Regul8er’s College Football Bowl Picks

[ChuckyTheGoat]

What an awesome comeback by Kansas, so glad I scooped up +2.5 before it disappeared today. LFG!!

Great cover, Reg. Win by the hook. Happy for you.

Good Luck on the upcoming games. Hope you enjoy the New Years festivities, pal.

[spippen]

That was an awesome game. Nice call on that +2.5.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

That was an awesome game. Nice call on that +2.5.

I'll put one note in here:

*That 3rd overtime rule really does impact these ATS results.

Would seem to impact these games where BOTH teams can score with ease. Getting to that 3rd Overtime under the new rule means the +2.5 is home free.

[RM Logic]

I dont think I have ever seen a coach screw up a game like Lane Kiffin has done tonite. His decisions have been bizarre and has lost this game for his team.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I dont think I have ever seen a coach screw up a game like Lane Kiffin has done tonite. His decisions have been bizarre and has lost this game for his team.

Al Davis fires Lane Kiffin using overhead projector

[Regul8er]

22/23 RECORD: 15-10 (60.0%)
+$1,900

I really wanted a 4-0 day, but Ill happily settle for 3-1. I must admit, I didnt watch one snap of the Ole Miss game, but I couldnt have been further off on it. Looking at the box, TT dominated every facet. Lets keep this train rolling today!!

[Fred The Hammer]

22/23 RECORD: 15-10 (60.0%)
+$1,900

I really wanted a 4-0 day, but Ill happily settle for 3-1. I must admit, I didnt watch one snap of the Ole Miss game, but I couldnt have been further off on it. Looking at the box, TT dominated every facet. Lets keep this train rolling today!!

Congrats! I hit my Caesars prop with Kansas, NC, and TT all getting +7.5. Also took Kansas +11.5 when they were down 38-20. Only downer was I knew KU wasn't stopping Arkansas in OT. Couldn't stop them when they were fresh. Got burned by not taking the 2.5

[Fred The Hammer]

I dont think I have ever seen a coach screw up a game like Lane Kiffin has done tonite. His decisions have been bizarre and has lost this game for his team.

He was making decisions like it was a Madden game with your buddy. 4th down from his own 11 or fake punts from his own 25 on 4th 5. Whats wrong with a punt once in a while? He's a weird guy

[Regul8er]

GAME #26
PINSTRIPE BOWL - Syracuse vs Minnesota
Pick: MINNESOTA -10.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500

Normally, I wouldnt like laying double digits in a bowl game, but Im ok with it here. Minnesota comes in hot, winning 4 of their last 5, with their only loss coming by 3 vs Iowa. This defense is staggering, only surrendering 13.3 points per game this year, which is good for the 3rd best in the country. Take away the outlier where they gave up 45 to Penn St, they are only about 10 ppg. They only give up 105 on the ground a game, for like 3.7 yards per carry. Tanner Morgan’s status is uncertain, but Kaliakmanis has played the last 4 games, and won 3 of them. But this isnt what the Gophers do, they give the ball to Ibriham and Potts. The 2 of them combined for over 2000 rushing yards this year.

After being ranked 14th in mid October, Syracuse completely lost their way, losing 5 straight before beating Boston College in the finale. The reason, they couldnt move the ball and score points. And that was with Sean Tucker active. He rushed for over 1000 a game for 5.1 yards per carry and was 2nd in receptions. With him out and the way Shrader has struggled mightily, I just dont see how they score much on this defense. They will get some stops defensively, especially if Morgan is out, but they cant be expected to keep up here.

[Husker36]

GAME #26
PINSTRIPE BOWL - Syracuse vs Minnesota
Pick: MINNESOTA -10.5, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500

Normally, I wouldnt like laying double digits in a bowl game, but Im ok with it here. Minnesota comes in hot, winning 4 of their last 5, with their only loss coming by 3 vs Iowa. This defense is staggering, only surrendering 13.3 points per game this year, which is good for the 3rd best in the country. Take away the outlier where they gave up 45 to Penn St, they are only about 10 ppg. They only give up 105 on the ground a game, for like 3.7 yards per carry. Tanner Morgan’s status is uncertain, but Kaliakmanis has played the last 4 games, and won 3 of them. But this isnt what the Gophers do, they give the ball to Ibriham and Potts. The 2 of them combined for over 2000 rushing yards this year.

After being ranked 14th in mid October, Syracuse completely lost their way, losing 5 straight before beating Boston College in the finale. The reason, they couldnt move the ball and score points. And that was with Sean Tucker active. He rushed for over 1000 a game for 5.1 yards per carry and was 2nd in receptions. With him out and the way Shrader has struggled mightily, I just dont see how they score much on this defense. They will get some stops defensively, especially if Morgan is out, but they cant be expected to keep up here.

Not to mention the DC and OC for Syracuse have left.

[Regul8er]

Yea Husker….forgot to mention that in the writeup. Im just not sure where the points are coming from for the Orange in the Bronx.

