10/13 UCF vs. Marshall Plays!

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  • Mr Windy City
    Restricted User
    • 12-27-09
    • 5018

    #1
    10/13 UCF vs. Marshall Plays!
    Tonight we have Central Florida vs. Marshall. Two teams going in the opposite direction, and Marshall in desperation mode as they are clinging on to their bowl season life. They lose this game and it will pretty much write off any chance of a bowl game for them. They are at home where they are a better team, and the starting running back for UCF is doubtful and most likely won't play. Roughly 80% of the action is on UCF to cover the number, and I refuse to be part of that 80%!

    What can I really say about Marshall here. They have had a bad year besides the game against WV. They are 1-4 on the year and 1-4 ATS. Central Florida is 3-2 on the year and 4-1 ATS. On paper, UCF is the better team, they have the edge in every aspect of this game. HOWEVER, I believe Marshall is better at home than most think. They have had 3 road games this year, which were all losing efforts, but they had to play to the likes of Ohio State and S. Miss. They beat Ohio at home and gave W. Virginia all they can handle, but came up short. Tonight, it's do or die for this team, if they lose this game they have no shot at a bowl game. Do you know Marshall has not beaten UCF since October 30th, 2004! Can someone please explain to me why such a short line then? I think it's the books taken a stand and telling us Marshall is going to give UCF a game tonight. I also found some interesting angles that definitely support my play on the Herd tonight.

    Thundering Herd are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in previous game.
    Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    Thundering Herd are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
    Thundering Herd are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in previous game.
    Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.
    Thundering Herd are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
    Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in previous game.
    Thundering Herd are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

    Those are quite interesting if you ask me. I'm fading the public tonight and going with the home dog. Fade or play, I wish my friends the best of luck. Let's get it!

    Marshall Thundering Herd +7 (-120)
    Risking 360 to Win 300


    Marshall Thundering Herd +210
    Risking 100 to Win 210

    and I also have a teaser still in play from last night's NBA pre season games with Marshall +12 that was tied in with it. LET'S GO HERD!!!!!!
  • Flyers21
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-05-10
    • 498

    #2
    Good analysis and I agree with you, Marshall it is! The question is, how high do you think the line will go to? It's pushing 7 at a couple of places. I think by gametime it may reach 7.5 or 8, I'm going to wait to put my wager in!
    Comment
    • jadenandashton
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-21-10
      • 171

      #3
      Great write up windy, unfortunately I am on the other side but good luck either way.
      Comment
      • Mr Windy City
        Restricted User
        • 12-27-09
        • 5018

        #4
        Originally posted by Flyers21
        Good analysis and I agree with you, Marshall it is! The question is, how high do you think the line will go to? It's pushing 7 at a couple of places. I think by gametime it may reach 7.5 or 8, I'm going to wait to put my wager in!
        Yea it's 7 now at 5dimes and I think it has reached it's peak. If anything it might dip back down to 6.5 or 6. I highly doubt this one moves past 7.

        Originally posted by jadenandashton
        Great write up windy, unfortunately I am on the other side but good luck either way.
        Thanks man, gl to you as well one of us will be cashing our ticket
        Comment
        • alling
          SBR MVP
          • 05-13-10
          • 1405

          #5
          STRAIGHT BET Oct 13 CFB [102] TOTAL u45-110 (CENTRAL FLORIDA vrs MARSHALL)
          Comment
          • Bswitz32
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-24-09
            • 460

            #6
            Think I may get it at 6.5 now....i agree with it not going back up to 7. Maybe even thinking ML at +210

            GL
            Comment
            • Mr Windy City
              Restricted User
              • 12-27-09
              • 5018

              #7
              Originally posted by alling
              STRAIGHT BET Oct 13 CFB [102] TOTAL u45-110 (CENTRAL FLORIDA vrs MARSHALL)
              GL man, I don't think Marshall would want to get into a shoot out anyway with these guys. 24-20 Marshall!
              Comment
              • Mr Windy City
                Restricted User
                • 12-27-09
                • 5018

                #8
                Originally posted by Bswitz32
                Think I may get it at 6.5 now....i agree with it not going back up to 7. Maybe even thinking ML at +210

                GL
                It's 7 at 5dimes
                Comment
                • nikevols
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-07-10
                  • 340

                  #9
                  youre kidding yourself with these stats..did you ever put into account the eye test? UCF big
                  Comment
                  • Mr Windy City
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 5018

                    #10
                    Originally posted by nikevols
                    youre kidding yourself with these stats..did you ever put into account the eye test? UCF big
                    The eye test? What's that? I have perfect vision by the way pal. GL tonight.
                    Comment
                    • gogogo
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-03-10
                      • 29

                      #11
                      good luck all let get this
                      Comment
                      • k22t
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-28-09
                        • 558

                        #12
                        I'm on under 45 GL everyone!
                        Double Up. Hit em in the head.
                        Comment
                        • Mr Windy City
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 5018

                          #13
                          Originally posted by gogogo
                          good luck all let get this
                          Originally posted by k22t
                          I'm on under 45 GL everyone!
                          GL fellas!
                          Comment
                          • ACCBlitz
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-30-10
                            • 595

                            #14
                            i like the analysis but look back to Nebraska @ Washington. All signs pointed to WASH as the play even though statistically NEB should win big.

