2013 NHL Picks

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  • Chaosiam
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-31-13
    • 874

    #981
    Originally posted by cotes17
    Forgot to mention guys, thanks for making me look again at the buffalo game and staying away from it. Owe you guys one for that!
    Well ur welcome bro
    Comment
    • Huckleberry Pig
      SBR MVP
      • 02-07-13
      • 2564

      #982
      Originally posted by cotes17
      Not sure what to do for the pens game though. Not going to take ml that's for sure, Too much juice. Deciding between -1.5,-1 or -0.5 in reg
      Not sure what to think on the Stars game. Will NOT be taking the ML either way. Dallas is 1-14-2 in the second night of back-to-back sets since last season. Calgary is 1-3-2 @ home this season but are 3-0-1 @ in their last 4 home games against the Stars (Calgary is also 5-1-2 in their last 8 vs Stars but the Stars went 3-1 last year against the Flames, but two of those Ws came after regulation).

      I can't even decide whether to go Over or Under. Lehtonen has a 1.8 GAA & a .94 SV% in his last 5 starts while Irving has played well in the last two and has a 2.62 GAA and a .92 SV% in his 4 games. However, All four HTH matchups last year had totals of 5 or more while the Flames have only had one game this entire year stay at 5 goals or below, and it was the last one they played. Calgary has only scored 2 goals in the last 2 games while Dallas has 3 or more goals in 3 of their last 4.

      Overall, with the O/U being at 5, I'm leaning with the Over.
      Comment
      • cotes17
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-24-09
        • 5228

        #983
        Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
        Not sure what to think on the Stars game. Will NOT be taking the ML either way. Dallas is 1-14-2 in the second night of back-to-back sets since last season. Calgary is 1-3-2 @ home this season but are 3-0-1 @ in their last 4 home games against the Stars (Calgary is also 5-1-2 in their last 8 vs Stars but the Stars went 3-1 last year against the Flames, but two of those Ws came after regulation).

        I can't even decide whether to go Over or Under. Lehtonen has a 1.8 GAA & a .94 SV% in his last 5 starts while Irving has played well in the last two and has a 2.62 GAA and a .92 SV% in his 4 games. However, All four HTH matchups last year had totals of 5 or more while the Flames have only had one game this entire year stay at 5 goals or below, and it was the last one they played. Calgary has only scored 2 goals in the last 2 games while Dallas has 3 or more goals in 3 of their last 4.

        Overall, with the O/U being at 5, I'm leaning with the Over.
        I'm leaning to the over too
        Comment
        • Seeing Stars
          SBR MVP
          • 01-19-13
          • 1272

          #984
          1ST ....A lot of talk about the backup goalie starting for DAL tonight, nothing confirmed, anyone hear anything???

          GOOD DAY yesterday 4-2-1,
          Comment
          • JonahHFalcon
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-09-13
            • 167

            #985
            Originally posted by Seeing Stars
            1ST ....A lot of talk about the backup goalie starting for DAL tonight, nothing confirmed, anyone hear anything???

            GOOD DAY yesterday 4-2-1,
            Would be shocked to see Lehtonen start
            Comment
            • Huckleberry Pig
              SBR MVP
              • 02-07-13
              • 2564

              #986
              Originally posted by Chaosiam
              And checking some info. Louis has lost 5 of their last games and last time Detroit whipped their ass 5-1 on the ROAD! This Chaosmeter is pointing strongly to DET...
              Wings have won 3 straight, are at home coming off of 2 days rest, against a team they have outscored 10-4 in their last two matchups... going against a Blues team that has lost 5 in a row and has given up 5 or more goals in each of their last 5 games. I like the Wings here and actually think they are a pretty good value pick at -125 right now. Also like the Over a lot (esp at even, lots of value I think). The last 3 times these teams have played, the Over has hit. Blues are giving up goals like crazy right now. Wings starting to come to form.

              Only thing that worries me is that these picks seem almost too obvious...

