Harry's Bowl Package

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  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #1
    Harry's Bowl Package
    Boyz,

    Turned a nice profit in this 2010 college football season, both with my side plays (62-42) and with my "total package" plays (50-44). Gonna hope to cap it off with a successful Bowl campaign. I will combine my plays and totals selections right here in the same thread.

    FRESNO STATE +1- against NORTHERN ILLINOIS

    If this game were played a month ago, I would've sided with Northern Illinois laying double digits. But obviously things have changed. All the momentum and intangibles are with Fresno in this Humanitarian Bowl showdown. The Broncos had a great year, as evidenced by their 9-3 record (straight up and ATS). They averaged 265 ypg on the ground, a whopping 6.2 ypc. Closer inspection however shows that they faced the 119th (outta 120) difficulty of schedule. They played a lot of cupcakes. They also laid a foul-smelling egg in their conference Championship game, losing outright to Miami-Ohio as a 17- point favorite. After that game, their highly-regarded coach (Kill) left for greener pastures, bringing with him his 2 top assistant coaches. The wheels appear to be off, at least temporarily, for Northern Illinois. Fresno meanwhile finished up their regular season with an impressive victory over Illinois. The Boise crowd will strongly favor the Bulldogs. Go with Fresno, as they should win outright.

    More plays to follow as I see fit.

    As always, best of luck.
    Harry

    2010 college plays, 62-42
    2010 college totals, 50-44
  • SECOND SHIFT
    Restricted User
    • 04-15-10
    • 338

    #2
    Good luck Harry, I'l be following.
    Comment
    • FeelinJuiced
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-16-09
      • 314

      #3
      I like the logic, like the play... BOL!!
      Comment
      • pdx107
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-20-09
        • 923

        #4
        I must say I like Fresno as well
        Comment
        • jwbama23
          SBR MVP
          • 01-17-10
          • 2373

          #5
          A couple shops have bumped it back to 2 points already.

          Im on Northern Illinois -1 but who knows with these bowl games
          Comment
          • suman
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-04-10
            • 855

            #6
            Gl with all the plays this year
            Comment
            • Going4Broke
              Restricted User
              • 09-30-10
              • 294

              #7
              Thanks for the picks and BOL!
              Comment
              • Big Dave's Picks
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-21-10
                • 478

                #8
                BOL Harry I have tailed a few times this year and always look forward to your analysis. I like your logic with the Fresno pk, and I wonder if N.ILL. players knew thier coach was gone after the conf. title game? Anyhow thanks again Big Dave.
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #9
                  like Fresno a lot, Harry, nice write-up. BOL to you.
                  Comment
                  • JMF2479
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-29-09
                    • 592

                    #10
                    I'm on Fresno too
                    Comment
                    • CBASS
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-10
                      • 2613

                      #11
                      Good luck this bowl season Harry!
                      Comment
                      • docvinny
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-21-09
                        • 386

                        #12
                        thanks for the insight and good luck Harry
                        Comment
                        • JMF2479
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-29-09
                          • 592

                          #13
                          Does the weather affect your pick?
                          Comment
                          • sweethook
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-21-07
                            • 12667

                            #14
                            if anyone would know id say it your man, gl
                            Comment
                            • FJ_islander
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-03-10
                              • 1054

                              #15
                              GL with you pick Harry. I hope that you are able to continue with your wins all the way into the bowl season as well.
                              Comment
                              • Harry N. Lloyd
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-08
                                • 4810

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JMF2479
                                Does the weather affect your pick?
                                No. Still like Fresno. They're bigger and stronger.
                                Comment
                                • Harry N. Lloyd
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-08
                                  • 4810

                                  #17
                                  A giant OOPS on the Fresno pick, boyz! I totally misjudged the significance of Northern Illinois' coach situation. The Broncos were a far better team today and, in fact, seemed better prepared. Kudos to that interim coach. As for the poor bet.....we'll get it back in the games to come.

