Back by popular demand, Id like to start this thread up again for 2022-23 Bowl Season. I received a few IMs, and figured why the heck not. Coming off a 28-10 Bowl season last year, lets try to so it again!
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GAME #1
BAHAMAS BOWL - Miami OH vs UAB
Pick: MIAMI OH +11.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
It’s just too many points between an average CUSA team and an average MAC team. Ya, McBride will get his as he always does….but even with his ungodly numbers, they’ve still had ugly losses throughout the course of the season. Since Miami made the switch to Aveon Smith, its allowed for dual threat opportunities. If they can control the ball, and get a few stops, I can see this being tight late.Comment -
Mcbride isnt playingComment -
Really? I didnt know that. Why hasnt this line plummeted? Vegas is essentially saying he has no baring on the line, which is pretty crazyComment -
I want to take Miami Oh too. Weird that with almost all the money on them the line shot back from 10.5 to 11.5Comment -
Actually, I do see -10.5’s on the board now. So its moving slightly.Comment -
Really worried about the athleticism of UAB compared to the slow Miami OH athletes. I watched them a few times in the MAC midweek games. They’re just bad. I’m on them too, but very cautiouslyComment -
Ya, I think Im on the wrong side. UAB definately looks like the more athletic group, and Miami has shot themselves in the foot all quarter.Comment -
GAME #2
CURE BOWL - UTSA vs Troy
Pick: TROY +3, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
I was willing to lay a couple points with Troy, so Ill happily take +3. Best of the CUSA vs best of the Sun Belt. I have the Sun Belt as the superior conference, and I see Troy winning this as defense travels. I had Troy +1300 to win the Sun Belt preseason, they have been awesome to me and hope I can squeeze just a little more out of them.Comment -
Well always nice to get that 1st one! Thought it was dead in the 1St quarter…..remember, these games are never over, not by a long shot.Comment -
Last year was a great bowl year! We did well in you thread Reg!
Hopefully it's as profitable this YearComment -
I think the refs in this UAB game took UAB too hahaComment -
22/23 RECORD: 2-0 (100.0%)
+$1,000
LFG……both games looked ugly early, but got to the winners circle with both.
Hoping for a monster day tomorrow!Comment -
GAME #3
FENWAY BOWL - Cincinnati vs Louisville
Pick: CINCINNATI +2.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
Very odd game here, both coaches have left, both QBs are out, regional rivalry. To be honest, I would have taken UC as a small favorite here. IMO, Cunningham means more to the U of L offense, then Bryant does to the UC offense. Couple that with Evans (2nd leading rusher) and Hudson (far away the leading receiver) being out, Im not sure how Louisville moves the ball with any consistency. I understand UC is missing their 2nd leading receiver and top TE as well.
Ive seen little bits of Prater play, and I think hell be a big component of this offense for years. Dual threat is always a plus. Domann has been ok for Louisville, but no threat of hurting you with his legs. UC defense has enough pieces for this game, I think theyll shut him down.Comment -
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All my games are $100 unless otherwise noted
On Cincy also GL
Cincy+2.5 -110
Im on
Florida +8 -110Last edited by jackpot269; 12-17-22, 10:48 AM.Comment -
GAME #4
LAS VEGAS BOWL - Florida vs Oregon St
Pick: FLORIDA +8.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
Ill start off by saying, my confidence level isnt quite as high on this game as it is on others today. I understand Florida is missing guys…Richardson, Shorter (2nd leading receiver) and some key linebackers. We havent seen Jack Miller behind center yet, but Im gonna trust he can play, being recruited by both Ohio St and Florida. Hes known hed be starting this game for weeks, lets hope he has some confidence.
We had no idea what Gulbranson would bring when Nolan got hurt, and he played pretty well when thrown into the fire. Hoping Miller can do the same. My angle is simply that even with Florida missing key pieces, they are still a solid SEC program with real SEC talent, and Im confident that this talent can hang with a good Pac 12 school. As solid as Oregon St has been, they havent been near as convincing away from Corvallis.Comment -
GAME #5
LA BOWL - Washington St vs Fresno St
Pick: FRESNO ST -4.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
Kicking myself for being late to the party here…..should have scooped up -3 when it was available. Should be a decent home field advantage as Inglewood is only about 3 hours from campus. They are coming in riding the wave of 8 straight wins, including a dominating performance to capture the M-West title on Boise’s field. I had Boise that day, and was impressed with Fresnos plan of attack. After a slow start, Haener has been tremendous and Mims has been a force in the backfield. During this 8 game stretch, theyve only given up over 16 points twice, as they rank really well in most defensive metrics.
