Eccocide's MMA Picks

**Eccocide** · 01-15-12, 04:23 PM

Ya he showed some fire late in the 3rd but he definitely could have showed that earlier. Oh well..

**Eccocide** · 01-15-12, 04:25 PM

Adding some upcoming fights:

UFC on FX:

Guillard (+150) 2 units to win 3 units

UFC on FOX 2:

Maia (+175) 2 units to win 3.5 units

UFC on FX 2:

Alves (-105) 3.15 units to win 3 units

**Vaughany** · 01-15-12, 04:29 PM

Nice, got Alves too. I thought u'd of been on Jim Miller after you were on him big against Henderson

**jacktheknife** · 01-15-12, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Nice, got Alves too. I thought u'd of been on Jim Miller after you were on him big against Henderson

If we didn't learn anything from that episode, we'd be better off capping whether the sun would rise. Miller is more adept at "jitsuing" his way into position then mounting a straightforward takedown offense. Shooting a perimeter like the one Guillard's going to establish and muscling a wrestler as effective as he is doesn't really bode well.

Melvin loses whenever he thinks his shit don't smell, and Lauzon should have reset that trend pretty thoroughly.

**Vaughany** · 01-15-12, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by jacktheknife

If we didn't learn anything from that episode, we'd be better off capping whether the sun would rise. Miller is more adept at "jitsuing" his way into position then mounting a straightforward takedown offense. Shooting a perimeter like the one Guillard's going to establish and muscling a wrestler as effective as he is doesn't really bode well.

Melvin loses whenever he thinks his shit don't smell, and Lauzon should have reset that trend pretty thoroughly.

True, but I think Miller may have good enough striking to drop Guillard even if he can't get the takedown. Undoubtedly Guillard is probably going to implement similar strategy to Lil Heathen fight and be more cautious than last few fights (as u say he should reset him self after tht loss). But Miller is a lot more relentless than guys like Lil Heathen who Guillard could just dance around all night. If likes of Ronnys Torres can grab a hold of Guillard and take his back then I don't see why Miller can't. The illness Miller had during the Henderson fight offers some explanation for how he was dominated so badly as well - though I still think Henderson beats him whether ill or not.

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 12:20 PM

No time to post, just posting this from my phone.

Pay Barry (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units

Pineda (-120) 2.4 units to win 2 units

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 05:09 PM

Adding:

Camoes/Easton 2-fight Parlay (-145) 3.625 units to win 2.5 units

UFC on FX Recap:

Guillard (+150) 2 units to win 3 units
Pat Barry (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units
Pineda (-120) 2.4 units to win 2 units
Camoes/Easton 2-fight Parlay (-145) 3.625 units to win 2.5 units

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 06:30 PM

I wish they were all that easy lol.

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 07:39 PM

This line has dropped too much. I gotta go with the instinct and play it at this price.

Adding:

Shalorus (+100) 2 units to win 2 units

I may also add Ludwig since hes up to +145. Still deciding.

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 07:44 PM

Yeah, gonna wait and see if Schafer wins before pullin trigger on Shalorus

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 07:46 PM

GL with Schafer. I think anything can happen in that fight, especially now with Riviera's determined retirement. I'd be terrified to have money on it lol.

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 07:47 PM

Just thought, Shalorus fight will probably be next! So cant wait to see Schafer result before playing. Gotta make a quick decision!

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 07:48 PM

Ya Pinny already took the line down. Its still up on 5dimes.

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 07:52 PM

Put just over 3 units on him at -105... GL buddy!

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Put just over 3 units on him at -105... GL buddy!

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 08:06 PM

Shalorus struggling with his size

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 08:15 PM

lol that was a bad idea by us. Shalorus didnt know what was going on after that first round. Couldnt even defend a simple single leg!

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 08:16 PM

Yeahh, I need Schafer to finish early big time now!

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Yeahh, I need Schafer to finish early big time now!

Sorry bud. I had a feeling that fight was gunna be unpredictable!

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 08:46 PM

I've got the under in a parlay at least!

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 08:46 PM

haha nice!

**Vaughany** · 01-20-12, 08:51 PM

As I just said in Gabe's thread, the under was probably the best play, even at -210.

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 09:19 PM

HD doing it right!

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 10:02 PM

Cashed the parlay. Value went way up in this so im gunna give it a go.

Ludwig by Decision (+432) 0.75 units to win 3.24 units

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 10:12 PM

Blah. I gotta stop with these late adds. Cost me 2.75 units tonight lol.

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 10:40 PM

Guillard..why do I ever trust you to not do something stupid in a fight....

UFC on FX 1 Results: +2.25 units

Shoulda been a better night. I need to lay off the late adds....and betting on retards.

2012 MMA YTD: +3.25 units

**Eccocide** · 01-20-12, 11:22 PM

Adding:

UFC on Fox 2:

Maia (+144) 2 units to win 2.88 units

**Eccocide** · 01-27-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Adding:

UFC on Fox 2:

Maia (+144) 2 units to win 2.88 units

Adding:

Jacoby (+158) 1.5 units to win 2.37 units

**illmatick** · 01-27-12, 06:03 PM

like it, he just fell to +145 at bookmaker.

**Vaughany** · 01-27-12, 06:05 PM

Yeah, it's gonna be a stand-up battle. I dont see Camozzi being that superior a striker that warrants him being more than a -130 favourite or something close to tht. Only concern is that Camozzi is tough as nails and will be difficult to finish so you could be dicing with the judges! And I have a feeling that Camozzi might be the one throwing more combinations so will look better in judges eyes. If I could be confident tht Jacoby would look to surprise Camozzi with takedowns then I'd defo make a play on him.

**Eccocide** · 01-28-12, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

like it, he just fell to +145 at bookmaker.

+113 at bookmaker now

Originally posted by Vaughany

Yeah, it's gonna be a stand-up battle. I dont see Camozzi being that superior a striker that warrants him being more than a -130 favourite or something close to tht. Only concern is that Camozzi is tough as nails and will be difficult to finish so you could be dicing with the judges! And I have a feeling that Camozzi might be the one throwing more combinations so will look better in judges eyes. If I could be confident tht Jacoby would look to surprise Camozzi with takedowns then I'd defo make a play on him.

Judges have never been my friend lol

**Eccocide** · 01-28-12, 02:56 PM

Adding:

Dunham by Decision (-102) 1.53 units to win 1.5 units

**gabe** · 01-28-12, 03:04 PM

Take Dunham inside the distance or by KO to hedge, he's gonna be looking for the finish. He's disappointed he couldn't finish Shamar.

**Eccocide** · 01-28-12, 04:49 PM

We'll see Gabe!

Adding:

Evans / Bisping-Sonnen Starts Round 3 (+105) 3 units to win 3.15 units
Swanson (+111) 1.5 units to win 1.665 units

UFC ON FOX 2 Recap:

Maia (+144) 2 units to win 2.88 units
Jacoby (+158) 1.5 units to win 2.37 units
Dunham by Decision (-102) 1.53 units to win 1.5 units
Evans / Bisping-Sonnen Starts Round 3 (+105) 3 units to win 3.15 units
Swanson (+111) 1.5 units to win 1.665 units

**The HOFF** · 01-28-12, 04:53 PM

We are in the minority on Swanson and Maia.