College Football Picks and Research with John Ryan

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  • drew2
    SBR MVP
    • 10-05-10
    • 1047

    #36
    thanks for thepick john good luck
    Comment
    • Salvatore Bing
      SBR Rookie
      • 10-29-11
      • 15

      #37
      John - will you be posting your Bowl selections in this thread? Also, can I ask what your record was last season?
      Comment
      • John Ryan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-10
        • 2428

        #38
        Originally posted by Salvatore Bing
        John - will you be posting your Bowl selections in this thread? Also, can I ask what your record was last season?
        Bowl plays will start being released tonight or first thing in the morning. I have hit 60% ATS with bowls, but 2 seasons ago I had a miraculous 13-1 ATS run. But, PLEASE do not expect that this year. 60% ATS is nearly always my goal. Thanks
        Comment
        • cdnicholson
          SBR Rookie
          • 12-16-11
          • 12

          #39
          Hi John,

          Do you have ideas for Sam Houston game and WhiteWater?

          All your input is appreciated...

          TY,
          CDN
          Comment
          • Mr stickaho
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-05-11
            • 46

            #40
            looking forward to your picks for tomorrow games
            Comment
            • John Ryan
              SBR MVP
              • 11-20-10
              • 2428

              #41
              First 5* Bowl game release is on Utah State Saturday.
              Utah State can bet bet a pick -120 at Sportsinteraction. I believe you will see other books follow suit and move the line to pick-em as the afternoon wears on. Research is posted on the site. Thanks
              Comment
              • cantpickem
                SBR Rookie
                • 12-09-09
                • 47

                #42
                Originally posted by John Ryan
                First 5* Bowl game release is on Utah State Saturday.
                Utah State can bet bet a pick -120 at Sportsinteraction. I believe you will see other books follow suit and move the line to pick-em as the afternoon wears on. Research is posted on the site. Thanks
                Hi John, This is one of my few posts in the forum. I was wondering why your selection is Utah St. Just curious. I've been looking at lines for the past two years and have believed that if the line drops then go with the dog unless the public is dropping the line. I haven't been able to get a good feel on whether or not the public is dropping the line or if the 'sharps' are influencing the line. thanks in advance
                Comment
                • rockhardfister
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-27-08
                  • 1037

                  #43
                  GA Southern/NDSU OVER 51...fast track indoors. NDSU hasnt seen the triple option this year and GSU will not be able to stop NDSU offense consistently.
                  Comment
                  • John Ryan
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-20-10
                    • 2428

                    #44
                    Originally posted by cantpickem
                    Hi John, This is one of my few posts in the forum. I was wondering why your selection is Utah St. Just curious. I've been looking at lines for the past two years and have believed that if the line drops then go with the dog unless the public is dropping the line. I haven't been able to get a good feel on whether or not the public is dropping the line or if the 'sharps' are influencing the line. thanks in advance
                    check out the lead article on this game in the College Football section of SBR and it is all there. Thanks
                    Comment
                    • John Ryan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-20-10
                      • 2428

                      #45
                      Originally posted by rockhardfister
                      GA Southern/NDSU OVER 51...fast track indoors. NDSU hasnt seen the triple option this year and GSU will not be able to stop NDSU offense consistently.
                      Triple option is hard to defend if you have never seen it. G-tech is successful simply because of that fact.. It is not till later in the year when coaches have enough film and are able to teach defending the option that Tech begins to struggle. I like your thoughts
                      Comment
                      • Salvatore Bing
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 10-29-11
                        • 15

                        #46
                        Is there a play tonight?
                        Comment
                        • John Ryan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 2428

                          #47
                          OK. for the bowl game tonight. Take Florida International minus the four points as a 5* graded play. I see FI controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and and will have a significant advantage in time of possession. This is just supporting the play produced by the sim. Marshall is just 4-16 ATS in road games after a game where they forced three or more turnovers since 1992. Yes, every year there is significant turnover in College Football, but this sort of turnover trend applies to all teams. It just seems there is a strong propensity for a reversal of fortune for teams that had a big day forcing turnovers in their last game. Again, we are making this play because fo the sim and the angle only serves to support the sim. Got it? Good.
                          Comment
                          • pimike
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-23-08
                            • 37139

                            #48
                            Maybe you will get tomorrows play right. Hang in there.
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 51981

                              #49
                              anything on tonights game mr. john??
                              Comment
                              • John Ryan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-20-10
                                • 2428

                                #50
                                5* 'UNDER' TCU/LA-Tech in in the Poinsettia Bowl

                                Louisiana Tech has been stout against the run and is capable of slowing TCU's ground game. It starts up front, where 340-pound NT Justin Ellis is a space-eater who can occupy multiple blockers while LBs Adrian Cole and Jay Dudley locate and fly to the football. Even the defensive backs mix it up in run support and tackle well. And don't expect the Bulldogs to wear down, even though Horned Frogs RBs Ed Wesley, Matthew Tucker and Waymon James are all productive. That trio will split carries and keep one another fresh, but Tech defensive coordinator Tommy Spangler will counter by rotating defensive linemen in and out of the game.

