Fred The Hammers Football Thread. Turning Outcomes Into Incomes $$

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  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11575

    #106
    Adding:

    Midweek 3 teamer:

    Buffalo ML (-400), Ball State ML (+105), GB ML (-245) $75-$195
    Comment
    • Renegades
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-12-11
      • 5290

      #107
      Miami OH plays very slow and they have one of the most defensive minded coaches in cfb. Game will depend on what ball st is doing imo
      Comment
      • Renegades
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-11
        • 5290

        #108
        Mia O backup qb looks way better. Gilbert getting knocked out turned out to be a blessing
        Comment
        • Fred The Hammer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 11575

          #109
          Originally posted by Renegades
          Mia O backup qb looks way better. Gilbert getting knocked out turned out to be a blessing
          Over was easy enough with BS's shitty defense. Made the backup look like Tom Brady. I also picked up BS Over 27.5 Live which paid for the bets I had with BS ML. Rolling along pretty well this year!!
          Comment
          • Fred The Hammer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 11575

            #110
            Adding:

            Nevada ML/Col State ML parlay Oddsboost (+180) BetMgM $100-$180

            Nevada ML/Col State ML parlay Oddsboost (+190) Fan Duel $50-$95

            I already leaned Col State tonite and then saw this Oddsboost on MGM & FD. Nevada should be no problem so its basically a little extra payout for Colorado State. I may post a total or CS +3.5 as well, but have to look into it more.

            I like CS because Wyoming doesn't throw it that well and CS can stack the box on them. Also its important not to get to worked up over a bad opening game for CS. CS is at home and should be better tonite. I like their coach and they worked in a throwing QB last week that could be the key tonite. They're also getting a key WR back that didn't play in their opener. Dante Wright 57 catches last year for 805 and 214 rushing with 6 tds total

            Here's the write-up on this WR:

            It should help Centeio and O'Brien to get decorated Dante Wright back after COVID contact-tracing protocols sidelined both him and fellow sophomore receiver Ty McCullouch last week. Last year, Wright was named an All-American freshman by ESPN and the Football Writers Association of America, as he recorded 57 receptions for 805 yards and four touchdowns plus 214 rushing yards and two scores.
            Last edited by Fred The Hammer; 11-05-20, 10:03 AM.
            Comment
            • Fred The Hammer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-13
              • 11575

              #111
              Adding:

              East Carolina +5 $110-$100
              EC/Tulane Over 60.5 $192-$175


              I have EC +5 to close out some parlays if GB ML hits. I may hedge out with Tulane ML on Saturday

              Overall decided I like Over 60.5 better then EC+5. Tulane is 4-1 Over this year. Tulane avg. 36 ppg and allows up 31 ppg. EC scores 31 ppg and allows 37 ppg. The numbers are there and the weather should be clear with little wind.

              EC is underrated imo. Their QB missed the Navy game (23-27) and their backup sucks. You take that game out and they're really a shootout style team. The dumbass officials admitted that they blew the late calls in the EC/Tulsa game and EC had the game stolen from them. Basically beating Tulsa on the road is a good accomplishment. Their QB shredded a decent Tulsa defense all night and I think he'll do the same to Tulane. I don't think Tulane is that great, but Over 60.5 is my main play. I had S Alabama +11 in the opener vs Tulane and SA led the whole game til the end. Oddsshark has Tulane 37-28

              EC 37-31

              Lets Get It!!!

              Comment
              • Fred The Hammer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 11575

                #112


                I basically got Colorado State at +180 & +190. I also got them -295 Live when it was 17-7 for another $100. CS +3.5 in parlays. I hit Nevada/Utah State Under 58.5 Live when it was 14-9 early. Green Bay -220 in parlays

                I don't have the biggest bankroll, but

                I AM WHIPPING THEIR ASS

                Comment
                • Fred The Hammer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-13
                  • 11575

                  #113
                  Adding:

                  Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!

