Pags' Plays 9/20

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  • pags11
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-05
    • 12264

    #1
    Pags' Plays 9/20
    Sat.

    All plays for 2.5 units...

    Tennessee +8
    Air Force +7.5
    Mississippi St. +7
    Arkansas +10
    San Jose St. +10
    Arizona State +7
    Wake Forest +4.5

    one more play to follow...
    Last edited by pags11; 09-14-08, 08:44 PM. Reason: mispelled ASU...added Wake Forest on 9/14 at 6:44 PST...
  • VolinArizona
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-06-07
    • 171

    #2
    Originally posted by pags11
    Sat.

    All plays for 2.5 units...

    Tennessee +8
    Air Force +7.5
    Mississippi St. +7
    Arkansas +10
    San Jose St. +10
    Arizona State +7

    one more play to follow...
    Thanks man!

    Got UT at 7.5
    AFA at 8
    Miss St at 8
    Arky at 10
    SJSU at 9.5
    ASU at 6.5

    I'm fine with half point worse numbers, except ASU's.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #3
      volin,

      good to hear bud...GL to you...
      Comment
      • VolinArizona
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-06-07
        • 171

        #4
        Thank you - I hate the Tennessee pick, but I have a boatload of faith in your capping skills. Best here, by far.
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          volin,

          appreciate it...
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            I don't recall you betting more than 3 units, but only been following since last season . . what is the biggest your units go too?
            Comment
            • taurus
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-11-05
              • 206

              #7
              Had a few winners yesterday, pags, with abig thank you to you.
              You got- and deservedly so- a couple of better lines than i did so your UGA win was a push for me. I never would have played BYU, GT, or Purdue on my own !!!! Too late for me to watch, but I guess we might have expected better in that Fresno game.
              Buona fortuna this week.
              taurus the bull
              Last edited by taurus; 09-14-08, 07:56 PM.
              Comment
              • Akins
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-14-08
                • 5

                #8
                Pags',

                Interesting pick with TN. Would you care to comment on this game? Also, do you have an opinion about the Navy +4 v. Rutgers; ECU -7.5 v. NCSt. I really do enjoy reading your thread every week. Thanks Again!
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  I'll be on Tennesse and Mississippi St for sure. . .
                  Comment
                  • taurus
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-11-05
                    • 206

                    #10
                    oops, almost forgot.
                    there was that baseball game, also.
                    3-2. Loved it.
                    Comment
                    • Tosser
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-13-08
                      • 263

                      #11
                      with you on the Sun Devils and Air Force
                      Comment
                      • Russs
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 09-14-08
                        • 3

                        #12
                        Really like your picks pags. I've been following them for a little while now and just wanted to say that I appreciate you sharing (and the way you share) them with us. GL, as always
                        Comment
                        • pags11
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-05
                          • 12264

                          #13
                          kid,

                          three units is the maximum I play on a game...good to hear we will be on those two together...BOL this week...

                          taurus,

                          congrats on a good week as well...good to hear we will be on some games again together...GL to you...

                          tosser,

                          ...

                          russ,

                          thanks for posting and the kind words...GL to you...
                          Comment
                          • ZBOIZ
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 06-22-08
                            • 21464

                            #14
                            Pags why you like Mississippi State? I remember last year when State went to West Virginia against a scrambling qb and got drilled! I like the points but then again I have to see how State defense can handle mobile QB'S.
                            Comment
                            • shrax4
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-11-06
                              • 399

                              #15
                              Thank you pags for increasing my bankroll
                              Comment
                              • pags11
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-18-05
                                • 12264

                                #16
                                zboiz,

                                if I remember correctly they covered that game based on the closing number...have you had a chance to watch either Mississippi St. or Georgia Tech play yet this year?...anytime I can get two similiar teams and over a TD I'm interested...I'll explain more in my write-up later this week...BOL to you...

                                shrax,

                                you are welcome...thanks for stopping by...
                                Comment
                                • casper
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 07-13-08
                                  • 87

                                  #17
                                  Love the San Jose State pick

                                  For those not on the west coast, San Jose v. Stanford is the class warfare bowl. Poor school v. rich school and year after year, San Jose State either loses a close one or beats them. Spartans have shown steady improvement and have a good coach. Stanford, as we have seen, is up and down and tends to play to level of opponent. Schools are about 12 miles apart. This looks like a trap for Stanford as they look ahead to rest of Pac -10 schedule.
                                  Comment
                                  • VolinArizona
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-06-07
                                    • 171

                                    #18
                                    Pags, is Wake your last play of the week?
                                    Comment
                                    • pags11
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-05
                                      • 12264

                                      #19
                                      casper,

                                      thanks for your thoughts on the SJSU vs. Stanford game...BOL to you...

                                      volin,

                                      yes, Wake Forest is my final play for the week...
                                      Comment
                                      • ZBOIZ
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 06-22-08
                                        • 21464

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by pags11
                                        zboiz,

                                        if I remember correctly they covered that game based on the closing number...have you had a chance to watch either Mississippi St. or Georgia Tech play yet this year?...anytime I can get two similiar teams and over a TD I'm interested...I'll explain more in my write-up later this week...BOL to you...

