Mo' Betta's MMA

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  • more_betterness
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-18-11
    • 344

    #1
    Mo' Betta's MMA
    For the new year I've vowed to improve upon the disaster that was my record-keeping last year and figured that posting my picks here would help, while also providing an opportunity for some occasional feedback. I know a lot of these threads pop up so I apologize for adding to them, feel free to fade me, its probably in your best interest!

    Nothing too big on this card for me, only some moderate leans. Ended up playing pretty small across the board.

    UFC 142:

    1 unit on Anthony Johnson (+130) to win 1.3 units
    3.5 units on Rousimar Palhares (-350) to win 1 unit
    1.68 units on Gabriel Gonzaga (-120) to win 1.4 units

    Parlay: 0.662 units on Mendes/Aldo starts Round 2 (-892), Johnson/Belfort won't start Round 3 (-149), and Massenzio/Palhares won't go 3 round distance (-285) to win 1 unit

    Still kicking the tires on Stout/Tavares and may put a flier on Mendes later.
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    Nice one, looks good to me
    Comment
    • more_betterness
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-18-11
      • 344

      #3
      adding:

      0.9 units on Etim/Barboza goes 3 round distance at +120 to win 1.08 units
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        GL bro
        Comment
        • more_betterness
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-18-11
          • 344

          #5
          Couldn't help it, and the late line drop (and a few beers) have me adding:
          1.92 units on Yuri Alcantara at -192 to win 1 unit

          watch me get burned!
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #6
            Good decision!
            Comment
            • more_betterness
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-18-11
              • 344

              #7
              Tavares at +240 live betting between 2nd and 3rd rounds.. Put a unit on it but obviously wont include in total.
              Comment
              • more_betterness
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-18-11
                • 344

                #8
                142 Results:

                3-3 +0.838 units.

                Literally one second away from being up another unit if Aldo/Mendes starts round 2 hit, but wow what a finish!

                Also had one unit on Thiago Tavares at +240 during live betting for a 2.4 unit profit that I wont count, but made it a little better of a night!
                Comment
                • more_betterness
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-18-11
                  • 344

                  #9
                  UFC on FX 1:

                  2.9 units on Eric Schafer at -145 to win 2 units

                  Possibly more to come, keeping an eye on the Camoes and Miller lines, but honestly don't see very much value in this card. Hopefully the props actually come out on 5d and there's some value there.
                  Comment
                  • The HOFF
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 4847

                    #10
                    I want to put more on Schafer and will be kicking myself if he wins easily. I already bet to win 5u and know I should stop there.
                    Comment
                    • more_betterness
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-18-11
                      • 344

                      #11
                      Originally posted by The HOFF
                      I want to put more on Schafer and will be kicking myself if he wins easily. I already bet to win 5u and know I should stop there.
                      I'm in the same boat, been going back and forth on whether to double this one up or not since I placed it. I'm doing my best to control myself. Hope he doesn't make us look stupid!
                      Comment
                      • more_betterness
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-18-11
                        • 344

                        #12
                        adding:

                        0.6 units on Miller by Submission at +172 to win 1.032 units
                        Comment
                        • more_betterness
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-18-11
                          • 344

                          #13
                          told myself if he got below three hundred i'd play him so, adding:

                          2.9 units on Fabricio Camoes to win 1 unit
                          Comment
                          • more_betterness
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-18-11
                            • 344

                            #14
                            chasing... maybe
                            adding:
                            3.06 units on Jim Miller at -153 to win 2 units
                            Comment
                            • Vaughany
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 45563

                              #15
                              haha Good decision - I'd of probably done the same if Neer had lost!
                              Comment
                              • more_betterness
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-18-11
                                • 344

                                #16
                                Ufc on Fx 1 results:

                                3-1 + 1.132 units.

