Eccocide's MMA Picks

**Eccocide** · 10-09-11, 09:31 AM

UFC 136 results: -4.595 units

Well I continue my see-saw results, with a good event then a bad event lol. Pretty much went down because of Guillard tonight.

**Eccocide** · 10-22-11, 02:33 PM

Bellator 55:

Wiuff (+160) 1.5 units to win 2.4 units

**Eccocide** · 10-22-11, 08:59 PM

Bellator 55 Results: +2.4 units

**Eccocide** · 10-26-11, 01:36 PM

Carmont (-105) 2.1 units to win 2 units

**Baqu** · 10-26-11, 04:28 PM

@Eccocide - any thoughts about

Bart Palaszewski vs Tyson Griffin ?

**MMAbetMASTA** · 10-26-11, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Carmont (-105) 2.1 units to win 2 units

hey man, you mind providing a break down on this fight / why you like carmont? Thanks dude.

**bjpenn85** · 10-27-11, 03:07 AM

It will def. involve lack of submission skills signed camozzi vs a guy with quite good submissions. Carmont kimuras both standing and from supine position is impressive. Standing and trading i dont know how good he will fare .

**Eccocide** · 10-27-11, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by Baqu

@Eccocide - any thoughts about

Bart Palaszewski vs Tyson Griffin ?

Hey, here's something quick, don't have a lot of time.

I like Griffin to take the fight, but not at the odds that are being offered. Bart had a little difficulty with Shalorus in the standup, especially dealing with his low kicks. Griffin usually uses a high volume of these, and his come faster and with just as much power as Kamal's. I think he will employ a lot of these to neutralize Barts speed as well as put him on his heels and take some zip out of his punches. Griffin has the wrestling advantage as well and although he isnt always offensive with it, he has been using it more frequently to steal rounds. Barts TDD has been a little better over his last couple of fights but I dont think he can stuff all of Griffins TDs if Tyson if determined to put him on the mat. At these odds its a no-play for me. If I was forced to play something I'd go with Griffin by decision but there isnt a whole lot of value in it at -125.

**Eccocide** · 10-27-11, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA

hey man, you mind providing a break down on this fight / why you like carmont? Thanks dude.

Hey Masta.

This is a little bit of a risky play as guys making their UFC debuts aren't known for great performances but I like what I have seen from Carmont over the last couple of years. His standup has improved quite a bit and he has a solid sub game to go with it. As well, he's going to be the bigger fighter come fight time. He's 6'3, has a long reach and was already pretty solid at 205lb. This is his first fight at 185lb, so his cardio is a worry for me, but he's going to have a big edge in strength IMO. I think Camozzi is going to struggle when Carmont gets inside and puts his weight on him, in the clinch and up against the cage. I think Carmont will be able to put him on the ground and once that happens, he has some pretty solid sub skills from the top. I havent been impressed at all with what I've seen of Camozzi so far in the UFC. His striking defense is mediocre, he leaves himself open when he throws and he leaves himself in vulnerable positions on the ground. I will say this - the guy is very durable and if he can push this fight into the 3rd round he may be able to capitalize as Carmont tends to fade the longer the fight goes, maybe even more so with the weight cut.

**rocky mattioli** · 10-27-11, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Hey Masta.

This is a little bit of a risky play as guys making their UFC debuts aren't known for great performances but I like what I have seen from Carmont over the last couple of years. His standup has improved quite a bit and he has a solid sub game to go with it. As well, he's going to be the bigger fighter come fight time. He's 6'3, has a long reach and was already pretty solid at 205lb. This is his first fight at 185lb, so his cardio is a worry for me, but he's going to have a big edge in strength IMO. I think Camozzi is going to struggle when Carmont gets inside and puts his weight on him, in the clinch and up against the cage. I think Carmont will be able to put him on the ground and once that happens, he has some pretty solid sub skills from the top. I havent been impressed at all with what I've seen of Camozzi so far in the UFC. His striking defense is mediocre, he leaves himself open when he throws and he leaves himself in vulnerable positions on the ground. I will say this - the guy is very durable and if he can push this fight into the 3rd round he may be able to capitalize as Carmont tends to fade the longer the fight goes, maybe even more so with the weight cut.

