Mac's Early Leans - 2021 edition

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-25-21, 09:50 PM

Nope, they score another TD. What a sick beat. Game was tied 7-7 after 1. Now it's 59 to 7.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-25-21, 10:02 PM

and GT is still scoring. My God, every under has gotten torched today. Pluck out my eyes.

**eastvan09** · 09-27-21, 08:29 AM

How was your NFL yesterday? I stayed off NFL again yesterday.

**eastvan09** · 09-27-21, 08:52 AM

Here are some early lines:

Syracuse +4.5 @ Florida State. I'm leaning Syracuse and would also put some on the money line. FSU lost to Louisville, Syracuse beat Liberty.

Boston College +16 @ Clemson. Hopefully BC can keep it close, Clemson struggling to score. ML sprinkle on BC maybe.

Pitt @ Georgia Tech +3.5. Both teams off wins. Tech crushed the Tar Heels.

Army -6 at Ball State.

Louisville @ Wake -7. Both off wins.

Cincinnati @ Notre Dame +2.5.

Ole Miss +14.5 @ Bama. Can Ole Miss keep it close?

Bowling Green +16 at Kent St. Kent really needs the win. Bowling Green off huge upset of Minnesota, will they be decent in MAC play or was that a one off?

Arkansas +18.5 @ Georgia.

Texas -4 at TCU. Texas off a huge blow out win.

Florida -8.5 @ Kentucky.

Oklahoma @ Kansas St +10.5. Oklahoma barely winning games.

UCONN +14.5 @ Vandy. Last week UCONN led Wyoming at half, lost by 2 missed 2 pt convert to force OT.

Michigan -1 at Wisky. Opened Michigan +1 and moved 2 pts.

Liberty @ UAB -2.

Northwestern +10 @ Nebraska

Western Kentucky @ Mich St -10

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-29-21, 03:03 AM

The games I bolded below are heavy leans for me right now. I've already bet Ole Miss.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Syracuse +4.5 @ Florida State. I'm leaning Syracuse and would also put some on the money line. FSU lost to Louisville, Syracuse beat Liberty.
I've been fading FSU every week to profit. I'll definitely fade them here. Cuse could win outright...
-----------------------------------------------------------------

Boston College +16 @ Clemson. Hopefully BC can keep it close, Clemson struggling to score. ML sprinkle on BC maybe.
I don't understand this line. Clemson's offense is horrendous. Seems they are getting a lot of love from their name. I have to take BC here and possibly the under.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pitt @ Georgia Tech +3.5. Both teams off wins. Tech crushed the Tar Heels.
GT is growing on me every week. They are rounding out to be a pretty good team. Heavy lean on Tech here.
--------------------------------------------------------------------

Army -6 at Ball State.
Leaning Army
-------------------------------------------------------

Louisville @ Wake -7. Both off wins.
I like Louisville in most spots but I think this is not one of them. Wake probably rolls them by 3 TDs.
-------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati @ Notre Dame +2.5.
Slight lean to Cinci. If this was in Cinci, I would be all over it. I expect ND groundskeeper to not mow the grass and we'll see a slow prodding 3 yards and a cloud of dust game that will favor ND.
---------------------------------------------------------------

Ole Miss +14.5 @ Bama. Can Ole Miss keep it close?
I am already locked and loaded with OM +7.5 and 14.5 plus ML in 1st half and game. OM offense is a nightmare to defend. Very uptempo with a mobile QB that gives Bama fits. The only teams I think can run with Bama are Florida, UGA and OM. Kiffin knows Saban. There should be a lot of points in this one, so leaning the Over too. The only concerning thing for me is that Bama was embarrassed by their performance against OM last year. Saban has probably been working all year on stopping OM's offense. Can he do it with this group on defense? I don't think so which is why I love OM here.
----------------------------------------------------------------

Bowling Green +16 at Kent St. Kent really needs the win. Bowling Green off huge upset of Minnesota, will they be decent in MAC play or was that a one off?
Slight lean to KSU
--------------------------------------------------------

Arkansas +18.5 @ Georgia.
Slight lean to Ark
----------------------------------------------------------

Texas -4 at TCU. Texas off a huge blow out win.
slight lean to Texas
-------------------------------------------------------------

Florida -8.5 @ Kentucky.
Slight lean to UF
-------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma @ Kansas St +10.5. Oklahoma barely winning games.
OU just has not looked good. I have to keep fading them until they prove otherwise.
------------------------------------------------------------

