DapperDan Football '15. Welcome Friendlies.

[Smutbucket]

no time for writeups on these....have one other writeup I made earlier in week but waiting on a better number as I think I can get tmrow might post if I get the number I want....

Week 10 additions:
Penn State/Northwestern Under 40.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU +10.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Week 10 Card:
Kansas State +17.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
UGA/Kentucky Under 57.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
LSU +7 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Syracuse +14.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Penn State/Northwestern Under 40.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU +10.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team ML Parlay (-106) Iowa ML (-260) and Michigan State (-250) Risking 1.06 units to win 1 units

[iloseagain]

cuse up to 17

[iloseagain]

good call on georgia under. cash by a mile

[Smutbucket]

everything started off soo goood.....cuse coach is really pissing me off....how the penetrate do you go for a fake field goal on 4th and 8 on 15 yard line down 21 points...stupidest thing Ive ever seen....do you think anyone would be fooled by that?.....still might get it now that I just a fumble....lets go...would like a 2-1 start

[Smutbucket]

Week 10 Additions
LSU ML (+250) Risking .5 units to win 1.25 units

Texas A&M -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
What made Gus Malzohns offense so great 2 years ago was his ability for his offense to keep defenses guessing, back on their heals, unable to adjust to his high powered attack. This year he's missing the starting QB weapon that drives that type of offense. Sean white is a pocket passer who cant run, especially so now that he hurt is ankle. Jeremy Johnson is a strong runner who cant read defenses for shit. To make matters worse malzohn has been interchanging both throughout the game, giving defenses time to adjust and predict what type of play is coming at them. This should cause problems for the Auburn offense as they havent been that strong of a running team and thats texas a&m's biggest weakness. Kyler Murray is a better option for Texas A&M as kyle allen was way too inconsistent, some throws he has made I will never understand...Kyler should have a great day rushing against this atrocious rush defense auburn has. Will Muschamp get fired after one year? problably should be. auburn defense has been horrible.

[iloseagain]

yea they have really fallen off since the 1q. 38-10 now

[iloseagain]

penn st under hung on for as long as it could. i had u42. just went over with 8 sec left. damnit.

[Smutbucket]

ya kyle bolin played amazing.....offensive weapon petrino needed to make his offense run....jackson was awful

[iloseagain]

unbelievable man. the college refs are so beyond trash its unreal. no friggen reason for this bullsh*t

how they determined he was forced out is beyond me.

[Smutbucket]

Week 10 Card:
Kansas State +17.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
UGA/Kentucky Under 57.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1
LSU +7 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.15 units
Syracuse +14.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1
Penn State/Northwestern Under 40.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1
FSU +10.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1
2 Team ML Parlay (-106) Iowa ML (-260) and Michigan State (-250) Risking 1.06 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.06
LSU ML (+250) Risking .5 units to win 1.25 units LOSS -.5
Texas A&M -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1

Argh....first bad losing week....will get em back next weekend....also pissed got my very first game total loss on the season ...8-1 on season in game totals now

Week 10 Results: 3-6 -3.01 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 9
Rams +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Packers ML (-140) Risking 1.4 units to win 1 units
Giants ML (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units
Jaguars +9 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Chi/SD Over 49 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 9 : 2-3 -1.6 units



Already looked at card for the week and it doesnt look very pretty....have a real busy week of work and their doesnt seem to be much catching my eye so doubt their will be that many plays this week.....let me know if any of you have a game you think their is a mismatch and ill look into it....

[chunk]

Utah St
Oklahoma
California

Texas
Miami Fla
Wash Book em

[iloseagain]

virginia tech

[Smutbucket]

Utah St
Oklahoma
California

Texas
Miami Fla
Wash Book em

gonna look into wash and oklahoma as those were 2 that stuck out to me but need to check numbers/trends

virginia tech

ya I was just trying to decide whether I liked vtech or the over more in this game as I love this matchup every year and will most likely be putting a bet in on this thursday night game

[Smutbucket]

Week 11
Vtech/Gtech Over 53.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
This matchup has gone under the total 6 times in 7 match ups between these two coaches. which I think is partially skewing the line down.
But this is an unusual matchup as both offenses have been the strong suits of the team and their defenses have been very weak. vtechs offense is really coming together now that brewer is back and it shouldnt have a hard time moving the ball against this awful gtech defense. Not only has gtech defense been awful but its really banged up right now and theyve had a TON of injuries in the last 2 weeks. Both coaches are very familiar with each other but at the same time they are very adaptive coaches. This game is a favorite of mine to watch every season as both coaches are constantly changing formations, throwing new looks, seeking the slightest advantage to exploit in either the defense or offense. I expect vtech to take an early lead and gtech to be playing catchup throwing the ball a lot and digging into paul johnsons bag of tricks to try and lead a comeback... might take vtech for a half unit tmrw depended on where line moves....