              Still, strong lean for me on the Wings and the Over. Havn't had a chance to do my true research on it but when I do I'll report back.
              Comment
              • Chaosiam
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-31-13
                • 874

                #987
                Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                Wings have won 3 straight, are at home coming off of 2 days rest, against a team they have outscored 10-4 in their last two matchups... going against a Blues team that has lost 5 in a row and has given up 5 or more goals in each of their last 5 games. I like the Wings here and actually think they are a pretty good value pick at -125 right now. Also like the Over a lot (esp at even, lots of value I think). The last 3 times these teams have played, the Over has hit. Blues are giving up goals like crazy right now. Wings starting to come to form.

                Only thing that worries me is that these picks seem almost too obvious...

                Still, strong lean for me on the Wings and the Over. Havn't had a chance to do my true research on it but when I do I'll report back.

                Amen.
                Comment
                • Seeing Stars
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-19-13
                  • 1272

                  #988
                  Huckleberry, don't jump off STARS ML so fast, I can't believe its +120, I expected even...

                  They actually got stronger as the game went on, dominated 3RD, BIGGEST concern, starting goalies!!!

                  I'll try and confirm that, STARS look to slow every game down and possess and forecheck, hence the UNDERS and the - SOG every night
                  Comment
                  • Seeing Stars
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-19-13
                    • 1272

                    #989
                    Originally posted by JonahHFalcon
                    Would be shocked to see Lehtonen start
                    Yea, but I'm finding him listed to start.....HELP, anyone see something on goalies??
                    Comment
                    • Chaosiam
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-31-13
                      • 874

                      #990
                      Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                      Huckleberry, don't jump off STARS ML so fast, I can't believe its +120, I expected even...

                      They actually got stronger as the game went on, dominated 3RD, BIGGEST concern, starting goalies!!!

                      I'll try and confirm that, STARS look to slow every game down and possess and forecheck, hence the UNDERS and the - SOG every night
                      You guys trusted me with TOR. We trusted Cotes with HABS. So I dont even look into this anymore.
                      Dallas ml.
                      Comment
                      • Seeing Stars
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-19-13
                        • 1272

                        #991
                        CAL has only one win at home YTD.....history is relevant but these teams are truly different from their past. Without trying to be a HOMER, Stars of the past few seasons would always lose leads and game late, thats not happening this year. CAL has a losing record and trends OVER this year, tells me they give up many goals when they lose, and apparently thats often.
                        Comment
                        • cotes17
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-24-09
                          • 5228

                          #992
                          Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                          Yea, but I'm finding him listed to start.....HELP, anyone see something on goalies??
                          Im not seeing anything on it either. And yeah I might lay off the det ml and only take the over. I think the stars are pretty good value I agree with you and the over might be a good choice
                          Comment
                          • cotes17
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-24-09
                            • 5228

                            #993
                            Originally posted by Chaosiam
                            You guys trusted me with TOR. We trusted Cotes with HABS. So I dont even look into this anymore.
                            Dallas ml.
                            Yeah let's get it boys! I trusted in Dallas yesterday and won so why not again? Hope a few guys trusted in me with Anaheim yesterday along with habs!
                            Comment
                            • Seeing Stars
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-19-13
                              • 1272

                              #994
                              Stars Overall Scoring vs Flames Overall Defense 2.3 25 3.5 27
                              Stars Road Scoring vs Flames Home Defense 1.8 28 3.8 29
                              Stars Road PP vs Flames Home PK 7.4 24 73.7 27
                              Flames Overall Scoring vs Stars Overall Defense 2.6 20 2.2 6
                              Flames Home Scoring vs Stars Road Defense 2.5 22 1.9 2
                              Flames Home PP vs Stars Road PK 22.7 13 90.2 4
                              As "they" say, the numbers don't lie......