                                        shrax,

                                        you are welcome...thanks for stopping by...
                                        Yea I did get a chance to look at them both real good. But I do like State to cover because there all defense. I do think that defense is what cover games and not offense. But I can see this game being covered by STATE.
                                        Comment
                                        • tobycsh39
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 06-04-08
                                          • 114

                                          #21
                                          Pags really interested in your Arkansas pick. Alabama is rolling right now and Nick Saban seems like hes on a mission to show everyone that Alabama is for real. Any early comments on why you chose Arkansas?
                                          "Nobody in football should be called a genius. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein." - Joe Theismann
                                          Comment
                                          • etothep
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-14-07
                                            • 1299

                                            #22
                                            Wow, BOL to you on the Tennessee pick pags! Wish I had the cajones to bet that one.
                                            Comment
                                            • pags11
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-18-05
                                              • 12264

                                              #23
                                              zboiz,

                                              agreed...

                                              toby,

                                              I'll explain more in my write-up later this week but expect a great effort from Arkansas this week after a week off against an Alabama team on the road for the first time...

                                              etothep,

                                              thanks man...GL to you as well this week...
                                              Comment
                                              • ohmigods
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-14-08
                                                • 17

                                                #24
                                                GL Pags
                                                and thanks
                                                really apreciate posting the early plays
                                                Comment
                                                • White_Tiger
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-29-07
                                                  • 465

                                                  #25
                                                  look great there Pags, Thanks for the info
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shrax4
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-11-06
                                                    • 399

                                                    #26
                                                    Can't wait for these write ups.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cashflow50
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-23-07
                                                      • 140

                                                      #27
                                                      runn'n dawgs..love em all pags.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ZBOIZ
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 06-22-08
                                                        • 21464

                                                        #28
                                                        Pags whats the strongest play u like?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • awhitejackson
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-15-07
                                                          • 2265

                                                          #29
                                                          I really like these Pags....especially Tennesee, AF, Miss st. (now at +9), and Wke....What do you think about WVU this Thursday???? I am just too much of a fan and my judgement gets a little cloudy, but with the Mounties going back to the run I think -3 is worth a shot for good money... Ive already gone in (for 4 units, ouch!!) but would still like to hear your thooughts....Thanks....Jackson
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pags11
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-18-05
                                                            • 12264

                                                            #30
                                                            ohmigods,

                                                            no problem at all...GL to you this week...

                                                            white_tiger,

                                                            you're welcome bud...BOL to you this week...

                                                            shrax,

                                                            thanks man...will have them up Thu. night as usual...

                                                            cashflow,

                                                            appreciate it sir...glad you feel good about the picks, it definitely helps when you can run the ball...

                                                            zboiz,

                                                            I played them all for the same ammount, don't have a favorite play amongst the group...

                                                            awhite,

                                                            glad to hear you like those two plays...I lean to Colorado at +4.5 or more, otherwise I have no opinion on the game...GL to you...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Thorpe
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 08-25-08
                                                              • 17

                                                              #31
                                                              Wake Forest is my top pick this week. I can't understand why Florida State is ranked in the top 25.

                                                              But my next pick would be Bama. I think Arkansas is horrible this year, but I agree they will give maximum effort this game.

                                                              My third pick is SJSt. Kyle Reed is by far the better QB in this matchup and that means a lot in college football.

                                                              I'm a big fan of G Tech this year, but that is a lot of points to lay for the kind of team G Tech is. Going to pass on this game but I hope GT wins because I have a good bet on them season wins over 6. I am looking for a 3 to 6 point win, unless Miss St has big trouble with the option.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • merkyone
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 09-17-08
                                                                • 42

                                                                #32
                                                                newbie... but

                                                                i may be new on the forum but i can tell you from 18 years of sports betting on almost exclusively college football that when you have 2 ranked teams playing and the lower ranked team is favored (FSU)... NEVER play against that team. i mostly always play dogs and i love pag's picks in general but this is a situation i have been burned on before just an FYI.

                                                                i'm also a bama fan but i'll be on ar-kansas as well! GL
                                                                Last edited by merkyone; 09-17-08, 04:51 PM. Reason: forgot to mention what team (FSU)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mr Handicapable
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-23-07
                                                                  • 6067

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Pags,

                                                                  What do you think of New Mexico +10.5 at Tulsa! NM won for me outright as a home dog last week and Rodney Ferguson is the real deal at RB! Tulsa may light them up but I think they're the more physical team and may pull an upset here!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pags11
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-18-05
                                                                    • 12264

                                                                    #34
                                                                    thorpe,

                                                                    thanks for your thoughts...BOL to you this week...

                                                                    merky,

                                                                    have to respectfully disagree with you here...when you have an UNRANKED home favorite vs. a ranked road dog the percentages show that the majority of the time the unranked team has a good chance of covering...however, in this case BOTH teams are ranked and there is no historical trend of either side covering more than the other...GL to you this week...

                                                                    mr. handicapable,

                                                                    if I were to bet one favorite this week (which I'm not), it would be Tulsa...hope that helps...GL bud...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • etothep
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-14-07
                                                                      • 1299

                                                                      #35
                                                                      pags, just curious how you see the va tech/tarhole game?
                                                                      Comment
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