                            A lot of people here tried to 'play the line' and took WASH instead of using common sense and actual football analysis. Had they done that, NEB was a gift wrapped line. UCF looks to be the same tonight. Knights win by 10+.

                            PS: There's only one word for your avatar = amazing. I'm feel inclined to throw a point your way for that one.
                            Comment
                            • MUHerd37
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12816

                              #15
                              UCF wins this game. They are simply too tough for Marshall.
                              Comment
                              • Mr Windy City
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 5018

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ACCBlitz
                                i like the analysis but look back to Nebraska @ Washington. All signs pointed to WASH as the play even though statistically NEB should win big.

                                A lot of people here tried to 'play the line' and took WASH instead of using common sense and actual football analysis. Had they done that, NEB was a gift wrapped line. UCF looks to be the same tonight. Knights win by 10+.

                                PS: There's only one word for your avatar = amazing. I'm feel inclined to throw a point your way for that one.
                                Yea, I saw you were on the Knights ACC. And I understand what you are saying, but Marshall is fighting for their bowl lives and they know if they lose this one they are done. They show up tonight in a big way in front of the home crowd. Lol thanks for you're generosity sir!
                                Comment
                                • BigDofBA
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-09
                                  • 19313

                                  #17
                                  I really really really like UCF.

                                  That would make sense though seeing as how all of the good cappers seem to like Marshall.

                                  Good lucky guys. I feel like UCF blows them out or Marshall wins straight up.
                                  Comment
                                  • JC357
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 10-06-10
                                    • 17

                                    #18
                                    Nice writeup, I am on marshall, especially after seeing how tough they can play at home.
                                    Comment
                                    • DennisT
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-11-09
                                      • 2023

                                      #19
                                      Good post but took UCF -5. Luck to all!
                                      Comment
                                      • Jin.link
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 10-13-10
                                        • 12

                                        #20
                                        Marshall 4tw!!
                                        Comment
                                        • 757sFinest
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-23-10
                                          • 885

                                          #21
                                          ucf rolls
                                          Comment
                                          • Danielk123
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 07-16-10
                                            • 198

                                            #22
                                            Ronnie Weaver? he is the starter and he isnt out. Who are you referring too here?
                                            Comment
                                            • uanl
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-10-09
                                              • 825

                                              #23
                                              hey windy, why are you saying the starting RB is out for UCF?? i can't find that anywhere..the only guy i find on the injury report for UCF is a WR who is probable to play ..
                                              Comment
                                              • Mr Windy City
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-27-09
                                                • 5018

                                                #24
                                                I apologize, I was reading the injury report when I was writing and I meant Johnathan Davis. He was serving a suspension, but I guess he has been cleared to play tonight. Sucks, thought he was out, but I'm already locked in! Let's get it!
                                                Comment
                                                • Mr Windy City
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                  • 5018

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Danielk123
                                                  Ronnie Weaver? he is the starter and he isnt out. Who are you referring too here?
                                                  Weaver and Davis sort of split the load, no?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mthorn
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-29-09
                                                    • 588

                                                    #26
                                                    Marshall is the way to go today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • darkenergy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-08-09
                                                      • 4013

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice write up, I like Marshall too, but wondering if you think/play Marshall ML, then why buy .5 to 7..............do we need that insurance?
                                                      Best of luck Mr. WC
                                                      Comment
                                                      • t-wizzle
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-18-09
                                                        • 38099

                                                        #28
                                                        I think Marshall is overmatched in this one. I like UCF by double digits.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TwampSix
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-07-10
                                                          • 237

                                                          #29
                                                          I picked ucf plus the over! I say Ucf stomps them out, and if Marshall is lucky enough they will score atleast 17.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr Windy City
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 5018

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by darkenergy
                                                            Nice write up, I like Marshall too, but wondering if you think/play Marshall ML, then why buy .5 to 7..............do we need that insurance?
                                                            Best of luck Mr. WC
                                                            I didn't buy any points. It was +7 -120 at 5dimes when I placed it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kav
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-25-09
                                                              • 3281

                                                              #31
                                                              go marshall +7!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mncosoldier
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-26-09
                                                                • 3215

                                                                #32
                                                                Watchout for that single back offense vs the 3-4
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MnyMkr
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 10-13-10
                                                                  • 56

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Ugh...I bet UCF just to have some action tonight. How can you get excited watching these two teams? 10 minutes in and I already want to find something else to watch.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Margin Walker
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 01-10-10
                                                                    • 218

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Kav
                                                                    go marshall +7!

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CntryBoy
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-14-10
                                                                      • 415

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Nice write up, but like you said.. UCF looks like the much better football team! I'm on UCF, but BOL to all!
                                                                      Comment
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