WTF? Nevada -10 at La Tech?

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  • Nickelicious
    SBR MVP
    • 05-21-09
    • 2647

    #1
    WTF? Nevada -10 at La Tech?
    Louisiana Tech is 5-6 and lost to Hawaii by 20 and Boise State by 29. Granted, those losses were on the road, and they have been fairly competitive this year, but Nevada does not want to stain their pristine 11-1 record with a loss to an under .500 team in the last game of the season. And they can get to a much better bowl game by beating the Bulldogs.

    What's strange is the line opened at -12 1/2 and Nevada has easily been the public favorite, yet the line has dropped to -10. The books are encouraging you to bet on Nevada at -10!

    What am I missing here? Is there any reason not to find value on the Wolf Pack at -10 and go large?
  • wookieehumper
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-09-09
    • 355

    #2
    Trap. After Nevada's big win over Boise, it's entirely possible Nevada will not take this game seriously
    Comment
    • spongerat
      SBR MVP
      • 10-01-08
      • 2023

      #3
      agree, letdown situation possible
      Comment
      • blackbox
        SBR MVP
        • 02-28-08
        • 1415

        #4
        no letdown Auldt will have Nevada ready. Worked too hard to get this far.
        Comment
        • bacon22
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-09-10
          • 292

          #5
          I don't think this will be a trap. I actually think this game is not going to be that close.
          Comment
          • hoku808pc
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-30-10
            • 668

            #6
            Originally posted by bacon22
            I don't think this will be a trap. I actually think this game is not going to be that close.
            I don't either... La Tech is good, but Nevada is a lot better than them...

            Maybe win by 17???

            IDK... Looks like a good play on Nevada...
            Comment
            • SVD514
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-22-10
              • 115

              #7
              No way Nevada is a let down this week. But vegas does know better than we do, maybe it is a trap.... I thing ill go with nevada though
              Comment
              • DarkNite
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-09
                • 5023

                #8
                If I bet this game, I will go with La Tech, since the pub heavily bet on Nevada and the line supposed to move from -12 to -13 and so on, but the line moved down to -10. I will wait before game time to see if the line will go up or downward more.
                Comment
                • Saluki09
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-30-08
                  • 1003

                  #9
                  I like Nevada at -10 all day
                  Comment
                  • MendozaLine
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-11-10
                    • 4088

                    #10
                    Classic letdown spot. La Tech or no play at all.
                    Comment
                    • Hat McCulloch
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-04-10
                      • 161

                      #11
                      they are thinking let down. Nevada won it's biggest game ever, now they play an average team at best.
                      Comment
                      • madworld
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-08-08
                        • 251

                        #12
                        Nevada -10 would normally be a strong play, but not with the letdown theory. Sorry, no play for me!
                        Comment
                        • hoku808pc
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-30-10
                          • 668

                          #13
                          Originally posted by DarkNite
                          If I bet this game, I will go with La Tech, since the pub heavily bet on Nevada and the line supposed to move from -12 to -13 and so on, but the line moved down to -10. I will wait before game time to see if the line will go up or downward more.

                          Wait, so if the line goes up then what do you do??? What about if it goes down???

                          Just curious bro, thats all...tnx
                          Comment
                          • VenomLugz
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-17-09
                            • 472

                            #14
                            Nevada will go to high scoring after they realize that they finally beat Boise St because Nevada will get better than La Tech.

                            I'm going to take NV -10 on 2 grands! you feel me?
                            Comment
                            • VicVega91
                              Restricted User
                              • 10-05-09
                              • 519

                              #15
                              La Tech +10 all day long .................. bol to all
                              Comment
                              • Cris_from_Europe
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-25-09
                                • 343

                                #16
                                Well LA Tech need this win to become bowl eligible ... It can also be a letdown spot for Nevada ... or strange things can happen just like the game against Utah St where Nevada was 35 - 0 at halftime and Utah St scored 42 in the 2nd half ... Because LA Tech fuked me last week out of a 4 team parlay by letting lousy San Jose St score a TD with 3 min left in the 4th quarter for a backdoor cover I'm gonna go with Nevada or no play ..... Oh and also in the last couple of weeks the Public has been making $$$ so yeah ... Nevada -10 might not be that bad after all ... BOL
                                Comment
                                • JMobile
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-21-10
                                  • 19074

                                  #17
                                  I might take LA Tech spread for 1H and then Nevada spread for 2H like the way they played Boise. Maybe Nevada are now late bloomers and win late which is why in the 2nd half Nevada might win by a TD.
                                  Who knows? Maybe it's not a trick and Vegas just playing with our balls?
                                  Comment
                                  • TheCommish
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-23-09
                                    • 1013

                                    #18
                                    Nevada will be ready for this. There is no letdown here.
                                    Comment
                                    • DarkNite
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-09
                                      • 5023

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by hoku808pc
                                      Wait, so if the line goes up then what do you do??? What about if it goes down???