Even though Wash St comes in hot, everything Im reading says they have numerous key guys opting out of this game. Only bowl eligible team they beat all year was Wisconsin back in early September. Cards may be against the Cougars today!Comment -
GAME #6
LENDING TREE BOWL - Rice vs Southern Miss
Pick: SOUTHERN MISS -6.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
First off, Im not too sure why Rice is bowling, they only won 5 frickin games, and only beat 1 bowl eligible team in the garbage C-USA. Ok ok, I know what your saying, Southern Miss only beat 1 as well, but at least it was Tulane. They played stiffer competition, losing in 4 OTs to Liberty, and tight ones to Coastal and South Alabama. Rice couldnt stop the run, and Southern Miss’ strength is pounding the rock with Frank Gore Jr, who is pretty special. I anticipate Rice stacking the box, opening up some good play action opportunities.
Same logic as yesterday, Sun Belt > C-USA…..I can see Southern Miss getting ahead and playing keep away late to run away with a double digit win. I havent seen much in terms of playing opting out of this game, but I imagine most teams will be close to full strength.Comment -
Great write ups!Comment -
GAME #7
NEW MEXICO BOWL - SMU vs BYU
Pick: SMU -4.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
SMU has no issues scoring the ball, but their issue has been stopping opponents from getting in the endzone. Good news for SMU, BYU has a quarterback issue with Hall being out! Hall has thrown all but 3 attempts for BYU this year…..thus keeping up with SMU’s offense could be a major problem. SMU’s explosive wide out, Rashee Rice has opted out, but Mordecai will still have some good options. I see SMU scoring 40 on BYU, but do I see BYU scoring close to that with a complete unknown under center? I dont.Comment -
GAME #8
FRISCO BOWL - North Texas vs Boise St
Pick: NORTH TEXAS +12, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
Fellas, I cant figure this line out!! I havent followed Boise much this year, but I did watch the M-West championship game, and I was on Boise. I thought Taylen Green sucked, looked lost. That coupled with Holani opting out, Boise’s 1000 yard rusher. Coupled with the game being in the state of Texas and the fact that I cant find any info on Mean Green guys sitting out.
North Texas did have an up and down year with a few nice wins. I like that they have a QB who can air it out if they fall behind. I had this at Boise about -6, so Im getting a ton of value according to how I see this game.
Goodluck today fellers!Comment -
North Texas +12
0-1. -110Comment -
I cant stand when coaches overthink. SMU has all the momentum, why not kick the extra point, go to OT with all the momentum in your favor? It just doesnt make any sense…..your players battle their a$$e$ off, and the coach takes the game away from them. BYU’s QB didnt do much and he could barely walk. Im just in shock.Comment -
22/23 RECORD: 5-3 (62.5%)
+$850
3-3 day is not at all what I was looking for, but considering I started 0-2 and couldnt have been more wrong with my Cincy and Florida plays, Ill take it. I hope to get this train rolling starting Monday!Comment -
Bowl season 22/23: 1-2. -$120
North Texas stopped me from being 0-3, nice cover.
Cincy and Florida both looked bad!Last edited by jackpot269; 12-19-22, 01:08 PM.Comment -
GL this year brother! I always post a Bowl thread, but too much shit going on this year and they expect you to bet every game which seems forced imo. 2-1 so far. Lost UTSA but pounded Fresno pretty good and then parlayed them with S Miss.
Caught a nice spot with S MIss live also when they tied it up 24-24. Your RB is avg 15 yards a carry in a tie game 3Q and you're only -2.5 live? I'll take that all day. Idk about you, but it feels like these games would be unwatchable if it wasn't for gambling with all the opt outs, portals, etc. Still fun cashing tickets thoughComment -
I didnt watch a ton this weekend, but I didn catch the 2nd half of North Texas/Boise, and I thought it was entertaining as anything. Lots of scuffles, tons of points, you could tell both sides wanted the W.Comment -
GAME #9
MYRTLE BEACH BOWL - Marshall vs UConn
Pick: MARSHALL -12, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500
When I broke this game down, I was shocked at how good the advanced defensive metrics were for Marshall this year. Not many teams moved the ball consistently against them all year, and UConn will be one of the worst offensives theyve seen. Marshall’s season did a 360 flip when Fancher replaced Colombi as the starting QB. Although his numbers dont jump off the page, especially his completion percentage, he presents that dual threat Colombi couldnt provide. When all else fails, just hand it off to 1400 yard rusher Laborn, who has been Mr everything.
You have to applaud what Jim Mora has done in his first year at Storrs. A job no one wanted and brings them to a bowl game immediately, impressive stuff. However outside of a win over Fresno, before they caught fire and a win over Liberty in the midst of a tailspin, several blowout losses and wins over the worst of the worst of FBS. Im just not seeing many points coming from UConn’s offense here, and Marshall possesses a running attack that will be tough to stop.
The only thing I worry about is motivation. Does Marshall really want to be playing in this game against this opponent? Well find out soon enough.Comment -
I'm on the other side in this one bud !
UConn +12Comment -
22/23 RECORD: 6-3 (66.7%)
+$1,350
Good start to the week….hoping to plow through both games today. Getting to the drawing board.Comment