carmont`s the dog at my shops...you`ve piqued my interest....most of his losses came early....the rest were vs bigger guys in the 220/230 range(judging by fight finder)...most with decent records....

only watched a few youtube fights of his,but,he appears to be one of these late bloomers( and should be fairly imposing at 185,if he handles the cut)...

i see no reason not to take a flyer.......adding this to hioki itd(+122),jacoby and my hioki/cerrone parlay.....thanks for bringing it to everyone`s attention

**MMAbetMASTA** · 10-27-11, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Hey Masta.

This is a little bit of a risky play as guys making their UFC debuts aren't known for great performances but I like what I have seen from Carmont over the last couple of years. His standup has improved quite a bit and he has a solid sub game to go with it. As well, he's going to be the bigger fighter come fight time. He's 6'3, has a long reach and was already pretty solid at 205lb. This is his first fight at 185lb, so his cardio is a worry for me, but he's going to have a big edge in strength IMO. I think Camozzi is going to struggle when Carmont gets inside and puts his weight on him, in the clinch and up against the cage. I think Carmont will be able to put him on the ground and once that happens, he has some pretty solid sub skills from the top. I havent been impressed at all with what I've seen of Camozzi so far in the UFC. His striking defense is mediocre, he leaves himself open when he throws and he leaves himself in vulnerable positions on the ground. I will say this - the guy is very durable and if he can push this fight into the 3rd round he may be able to capitalize as Carmont tends to fade the longer the fight goes, maybe even more so with the weight cut.

Very interesting, thanks a lot man. I asked because I don't know too much about carmont, but as you said, I am not impressed with camozzi what so ever, therefore I was curious at why you liked him. I'm going to look more into this match, either way Gl and thanks again brother!!!

**Vaughany** · 10-28-11, 02:58 AM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Hey Masta.

This is a little bit of a risky play as guys making their UFC debuts aren't known for great performances but I like what I have seen from Carmont over the last couple of years. His standup has improved quite a bit and he has a solid sub game to go with it. As well, he's going to be the bigger fighter come fight time. He's 6'3, has a long reach and was already pretty solid at 205lb. This is his first fight at 185lb, so his cardio is a worry for me, but he's going to have a big edge in strength IMO. I think Camozzi is going to struggle when Carmont gets inside and puts his weight on him, in the clinch and up against the cage. I think Carmont will be able to put him on the ground and once that happens, he has some pretty solid sub skills from the top. I havent been impressed at all with what I've seen of Camozzi so far in the UFC. His striking defense is mediocre, he leaves himself open when he throws and he leaves himself in vulnerable positions on the ground. I will say this - the guy is very durable and if he can push this fight into the 3rd round he may be able to capitalize as Carmont tends to fade the longer the fight goes, maybe even more so with the weight cut.

Solid points - Carmont gassing and Camozzi's durability are mine main concerns as well. I'd like to think that with Zahabi and GSP in his corner he's going to have a solid gameplan - and think that will involve taking it to the floor and using his size advantage to dominate Camozzi there.

**TheCalculator** · 10-28-11, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Solid points - Carmont gassing and Camozzi's durability are mine main concerns as well. I'd like to think that with Zahabi and GSP in his corner he's going to have a solid gameplan - and think that will involve taking it to the floor and using his size advantage to dominate Camozzi there.

From what I've seen Carmont likes to strike and bang also. I have to admit GSP in his corner definitely boosted my confidence here.

**Vaughany** · 10-28-11, 10:24 AM

Yeah he undoubtedly will want to mainly keep it standing, but with GSP and Zahabi you have to think that they'd have watched how easily Noke handled Camozzi once it went to the ground in their fight and instruct Carmont to follow that, or at very least he look for the odd takedown to at steal rounds.

**Eccocide** · 10-29-11, 02:38 PM

GL tonight guys. After seeing the weigh-ins and seeing how drawn out griffin looked (and he couldnt make weight after either) Im gunna go with Bart. Even though i think the styles suit griffin better, I just think he looked terrible.

