Dexter - 2012/2013 NCAAF Plays

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  • Dfjay9
    SBR MVP
    • 12-04-08
    • 1576

    #736
    Originally posted by Dexter
    you like michigan st?
    Late but yeah I'm on msu. Getting owned today. Staring down the barrel of 1-5
    Comment
    • Dfjay9
      SBR MVP
      • 12-04-08
      • 1576

      #737
      Originally posted by Dexter
      yeah we should remind each other next year that 1-2u max on these early bowl games....im likely going to $50 per unit next season anyway. i have an insane amount of money in action this weekend.....too much
      Wk 1-2 easy... Wk 3= death
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #738
        Originally posted by Dfjay9
        Wk 1-2 easy... Wk 3= death
        Disagree. Look at the games that were played from the 15th through yesterday. How many of them were decided either by super random late-game plays? BYU scoring 2 TDs in 35 seconds, effectively ending what had been a close game. Cincinnati scoring 14 in 30 seconds after Duke fumbled when a FG would have won the game for them. Arizona's comeback win.

        All came about because the team with the upper hand wasn't good enough to close out the games. Bettors were either VERY lucky to win, or furious about the tough luck losses. Not easy at all.
        Comment
        • Dexter
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-24-08
          • 25829

          #739
          damn - look at this shut down defense of msu. i love it....

          did i really expect to win a bet like this?
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #740
            Originally posted by Dexter
            damn - look at this shut down defense of msu. i love it....

            did i really expect to win a bet like this?
            They've been doing this all year. For as good as they are 95% of the time, they're horribly undisciplined when it matters most. The corner that got burned on 3rd and long there is the biggest loser in the world. He's in for Johnny Adams, who has an injury. Every time that kid's on the field, something disastrous happens.
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #741
              bell reminds me of eddie george - tall, slow and basically useless unless you have a lead to run clock...
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #742
                Originally posted by Dexter
                bell reminds me of eddie george - tall, slow and basically useless unless you have a lead to run clock...
                He has zero breakaway speed and runs E/W too much. Yet he wants to go pro and probably will because of the shallow draft class of RB's.

                This team read its press clippings too much after beating UGA in last year's bowl game and paid the price accordingly. All of their defensive stars -- Gholston, Lewis, Adams, etc. -- regressed this year. They're all bark and no bite. And you can see how bad they are offensively.
                Comment
                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #743
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  He has zero breakaway speed and runs E/W too much. Yet he wants to go pro and probably will because of the shallow draft class of RB's.

                  This team read its press clippings too much after beating UGA in last year's bowl game and paid the price accordingly. All of their defensive stars -- Gholston, Lewis, Adams, etc. -- regressed this year. They're all bark and no bite. And you can see how bad they are offensively.
                  kadeem carey is legit....i think he'll be a fantasy star next season if he lands on the right team. where do guys like kiper project him among rb's coming out?
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #744
                    the gambling gods were just very good to me....i had 4u on cal irvine -8.5....game goes to OT and they win 11-0 in OT.

                    please do not take it away here....i will take the msu loss....just give me the under....i will actually win a nice amount of money today if the under hits
                    Comment
                    • Dfjay9
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-04-08
                      • 1576

                      #745
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      Disagree. Look at the games that were played from the 15th through yesterday. How many of them were decided either by super random late-game plays? BYU scoring 2 TDs in 35 seconds, effectively ending what had been a close game. Cincinnati scoring 14 in 30 seconds after Duke fumbled when a FG would have won the game for them. Arizona's comeback win.

                      All came about because the team with the upper hand wasn't good enough to close out the games. Bettors were either VERY lucky to win, or furious about the tough luck losses. Not easy at all.
                      I'm going to disagre with your disagree. I may be off with my timing of weeks but I refer to the hell week of the Duke games and co. Terrible beats. BG. Duke. You name it
                      Comment
                      • suicidekings
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-23-09
                        • 9962

                        #746
                        Originally posted by Dfjay9
                        I'm going to disagre with your disagree. I may be off with my timing of weeks but I refer to the hell week of the Duke games and co. Terrible beats. BG. Duke. You name it
                        Gotcha. I only mean that there's been some very rough game endings throughout the early games. In the regular season I only focus on about 30-40 teams and i just see a lot of the teams in those early matchups as teams that don't deserve to be playing in December. Inconsistency, bad coaching, lack of talent on both sides of the ball.