                  BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
                  Comment
                  • earthx1
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-04-18
                    • 256

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                    Adding:

                    Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!

                    BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
                    Fred, Thanks for the pick. Good luck
                    Earthx1
                    Comment
                    • Fred The Hammer
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-13-13
                      • 11575

                      #115
                      Originally posted by earthx1
                      Fred, Thanks for the pick. Good luck
                      Earthx1
                      GL brother!

                      Adding some breakfast football 9AM in LA:

                      Arizona State @ USC Over 55.5 (-115) BetMgM $172-$150

                      Both QBs are back and thats actually kind of a low # for todays cfb with nonstop targeting/pass interference calls

                      CFN: USC 37-30
                      Athlon: USC 38-36
                      Oddsshark USC 33-26
                      Comment
                      • Fred The Hammer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 11575

                        #116
                        Adding:

                        NC State +4.5 (-121) Live
                        Comment
                        • Fred The Hammer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 11575

                          #117
                          Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                          Adding:

                          NC State +4.5 (-121) Live
                          Barely cashed it!! Miami QB could've scored and slid down and they took 3 knees! Thank you! Didn't think it would be that tough when NC State was up 10 early 4Q

                          Too bad on the Boise BYU Over. Both Boise QBs out? Covid probably. No possible way to hit now. BYU playing kind of stupid too

                          Big one early is EC/Tulane Over 60.5 and EC +4.5 & +5. I also picked up USC Ariz St Over 55.5 which is a early kickoff too.
                          Comment
                          • Fred The Hammer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 11575

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                            Adding:

                            Should have got it earlier yesterday because the juice went up but I still think its a winner!!

                            BYU/Boise Alternate Total Over 59.5 (-143) BetMgM $200-$140
                            Needed 41 points 2nd half. Boise couldn't do shit all night then goes TD bomb, onside kick, and TD bomb



                            $$$
                            Comment
                            • joco
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-24-11
                              • 3242

                              #119
                              Been watching for a bit. You are imo the best/most consistent football bettor on here over the last month. Credit where it’s due. Keep it up Broski
                              Comment
                              • Buckandadime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-21-15
                                • 8847

                                #120
                                GL Fred...
                                Comment
                                • mikmik
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-13-12
                                  • 5457

                                  #121
                                  Figured we would get one with ECU over and of course a turnover. And USC is absolute dog shit.
                                  Comment
                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 11575

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by joco
                                    Been watching for a bit. You are imo the best/most consistent football bettor on here over the last month. Credit where it’s due. Keep it up Broski
                                    Thanks guys. Sorry about the 2 Overs....lost both a total of 2.5 points EC goes for 2 down 38-21 with like 5 min left. Doesn't make it. Gets the onside...fumbles. Stops them again and drives inside the 10 with a 1 minute left and gets stopped. Tulane missed a 39 yd fg in the 4th Q too. Shit happens.

                                    I did get even and slightly up with some Live bets. I've been hitting these for like $75-$100, but some are so juicy that I need to start throwing down $200-$300 occasionally. Sorry its hard to type on my phone or I'd post them. I do post live bets when I'm at my house, but of course the shit changes by the minute

                                    I got Maryland +14.5 when they were up 7 and had the ball around midfield
                                    I got Colorado/UCLA Over 68.5 when it 28-7 with like 6 min left in the 1st half

                                    Both were easy as shit and a buddy convinced me to take Florida +125. Ended up slightly up for Saturday
                                    Comment
                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-13
                                      • 11575

                                      #123
                                      Adding:

                                      Central Michigan @ N Illinois Over 57.5 (-110) BetMgM $330-$300


                                      I almost took Ohio last week vs CM because they had 8 returners on defense and always run the ball pretty well, but CM beat them. CMs QB was making his first start ever, but the kid was poised and threw the ball really well. NI battled Buffalo and played hard all 4 quarters, but they're very young and made alot of mistakes. I think CM lights them up, but they fight to the end and take it Over

                                      Central Michigan 38-27
                                      Last edited by Fred The Hammer; 11-09-20, 08:07 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 11575

                                        #124
                                        I also plan on playing the Ball State team total Over, but have to shop it around once they open it up tomorrow some time.