                                more research in my article on the site.

                                I also think doing a 2* money line play taking Louisiana Tech is very attractive.
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 51981

                                  #51
                                  thank you for the research and picks as always!!

                                  Comment
                                  • frostie
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-16-11
                                    • 277

                                    #52
                                    what the lowest you would take the under at john?
                                    Comment
                                    • haledamage
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 01-15-10
                                      • 60

                                      #53
                                      Out of curiosity, do you write for Scouts Inc. or was this just copied from their posted article?
                                      Comment
                                      • chief42
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-06-10
                                        • 315

                                        #54
                                        In his article he posted 55.5, mine is down to 54.5. He was hoping that the "public" would drive it up to 56, clearly that hasn't happened.
                                        Last edited by chief42; 12-21-11, 07:58 PM. Reason: wrong info
                                        Comment
                                        • chipper13101
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-27-08
                                          • 405

                                          #55
                                          Clearly it HAS happened. I picked up 56.5 at Sports Interaction 3 or 4 hours ago.
                                          Comment
                                          • chief42
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-06-10
                                            • 315

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by chipper13101
                                            Clearly it HAS happened. I picked up 56.5 at Sports Interaction 3 or 4 hours ago.
                                            Hey that's good for you. I was writing that post at the time I saw the line, around 730. It may not matter for either of us. Looking good so far
                                            gl.
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 51981

                                              #57
                                              as soon as he posted the article, i went straight to 5dimes and it was 55.5

                                              also took la tech +300 ML as well, figured the price was right for it too
                                              Last edited by 5mike5; 12-21-11, 10:45 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • jayfly
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-18-09
                                                • 1234

                                                #58
                                                Tought start to bowl season for you. Really liked tonights play. Things just fell apart in 2nd half. What was your record in the regular season John?
                                                Comment
                                                • PeEWeEZeE
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 10-03-11
                                                  • 50

                                                  #59
                                                  Under 55.5 whew!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Looking4Winners
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-21-11
                                                    • 1198

                                                    #60
                                                    Thank You John. Was fortunate to get 56 from my bookman. He doesn't allow ML plays so I took La Tech plus the 11.. SWEET!!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • psufan
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-05-11
                                                      • 755

                                                      #61
                                                      Tonight's game (TCU/Louisiana State) sliced on point. You want the game to be close the whole time , cause if it covers easily, one wishes they might have touched the game harder and considered it a more solid play. But in the end if you come out victoriously, its never unfavorable.

                                                      Thanks again, John. I know nothing about some of the smaller conference teams but your analysis once again proves that a handicapping database holds water and is more favorable than a "gut" feeling. Just wish I had as much knowledge as you.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cmle123
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-18-10
                                                        • 624

                                                        #62
                                                        he know bullshit. lou wouldn't even cover if they didn't punt the ball on their last drive
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 51981

                                                          #63
                                                          thank you AGAIN mr. john ryan!!!!

                                                          u are making this a very merry x-mas week going into huge Bowl week next week!!!!

                                                          got the Under at 55.5 tonight...LOVE IT!!!

                                                          Comment
                                                          • chief42
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-06-10
                                                            • 315

                                                            #64
                                                            glad I bought a point to 55.5 phew
                                                            Comment
                                                            • psufan
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-05-11
                                                              • 755

                                                              #65
                                                              The over/under for the Boise St / ASU game went down 4 points today to 64 in Betislands. I'll take that as affirmation.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Salvatore Bing
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 10-29-11
                                                                • 15

                                                                #66
                                                                No play tonight?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • John Ryan
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-20-10
                                                                  • 2428

                                                                  #67
                                                                  The play is/has been 5* UNDER ASU/Boise State and the research is on the front page of the College Football section. Thanks.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Salvatore Bing
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 10-29-11
                                                                    • 15

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Thanks John, good luck tonight!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PeEWeEZeE
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 10-03-11
                                                                      • 50

                                                                      #69
                                                                      These team love airing the ball out hope your right John.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • John Ryan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-20-10
                                                                        • 2428

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Salvatore Bing
                                                                        Thanks John, good luck tonight!
                                                                        Thanks!
                                                                        Comment
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