UFC 136 Bets

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  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #71
    Originally posted by NunyaBidness
    I think the main reason to bet against Kampmann is he won his last two fights against grapplers and still lost. Story by undeserved decision.
    ha yeah, but I'd like to think that he is due a decision win just based on law of averages!
    Comment
    • Vitooch
      SBR MVP
      • 09-26-11
      • 3470

      #72
      Originally posted by Vaughany
      Yep you are right, he certainly could just grind Kampmann against the cage for 3 rounds. For Kampmann backers (such as me) you're basically counting on Kampmann using the Thiago Alves fight as a "how not to fight against Story" guide and to not let Story just keep pressing him against the cage. Unlike Thiago Alves, the Hitman has a much more aggressive submission game, so I expect him to be looking for guillotines as soon as Story puts his neck down to look for a takedown.
      I think story by decision or straight up with a Kampmann by submission hedge would be a solid play. If the fight goes to decision I def see story winning in the fashion mentioned. Also, I don't see kampmann winning by tko.
      Last edited by Vitooch; 10-15-11, 02:03 PM.
      Comment
      • bjpenn85
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5059

        #73
        I hope kampann comes inn with a gameplan like brenneman. Story might think kampmann uses his wrestling in reverse like he always do against grapplers and thats why a a gameplan that involve taking story down and basically make a grappling match would suit kampmann perfect. He is clearly the bettor grappler and should dominate story on the ground the way he did against thiago. If story ends up pushing kampmann egainst the fence or even take him down, i think kampmann should just be comfortable with it. Dont spend time and energy to avoid it. Kampmann often is the one that loses time and points even if his opponents doesnt achieve a takedown. He should go for sweeps and submissions and just facking dominate him.
        Comment
        • proposition joe
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-06-11
          • 532

          #74
          Originally posted by proposition joe
          Added

          Bellator 54

          Vitor Vianna (Risk 25/Win 62)
          Brian Rogers (Risk 45/Win 141)

          M-1 Challenge 27

          Artur Guseinov (Risk 25/Win 38)
          Daniel Madrid (Risk 25/Win 33)
          Mikhail Zayats (Risk 25/Win 61)
          Weekend totals = +$63

          Not bad. Both Zayats and Rogers looked good in losses so I'm pretty happy with the bets in general.
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #75
            Good job, cant complain with 3 out of 5 doggies hitting
            Comment
            • proposition joe
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-06-11
              • 532

              #76
              Added

              UFC 137

              Mirko Crocop (Risk 25/Win 55)
              Donald Cerrone (Risk 120/Win 50)
              Comment
              • proposition joe
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-06-11
                • 532

                #77
                Added

                Bellator 55

                Alexis Vila (Risk 315/Win 100)

                Maybe not the best value but my gut is telling me to go with it.
                Comment
                • sirchadwick1
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-02-10
                  • 1375

                  #78
                  Vila is -130 inside the distance at Bodog. Really loving that one.
                  Comment
                  • proposition joe
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-06-11
                    • 532

                    #79
                    Originally posted by sirchadwick1
                    Vila is -130 inside the distance at Bodog. Really loving that one.

                    Yeah, that's a great line. I'm still thinking about setting up an online account and lines like that tempt me even more.
                    Comment
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