                                        Ball State -8 and 58.5 means it would most likely be 33 or 33.5. Ball State returns the MACs top QB, most of their O-line, and top RBs/WRs. Not to mention their defense sucks so they usually have to keep scoring. Check back
                                        Comment
                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 11575

                                          #125
                                          [QUOTE=Fred The Hammer;29871947]Adding:

                                          Central Michigan @ N Illinois Over 57.5 (-110) BetMgM $330-$300


                                          I almost took Ohio last week vs CM because they had 8 returners on defense and always run the ball pretty well, but CM beat them. CMs QB was making his first start ever, but the kid was poised and threw the ball really well. NI battled Buffalo and played hard all 4 quarters, but they're very young and made alot of mistakes. I think CM lights them up, but they fight to the end and take it Over

                                          Central Michigan 38-27


                                          Here's more trends on this game:

                                          Northern Illinois 7-1 Over in their last 8 games
                                          CM 5-0 Over versus losing teams
                                          CM 4-0 Over on the road
                                          CM 8-2 Over in their last 10 games
                                          Comment
                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 11575

                                            #126
                                            Adding for Tuesday:

                                            Ohio/Akron & Buffalo/Miami Ohio to both go Over 56.5 (+280) BetMgm Oddsboost $75-$210


                                            Not so sure about Akron doing anything, but I'm rolling over my small Jets (+6.5) live bet profit over to this oddsboost. I feel like Ohio and Miami will have no problem going Over. I may play that one or parlay it at some point.

                                            Not sure what this is worth, but I like trends:

                                            Buffalo 10-1 Over on Tuesday
                                            Comment
                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 11575

                                              #127
                                              Adding:

                                              Ole Miss -10.5 (-114) over South Carolina Fan Duel $194-$170


                                              This OM team put up 48 pts and 600+ yds on Alabama. Kiffin will also stick the knife in and twist it (6 td passes vs Vandy). South Carolina will quit in the 2nd half. Probably play OM team Over as well when they post it. Would have to be 40-41 I would think?

                                              Ole Miss 48-27
                                              Comment
                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-13
                                                • 11575

                                                #128
                                                Already got Kent State BG Over 62.5 Live

                                                Adding:

                                                Buffalo -5.5 (-121)
                                                Comment
                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                  • 11575

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                  Already got Kent State BG Over 62.5 Live

                                                  Adding:

                                                  Buffalo -5.5 (-121)


                                                  2-0 Live Bets....waiting to see if I could get Buffalo by less then a TD

                                                  $$

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                    • 11575

                                                    #130
                                                    Well Northern Illinois shit the bed and that Over lost, but I think that was my first bet over $250 that lost all season. For live bettors, I hope you saw how shitty NI looked and grabbed CM live like I did at -10.5. I also got some Ball State +4.5 for a small profit overall. I really needed BS ML to get it done. I have them in 3 parlays. Coastal ML wins and I cash a ticket over $400.

                                                    Adding:

                                                    Col State Over 21.5 (-115) MgM
                                                    Colts ML (-120) MgM
                                                    Wilkins Over 8.5 carries (-129) MgM

                                                    Good Luck Tonite!!!

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 11575

                                                      #131
                                                      Cancelled Coastal Carolina. Cash that ticket I guess.

                                                      Adding:

                                                      Cincinnati Over 41.5 (-118) MgM $236-$200


                                                      They're going to whip ECs ass tonite. UC is trying to get in the playoff and EC has a bunch of southern kids that aren't going to give a shit about playing in 30 degree weather tonite. Their defense completely sucks anyway.
                                                      I can't lay 26-27 pts or whatever? Thought about the first half the other day when it was -15.5, but then a few bad breaks can kill it. I think they put up more then enough tonite!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11575

                                                        #132
                                                        Leaning Under Minn/Iowa. Iowa always leans Under, but lets see if the Gophers shitty defense shows up? Probably get something close to Under 56 Live if it looks like the punters might get some work tonite.