                                F*** the ginger.
                                Comment
                                • more_betterness
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-18-11
                                  • 344

                                  #17
                                  Adding:

                                  UFC on Fox 2:

                                  1.4 units on Rashad Evans at -140 to win one unit

                                  Strikeforce:

                                  2 units on Daniel Cormier at +135 to win 2.7 units
                                  Comment
                                  • more_betterness
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-18-11
                                    • 344

                                    #18
                                    adding:
                                    UFC on Fox 2:

                                    1.8 units on Mike Russow at -180 to win 1 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • more_betterness
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-18-11
                                      • 344

                                      #19


                                      The wrestling match is pretty uneventful (but awesome that both of them ended up in MMA), but the real reason I am posting starts at 3:50!
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #20
                                        haha classic Ben Askren
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #21
                                          LOL at Davis slapping Rosholt at 8min mark!
                                          Comment
                                          • koscheckbaby
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-05-10
                                            • 1314

                                            #22
                                            Could Davis make 185? Rosholt and Weidman, two guys that beat him in college, are 185ers now. Davis probably grew more.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Davis is big dude, a physical specimen!...massive quads and his back, delts and shoulders are huuuuge
                                              Comment
                                              • more_betterness
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 08-18-11
                                                • 344

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                Davis is big dude, a physical specimen!...massive quads and his back, delts and shoulders are huuuuge
                                                He was already jacked during college, but has definitely thickened up since. I dont doubt that he could possibly make 185, but it would definitely be Rumble-esque and probably more of a disadvantage to him than anything.
                                                Comment
                                                • more_betterness
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-18-11
                                                  • 344

                                                  #25
                                                  UFC on Fox 2:

                                                  1.4 units on Rashad Evans at -140 to win 1 unit

                                                  1.8 units on Mike Russow at -180 to win 1 unit

                                                  Parlay: 1.2 units on Chael Sonnen (-450), Davis/Evans starts round 2 (-362), and Maia/Weidman starts round 2 (-525) to win 1.028 units

                                                  Parlay: 1.2 units Evan Dunham (-285), Sonnen by 3 round decision (-158) to win 1.448 units


                                                  Looking at Swanson hard now that he's a dog, also considering putting a good amount on Weidman with a possible prop bet on Maia as a hedge.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • more_betterness
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-18-11
                                                    • 344

                                                    #26
                                                    adding:

                                                    1 unit on Cub Swanson +115 to win 1.15 units
                                                    Comment
                                                    • more_betterness
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-18-11
                                                      • 344

                                                      #27
                                                      adding: 1.56 units on Chris Weidman at -130 to win 1.2 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • more_betterness
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-18-11
                                                        • 344

                                                        #28
                                                        UFC on FOX 2 results:

                                                        6-0 +6.826 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vaughany
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 03-07-10
                                                          • 45563

                                                          #29
                                                          Good job
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bjpenn85
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5059

                                                            #30
                                                            Pretty pretty pretty good!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Beelzebubzy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 06-06-11
                                                              • 6995

                                                              #31
                                                              Congrats dude!
                                                              great night

                                                              Drinks on you
                                                              Comment
                                                              • more_betterness
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-18-11
                                                                • 344

                                                                #32
                                                                UFC 143:

                                                                adding:

                                                                1 unit on Scott Jorgensen at +200 to win 2 units.

                                                                Parlay: 1 unit on Diaz/Condit starts round 3 (-165), and Dustin Poirier (-400) to win 1.008 units

                                                                Not liking a whole lot on this card tbh, would have bet Caceres at the opener, but had some issues getting money into my bookmaker account. Keeping an eye on the Nelson and Koscheck lines as well.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • more_betterness
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-18-11
                                                                  • 344

                                                                  #33
                                                                  UFC 143:

                                                                  1 unit on Scott Jorgensen at +200 to win 2 units.

                                                                  Parlay: 1 unit on Diaz/Condit starts round 3 (-165), and Dustin Poirier (-400) to win 1.008 units

                                                                  adding:

                                                                  0.8 units on Herman by Submission at +195 to win 1.56 units

                                                                  0.2 units on Nelson KO of the night at +950 to win 1.9 units

                                                                  1 unit on Alex Caceres at +110 to win 1.1 units

                                                                  1 unit on Koscheck by decision at +125 to win 1.25 units

                                                                  Still looking at Nelson and possibly a straight up play on Herman if he continues to drop
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • more_betterness
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 08-18-11
                                                                    • 344

                                                                    #34
                                                                    adding:
                                                                    2.7 units on Ed Herman at -225 to win 1.2 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • more_betterness
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-18-11
                                                                      • 344

                                                                      #35
                                                                      UFC 143 Results:

                                                                      4-3
                                                                      + 2.818 units
                                                                      Comment
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