UCONN +14.5 @ Vandy. Last week UCONN led Wyoming at half, lost by 2 missed 2 pt convert to force OT.
I don't see why Vandy would be double digits to any team. 2 bad teams that probably means to stay away.
------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan -1 at Wisky. Opened Michigan +1 and moved 2 pts.
I love Michigan here. They are quietly moving up my board. The Rutgers game was close but Rutgers is another team that I think is flying under the radar (love them vs OSU). Wisky looks dejected and UM could put them out of their misery.
--------------------------------------------------------------

Liberty @ UAB -2.
No clue on this one.
-----------------------------------------------------

Northwestern +10 @ Nebraska
NB has been playing better of late. Slight lean on NWU but will probably lay off this one.
--------------------------------------------------------

Western Kentucky @ Mich St -10
Slight lean on WKU

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-29-21, 03:31 AM

Saturday totals...

46) 335 - College/Football - Akron Spread +49½ -108 for Game. This game was 7-7 with like 2 minutes to go in the first quarter. OSU went on a 52-0 run.

47) 367 - College/Football - Louisville Spread -2 -108 for Game

48) 400 - College/Football - Michigan State Spread -5 -108 for Game 2 chances to cover in the end of this game

49) 340 - College/Football - Utah State Spread +6 -1than10 for 1st Half Utah St had like double the yards Boise had but had 0 points at half because of 2 missed FGs, a pick on the goal line and a turnover on downs on the goal line. That coach should be fired.

50) 339 - College/Football - Boise State vs Utah State Total UNDER 35 -115 for 1st Half

51) 349 - College/Football - Colorado State Spread +23½ -108 for Game

52) 397 - College/Football - Clemson vs NC State Total UNDER 47½ -108 for Game This game should have went WAAAY Under until that fukking kicker missed a chip shot to send to overtime. I still want to kick him in the nuts.

53) 387 - College/Football - UTSA Spread +3 -108 for Game

54) 387 - College/Football - UTSA vs Memphis Total OVER 66 -118 for Game Buying ½ Pts

55) 387 - College/Football - UTSA Moneyline +120 for 1st Half

56) 347 - College/Football - Georgia Tech Team Total UNDER 25½ -120 for Game

57) 347 - College/Football - North Carolina vs Georgia Tech Total UNDER 65 -108 for Game

58) 362 - College/Football - Arizona State Spread -7 -121 for 1st Half

What a shitty Saturday. I believe I was on the right side of most of these games but a lot of fluky shit, especially with over/unders. Hard to cap horrible refs and poor kickers. My bold plays were right there but got fukked in the final minutes.

Daily total 5-8, 1-3 on bolded plays

Season Totals
29-27-2, 7-11 on Bolded Plays.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 02:04 AM

My head tells me that FSU covers this game easily. They really turned it around in the 2nd half vs Louisville. Could that be the spark to get them going? Probably but I cannot honestly bet on FSU. Apparently a lot of people are still fooled by them as the line has gone up a point. I think the Under is a good play here. Both teams should be trying to run the ball and both defense are serviceable. As long as we don't see big plays and stupid turnovers the Under should hit. I'm putting a little bit on Cuse ML just because FSU sucks. lol

59) 111 - College/Football - Syracuse vs Florida State Total UNDER 50½ -108

Man, I don't get this line. Clemson's offense has been stuck in the mud all season. They can't run the ball and they can't pass. They have no playmakers and the QB looks like a deer in headlights. This could be the signature game for BC. Yes, their defense is trash but Clemson's offense looks like stuffed teddy bear. Give me the points and sprinkle a bunch on the ML.

60) 117 - College/Football - Boston College Spread +15 -108 for Game

Another game I love is the Over in the GT vs Pitt game. Both offenses have really gotten better each game. The defenses are a bit of a question mark. Pitt's defense is pretty good upfront but they give up chunk plays. GT defense is not very impressive. I think we're looking at a 35 - 32 type game. I'm leaning GT but landed on the Over. This is a bolded play for me.

61) 121 - College/Football - Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech Total OVER 58 -108 for Game

I'm also locked and loaded on Charlotte vs Illinois. I almost feel like the wrong team is favored here although Illinois has the players to blow Charlotte out but Charlottes QB is legit, he'll keep them in games and the team is scrappy. This looks like way too many points.

62) 139 - College/Football - Charlotte Spread +6½ -110 for 1st Half

Louisville has been my sleeper team this year along with Iowa but this is not the day to back them. I think Wake matches up very well with them and will win going away. It should be a shootout but I see Wake getting a few more stops. I'm riding them 1st half and game. Bolded play.

