UFC 135 --- "Lock of the year"

Playmaker · 09-20-11, 10:31 PM

Good Luck..Curious....what book do you use?

gabe · 09-20-11, 10:34 PM

Originally posted by Playmaker

Good Luck..Curious....what book do you use?

I don't use the off-shore sites. I have a guy.

NunyaBidness · 09-20-11, 11:30 PM

I'm confused. Are you jesuseatsnubs? Or Pride>UFC? Or all 3?

GunShard · 09-21-11, 12:09 AM

Jon Jones is the lock.

Jackson is an idiot for accusing Jones for spying because a coincidental tweeter comment.

Vaughany · 09-21-11, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I'm confused. Are you jesuseatsnubs? Or Pride>UFC? Or all 3?

I think his grammar is too good for jesuseatsnubs! And I havn't seen him use the words "beated" or "rooster-suckas" yet

NunyaBidness · 09-21-11, 02:01 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

I think his grammar is too good for jesuseatsnubs! And I havn't seen him use the words "beated" or "rooster-suckas" yet

His claimed bet size and wild confidence sure seems right though.

Vaughany · 09-21-11, 02:12 AM

ha Sure does

more_betterness · 09-21-11, 02:20 AM

He hasn't asked anyone to show him their

yet either, so I also support the conclusion that this is not Jesuseatsnubs.

cheeese · 09-21-11, 02:33 AM

I don't think it's Jesus either but it probably is someone from the last supper.

ReBEL`LiON · 09-21-11, 02:55 AM

it's not that hard going 49-12 when you're picking -300 favorites

lol jk im not into favorites when it comes to MMA. would rather go high risk high reward

gabe · 09-21-11, 05:03 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

His claimed bet size and wild confidence sure seems right though.

Originally posted by ReBEL`LiON

it's not that hard going 49-12 when you're picking -300 favorites

lol jk im not into favorites when it comes to MMA. would rather go high risk high reward

i've hit lots of underdogs.

but a lock is a lock. doesn't matter if it's -150 or -305.

i've built up the confidence in myself. i learned to not second guess myself so much and to trust my picks. i used to be afraid and always end up betting way less than i initially intended. my picks would win, and instead of being happy i won, i would be upset with myself that i didn't bet the amount i originally wanted to.

ReBEL`LiON · 09-21-11, 05:15 AM

well it would be great to at least explain why you chose this pick.

i dont see what the big deal about ferguson honestly. he will most likely win but at -300 (now -360) his skill level doesnt reflect his value

gabe · 09-21-11, 05:32 AM

Originally posted by ReBEL`LiON

well it would be great to at least explain why you chose this pick.

i dont see what the big deal about ferguson honestly. he will most likely win but at -300 (now -360) his skill level doesnt reflect his value

Ferguson is a knock out artist. I expect him to be a serious contender. After this win, he will likely fight Evan Dunham or another top 10 guy in the lightweight division. Do keep in mind that he is dropping to lightweight for this fight. Aaron Riley does not stand a chance against him. Putting on an entertaining fight is all can hope for. I haven't really seen Ferguson's chin tested, but I feel he is a guy that will be really tough to knock out. I see him being tough to submit, too, especially against Riley. I think this is going to be a First Round K.O. for Tony Ferguson. This is a no brainer bet for me.

Vaughany · 09-21-11, 05:52 AM

I put him in a couple parlays at -265, but I'm not sure if there is value in Ferguson past -300 straight up - I'd rather play him by TKO/KO or decision at better value. He dominated that TUF as a smallish WW, he's now going to be a good-sized LW with solid wrestling and some of the best pure boxing I've seen in the UFC. He's amped up his training as well by spending more time with Marty Morgan and Greg Nelson in Minnesota.

BIGDAY · 09-21-11, 08:35 AM

GL, I have a parlay including Ferguson, Kos, Jones. Pays EV

gabe · 09-21-11, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

I put him in a couple parlays at -265, but I'm not sure if there is value in Ferguson past -300 straight up - I'd rather play him by TKO/KO or decision at better value. He dominated that TUF as a smallish WW, he's now going to be a good-sized LW with solid wrestling and some of the best pure boxing I've seen in the UFC. He's amped up his training as well by spending more time with Marty Morgan and Greg Nelson in Minnesota.

Originally posted by BIGDAY

GL, I have a parlay including Ferguson, Kos, Jones. Pays EV

I think I might make that parlay, too. My bookie doesn't offer prop bets for MMA, so I can't bet Tony by KO.

BIGDAY · 09-21-11, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I think I might make that parlay, too. My bookie doesn't offer prop bets for MMA, so I can't bet Tony by KO.

Better yet,
Ferguson, Kos, and Jones -300 (inside the dist) I think Jones ends this with in the 5 rounds.

gabe · 09-21-11, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Better yet,
Ferguson, Kos, and Jones -300 (inside the dist) I think Jones ends this with in the 5 rounds.

It's safe to say that ALL THREE of those fights end within 10 minutes of action.

NunyaBidness · 09-21-11, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by gabe

It's safe to say that ALL THREE of those fights end within 10 minutes of action.

How much would you care to bet?

gabe · 09-21-11, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

How much would you care to bet?

On a parlay w/ all three of those fights ending within the distance? A couple hundy, at least.

ghost kid · 09-21-11, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by gabe

On a parlay w/ all three of those fights ending within the distance? A couple hundy, at least.

I think he means he will book your wager. Get it?

NunyaBidness · 09-21-11, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by gabe

On a parlay w/ all three of those fights ending within the distance? A couple hundy, at least.

All 3 fights under 10 minutes at even money. I'll take whatever action you'd like. What part of the world are you in?

Chairib · 09-21-11, 08:02 PM

Reading comprehension is obviously not a strength with most people on here.

NunyaBidness · 09-21-11, 08:05 PM

There's that rapier wit again.

illmatick · 09-21-11, 08:23 PM

I've found that the ratio of lock icons to a thread's pick usually reduces that outcome by 20 cents per icon.

5mike5 · 09-21-11, 10:49 PM

LOL--i also agree 0 value on huge mma favs....gogs will pay for themselves if 1 of 5 wins easily....i sure love the options 5dimes gives and parlablable everything in mma....very nice

gabe · 09-21-11, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

All 3 fights under 10 minutes at even money. I'll take whatever action you'd like. What part of the world are you in?

Even money was for Jones winning inside the distance, for all 3 fighters to win within 2 rounds, the return should be A LOT more sweet.

I'm in Los Angeles.

gabe · 09-21-11, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

I've found that the ratio of lock icons to a thread's pick usually reduces that outcome by 20 cents per icon.

Really, nerd boy? Did you break out your calculator to crunch those numbers?
The internet rules you've been living your life by don't apply to me.

illmatick · 09-21-11, 11:22 PM

nerd boy?

gabe · 09-21-11, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

nerd boy?

xo <3

jacktheknife · 09-22-11, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by gabe

Really, nerd boy? Did you break out your calculator to crunch those numbers?
The internet rules you've been living your life by don't apply to me.

lol nerd boy. Your name right now is The New Eatsnub.

gabe · 09-22-11, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by jacktheknife

lol nerd boy. Your name right now is The New Eatsnub.

whatever makes your life spent on the internet worthwhile, sweetheart.

Educ8d Degener8 · 09-22-11, 02:29 PM

I don't think it's eatsnubs... Gabe's prose is much more coherent.

Or it is eatsnubs, and he is a troll extraordinaire.

Isn't eatsnubs -210
Is eatsnubs +175

gabe · 09-22-11, 02:36 PM

Isn't eatsnubs - 210 MY LOCK OF THE CENTURY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!