Which underdog will win their fight?

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  • GunShard
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-05-10
    • 10031

    #1
    Which underdog will win their fight?
    UFC Live: Rick Story to defeat Nate Marquardt.
    UFC 132: Chris Leben to defeat Wanderlei Silva.
    UFC 134: Forrest Griffin to defeat Mauricio Rua.
    Future Event: Jason Miller to defeat Michael Bisping.

    Are there any more underdogs to bet on that could be a winner?
  • Ladle
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-21-11
    • 835

    #2
    UFC Live: Rick Story to defeat Nate Marquardt.
    UFC 132: Chris Leben to defeat Wanderlei Silva.
    UFC 134: Forrest Griffin to defeat Mauricio Rua.
    Future Event: Jason Miller to defeat Michael Bisping.
    You can easily construct a scenario in which each of these guys wins, but I think the favourites are justified.

    Originally posted by GunShard
    Are there any more underdogs to bet on that could be a winner?
    Matt Wiman and Ben Henderson.
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #3
      Wiman for me too
      Comment
      • sirchadwick1
        SBR MVP
        • 06-02-10
        • 1375

        #4
        I really like Wiman and Henderson myself. But I also think that Leben has a solid shot and am willing to play him at +160. I can see probably 2 of the dogs winning on your list so it may be worth playing all of them and you'll still come out on top.
        Comment
        • Straight Cash
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-09
          • 2202

          #5
          Story has a chance if nate has trouble with the cut.
          Comment
          • thesox0311
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-23-10
            • 365

            #6
            i dont think Rick Story has a chance. Leben always has a fighters chance. Shogun will be way too much for forest, and as much as i hate to say it Bisbing should own Mayhem....

            I do like Wiman a lot. If i was forced to pick id say Leben on that list though
            Comment
            • blumpkin
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-16-11
              • 359

              #7
              Gotta agree here with wiman as my fav underdog of those picks.
              Comment
              • Wrecked
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-31-11
                • 887

                #8
                Leban, Miller, and Wilman win these fights.
                Comment
                • v1y
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-02-11
                  • 1138

                  #9
                  where's the line on story/marquardt?
                  Comment
                  • GoldRush7
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-27-09
                    • 2014

                    #10
                    I will have a big bet on a shogun, lightning will not strike twice for forrest
                    Comment
                    • Jordan23
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-26-10
                      • 1227

                      #11
                      What is the line on Story/Nate? I can't find it anywhere. Then again I really have tried to look. Are you just assuming Story is going to be the underdog?
                      Comment
                      • Vaughany
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 03-07-10
                        • 45563

                        #12
                        He's assuming...shouldnt assume though...makes an ass out of u and me.
                        Comment
                        • sag3000
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 05-15-11
                          • 65

                          #13
                          I'm also liking Condit to upset DHK. Allthough it's hard to point out any weaknesses in Stun Guns game, he almost gassed in the late round against a somewhat tentative Nate Diaz. I think Condit, with some great game plan from Jackson, can set a high pace and eek out a victory here. Condit has better takedown defence than Diaz, and can put on just as good stand up and stagger DHK.
                          Comment
                          • Varker
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 04-03-10
                            • 283

                            #14
                            I think rick story
                            Comment
                            • NickDiaz209
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-22-11
                              • 438

                              #15
                              Rick Story sure gets to fight a lot of overrated guys.

                              Alves was viewed as top 3 in the weight class despite barely being top 10.

                              Same thing for Marquardt.

                              Rick Story seems to be the new Brendon Schaub...gets to fight big names who aren't that great
                              Comment
                              • Squareguy
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-30-10
                                • 481

                                #16
                                Originally posted by NickDiaz209
                                Rick Story sure gets to fight a lot of overrated guys.

                                Alves was viewed as top 3 in the weight class despite barely being top 10.

                                Same thing for Marquardt.

                                Rick Story seems to be the new Brendon Schaub...gets to fight big names who aren't that great


                                I don't think you have the slightest understanding of how good these guys are.
                                Comment
                                • NickDiaz209
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-22-11
                                  • 438

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Squareguy
                                  I don't think you have the slightest understanding of how good these guys are.
                                  Who Schaub or Story? They're both not top 5, that's for sure...and they keep calling out guys who they matchup well with (Marquardt and Alves in one case, and CroCop and Nog in Schaub's case). If these guys had any balls they'd call out Fitch, Diaz, GSP, Kos, or in Schaub's case, a guy from Strikeforce like Barnett, Overeem, Antonio Silva, JDS, Carwin, or Cain.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by NickDiaz209
                                    Who Schaub or Story? They're both not top 5, that's for sure...and they keep calling out guys who they matchup well with (Marquardt and Alves in one case, and CroCop and Nog in Schaub's case). If these guys had any balls they'd call out Fitch, Diaz, GSP, Kos, or in Schaub's case, a guy from Strikeforce like Barnett, Overeem, Antonio Silva, JDS, Carwin, or Cain.
                                    U realise Fitch, Diaz, GSP and Kos all have fights scheduled or are injured right?! Or do you just want there to be 6 fighters in each division?
                                    Comment
                                    • NickDiaz209
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-22-11
                                      • 438

