Fred The Hammers Bowl Thread

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  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11581

    #36
    Originally posted by Hman
    GL Fred
    Thanks brother. UAB with a TD on the first play. Thats why you don't set totals at 41 in cfb....unless the wind is blowing sideways at 30 mph
    Comment
    • cmatth1326
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-18-08
      • 761

      #37
      Not just CFB but CFB bowls. Who knows how serious these kids are going to take it?
      Comment
      • Fred The Hammer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 11581

        #38
        Originally posted by cmatth1326
        Not just CFB but CFB bowls. Who knows how serious these kids are going to take it?
        It doesn't appear (atleast to me) that we have nearly as many situational bowls as last year. For instance...last year Wyoming played on Boise's blue field which is almost a home game for their fans versus C Mich which was 1000+ miles from home. Major contributors sitting out like RB Royce Freeman with Oregon last year. Auburn obviously didnt give a shit vs UCF either and couldn't match their intensity whatsover.

        Don't see much of that this year? Some key guys are sitting for NC State and South Carolina's top WR is sitting out. I do think WV will get down vs Cuse and quit with their QB sitting out. They go bowling every year while Cuse winning 9 games or whatever will have them jacked up as hell on gameday!
        Comment
        • Fred The Hammer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 11581

          #39
          Beautiful drive from the Huskies there!! Hopefully they'll get a handle on UAB's offense too. UAB only put up 3 pts in the 2H vs Mid Tenn and I think NI has a much better D then they do.

          Comment
          • Fred The Hammer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 11581

            #40
            • Iowa TE Noah Fant: Perhaps the top tight end in this draft class, Fant will be missed against an aggressive and physical Mississippi State defense in the Outback Bowl.


            Keep forgetting about this game because its 2 weeks away, but Miss St is going to beat the everliving shit out of Iowa! Miss State held Bama to 24 pts. Who else could do that? Maybe Clemson and thats about it. Not to mention Fitzgerald has been there for 9 years it seems and can do it all.

            Adding:

            Miss State -7 (-105) / Iowa (4 units)

            Top play so far with Utah State and Syracuse

            Bulldogs 34-16
            Comment
            • Fred The Hammer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-13
              • 11581

              #41
              UAB QB and #7 look like Montana to Rice tonite. Who knew? Oh well....I'm definitely not one to say that you need to stay light on the shit bowls because I've made about $2k on La Tech in the last 3 years, but I think I'm falling to 2-1. I have twice as much on Ohio tomorrow.
              Comment
              • Renegades
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-11
                • 5290

                #42
                The only time I made serious money in bowls was live betting. 75-80% of the time you can tell in the first qtr the right side. You could see tonight in about 7 mins that n ill couldnt stop uab.
                Comment
                • Renegades
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-11
                  • 5290

                  #43
                  Rod Carey clearly cant prepare for bowls, he is winless
                  Comment
                  • Fred The Hammer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 11581

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Renegades
                    The only time I made serious money in bowls was live betting. 75-80% of the time you can tell in the first qtr the right side. You could see tonight in about 7 mins that n ill couldnt stop uab.

                    Too much juice with live betting for me. I did hit the Saints last night and I get what you're saying overall. I thought when NI made it 10-7 that they could get a handle on them, but no rush on their QB and no coverage on #7. Both teams just went completely out of their trends and passed at will.

                    Adding:

                    NI 2nd half (-2.5) 1 unit

                    I did the same thing with Mid Tenn in UABs last game and Mid Tenn won the 2nd half while holding UAB to 3 points. NI gets the kickoff
                    Comment
                    • Fred The Hammer
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-13-13
                      • 11581

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Renegades
                      Rod Carey clearly cant prepare for bowls, he is winless

                      Yeah...#7 had 2 TDs and almost a 3rd while still being single covered? UAB QB just isn't this good though....think NI will play harder then UAB in the 2nd half. They've always been a Northwestern style 100% effort program.
                      Comment
                      • Fred The Hammer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 11581

                        #46
                        2-2 but still +3 units

                        Adding:

                        Hawaii -1 (-105) / La Tech (2 units)

                        Hate to do it because La Tech are my darlings! They've made me so much during bowl season and they're on a 6-7 bowl winning streak as well....BUT....this team isn't that good. Their QB is shaky and they don't run the ball that well. Not to mention its a Hawaii style 10:30pm kickoff as well.

                        I really like Hawaii's QB Cole McDonald! 35 tds and 8 picks. I think he's the most talented QB they've ever had and will make some $$ in the NFL! I just can't see LT hanging with them in Hawaii? When it gets closer to gametime then 5D will open up the alternate lines and I'll be grabbing Hawaii -5.5 as well!