63) 142 - College/Football - Wake Forest Spread -7 -108 for Game
64) 142 - College/Football - Wake Forest Spread -4 -110 for 1st Half

I've been locked and loaded on Ole Miss since the beginning of the week. I think they have a legitimate shot at beating Bama. This line stinks. Kiffin is an offensive genius. He knows how to exploit Bama. He will uptempo and keep Bama in poor situations. I'm on Ole Miss for the 1st half, game and ML. The o/u is 79.5. I'm not sure it will get close to that. I'm looking at the under but will wait closer to game time. I think Ole Miss will have some timely scripted plays in the first half to take a lead, then Bama may take over in the 2nd half.

65) 171 - College Football Mississippi Spread +7½-110 for 1st Half

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 08:57 AM

GL with your card.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by eastvan09

GL with your card.

You too sir. Let’s get it…

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 12:53 PM

61) 121 - College/Football - Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech Total OVER 58 -108 for Game

62) 139 - College/Football - Charlotte Spread +6½ -110 for 1st Half

Pitt 42 Tech 14..... in the first half. Haha.
Charlotte didn't even need no stinking points. They lead at the half 14-10

Let's go.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 01:49 PM

Adding another play... Skip Holtz usually game plans well for these type of games. I just don't know if LaTech will have enough juice to last the entire game. Hopefully NC State is slow out of the game after the big win over Clemson.

66) 123 - College/Football - Louisiana Tech Spread +10 -105 for 1st Half

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 02:05 PM

I like this play. Everyone hates USC after getting blown out by UGA and then losing a close one to UK. USC is not a very good football team BUT they have some big bodies. They should be able to grind out a double digit victory here. Troy may give them a scare but this feels like a game where USC comes ready to play. This is one game they should feel confident they can roll. I'm bolding this one.

67) 128 - College/Football - South Carolina Spread -6½ -108 for Game

I also just got wind that Skylar Thompson should play at QB for KSU. This kid has beaten OU 2 straight. If he's cleared then he should keep the game close, especially against a OU team that has been struggling. OU looked a bit better in the 2nd half last week. Let's just hope they revert back to their meandering ways and that the seat gets hotter for the Rattlesnake Rattler.

68) 190 - College/Football - Kansas State Spread +7 -110 for 1st Half

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-02-21, 03:47 PM

Taking Indiana Penn State Over 52.5 tonite. Penn State might get 42 and Pennix has an NFL arm if not an NFL brain. Probably something like 40-21

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-02-21, 03:49 PM

UC would beat the shit out of Oklahoma and probably Penn State too. Notre Dame can barely get a first down on that defense

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-02-21, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Adding another play... Skip Holtz usually game plans well for these type of games. I just don't know if LaTech will have enough juice to last the entire game. Hopefully NC State is slow out of the game after the big win over Clemson.

66) 123 - College/Football - Louisiana Tech Spread +10 -105 for 1st Half

Love La Tech/Skip Holtz over the years, but I'd be scared of any team returning 20 guys like NC State. They're underrated. I took Over 55 in that one in a parlay. They should score at will on LT

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 04:06 PM

Well Wake Forest and Ole Miss both fukked me today. Wake just did enough to win but not cover. Kiffin looks like he's on a coke bender. Going to have to double up a game or 2 to get this shit back.

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Well Wake Forest and Ole Miss both fukked me today. Wake just did enough to win but not cover. Kiffin looks like he's on a coke bender. Going to have to double up a game or 2 to get this shit back.

Damn Wake. They blew 27-17 and 34-27 leads in 4th Q. Then on their final drive they only got a FG.

Geez Kiffin going for so many 4th downs. Saw one 4th down deep in their own territory. Damn what a bad start to the day.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Love La Tech/Skip Holtz over the years, but I'd be scared of any team returning 20 guys like NC State. They're underrated. I took Over 55 in that one in a parlay. They should score at will on LT

Hoping NC State comes out flat. Probably take NCST in the 2nd half.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by eastvan09

Damn Wake. They blew 27-17 and 34-27 leads in 4th Q. Then on their final drive they only got a FG.
Geez Kiffin going for so many 4th downs. Saw one 4th down deep in their own territory. Damn what a bad start to the day.

Wake looked like they really didn't give a fukk. Very lackadaisical effort and poor uninspired coaching.

Kiffin single handedly blew this game open. He must have early dinner reservations. You have to grind it out against Bama. It should have been 6-7 early. He just said IDGAF.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 04:22 PM

Got to roll with the Gators today. This game has been close the last few years but I think Mullen is going to really have his team focused for this one. This is the game I think he dials everything up. We might see AR15 today in a preview of the UGA game. Kentucky seems to get up for UF but I think the Gators are a much better team. The defense could make UK one dimensional which spells trouble for the Cats. Another bolded play.

