favorites have covered 3 straight nights

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  • MendozaLine
    SBR MVP
    • 01-11-10
    • 4088

    #1
    favorites have covered 3 straight nights
    what are the odds this continues into friday? Id say slim to none.
  • MendozaLine
    SBR MVP
    • 01-11-10
    • 4088

    #2
    by that I mean Monday night football, wednesdays game, and the 2 tonight.
    Comment
    • kruser
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-19-10
      • 133

      #3
      was just thinking the exact same thing
      Comment
      • Poppa Catfish
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-10
        • 3352

        #4
        I just flipped heads 3 times in a row, what are the odds that it comes up tails on the next flip?
        Comment
        • ACCBlitz
          Restricted User
          • 07-30-10
          • 595

          #5
          Can't view it that way. Each game is independent of the previous/next.

          Roulette is a great example.

          You can play the 'odds' on red or black not rolling 'x' times in a row. Good system in theory, but not logical. The wheel has no knowledge or care of what it rolled the previous turn. (I've personally witnessed a roulette wheel hit the same color 10 times in a row and wipe some poor guy out).
          Comment
          • jeeves
            Restricted User
            • 09-27-10
            • 146

            #6
            Books aren't worried, they'll make it up Sunday
            Comment
            • MendozaLine
              SBR MVP
              • 01-11-10
              • 4088

              #7
              Dogs have been hitting on Fridays this season too.
              Comment
              • falconticket
                SBR MVP
                • 09-05-10
                • 3414

                #8
                Originally posted by Poppa Catfish
                I just flipped heads 3 times in a row, what are the odds that it comes up tails on the next flip?
                its actually the same odds as the very first flip. And every subsequent flip. Doesn't matter if you have 100 tails or heads in a row. Odds for the next flip is 50/50. Simple statistics. And just because three favs won in a row has zero bearing on the next game statistically.
                Comment
                • rb3b3
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-03-10
                  • 962

                  #9
                  if you count nfl and college together, jets, ucf,wvu,ksu 4 favorites in a row!!!
                  Comment
                  • MendozaLine
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-11-10
                    • 4088

                    #10
                    you could land on heads 10/10 times, but a favorite isn't going to cover 10/10 times. Sure statistics say its possible, but do you really think linesmakers would allow a favorite to cover that many nights in a row? hell no.
                    Comment
                    • BobbyXxX
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 09-12-10
                      • 96

                      #11
                      each game needs to be looked at independantly..if a team seems strong against a spread then it doesnt matter to me if its a favorite or not.
                      Comment
                      • rhymenocerous
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-27-10
                        • 324

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MendozaLine
                        you could land on heads 10/10 times, but a favorite isn't going to cover 10/10 times. Sure statistics say its possible, but do you really think linesmakers would allow a favorite to cover that many nights in a row? hell no.
                        I'm sure you're right. The "linesmakers" will be out on the field tomorrow night tackling Cincinatti and blocking for Louisville. It's going to be a crowded field, but there's no way the linesmakers will allow Cincy to cover. They'll be the dudes running around with tape on their glasses and pocket protectors, in short sleeve dress shirts with ties.
                        Comment
                        • Poppa Catfish
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-10
                          • 3352

                          #13
                          Originally posted by falconticket
                          its actually the same odds as the very first flip. And every subsequent flip. Doesn't matter if you have 100 tails or heads in a row. Odds for the next flip is 50/50. Simple statistics. And just because three favs won in a row has zero bearing on the next game statistically.
                          Exactly my point, gold star to falcon
                          Comment
                          • TO9
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-24-10
                            • 363

                            #14
                            bet its another good weekend for underdogs..
                            Comment
                            • goblue12
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-08-09
                              • 1316

                              #15
                              Don't see how what happened in non-correlated outcomes should effect your play (or no play) on Friday night.
                              Comment
                              • LastSonKal-El
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-07-10
                                • 148

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rhymenocerous
                                I'm sure you're right. The "linesmakers" will be out on the field tomorrow night tackling Cincinatti and blocking for Louisville. It's going to be a crowded field, but there's no way the linesmakers will allow Cincy to cover. They'll be the dudes running around with tape on their glasses and pocket protectors, in short sleeve dress shirts with ties.

                                lol right on man
                                Comment
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