                                  Harry
                                  Comment
                                  • ronjon619
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-06-09
                                    • 3675

                                    #18
                                    Broncos?
                                    Comment
                                    • Harry N. Lloyd
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-08
                                      • 4810

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ronjon619
                                      Broncos?
                                      Er.....brain cramp, or too much egg nog.......Huskies.
                                      Comment
                                      • docvinny
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-21-09
                                        • 386

                                        #20
                                        not your fault, Fresno forgot to show up after their opening drive
                                        Comment
                                        • JMF2479
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-29-09
                                          • 592

                                          #21
                                          Shit happens. There are plenty of games left
                                          Comment
                                          • spongerat
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-01-08
                                            • 2023

                                            #22
                                            say boise -17 next please
                                            Comment
                                            • shopbar picks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-08-10
                                              • 2157

                                              #23
                                              Harry i really like the over in this game. In Sunny FLA. SoMs should put up enough points to win. And they give up 30ppg. Thoughts? Thanx for the picks. Slim@ Spb
                                              Comment
                                              • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-26-08
                                                • 4810

                                                #24
                                                Sorry, Shopbar....don't have a strong feeling about the Louisville/S.Miss game or the total. Not seeing these early bowl games with any clarity. Got a few good plays coming up soon.

                                                Harry
                                                Comment
                                                • shopbar picks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-08-10
                                                  • 2157

                                                  #25
                                                  0k thank you.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DangerousOne
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-30-08
                                                    • 249

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by shopbar picks
                                                    Harry i really like the over in this game. In Sunny FLA. SoMs should put up enough points to win. And they give up 30ppg. Thoughts? Thanx for the picks. Slim@ Spb
                                                    This game won't see much sunshine... it's in a dome.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shopbar picks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-08-10
                                                      • 2157

                                                      #27
                                                      My buddy cory does not think utah has a chance here. Kellen Moore got snubbed has had a good career. And will seek revenge. In his opinion utah scores 10pts. So Boise has to make up the difference to hit 60+. For the over. Thanx for the input. Slim@Sbp
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-26-08
                                                        • 4810

                                                        #28
                                                        Boyz, was gonna sit this one out but late line moves are working in my favor....

                                                        SAN DIEGO STATE/NAVY - OVER 58

                                                        Last week the Aztecs were favored by 5 but obviously the money has come in on Navy, as the line is now only -3. The reason, no doubt, has something to do with the heavy rain which has soaked the field. The sloppy conditions seem to favor the triple option of Navy as opposed to the passing attack of SD State. The total has similarly moved down, going from 60- to 58. I'm seeing this dip as value, as I think the game will easily score into the 60s. Neither team is equipped to stop the other. The Aztecs have tall, fast, talented receivers. The Middies secondary will be overmatched. The Aztecs should put up close to 350 yds through the air alone. Navy meanwhile will dominate on the ground. They average over 300 yds/game rushing, an impressive 5.5 ypc. The wet field will make them only tougher to contain. The San Diego rain has subsided but the field will be slippery--advantage offenses. Both teams should move the ball at will and this one goes OVER.

                                                        As always, best of luck.
                                                        Harry
                                                        Comment
                                                        • masr
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-20-07
                                                          • 4773

                                                          #29
                                                          Likin the over...Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #30
                                                            totally agree with the over and your match-ups analysis, Harry. watched that line all day, and as soon as it jumped at The Greek, i nabbed it at 58'. would've been nice to get 57', but the main thing is not losing on a 59. BOL to you tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • docvinny
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-21-09
                                                              • 386

                                                              #31
                                                              I agree with your thinking harry and I am also gonna take navy +3
                                                              Comment
                                                              • docvinny
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-21-09
                                                                • 386

                                                                #32
                                                                well navy didn't show up for the game last night, onto the next one
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CBASS
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-10
                                                                  • 2613

                                                                  #33
                                                                  bump!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-26-08
                                                                    • 4810

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Boyz,

                                                                    Can't fully explain it.....but these bowl games are boring the shit outta me. Teams that haven't played in over a month playing meaningless games, coaches coming and going, players suspended. How can any sane person prefer this crap over a college football championship complete with playoffs?? And you know who's complicit in this crime against humanity? ESPN. They're broadcasting 95% of these bowl games. Complete garbage. These games offer less viewing excitement than NFL pre-season games. If it weren't for Vegas and their betting lines, who would give a crap who wins between Toledo and Florida International? Or West Virginia and NC State for that matter?

                                                                    Jaded? No.....pissed is more like it. Hope I live long enough to see "December Madness" finally come. Don't care if I never hear the words 'bowl game' again. That said, I'm hanging up my pencil and leather visor for the rest of the season. I will return in the Fall. Until then, best of luck and a happy new year to all of you.

                                                                    Harry

                                                                    2010 college plays, 62-43
                                                                    2010 college totals, 50-45

                                                                    p.s. Not an official play but.....I lean to the UNDER in the Missouri/Iowa game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ebbearsfb1
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-07-08
                                                                      • 18815

                                                                      #35
                                                                      good luck
                                                                      Comment
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