Machine Report: UAB vs UCF

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Report: UAB vs UCF
    The key in this game is the emergence of Brian Ellis for UAB. In the last two weeks he has thrown for 733 yards, and that was against Troy and Tennessee. (Troy's defense was pretty impressive tonight vs Dasher). If you're looking at UAB's schedule, go ahead and throw out the FAU game, since Ellis didn't play in that game. Bottom line: UAB has something cooking with the combo of Ellis in the pocket and Isabelle on the scramble, short-down yardage. Granted, UCF has a great defense and they will probably cause some problems. However, the main offensive playmakers for UCF in last year's win vs UAB are both gone (Hodges gone and Harvey injured). I am NOT SCARED of Calabrese or Godfrey for UCF. I'm a little scared of Guyton anywhere on the field, but that's gambling.

    These two coaches have met four years in a row and all games have been pretty tight relative to tomorrow's line. Look for UAB to still be pumped after shock 2OT near-miracle against Tennesse in Knoxville. But UCF wins by 7-10 points.

    Risky game here, and unless you're a hard-core addict I'd stay away. But for those of us who can't........

    UAB +13 (if you wait until kickoff you'll probably get +13.5 or +14)
  • Joe_Shabadoo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-17-09
    • 607

    #2
    Same here.

    Good luck.

    I have U.A.B. at +8.6. My indeces don't come out to even numbers, but I'm still "getting" 3-4 points of value from my perspective for whatever it's worth.
    Comment
    • castle
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-04-10
      • 344

      #3
      Waiting a bit, seeing if I can grab it at +14. If not +13 is still a good play, though I might run with the Under instead. Good luck.
      Comment
      • mymarley
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-24-10
        • 148

        #4
        I am afraid that uab comes out flat with hang-over loss to tenn.
        Comment
        • dnange1z
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-18-07
          • 134

          #5
          UAB take the points or buy a point. It's a wrap SHip the dough!
          Comment
          • gogogo
            SBR Rookie
            • 09-03-10
            • 29

            #6
            good call UAB
            Comment
            • ger25pic25
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-19-09
              • 373

              #7
              with you on this! BOL
              Comment
              • gamemastere
                SBR MVP
                • 09-15-10
                • 1546

                #8
                I am leaning UAB also GL
                Comment
                • bigcat1
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-17-09
                  • 222

                  #9
                  i def leaning towards uab, i think the fans are in desperation and the coaches...just hope the players are, on the uab boards it seems like if they don't make a bowl game he which i think his name (calleway) will be fired....True they beat Troy which was luck but either way the game was close, Tenn they should have won...idk if they win but i believe they will cover, BESIDES LAST MAJOR TV GAME...alot to play for uab and the points
                  Comment
                  • mp5070
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-13-08
                    • 5446

                    #10
                    Thanks again, Machine!
                    Comment
                    • Rick22
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 2200

                      #11
                      Nice to see your thread again Machine. Like the "risky" pick. Wish I had been with you last night.
                      Comment
                      • Facepunch
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-17-09
                        • 2090

                        #12
                        Like the points too, this one looks closer to me
                        Comment
                        • Machine Choice
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-12-08
                          • 3997

                          #13
                          Line is moving away, can't sit any longer. Just bought the hook to get +13. The Troy outcome is moving bettors toward UAB.
                          Comment
                          • yahoonino
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-10-07
                            • 2651

                            #14
                            line goin down is at 12 now,,
                            Comment
                            • docvinny
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-21-09
                              • 386

                              #15
                              Do you think it will continue to go down or move up closer to game time?
                              Comment
                              • castle
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-04-10
                                • 344

                                #16
                                Line dropped too much. After a bit of running the lines and stats, I took UCF -11.5
                                Comment
                                • BernardMadoff
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-12-09
                                  • 6679

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by bigcat1
                                  i def leaning towards uab, i think the fans are in desperation and the coaches...just hope the players are, on the uab boards it seems like if they don't make a bowl game he which i think his name (calleway) will be fired....True they beat Troy which was luck but either way the game was close, Tenn they should have won...idk if they win but i believe they will cover, BESIDES LAST MAJOR TV GAME...alot to play for uab and the points
                                  I went to UAB, he wont be fired just because they dont make a bowl, thats hilarious. We kept Watson Brown for 12 years and he was mediocre at best.
                                  Comment
                                  • chiliv5
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-16-10
                                    • 1273