                        If I can't watch a game and see it being decided by good offensive plays being snuffed out by better defense (and vice versa), it's hard for me to stay interested or justify putting money on it.
                        Comment
                        • suicidekings
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-23-09
                          • 9962

                          #747
                          Originally posted by Dexter
                          bell reminds me of eddie george - tall, slow and basically useless unless you have a lead to run clock...
                          He's always boring to watch, but he's SO hard to take to the ground. He can move the chains though.
                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962

                            #748
                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                            He's always boring to watch, but he's SO hard to take to the ground. He can move the chains though.
                            And he might just have gotten us the win.
                            Comment
                            • oBaMa_MaNiA
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-20-09
                              • 1067

                              #749
                              holy fudge sticks.... what is happening with msu...

                              haha i was happy to take a beat at halftime with msu down 13-0 and dex's last college bball game. bball came back and now msu is infront...

                              fark me... going to have an even MORE profitable day today.
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #750
                                i got 3x at +2.5 and 4x at +2.....53 yarder by a freshman. ahhhhh
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #751
                                  run bell 3rd and 4

                                  how is msu's kicker?
                                  Comment
                                  • suicidekings
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-23-09
                                    • 9962

                                    #752
                                    There we go. A little momentum to build on. Now let's dig ourselves out of the hole and finish bowl season strong
                                    Comment
                                    • matt711
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-09-12
                                      • 2283

                                      #753
                                      Damn..I was waiting for TCU to score on fourth and 25 and then go for 2pt conversion....I think after watching the last few bowl and NFL games.
                                      ..
                                      Comment
                                      • matt711
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-09-12
                                        • 2283

                                        #754
                                        Nice to finally have a decent ending....BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • Dexter
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-24-08
                                          • 25829

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by suicidekings
                                          There we go. A little momentum to build on. Now let's dig ourselves out of the hole and finish bowl season strong
                                          next week i am not making the same gameday switches last minute....going to try and re-evaluate every game over the next few days and finalize my plays. i already have lsu -3.5 for 3x but just hammered it some more at 5.5.

                                          12/31 games finalalized
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #756
                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                            Tuesday 1/1:

                                            Heart of Dallas Bowl

                                            (4u) Over Oklahoma St/Purdue 70
                                            Originally posted by Dexter

                                            TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl

                                            (1u) Mississippi St -2

                                            Outback Bowl

                                            (2u) South Carolina -5

                                            Capital One Bowl

                                            (4u) Georgia -10

                                            Rose Bowl

                                            (2u) Stanford -6.5
                                            Originally posted by Dexter

                                            Discover Orange Bowl

                                            (4u) Florida St -12.5
                                            (1u) Over Florida St/N. Illinois 58.5
                                            (1u) Purdue +17
                                            ----------------------------
                                            (2u) Mississippi St +2 (3u total)
                                            (1u) Under Miss St/NWestern 52.5
                                            ----------------------------
                                            (5u) S. Carolina -5 (7u total)
                                            (1u) Under SC/Michigan 48
                                            ----------------------------
                                            (2u) Georgia -8.5 (6u total)
                                            (2u) Over Georgia/Nebraska 60
                                            ----------------------------
                                            (6u) Wisconsin +6.5 (4u total)
                                            (1u) Under Wisc/Stanford 47.5
                                            ----------------------------
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #757
                                              flipped my opinion in the rose bowl....love the barry alvarez angle. net 4u on wiscy (see post 756)

                                              plays for 12/31 and 1/1 are final - no adding/flipping etc anymore. i have all the information i need.
                                              Comment
                                              • mlb
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-04-09
                                                • 10509