                              so now you've got me sticking my neck out and Cotes and Chao have picked winners this week for the group....
                              Comment
                              • Huckleberry Pig
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-07-13
                                • 2564

                                #995
                                Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                CAL has only one win at home YTD.....history is relevant but these teams are truly different from their past. Without trying to be a HOMER, Stars of the past few seasons would always lose leads and game late, thats not happening this year. CAL has a losing record and trends OVER this year, tells me they give up many goals when they lose, and apparently thats often.
                                Great info Stars, and good point about Dallas being a completely different team last year. I do think Dallas is the better team here, esp with Lehtonen in net. The one thing that concerns me is their record in back-to-backs. Definitely dont see any value in the Flames, much more so on the Stars (my site has them at +115). Just not confident enough right now to pick them. Do like the Over though, esp if Lehtonen is not in net
                                Comment
                                • Seeing Stars
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-19-13
                                  • 1272

                                  #996
                                  Originally posted by cotes17
                                  Yeah let's get it boys! I trusted in Dallas yesterday and won so why not again? Hope a few guys trusted in me with Anaheim yesterday along with habs!
                                  MTL WINS, MTL WINS!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Huckleberry Pig
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 2564

                                    #997
                                    Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                    Stars Overall Scoring vs Flames Overall Defense 2.3 25 3.5 27
                                    Stars Road Scoring vs Flames Home Defense 1.8 28 3.8 29
                                    Stars Road PP vs Flames Home PK 7.4 24 73.7 27
                                    Flames Overall Scoring vs Stars Overall Defense 2.6 20 2.2 6
                                    Flames Home Scoring vs Stars Road Defense 2.5 22 1.9 2
                                    Flames Home PP vs Stars Road PK 22.7 13 90.2 4
                                    As "they" say, the numbers don't lie......

                                    so now you've got me sticking my neck out and Cotes and Chao have picked winners this week for the group....
                                    Any way you could adjust that to just the last 5 games? I think there is much more truth in numbers in how a team has done in their last 5 than the overall season, think teams can get inflated/deflated based on how they started the year. Like having season avg's and last 5 games avg's to compare.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seeing Stars
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-19-13
                                      • 1272

                                      #998
                                      STL/DET OVER!!!! STL GOALIES GAA + 3.5

                                      6 OR MORE EACH GAME YTD in match-up
                                      Last edited by Seeing Stars; 02-13-13, 11:55 AM. Reason: s
                                      Comment
                                      • Seeing Stars
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-19-13
                                        • 1272

                                        #999
                                        Huckster, how bout this..
                                        STARS last 5 4-1, no total over 5
                                        CAL 2-3 over 5 twice, those 2 wins....on the road

                                        Leftonen must be starting ML just dropped to +115
                                        Comment
                                        • Seeing Stars
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-19-13
                                          • 1272

                                          #1000
                                          Lots of high scoring games in the past between OTT/PIT, but 10 unders this season for OTT, ???? ANY thoughts ...
                                          Comment
                                          • cotes17
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-24-09
                                            • 5228

                                            #1001
                                            Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                            Huckster, how bout this..
                                            STARS last 5 4-1, no total over 5
                                            CAL 2-3 over 5 twice, those 2 wins....on the road

                                            Leftonen must be starting ML just dropped to +115
                                            Should we take it before it drops more?
                                            Comment
                                            • cotes17
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-24-09
                                              • 5228

                                              #1002
                                              Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                              Lots of high scoring games in the past between OTT/PIT, but 10 unders this season for OTT, ???? ANY thoughts ...
                                              I think Pitts comes back hard after a tough weekend. Ott will need to try and keep up with pens scoring to have any chance
                                              Comment
                                              • Seeing Stars
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-19-13
                                                • 1272

                                                #1003
                                                Originally posted by cotes17
                                                Should we take it before it drops more?
                                                STARS ML, yes, yes , yes

                                                I was waiting on UNDER call....