                                      Just curious bro, thats all...tnx
                                      If the line goes back to -12 or more, I will play NV, if the line stays at -10 or down more, I will play La Tech, I will keep eye on the percentage of the bet. Another thing is the opening line, I really wonder if it is -12 or -10, I am afraid it's -10. I know, sometimes the books try to screw up.
                                      I am not pro, but learn from my mistake and this very board and how the lines go + big money or small money bet.
                                      This is just my opinion only.
                                      Comment
                                      • dxguy2001
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-13-09
                                        • 124

                                        #20
                                        Nevada rolls
                                        Comment
                                        • jds07v
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-09
                                          • 1335

                                          #21
                                          this looks like a perfect game to add to a teaser, if not play it straight up
                                          Comment
                                          • Strange Design
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-06-10
                                            • 251

                                            #22
                                            Love this LA Tech line and grabbed it at +13 Sunday night. They played well for most of that Boise game and while I think Nevada still pulls out the win, a close game isn't unlikely with Nevada in a huge letdown spot on the road. LA Tech is also going for their 6th win. Play the home dog or no play at all here, IMO.
                                            Comment
                                            • fballfan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 10-26-10
                                              • 90

                                              #23
                                              I think Nevada will win by 20
                                              Comment
                                              • PD77
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-11-09
                                                • 2380

                                                #24
                                                On the surface Nevada looks like the easy pick here but the more I look at LT they are not that bad of a team for the WAC. They are 4-3 in the WAC with the Hawaii loss being common to Nevada. The other two losses were to Fresno St and Bosie ST which Nevada beat by a combined 4 points. Nevada beating Boise St inflated this line 3-4 points, being on the road in a let down situation, LT has nothing to lose, I like LT at home plus the points. I see them keeping it close Nevada 35 LT 31.
                                                Comment
                                                • 1teamparlay
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 11-30-10
                                                  • 44

                                                  #25
                                                  NEvada only has 1 loss this season and if they win they get a share of the WAC championship. I don't see how anyone can say that they don't have much to play for.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • agharah1
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-07-10
                                                    • 2304

                                                    #26
                                                    La Tech played well at Boise, and Nevada is not a good road team, got pantsed by Hawaii.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                      • 7719

                                                      #27
                                                      La Tech was 4-8 last year and still gave Boise St. a big-time scare at home; this year Nevada has been less-than-stellar on the road and they're coming off a Super Bowl game. Tough call but lean to the dog.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jas19illini
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-27-10
                                                        • 682

                                                        #28
                                                        Teasing this game might be the way to go. Also, like the idea of betting LT first half and Nevada second half.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JMobile
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-21-10
                                                          • 19074

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jas19illini
                                                          Teasing this game might be the way to go. Also, like the idea of betting LT first half and Nevada second half.
                                                          My idea, thanks!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • your pixel army
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-15-09
                                                            • 454

                                                            #30
                                                            Game down to -9 at 5dimes.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hotlanta Steam
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-08-10
                                                              • 896

                                                              #31
                                                              Now -8.5 @ pinny.... the heavy hitters see it as a huge situational play... I just don't see it... Yes the Pack lost in Hawaii...lots of teams do... that is a weird deal to play out there... Now Shreveport...meh... Navy ran all over La Tech..Nevada is going to pound the rock and hopefully force some stops and turnovers... I am quite happy to take Nevada
                                                              Comment
                                                              • aufordboy
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-22-06
                                                                • 519

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm putting Nevada in a 6 point teaser which put them at -3 at my book. I may also make a small play on them at -9
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tailin junkie
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-06-10
                                                                  • 1409

                                                                  #33
                                                                  originally i loved the la tech play...i loved the spot they were in and i felt the line movement of +12 to +10 was intriguing as well...however, when i saw the over/under of nearly 70 a red flag went up...i think they set this number this high because they think it will go over and the public will pound the under...to get in the 70's, nevada will have to score in the upper 40's and i don't think la tech keeps it close enough...48-28 looks like a possibility...i think in order to cover, la tech would have to keep it around 28-20 and i just don't see it with that over/under being so high...i probably will lay off this game cuz i think vegas is tryin to mess with this one a little more than normal...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • scarp
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-12-10
                                                                    • 697

                                                                    #34
                                                                    still taking nevada.. .hate thses trap games
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheLawFirm
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 11-29-10
                                                                      • 49

                                                                      #35
                                                                      def nevada
                                                                      Comment
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