                        Rainbow Warriors 36-24
                        Comment
                        • A Quant
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-14-18
                          • 1357

                          #47
                          Hey Fred...

                          Just found your thread! Good luck man, hope you kill it!
                          Comment
                          • Fred The Hammer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 11581

                            #48
                            Originally posted by A Quant
                            Hey Fred...

                            Just found your thread! Good luck man, hope you kill it!

                            U2 brother! Some of you guys are destroying the bowls so far and some heavy hitters with college hoops as well. Its hard work trying to keep up!
                            Comment
                            • Fred The Hammer
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-13-13
                              • 11581

                              #49
                              Personally I have enough $ on Ohio already, but I think this is a nice spot to pick up a sweet adjusted line for a parlay builder or straight bet


                              Ohio -5.5 (+155) on 5 Dimes
                              Comment
                              • Fred The Hammer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 11581

                                #50
                                Adding:

                                BYU / W Mich Over 50 (-102) (2 units)

                                All these bowls seem to be going Over. They thought they had a def struggle lined up last night and both teams threw the ball nonstop!

                                This is basically a fade on WM's shit defense. They gave up 43 points per game over their last 4. BYU changed QBs midseason and they picked up their scoring to 31 ppg with the new guy. One thing also about Utah teams to remember is that they have alot of Mormons and they go on missions for years at a time. That means when they come back they might be 23-25 years old or something. Its literally men against boys if they're not too outmatched athletically. They should run over WM all day! I just don't like laying double digits.

                                BYU 40-23
                                Comment
                                • Fred The Hammer
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-13-13
                                  • 11581

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                  Personally I have enough $ on Ohio already, but I think this is a nice spot to pick up a sweet adjusted line for a parlay builder or straight bet
                                  Ohio -5.5 (+155) on 5 Dimes

                                  TD Ohio!! Bang!! It would've been a shame to only be up 13-0 after 2 passes in the WRs hands in the end zone!! Ohio also gets the kickoff. Hopefully SDS will quit. Hope somebody got the +155 ML....already had $300 on Ohio
                                  Comment
                                  • muscleville7
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-24-16
                                    • 158

                                    #52
                                    Bang!
                                    Comment
                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-13
                                      • 11581

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by muscleville7
                                      Bang!

                                      Appreciate the support brother! Alot of very good cappers on cfb and hoops with sbr this year. As good as I've ever seen it and I've been here for 9-10 years atleast with my other screen name. Keep tailing your ass off and you'll get paid!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 11581

                                        #54
                                        5D has issues from time to time boys but if you're not with them then you need to be!

                                        Be ready for the adjusted lines that usually open up on game day or the day before.

                                        BYU/W Mich 50? I think its 38-17 minimum or something like that. Throw in atleast $40-$50 on Over 53.5 and you'll be glad you did! You can bet it as a 2 team parlay and then just leave the other one open until you fall in love with something else. Thats what I do. I bet the regular line and then usually throw in the juicy adjusted line into a 2 teamer and try to hit some nice odds!

                                        Also Hawaii (-1) moved up -5.5 or -2.5 for the less ambitious

                                        I think Hawaii will be doing the war dance and they'll be rocking at home with the late start and a few points isn't going to save LT
                                        Comment
                                        • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-17-09
                                          • 11939

                                          #55
                                          I’ve got Ohio Alt. line -9.5 +255 tonight hoping it hangs on
                                          Comment
                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 11581

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                            I’ve got Ohio Alt. line -9.5 +255 tonight hoping it hangs on

                                            Nice Work...piece of cake and it didn't take 3.5 hours of sweating
                                            Comment
                                            • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-17-09
                                              • 11939

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                              Nice Work...piece of cake and it didn't take 3.5 hours of sweating
                                              Not at all
                                              Comment
                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-13
                                                • 11581

                                                #58
                                                3-2 (+6 units)

                                                4 on Utah State and 3 on Ohio tonite!!

                                                Next one up for me is BYU/WM Over 50
                                                Comment
                                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-17-09
                                                  • 11939

                                                  #59
                                                  Any read on tomorrow’s game?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • survive
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-11
                                                    • 2388

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                    Adding:

                                                    BYU / W Mich Over 50 (-102) (2 units)

                                                    All these bowls seem to be going Over. They thought they had a def struggle lined up last night and both teams threw the ball nonstop!