Pitt/Duke Under 50(-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Not sure why this total is so high? I guess because last couple games of these teams had high totals? but that was because these teams played a lot of teams with decent defenses and great offenses like UNC and also gtech (actually gtech has awful defense). Duke against vtech went to OT thats why game total ended so high in that one...also probably because the last 2 years these two teams match-upd the total ended close to 100. But these are two different teams this year though whose strengths have been their defenses... pitt because of narduzzi obviously who I talked about a lot already and dukes defense has been much improved this year sporting 9th best opponents yards per rush at 3.2 and 16th best opponents completion % at 52%. Pitt is a run first team who likes to milk the clock, so that should also play to our advantage. I see this goin under pretty easily being a 24-17 type game.....

[Smutbucket]

No time for writeups this week fellas....heres what I got locked in

Week 11 Card:
Georgia pk (-110) Risking 1.65 unit to win 1.5 units
Pitt/Duke Under 50 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Memphis +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Miss. State +9 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Florida -7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
VTech/Gtech Over 53.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS

[BiffTFinancial]

No time for writeups this week fellas....heres what I got locked in

Week 11 Card:
Georgia pk (-110) Risking 1.65 unit to win 1.5 units
Pitt/Duke Under 50 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Memphis +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Miss. State +9 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Florida -7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
VTech/Gtech Over 53.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS

Nice looking card, Smut. BOL today, brotha!

[iloseagain]

why didnt georgia take the 3...

[Semper Fidelis]

why didnt georgia take the 3...

Should've been a TD, Mitchell was open on that slant and our horrible QB threw it behind him. Should be a tied game right now if not for our scared QB who is playing with 0 confidence at the moment. Really hoping for a much better and cleaner 2nd half from my Dawgs.

[iloseagain]

Should've been a TD, Mitchell was open on that slant and our horrible QB threw it behind him. Should be a tied game right now if not for our scared QB who is playing with 0 confidence at the moment. Really hoping for a much better and cleaner 2nd half from my Dawgs.

yea. georgia looks like the better team. lets see them pull this out in the 2H. need the TD here though.

[iloseagain]

duke pitt went from a slow moving 1h to a quick strike game in the 2h.. makes no sense. penetrating retarded

EDIT: it covers!

[Smutbucket]

duke pitt went from a slow moving 1h to a quick strike game in the 2h.. makes no sense. penetrating retarded

yea totals are rough....like thursday nights gtech/vtech...litterally everything went wrong in 2nd half to stay under....teams moving up and down field and fumbling in rz and/or missing FG's/PATs....surprised how well im doing in totals this season because it hasnt always been this way (got to check not sure my W/L on totals and/or ATS for years past just yet) but this year Ive definitely been more conservative with totals only picking 1 a week...this week was unusual I really liked 2....

looking like a good day...eyeing late games to possibly add.......baylor looks awfully tempting at less than 3....

[iloseagain]

i actually expected you to be on bama/miss st u51.5. Awesome picks thus far man! Sorry for my bitching haha

I like baylor as well. Lots of people liking oklahoma because of baylors QB situation

[iloseagain]

Hmmmm Alabama is just really good i suppose lol... Not hating on your 1 loss of the day dont worry haha. Bama is just very good. Should be #1 over Clemson, no doubt in my mind.

EDIT: actually i forgot that bama got all of their tds on stupid plays. They just had their 1st red zone appearance of the day with 9:28 left in the 4Q.. I honestly forgot how this game had went because I was watching so many games. I think you might have been on the correct side here if not for bama breaking all of those big plays.

[Smutbucket]

Okay Ill bite at this number for half unit

Week 11 Addition:
Iowa -8.5 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units

[iloseagain]

sorry im gona keep my mouth shut... mighta jinxed memphis.. even thought i dont believe in jinxes at all haha, but some people do so i will erase my post haha

[iloseagain]

garbage backdoor cover by minnesota

good day man

[Smutbucket]

No time for writeups this week fellas....heres what I got locked in

Week 11 Card:
Georgia pk (-110) Risking 1.65 unit to win 1.5 units WIN +1.5
Pitt/Duke Under 50 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1
Memphis +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1
FSU -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1
Miss. State +9 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.15
Florida -7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units WIN +1
VTech/Gtech Over 53.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1
Iowa -8.5 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units LOSS -.55

Week 11 Results: 5-3 +2.7 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 10
Dolphins/Eagles Under 49.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Saints PK (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Titans +4.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jags +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Vikings +3 (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
Giants +9 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Cardinals +3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units

[iloseagain]

i really liked oak.. good pick. that kick return td after oakland went up 14-13 was such a huge momentum boost for minny.. the game was ALL minny from there.

Nice pick on NYG. I actually thought pats would crush them thru the air and put up a ton of points. all i had in that game was pats teased to -1 so i pushed luckily.

LOVED zona. Looks real good. Also went pretty big on sea u23.5. They cant score against anyone, and i think zona has one of the best defenses in the league. Did not see seattle scoring more than 13 honestly.

[iloseagain]

zona never in doubt lol

[Smutbucket]

ya finally was some parity in nfl this week.....

zona was a bit scary with the 2 defensive tds (one on 3 yard line) but I figured seattle defense wasnt stopping zona all night so was confident even when they were down....refreshing to see referees actually throw the flag on seattle secondary and not let them get away with all the holding/illegal contacts they have been known to get away with for years now.....fuk u pete carrol

Week 10 NFL : 5-2 +2.85 units