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                      U realise Fitch, Diaz, GSP and Kos all have fights scheduled or are injured right?! Or do you just want there to be 6 fighters in each division?
                                      That's not the point. The point is that these guys (especially Schaub) is calling out guys who he matches up well with, are BIG names, and are half a decade out of their prime (which is really like 10 years in MMA years). Just because someone has a fight scheduled doesn't mean you can't call them out.
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by NickDiaz209
                                        That's not the point. The point is that these guys (especially Schaub) is calling out guys who he matches up well with, are BIG names, and are half a decade out of their prime (which is really like 10 years in MMA years). Just because someone has a fight scheduled doesn't mean you can't call them out.
                                        Story just called out BJ Penn - is he a can as well?
                                        Comment
                                        • NickDiaz209
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-22-11
                                          • 438

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                          Story just called out BJ Penn - is he a can as well?
                                          Was very unaware of that...I guess he has bigger balls than I thought, but still, I stand by the fact that I believe Schaub is taking the easy route to a title shot.
                                          Comment
                                          • sirchadwick1
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-02-10
                                            • 1375

                                            #22
                                            Schaub is taking no easier route than Brock. And he's about to hit a freakin wall soon enough... he will be humbled.

                                            I believe that Story can hang w/ the best of them though w/ the exception of GSP.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by NickDiaz209
                                              Was very unaware of that...I guess he has bigger balls than I thought, but still, I stand by the fact that I believe Schaub is taking the easy route to a title shot.


                                              Schaub u might be right on, but he's just being smart. He's called out Frank Mir and said he wanted a rematch with Nelson but they were already scheduled. You and I arn't in his situation, by calling out and getting fights against Cro-Cop and Nog etc.. he's giving himself a good chance of winning and a bigger payday than if he fought Jon Madsen or Russow or something!
                                              Comment
                                              • GunShard
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-05-10
                                                • 10031

                                                #24
                                                I was making an educated guess that Marquardt is the favorite.
                                                Which he is indeed the confirmed favorite.
                                                Comment
                                                • poopoo333
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 05-30-11
                                                  • 144

                                                  #25
                                                  I think the best underdog you listed is Forrest Griffin. I am not counting Rick Story because the line keeps moving, Story was up to -140
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sideloaded
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-21-10
                                                    • 7561

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by poopoo333
                                                    I think the best underdog you listed is Forrest Griffin. I am not counting Rick Story because the line keeps moving, Story was up to -140
                                                    watch out for poopoo he's a troll that has been banned from many mma forums.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bogbat
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-21-10
                                                      • 1843

                                                      #27
                                                      Story opened at +140 but the line reversed and he is now -140.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NickDiaz209
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-22-11
                                                        • 438

                                                        #28
                                                        story wins this easily
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jesus Christ
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-25-11
                                                          • 935

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by NickDiaz209
                                                          Rick Story sure gets to fight a lot of overrated guys.

                                                          Alves was viewed as top 3 in the weight class despite barely being top 10.

                                                          Same thing for Marquardt.

                                                          Rick Story seems to be the new Brendon Schaub...gets to fight big names who aren't that great


                                                          Not much research done on your part eh?

                                                          But I agree with you on Schaub...he is trying to fight "Names" not necessarily top fighters.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ladle
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-21-11
                                                            • 835

                                                            #30
                                                            Matt Brown at +200. Definitely worth taking a flier on.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pin2Win
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-10-11
                                                              • 139

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by GunShard
                                                              UFC Live: Rick Story to defeat Nate Marquardt.
                                                              UFC 132: Chris Leben to defeat Wanderlei Silva.
                                                              UFC 134: Forrest Griffin to defeat Mauricio Rua.
                                                              Future Event: Jason Miller to defeat Michael Bisping.

                                                              Are there any more underdogs to bet on that could be a winner?

                                                              I like these match ups! looks like I'm going for all the underdogs!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BIGDAY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 02-17-10
                                                                • 48245

                                                                #32
                                                                Leben and Griffin for me.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • capone1899
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-11
                                                                  • 1054

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Leben is the only one that would surprise me if they won , the rest would not
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sirchadwick1
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-02-10
                                                                    • 1375

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Ladle
                                                                    Matt Brown at +200. Definitely worth taking a flier on.
                                                                    I'm taking a flier on Brown at that price.. and hell Marquardt at +120 is solid. I can arb that later.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RaiderNation MMA
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-05-10
                                                                      • 598

                                                                      #35
                                                                      forrest for me. do not believe the shogun hype, he barely beat coleman then ko'd a broken chuck and everyone thought he was back. forrest will win again
                                                                      Comment
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