                                                    This is basically a fade on WM's shit defense. They gave up 43 points per game over their last 4. BYU changed QBs midseason and they picked up their scoring to 31 ppg with the new guy. One thing also about Utah teams to remember is that they have alot of Mormons and they go on missions for years at a time. That means when they come back they might be 23-25 years old or something. Its literally men against boys if they're not too outmatched athletically. They should run over WM all day! I just don't like laying double digits.

                                                    BYU 40-23
                                                    On this too at 49. Thinking about laying it with BYU for a little. Like their qb Wilson a decent amount, should dominate the trenches. Not worried about motivation either, BYU has that family type feel to their program/school so I expect them to celebrate and travel for this game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 11581

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                      Any read on tomorrow’s game?

                                                      No....taking that one off. I'm pretty big on Buffalo Over on Sat and BYU on Friday. I might play one of the other games on Sat.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11581

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by survive
                                                        On this too at 49. Thinking about laying it with BYU for a little. Like their qb Wilson a decent amount, should dominate the trenches. Not worried about motivation either, BYU has that family type feel to their program/school so I expect them to celebrate and travel for this game

                                                        BYU should run them over and you're right about the crowd. It will be easily BYU! I just feel like the WM defense is terrible. BYU prob covers easier then it goes Over, but I just don't lay big numbers on principle.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-13-13
                                                          • 11581

                                                          #63
                                                          I'm into the adjusted lines thing....prob put $50 on BYU -13.5 once 5d releases those lines. Thats if it doesn't climb to that anyway?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Capybara
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-17-08
                                                            • 11803

                                                            #64
                                                            Hey, nice job in here, Fred. What's the updated units? When you get a second, it'd be cool if you could carry all your previously placed bets for the remaining bowl games forward into one post to keep things simple for the people!

                                                            Keep it going, buddy!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • A Quant
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-14-18
                                                              • 1357

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                              Personally I have enough $ on Ohio already, but I think this is a nice spot to pick up a sweet adjusted line for a parlay builder or straight bet


                                                              Ohio -5.5 (+155) on 5 Dimes
                                                              Great Alt line bet! Always a good thing when those + tickets cash.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 11581

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by A Quant
                                                                Great Alt line bet! Always a good thing when those + tickets cash.

                                                                Thanks brother!

                                                                Speaking of which......adding:

                                                                5D Alternate Line

                                                                BYU / W Mich Over 52.5 (+118) .5 unit 2 team parlay with the 2nd bet open
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hman
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-04-17
                                                                  • 21429

                                                                  #67
                                                                  GL Fred
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 11581

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Capybara
                                                                    Hey, nice job in here, Fred. What's the updated units? When you get a second, it'd be cool if you could carry all your previously placed bets for the remaining bowl games forward into one post to keep things simple for the people!

                                                                    Keep it going, buddy!

                                                                    Well lets go back and look? I've actually upped my bets so what was a 2 unit play early on Texas A&M is now a 1.5 unit play.

                                                                    Utah State Team Total Over +4 units
                                                                    App St/Mid Tenn Over +1 unit
                                                                    North Ill ML -1 unit
                                                                    NI 2nd half -1 unit
                                                                    Ohio -2.5 +3 units

                                                                    Upcoming plays:

                                                                    BYU / W Mich Over 50 (-102) 2.5 units & Over 52.5 (+118) for .5 unit in a open 2 teamer

                                                                    Buffalo / Troy Over 49.5, 50, and 53.5 for a total of 2.5 units. Nice bargain at 49.5 imo but now I've fell in love more with BYU Over tomorrow!

                                                                    Hawaii -1 / La Tech (-105) 2 units

                                                                    Syracuse +7 / WV 2 units....that was before WV QB decided to sit. I may add more....Cuse isn't losing this game
                                                                    Cuse +115 ML for 1 unit
                                                                    Cuse +110 ML for .5 unit

                                                                    Miss St -7 / Iowa 4 units

                                                                    Texas A&M -4.5 / NC State 1.5 units....line is up to 6.5 now. Still a nice play imo

                                                                    Thats it so far!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                                      • 11581

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Adding:

                                                                      Houston +5 (-105) / Army 1 unit

                                                                      They're playing in Ft. Worth so Houston will have alot of fans for one. More importantly their coach Major Applewhite lost both bowls in his 2 seasons and they faded after a strong start this year. They've had some injuries too, but I think they'll be motivated for this one and they can cause Army problems with their athletes! Alot of their defensive woes were from passing but Army doesn't throw. I may play ML or add to this but $105-$100 is good enough for now!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                                        • 11581

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Added 1 unit Over 53.5 (-110) when Marshall punted it to the 1 yd line. Hoping for a safety or blocked punt....some kind of score b4 half. Marshall should break it open 2H
                                                                        Comment
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