[jackpot269]

At least one of us will get to the winners circle! Goodluck

Nice backdoor!! A team is never out of it, even when its 38-13 if im on the other side!! Congrats buddy

[jackpot269]

duke -3 $200.. -110

4-7
-$410

minnesota -10.5, $200 -110

[Regul8er]

GAME #27
CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Oklahoma vs Florida St
Pick: FLORIDA ST -10, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500

It definitely feels like Mike Norvell was the right hire after the 2019 season for the Noles. He took over a mess, and has improved the win total by 6 games in just 2 years. Outside of a mid season 3 game losing streak in all close games to Clemson, NC State and Wake Forest, FSU has been awesome. To close the season, they outscored opponents by an average of 43.6 to 15.4! Not to mention, 3 of those were vs Bowl teams and another against rival Miami. They bring a top 20 scoring offense and defense to this game, and are basically at full strength here. Travis announced he’s returning next year and has been fantastic all year. They also feature a crazy 3 headed backfield, led by Benson.

This season has been nothing short of disappointing for Venables coming in at 6-6. Terrible for a team ranked #6 eary on and had National Championship aspirations. They are also gutted for this game. Eric Gray’s 1300+ rushing yards will be missed big time. They will also be without their top 2 OT’s who declared. Their defense has been exposed all year by far worse offenses. FSU should have their way through the air and on the ground. I can see this game getting ugly.

[jackpot269]

4-7
-$410

minnesota -10.5, $200 -110

florida st -10, $300 -110

[Regul8er]

Minnesota has done absolutely everything possible to leave this backdoor open. Fack

[Regul8er]

Absolute dogsh!t. How the fack do you let him run that in from the 20 yard line. Just a disgusting loss.

[Regul8er]

Now need these last 2 games to hit. Cant afford negative days at this point.

[Regul8er]

I guess that cancels out the lucky Kansas cover. They giveth and taketh away immediately. Gotta love gambling.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Dave Cokin










@davecokin
·
9m






Not my worst loss ever but that’s pretty penetrating brutal.































Dave Cokin















@davecokin
·
12m






12 guys on the field. Nice. Winner about to get back doored into a loss. Wow.































Dave Cokin















@davecokin
·
43m






Didn’t anticipate Ibrahim sitting out the entire 2H for Gophers. They have very little offense without him. Cuse back door wide open.

[Regul8er]

Hes exactly right. Not my worst loss ever, but a really, really gross one. Even after the 12 man on the field penalty, which totally was, how you let that 4th and goal happen is beyond me. Not sure how he just walked it after getting hit back at the 20 yard line. Wild

[Regul8er]

GAME #28
ALAMO BOWL - Texas vs Washington
Pick: WASHINGTON +3, -110
Risk $550 to Win $500

No time for a writeup tonight, but one of my favorite plays of the bowl season. Hopeful this one hits and FSU rolls to get me to 2-1 on the day.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Hes exactly right. Not my worst loss ever, but a really, really gross one. Even after the 12 man on the field penalty, which totally was, how you let that 4th and goal happen is beyond me. Not sure how he just walked it after getting hit back at the 20 yard line. Wild

These games are so tough. I think Gophers were the right side. They were much stronger.

One funny thing about the game. Fleck held out the top RB in 2h. Maybe his way of saying Thank You and not getting him injured.

[RM Logic]

These games are so tough. I think Gophers were the right side. They were much stronger.

One funny thing about the game. Fleck held out the top RB in 2h. Maybe his way of saying Thank You and not getting him injured.

The defense at the end of the 1st half letting Cuse go 83 yards in less than 2 minutes was inexcusable. Turned the game around.

[spippen]

The players, coaches and refs all know the spreads and totals on these games.

[Regul8er]

Yup. And somehow Oklahoma’s defense looks like Georgia’s defense. Wild stuff, I honestly expected FSU to put up 40-50 in this game.

[Regul8er]

It looks like FSU was going to come down and either tie the game or go up 4 before half, yet somehow they stall out and OU goes the whole field to score.

[Renegades]

263 yds at half and they have 11 pts. These bowls have been so strange. Ole miss had 500 yds last night and scored 25. 500 yds should be a min of 35 pts. Fla st should have at least 17-20 pts. Every gm is teams getting to midfield or past and then stalling out. Im a huge fsu fan. Thought they would put up 40+ tonight too

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2h line is -8.5. A hair higher than I might have expected. OKLA starts w/ the ball.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

263 yds at half and they have 11 pts. These bowls have been so strange. Ole miss had 500 yds last night and scored 25. 500 yds should be a min of 35 pts. Fla st should have at least 17-20 pts. Every gm is teams getting to midfield or past and then stalling out. Im a huge fsu fan. Thought they would put up 40+ tonight too

What about ARK? 395 yards rushing. I do believe that's like 90% spread territory for line that short.

[Regul8er]

This game is really starting to piss me off. Drop after drop after drop, 0-3 on 4th downs…..Oklahoma running all over them without their back and their best OT’s, FSU can run at all against a terrible run defense. Just a wild game. I feel like this one shouldnt be close

[Renegades]

What about ARK? 395 yards rushing. I do believe that's like 90% spread territory for line that short.

yeah very true

[Renegades]

This game is really starting to piss me off. Drop after drop after drop, 0-3 on 4th downs…..Oklahoma running all over them without their back and their best OT’s, FSU can run at all against a terrible run defense. Just a wild game. I feel like this one shouldnt be close

the opts have turned out to mean nothing this bowl season. In fact, most of the teams with more missing players have won or covered

[Renegades]

One team the other night was missing 6 defensive starters and they held the other team the whole game

[jackpot269]

washington +3, -110

$300