69) 187 - College/Football - Florida Spread -7 -125 for Game

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 10-02-21, 04:46 PM

Tailing ya on this one I'm hoping Florida is on another level

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-02-21, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Hoping NC State comes out flat. Probably take NCST in the 2nd half.

Nice read on this one. La Tech should really be 4-0 instead of 2-2. They were up 34-14 on Miss State and lost by 1. Got beat on a hail mary vs SMU. They're underrated. Don't know where their QB came from but he's pretty decent. They've outgained NC St by a mile 1H

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 08:07 PM

BC gets a late FG. Down 13-6 at the half. Need BC to cover, hitting ML would be a bonus.

Have a ML sprinkle on UCONN, no spread bet. UCONN just got a TD on 4th down. No idea why they didn't go for 2 to tie. Kicked xtra point and down 17-16.

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 08:12 PM

Watching Clemson BC and UCONN Vandy on 2nd screen.

Got UCONN at +450

I have thrown a lot of small darts on ML today. None have hit. Syracuse was the only one that was close. Akron had leads and got crushed in 4th Q haha.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

Tailing ya on this one I'm hoping Florida is on another level

Gators had 16 penalties... 16. Can't win many games when you keep pushing your offense back with stupid shit. Some of the penalties were bullshit but still. That game just left a skid mark in my underwear.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by eastvan09

BC gets a late FG. Down 13-6 at the half. Need BC to cover, hitting ML would be a bonus.
Have a ML sprinkle on UCONN, no spread bet. UCONN just got a TD on 4th down. No idea why they didn't go for 2 to tie. Kicked xtra point and down 17-16.

Really could use a BC ML here. BC playing well enough to win. Just have to finish.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-02-21, 09:16 PM

One more game for tonight. My buddy is several drinks deep at the UCLA game. He says they are ready to go tonight. Always back the drunkards. LOL

70) 222 - College Football UCLA Spread -3-108 for Game

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

One more game for tonight. My buddy is several drinks deep at the UCLA game. He says they are ready to go tonight. Always back the drunkards. LOL

70) 222 - College Football UCLA Spread -3-108 for Game

Lol! Let's get it. I'm also on UCLA.

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 09:57 PM

Damn BC fumbles and loses.

UCONN TD and they lead by 1 with a minute left. Miss the 2 pt conversion. Need the D to hold on to the win.

**eastvan09** · 10-02-21, 10:11 PM

Damn UCONN loses on last 2nd FG. Ugh. Battled hard but D couldn't hold the lead.

UCONN blew the 3rd Q with 2 scoring opportunities coming away with 0 points.

My ML sprinkles 0 and 5 today. Damn, just can't buy one. UCONN covered 2 in a row. Might look to take them on spread some time.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-03-21, 10:17 AM

That was a tough loss for Uconn. Still don't get how Vandy could be a double digit fave to any team. BC should have had that game. I couldn't bang a ML either. Several came down the end. Oh well. On to next week.

**pimike** · 10-03-21, 10:20 AM

Good luck today!

**eastvan09** · 10-03-21, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

That was a tough loss for Uconn. Still don't get how Vandy could be a double digit fave to any team. BC should have had that game. I couldn't bang a ML either. Several came down the end. Oh well. On to next week.

Indeed, on to next week.

**chico2663** · 10-04-21, 11:06 PM

Any early leans?

**eastvan09** · 10-05-21, 01:34 AM

Here are some early lines. Any opinions on these?

Akron at Bowling Green -14.5. Damn this line is high. Was hoping to get BG laying under a TD. Will probably have to stay away. Maybe look at a team total.

Arkansas +6.5 at Ole Miss. Both coming off beat downs. Will Arky have their starting QB.

Mich St -5 at Rutgers. Like both teams. Might have to stay away.

Oklahoma vs Texas +3.5. I like Texas and have already bet them. Also took Texas on the ML.

Vandy +38 at Florida. Vandy sucks but 38 geez. Is that a bit high?

UCONN -3.5 @ UMASS. This line has moved higher. I liked UCONN under a FG.

Georgia -14.5 @ Auburn. Will Georgia be tested here.

SMU @ Navy +13.5. Line seems high. Liked it a bit more at over 2 TDs.

Wisconsin @ Illinois +10. Maybe Illinois could keep it within a TD.

Penn State @ Iowa State -2. Who has the edge here? Maybe Under is the play? 41.5 is a low total.

Alabama -17.5 @ Texas A&M.

Wyoming @ Air Force -6

Michigan -3 @ Nebraska.

LSU @ Kentucky -3