at home when they have been awful there of late, also the Blues have lots of injuries right now.

[cotes17]

Driving right now guy. Ill update odds later but my picks are
CBJ +1.5
CBJ/Chi O5.5
Edmonton ml

GL everyone

[Seeing Stars]

Interestingly enough, there have been 46 wins on the 2nd leg of a B2B this year, 26 have come on the road and 20 have come at home. That gives you away wins @ 57% and home wins @ 43%. However, when a team is coming off a road win and has another road game in the B2B, their win % drops to 33%. Looks good for Blues but they are also coming off a B2B and that particular situation you describe in your last line hasn't happened yet this year (team on B2B road games who won the first playing another team on a B2B). So that could skew things a bit. I just know I won't be laying down -170 on the Blues at home when they have been awful there of late, also the Blues have lots of injuries right now.

Great stuff. And with the HuGe ML you see why I said PL because if STL wins then the empty netter is always in play..

[Chaosiam]

Chicago over
St. Louis Over
Edmonton win
Anaheim win
CBJ +1.5
The more I think these games, more i get unsure what I want to do. Tough round today guys..

[Chaosiam]

Driving right now guy. Ill update odds later but my picks are
CBJ +1.5
CBJ/Chi O5.5
Edmonton ml

GL everyone

I have same picks, BOL mate!

[Chaosiam]

Where are you guys..? This once I´m awake and then nobody here lol