                                                Bachman for STARS goal.....I still like UNDER, both teams will be stressing DEF first to help goalies...now if they will just be in position.
                                                Last edited by Seeing Stars; 02-13-13, 12:20 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Seeing Stars
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-19-13
                                                  • 1272

                                                  #1004
                                                  Most of ya'll don't like UNDER (boring) I know....just giving my take on it and I look at a push as a + not a -, that took awhile to learn
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Seeing Stars
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-19-13
                                                    • 1272

                                                    #1005
                                                    Originally posted by Chaosiam
                                                    Amen.
                                                    The number is dropping for STL ML am I missing something, DET should be big FAV
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cotes17
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-24-09
                                                      • 5228

                                                      #1006
                                                      Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                                      STARS ML, yes, yes , yes

                                                      I was waiting on UNDER call....

                                                      Bachman for STARS goal.....I still like UNDER, both teams will be stressing DEF first to help goalies...now if they will just be in position.
                                                      Think odds will go up if Bachman is in?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Chaosiam
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-31-13
                                                        • 874

                                                        #1007
                                                        Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                                        Lots of high scoring games in the past between OTT/PIT, but 10 unders this season for OTT, ???? ANY thoughts ...
                                                        I have a feeling that Pens are coming back like a train. Now I have to doubt even Erik Karlsson in Ottawas defense. I took pens -1.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seeing Stars
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-19-13
                                                          • 1272

                                                          #1008
                                                          Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                                                          Wings have won 3 straight, are at home coming off of 2 days rest, against a team they have outscored 10-4 in their last two matchups... going against a Blues team that has lost 5 in a row and has given up 5 or more goals in each of their last 5 games. I like the Wings here and actually think they are a pretty good value pick at -125 right now. Also like the Over a lot (esp at even, lots of value I think). The last 3 times these teams have played, the Over has hit. Blues are giving up goals like crazy right now. Wings starting to come to form.


                                                          Only thing that worries me is that these picks seem almost too obvious...

                                                          Still, strong lean for me on the Wings and the Over. Havn't had a chance to do my true research on it but when I do I'll report back.
                                                          Agreed, STL (EV) ??? WHAT AM I MISSING??
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cotes17
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-24-09
                                                            • 5228

                                                            #1009
                                                            Originally posted by Chaosiam
                                                            I have a feeling that Pens are coming back like a train. Now I have to doubt even Erik Karlsson in Ottawas defense. I took pens -1.
                                                            I'm on the same boat chao. Lets get em
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Chaosiam
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-31-13
                                                              • 874

                                                              #1010
                                                              Originally posted by cotes17
                                                              I'm on the same boat chao. Lets get em
                                                              Lock and load, let´s get ´em.

                                                              Stars, put on those asskicking boots of your. You got job to do.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seeing Stars
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-19-13
                                                                • 1272

                                                                #1011
                                                                Originally posted by cotes17
                                                                Think odds will go up if Bachman is in?
                                                                THEY won't go down, maybe....

                                                                B2B is betting influence more than anything
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seeing Stars
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-19-13
                                                                  • 1272

                                                                  #1012
                                                                  Originally posted by Chaosiam
                                                                  Lock and load, let´s get ´em.

                                                                  Stars, put on those asskicking boots of your. You got job to do.
                                                                  Boots only come out when I'm mad.....

                                                                  So what are we thinking guys??? Cotes, Chao...OVER in Pens ML, DET ML, DAL ML??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seeing Stars
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-19-13
                                                                    • 1272

                                                                    #1013
                                                                    Huckster, OV in CAL?? and what else
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Seeing Stars
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-19-13
                                                                      • 1272

                                                                      #1014
                                                                      here's what I have....

                                                                      DAL ML
                                                                      DAL UN
                                                                      STL/DET OV



                                                                      OTT/PIT
                                                                      DET ML
                                                                      (pending)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Chaosiam
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-31-13
                                                                        • 874

                                                                        #1015
                                                                        Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                                                        Boots only come out when I'm mad.....

                                                                        So what are we thinking guys??? Cotes, Chao...OVER in Pens ML, DET ML, DAL ML??
                                                                        Ottawa likes to play under so this can end both ways. But Pens ml, DET ml, DAL ml are on my mind today. Even thinking to made some kind of parlay...I have this strange feeling that im missing something here. these games seems somehow too obvious..
                                                                        Comment
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