                                                #758
                                                What u end up netting yesyterday in bowls and overall?
                                                Comment
                                                • Dexter
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #759
                                                  Originally posted by mlb
                                                  What u end up netting yesyterday in bowls and overall?
                                                  +2 yesterday....will update overall today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #760
                                                    Originally posted by Dexter
                                                    Bowls Week 2: 3-4 (-1u)
                                                    Bowls YTD: 6-4 (+3.8u)
                                                    Overall YTD: 182-167 (+20.05u)
                                                    Bowls Week 3: 7-16 (-22.5u)
                                                    Bowls YTD: 13-20 (-18.7u)
                                                    Overall YTD: 189-183 (-2.45u)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mlb
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                      • 10509

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                      +2 yesterday....will update overall today
                                                      No big just curious cuz I was oppo you on a few again
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        Monday 12/31:
                                                        Music City Bowl
                                                        (2u) Vanderbilt -6.5
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        Chick-fil-A Bowl
                                                        (3u) LSU -3.5
                                                        (1u) Over LSU/Clemson 58.5
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        Hyundai Sun Bowl
                                                        (3u) USC -10
                                                        (2u) Over USC/Georgia Tech 64
                                                        -------------------------------
                                                        Autozone Liberty Bowl
                                                        (1u) Tulsa +1
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        Discover Orange Bowl
                                                        (4u) Florida St -12.5
                                                        (1u) Over Florida St/N. Illinois 58.5
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        (3u) Vanderbilt -7 (5u total)
                                                        ------------------------------
                                                        (1u) Tulsa +1.5 (2u total)
                                                        (1u) Under Tulsa/Iowa St 51
                                                        ------------------------------
                                                        (7u) LSU -5.5 (10u total)
                                                        Card is final for New Years Eve - No last minute changes this week. Happy New Years and Good Luck to everyone. Don't drink and drive..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #763
                                                          Originally posted by Dexter
                                                          Wednesday 1/2:

                                                          Allstate Sugar Bowl

                                                          (3u) Florida -13
                                                          Originally posted by Dexter

                                                          (2u) Florida -13 (5u total)
                                                          (2u) Louisville +14_I still feel confident in Florida but its not a 5x play relative to other selections i have. The Big East was very close to being 3-0 if not for Rutgers late collapse. Louisville has a good defense which could keep them in the game, however i feel bridgewater will make some turnovers to help florida cover the large number. The strength of schedule for these 2 teams are not even close but i am considering what the Big East has done so far (still keeping in mind that duke and w. virginia have horrid defenses). Since i was able to get 14 now, i think its smart to hedge a little and hope for the game to land on a common number like 14. If a 13 point win happens i also turn a small profit rather then push.

                                                          Net Play: 3x Florida
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RDUBS
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-01-10
                                                            • 224

                                                            #764
                                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                                            Card is final for New Years Eve - No last minute changes this week. Happy New Years and Good Luck to everyone. Don't drink and drive..
                                                            I second that! No Drinking and Driving!!! Have a safe and Happy New Year Dex and the rest of you kings of industry! Good luck in the year to come.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-20-09
                                                              • 1067

                                                              #765
                                                              lets smash it tomorrow.

                                                              little weary about dogs covering very well ATS in the past for music and chikafil bowls
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #766
                                                                usc doesnt want to be here....i always fade paul johnson, but this is too many points for an uninspired team who also lost their star qb. would have bought out if i could but the line dropped too much....i'm content with having my day rest on the tigers
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mlb
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                                  • 10509

                                                                  #767
                                                                  I have lsu at 5 and 6 .... thinking about letting er rip at 5 so it doesn't go up
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by mlb
                                                                    I have lsu at 5 and 6 .... thinking about letting er rip at 5 so it doesn't go up
                                                                    it may take a while, and clemson may be up early - but i expect that front line to wear down clemson and open up gaping holes come the 4th...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      usc doesnt want to be here....i always fade paul johnson, but this is too many points for an uninspired team who also lost their star qb. would have bought out if i could but the line dropped too much....i'm content with having my day rest on the tigers
                                                                      This QB is awful, and Kiffin again proves he can't coach his way out of a paper bag.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dexter
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                                        • 25829

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                        This QB is awful, and Kiffin again proves he can't coach his way out of a paper bag.
                                                                        he has a big time arm - just throw deep balls to these studs on the outside......paul johnson gets his win. i always look for the unmotivated angle but im always anti paul johnnson when a defense has 3 weeks to prepare. wiped out vandy...
                                                                        Comment
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