                                    #18
                                    Nothing better than the Machine! Lets keep rolling!
                                    Comment
                                    • ManOfValue
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-29-08
                                      • 1437

                                      #19
                                      You have some nice bits of info in that write up ** . thanks , I think I just got the 2nd opinion I needed ...
                                      Comment
                                      • G's pks
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-01-09
                                        • 22251

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                        (if you wait until kickoff you'll probably get +13.5 or +14)

                                        Complete opposite...line down to -11.5 ...
                                        Comment
                                        • darkenergy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 4013

                                          #21
                                          G's I don't think ** will see what you post, as I remember last year he had you on ignored
                                          Comment
                                          • G's pks
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-01-09
                                            • 22251

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by darkenergy
                                            G's I don't think ** will see what you post, as I remember last year he had you on ignored

                                            He better keep me on ignore... I do remember how bad his record was by spring when he lost his 4th all in bet in a row ...
                                            Comment
                                            • darkenergy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-09
                                              • 4013

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by G's pks


                                              He better keep me on ignore... I do remember how bad his record was by spring when he lost his 4th all in bet in a row ...
                                              Give the guy some room/support G's. Everyone has a bad run time to time. He alway bring in good angles of a game whether you like it or not.
                                              Beside, he just reload.......you don't mean to wish ** going bankrupt soon don't you?
                                              BTW, great work last MLB season G's
                                              Comment
                                              • G's pks
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 22251

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by darkenergy
                                                Give the guy some room/support G's. Everyone has a bad run time to time. He alway bring in good angles of a game whether you like it or not.
                                                Beside, he just reload.......you don't mean to wish ** going bankrupt soon don't you?
                                                BTW, great work last MLB season G's

                                                Thanks....just hopefully...he is not so long winded with his 35-40% picks...
                                                Comment
                                                • G's pks
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                  • 22251

                                                  #25
                                                  go UCF... UAB poor defense... lets see how this turns out...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chiliv5
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-16-10
                                                    • 1273

                                                    #26
                                                    G- find something to do.... get a hobby. Or go on a run like The Machine went on. I happen to have been on that run. It was like no other. I gaurentee you have NEVER went on a run like that. Period. I gaurentee you havent had 100,000 plus looks at your page....
                                                    Find something to do man. I for one can not wait to see what The Machine does! And if he happens to win 50 in a row or lose 50 in a row I sure the hell ain't coming to his page and blasting him.
                                                    Find something to do.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • G's pks
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-01-09
                                                      • 22251

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by chiliv5
                                                      G- find something to do.... get a hobby. Or go on a run like The Machine went on. I happen to have been on that run. It was like no other. I gaurentee you have NEVER went on a run like that. Period. I gaurentee you havent had 30,000 plus people coming to your page....
                                                      Find something to do man. I for one can not wait to see what The Machine does! And if he happens to win 50 in a row or lose 50 in a row I sure the hell ain't coming to his page and blasting him.
                                                      Find something to do.

                                                      you are kidding right BOZO? My baseball thread had well over 100,000 views...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chiliv5
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-16-10
                                                        • 1273

                                                        #28
                                                        yes, i am kidding. stay in baseball or start your own 100,000 count thread in NCAAF. get out of here....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • G's pks
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-01-09
                                                          • 22251

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by chiliv5
                                                          yes, i am kidding. stay in baseball or start your own 100,000 count thread in NCAAF. get out of here....

                                                          30,000...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • G's pks
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 01-01-09
                                                            • 22251

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by G's pks
                                                            go UCF... UAB poor defense... lets see how this turns out...
                                                            Well I proved my point again...easy winner...not even waiting for the end....

                                                            Sorry for those that listened to this tool...machine choice...

                                                            I think with it being 35-7...opps make it 42-7(int for a TD as I type......I proved my point... time to cash good night....

                                                            Comment
                                                            • G's pks
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-01-09
                                                              • 22251

                                                              #31
                                                              What a laugher...take care...machine do some homework and stop the babble...
                                                              Comment
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