                                                        Iowa 10-5 Under in their last 15 games
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Renegades
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-12-11
                                                          • 5290

                                                          #133
                                                          Agree on cincy. They need style pts.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-13-13
                                                            • 11575

                                                            #134
                                                            Adding:

                                                            Iowa Minn Under 58.5 (-118) Live


                                                            Looks a little windy and both teams are going to pound the ball
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11575

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Renegades
                                                              Agree on cincy. They need style pts.
                                                              GL tonite!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 11575

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                Cancelled Coastal Carolina. Cash that ticket I guess.

                                                                Adding:

                                                                Cincinnati Over 41.5 (-118) MgM $236-$200


                                                                They're going to whip ECs ass tonite. UC is trying to get in the playoff and EC has a bunch of southern kids that aren't going to give a shit about playing in 30 degree weather tonite. Their defense completely sucks anyway.
                                                                I can't lay 26-27 pts or whatever? Thought about the first half the other day when it was -15.5, but then a few bad breaks can kill it. I think they put up more then enough tonite!
                                                                35-10 Bearcats

                                                                They're so much better then the rest of their conference that its not even fair. I doubt they get in the final 4, but they deserve a New Years Day bowl or maybe a shot at the championship. I think they'd beat Notre Dame, Florida, and A&M personally.

                                                                Easy peasy tonite!! Cashed my Coastal parlays plus 2 easy winners. Should be up over $600 tonite! Waiting to see if I can get a team total on Ole Miss. I think they'll run it up on South Carolina. The turf is super fast on their field.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • earthx1
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-04-18
                                                                  • 256

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Fred, Good picks. Nice win streak. Do you have any picks for saturday?
                                                                  Earthx1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 11575

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by earthx1
                                                                    Fred, Good picks. Nice win streak. Do you have any picks for saturday?
                                                                    Earthx1
                                                                    Yes sir I do!!

                                                                    Already posted Ole Miss -10.5 and added -6.5 1st half

                                                                    I made an alternate total & ML parlay which is sort of like a teaser:

                                                                    Oregon ML & NC Wake Over 62.5 (-118) BetMgm $236-$200

                                                                    I actually threw that NC alternate total 62.5 (-209) in several parlays. NC plays 45-34 type of games every week it seems

                                                                    Got a little on Florida/Arkansas Over 59.5 (-112) FD

                                                                    Would've been a bigger play, but I'm thinking Florida's all world TE Pitts will be out

                                                                    Good Luck Today Boys

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                                      • 11575

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Crazy day. Florida Over will put me ahead after a couple of Live bet losses earlier. OM inside the 5, but couldn't get the TD there. Oregon ML to close out nice parlay, but their QB looked lost so I took Wa St Live and then they let Oregon go 60 yds in 20 seconds? Don't know what to do now? Could cash out the Wash State side, but then get left with nothing.

                                                                      Just glad Trask and Florida bailed me out!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                                        • 11575

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                        Adding:

                                                                        Ole Miss -10.5 (-114) over South Carolina Fan Duel $194-$170


                                                                        This OM team put up 48 pts and 600+ yds on Alabama. Kiffin will also stick the knife in and twist it (6 td passes vs Vandy). South Carolina will quit in the 2nd half. Probably play OM team Over as well when they post it. Would have to be 40-41 I would think?

                                                                        Ole Miss 48-27
                                                                        Ole Miss. Cash another ticket. Ho hum




                                                                        Took an Over parlay for tonite/tomorrow and bought a few points:

                                                                        Washington/Oregon State Over 49.5 & Arizona/Buffalo Over 53.5
                                                                        Comment
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