Why is SMU an underdog tonight?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #1
    Why is SMU an underdog tonight?
    I dont understand. On paper they look 10 points better.
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65499

    #2
    Tough to win in Orlando.
    -3 is about right.
    Comment
    • DJK
      SBR MVP
      • 01-17-11
      • 2424

      #3
      Date Date Rot VH Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final Open Close ML 2H Closed ScoDif Result Covered ATS SU
      SMU ATS Fav 8
      CentralFlorida ATS Dog 2
      Sat, 11-13-2021 1113 185 V CentralFlorida 14 0 7 7 28 59 61 225 28.5 7.0 -27.0 -20.0 CentralFlorida SU Fav 10
      Sat, 11-13-2021 1113 186 H SMU 21 17 7 10 55 7 7 -265 0.5 -7.0 27.0 20.0 SMU Fav Fav SU Dog 0
      Sat, 10-06-2018 1006 325 V SMU 3 7 3 7 20 69.5 74 1375 33.5 25.5 -28.0 -2.5 SMU ATS Away Fav 1
      Sat, 10-06-2018 1006 326 H CentralFlorida 21 6 7 14 48 25 25.5 -3500 11.5 -25.5 28.0 2.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav ATS Away Dog 0
      Sat, 11-04-2017 1104 375 V CentralFlorida 7 14 7 3 31 12.5 14 -550 4.5 -14.0 7.0 -7.0 CentralFlorida Fav ATS Home Fav 7
      Sat, 11-04-2017 1104 376 H SMU 7 7 10 0 24 73.5 75 400 38 14.0 -7.0 7.0 SMU Dog ATS Home Dog 2
      Sat, 11-22-2014 1122 203 V SMU 0 7 0 0 7 47.5 48.5 3250 23 28.5 -46.0 -17.5 SMU SU Away Fav 3
      Sat, 11-22-2014 1122 204 H CentralFlorida 27 10 6 10 53 25.5 28.5 -7500 10 -28.5 46.0 17.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav SU Away Dog 0
      Sat, 12-07-2013 1207 115 V CentralFlorida 0 3 14 0 17 10 14 -550 9.5 -14.0 4.0 -10.0 CentralFlorida Fav SU Home Fav 7
      Sat, 12-07-2013 1207 116 H SMU 3 7 3 0 13 60.5 56.5 425 27.5 14.0 -4.0 10.0 SMU Dog SU Home Dog 0
      Sat, 11-03-2012 1103 363 V SMU 3 7 0 7 17 51 50.5 310 24.5 9.5 -25.0 -15.5 SMU Away Favored 3
      Sat, 11-03-2012 1103 364 H CentralFlorida 7 14 14 7 42 10 9.5 -370 3.5 -9.5 25.0 15.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav Home Dog 3
      Sat, 10-15-2011 1015 169 V CentralFlorida 0 3 0 14 17 44 47 150 0.5 3.5 -21.0 -17.5 CentralFlorida Away Dog 7
      Sat, 10-15-2011 1015 170 H SMU 10 7 7 14 38 1.5 3.5 -170 23 -3.5 21.0 17.5 SMU Fav Fav Home Favored 7
      Sat, 12-04-2010 1204 333 V SMU 0 0 0 7 7 54 55.5 260 25.5 7.5 -10.0 -2.5 SMU
      Sat, 12-04-2010 1204 334 H CentralFlorida 7 3 7 0 17 8 7.5 -320 2.5 -7.5 10.0 2.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
      Sat, 10-04-2008 1004 363 V SMU 10 0 0 7 17 56 55 400 24.5 13.5 -14.0 -0.5 SMU
      Sat, 10-04-2008 1004 364 H CentralFlorida 3 7 14 7 31 14 13.5 -500 7 -13.5 14.0 0.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
      Sat, 11-17-2007 1117 351 V CentralFlorida 21 14 14 0 49 13 10.5 -370 2.5 -10.5 29.0 18.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
      Sat, 11-17-2007 1117 352 H SMU 10 3 7 0 20 75 71 310 35 10.5 -29.0 -18.5 SMU
      Comment
      • DJK
        SBR MVP
        • 01-17-11
        • 2424

        #4
        Of the 10 games between the two, Away Dog never covered from 2007 to current.
        Comment
        • VeggieDog
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-21-09
          • 7214

          #5
          A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.
          Comment
          • DJK
            SBR MVP
            • 01-17-11
            • 2424

            #6
            Originally posted by VeggieDog
            A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.
            Then, shouldn't the line be a lot higher for UCF?

            I thought about taking SMU, but decided to lay off it after seeing the trends of no away dog covered from 2007 onwards.

            Can you please post a link to that news about SMU players sitting out? Thanks in advance.
            Comment
            • RavensFan2k3
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-12
              • 17378

              #7
              Originally posted by Husker36
              I dont understand. On paper they look 10 points better.
              How the hell do they look 10 points better? Lol. They are just about even with a slight edge to UCF due to being at home
              Comment
              • flakeandbake
                SBR MVP
                • 06-21-10
                • 3672

                #8
                Both teams suck so bad. Would give the edge to SMU and perhaps their new coach has something to prove vs ex Auburn guy. That said, UCF over due in this spot. Yet again, SMU over due for a cover if you’ve followed their last 2 games.

                Pretty much a solid no touch
                Comment
                • DJK
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 2424

                  #9
                  Originally posted by flakeandbake
                  Both teams suck so bad. Would give the edge to SMU and perhaps their new coach has something to prove vs ex Auburn guy. That said, UCF over due in this spot. Yet again, SMU over due for a cover if you’ve followed their last 2 games.

                  Pretty much a solid no touch
                  I'm just curious. Are you up or down for the season on football?

                  Some of your picks were totally disastrous. Something like 0 wins for whatever.

                  You did good taking ML on one of the teams and kept it up live and they all cashed, but besides that I thought you were losing your socks off.
                  Comment
                  • Renegades
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-11
                    • 5290

                    #10
                    Ucf qb blows and so does malzahn. Another overrated offensive mind. Running 80 plays a game doesnt mean you have a good system. He sucked at auburn and still sucks.
                    Comment
                    • DJK
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 2424

                      #11
                      Over 63.5 then. Worth the shot considering neither plays much of any defense.

                      That's freaking 9+ TDs.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65499

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DJK
                        Over 63.5 then. Worth the shot considering neither plays much of any defense.

                        That's freaking 9+ TDs.
                        Over 64 is the way to go.
                        F uck, this one could wind up in the 80's
                        Comment
                        • flakeandbake
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-21-10
                          • 3672

                          #13
                          Touch the stove and the hand turns pink boys. No heroes in this game tn.
                          Comment
                          • ScamArtist
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-23-10
                            • 459

                            #14
                            Easy cover for UCF tonight.
                            Comment
                            • JAKEPEAVY21
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-11-11
                              • 29268

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DJK
                              Of the 10 games between the two, Away Dog never covered from 2007 to current.
                              You seem to love these trends from 10+ years ago...throw them all out except for the last couple of seasons
                              Comment
                              • ScamArtist
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-23-10
                                • 459

                                #16
                                SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

                                Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

                                I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10
                                Comment
                                • ScamArtist
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-23-10
                                  • 459

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by VeggieDog
                                  A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.
                                  Only one that really sees the field is the sophomore safety. The other 3 dudes really aren't getting playing time
                                  Comment
                                  • Husker36
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-02-08
                                    • 3846

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ScamArtist
                                    SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

                                    Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

                                    I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10
                                    I dont see what you are seeing in UCF. SMU lost by a TD to both Maryland and TCU. Both of those teams have proven that they are legit. SMU wins tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-13
                                      • 11579

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ScamArtist
                                      SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

                                      Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

                                      I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10
                                      SMU faced TCU and Maryland though. They're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.

                                      Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.

                                      Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence

                                      I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM

                                      Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing
                                      Comment
                                      • flakeandbake
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-21-10
                                        • 3672

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                        SMU faced TCU and Maryland though. They're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.

                                        Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.

                                        Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence

                                        I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM

                                        Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing
                                        Agree I’d feel more comfortable with SMUs coach and QB. Again though, UCF feels overdue in these spots (which doesn’t really mean much). I had thought the line was getting steamed yesterday and figured to take UCF small — but now idk since I could make an argument for both sides
                                        Comment
                                        • Zlaniner
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-12-19
                                          • 1697

                                          #21
                                          CFU 4 the Money !
                                          Comment
                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 11579

                                            #22
                                            I ended up with more on Mordecai Over 306.5 and 313.5 then the game itself. DK had 335 or something so these lines on Bovada just looked too good. 3 games with 369+ passing already
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65499

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                              I ended up with more on Mordecai Over 306.5 and 313.5 then the game itself. DK had 335 or something so these lines on Bovada just looked too good. 3 games with 369+ passing already
                                              FD has some tempting SGP options too.
                                              Just logged off there.
                                              Check it out Fred.
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65499

                                                #24
                                                Oh Jeez, I have to listen to Tiffany Green and that windbag Ingoglia all night?
                                                Where's my mute button?
                                                Comment
                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                  • 11579

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                  FD has some tempting SGP options too.
                                                  Just logged off there.
                                                  Check it out Fred.
                                                  Fan Duel can never locate me on my home computer. Its just too big a hassle and I'm happy with DK. Been running good PLO so now I have $1400 on Bovada too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                    • 11579

                                                    #26
                                                    Have the feeling SMU might win sort of easy like 38-21 and everyone and their brother gets burned on Over
                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 65499

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                      Fan Duel can never locate me on my home computer. Its just too big a hassle and I'm happy with DK. Been running good PLO so now I have $1400 on Bovada too
                                                      Playing in a tourney myself at 9pm.
                                                      I took a brief break from poker, concentrating on MLB playoffs.

                                                      Back in the saddle tonight.

                                                      Best of luck bud.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11579

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                                        Playing in a tourney myself at 9pm.
                                                        I took a brief break from poker, concentrating on MLB playoffs.
                                                        Back in the saddle tonight.

                                                        Best of luck bud.
                                                        U2 man.


                                                        If fkn Corrales could catch a cold SMU would be up 21-3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65499

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                          U2 man.


                                                          If fkn Corrales could catch a cold SMU would be up 21-3
                                                          Honest to God.

                                                          And how many passes is Mordecai going to sail?
                                                          100?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • flakeandbake
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-21-10
                                                            • 3672

                                                            #30
                                                            These guys kiddin?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11579

                                                              #31
                                                              Now Rice drops a ball for atleast 20 yards. Mordecai is doing his thing. I have SMU ML/Over 51.5 so I need a few UCF TDs too
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65499

                                                                #32
                                                                10-10 now
                                                                Get me to 27 by half, I'll feel better.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                                  • 11579

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Love that forward pitch on the jet sweep. Thats 20 more yards passing
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • flakeandbake
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-21-10
                                                                    • 3672

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I can’t tell if this games about to rip 2nd half, or if that’s just the script

                                                                    Would have to think live over is a play at some point but can’t be too early if everyone’s thinking it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevenash
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 65499

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by flakeandbake
                                                                      I can’t tell if this games about to rip 2nd half, or if that’s just the script

                                                                      Would have to think live over is a play at some point but can’t be too early if everyone’s thinking it
                                                                      2H over for me.
                                                                      You would think the number would be around 30
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...