Adding:

Palaszewski (+265) 1.5 units to win 3.975 units
Downes (+185) 1.5 units to win 2.775 units
Siver/Cerrone Under 2.5 Rounds (+130) 1.75 units to win 2.275 units
Jacoby (-117) 1.755 units to win 1.5 units
Not Nelson Inside the Distance (-139) 3.1275 units to win 2.25 units
Jorgensen by TKO (+500) 1 unit to win 5 units

UFC 137 Recap:

Carmont (-105) 2.1 units to win 2 units
Palaszewski (+265) 1.5 units to win 3.975 units
Downes (+185) 1.5 units to win 2.775 units
Siver/Cerrone Under 2.5 Rounds (+130) 1.75 units to win 2.275 units
Jacoby (-117) 1.755 units to win 1.5 units
Not Nelson Inside the Distance (-139) 3.1275 units to win 2.25 units
Jorgensen by TKO (+500) 1 unit to win 5 units

I may have 1 more bet before the main card starts. I'll post if I add it. GL tonight everyone

**Vaughany** · 10-29-11, 02:43 PM

On Carmont, Bart and Jacoby as well. Might add Downes as well. GL tonight bro

**cheeese** · 10-29-11, 02:53 PM

Ecco- Everytime I like a favorite and you like the dog I get clowned. Today we agree on everything so I can be spared the embarrassment.

**Eccocide** · 10-29-11, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

On Carmont, Bart and Jacoby as well. Might add Downes as well. GL tonight bro

Thats what I like to hear V.

Originally posted by cheeese

Ecco- Everytime I like a favorite and you like the dog I get clowned. Today we agree on everything so I can be spared the embarrassment.

haha, well lets hope we both arent embarrassed after tonight then

.

I forgot to post one hedge I have (for Not Nelson inside the distance)

Nelson KO of the night (+550) 0.55 units to win 3.025 units

**MMAbetMASTA** · 10-29-11, 06:06 PM

Very nice call on carmont, ecco!!! Wish I would have followed you on that one...

GL on the rest of the night!

**Eccocide** · 10-29-11, 07:23 PM

Thx masta. Glad I went with Bart. Tyson looked drained just walking to the ring.

**Eccocide** · 10-29-11, 07:38 PM

Cerrone/Siver Under 2.5 Rounds. Winner Winner, chicken dinner!

Just for fun, Im gunna add a parlay. I think anything can happen in these 2 fights so Im gunna parlay the dogs.

Adding:

CroCop/Kongo 2 fight parlay (+498) 0.5 units to win 2.49 units

Out for the night, GL boys!

**Eccocide** · 10-30-11, 08:30 AM

UFC 137 Results: +0.3675 units

lol well that was uneventful. Undercard went great, main card not so much. Nelson GNP wasnt what I wanted to see.

**Eccocide** · 11-05-11, 10:03 AM

Only 2 bets today. I might add a parlay but not as of now.

UFC 138:

De Fries (-145) 2.9 units to win 2 units
Barao (-140) 2.8 units to win 2 units

**Eccocide** · 11-05-11, 01:14 PM

I just noticed 5dimes added O/Us.

Adding:

Perosh/Diabate Over 1.5 Rounds (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
Omigawa/Young Under 2.5 Rounds (+150) 1.5 units to win 2.25 units

**Eccocide** · 11-05-11, 03:52 PM

Munoz in round 3 (+800) 0.5 units to win 4 units

**Eccocide** · 11-05-11, 04:20 PM

3-1. Barao in beast mode baby. Half the small prop bet on Munoz left.

**Eccocide** · 11-05-11, 04:58 PM

Sooooo got screwed on my Munoz in Round 3 bet. If Leben woulda come out, no doubt he wouldnt have lasted the 3rd. Oh well!

UFC 138 Results: +3.5 units

**Eccocide** · 11-06-11, 09:53 AM

Adding:

UFC 139:

Wanderlei Silva (-105) 3.15 units to win 3 units

**Vaughany** · 11-06-11, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Sooooo got screwed on my Munoz in Round 3 bet. If Leben woulda come out, no doubt he wouldnt have lasted the 3rd. Oh well!

UFC 138 Results: +3.5 units

Yeah unlucky with tht one...one more takedown in the third with some GnP and it would of been over! Great job with the other picks tho

**Eccocide** · 11-12-11, 09:23 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Yeah unlucky with tht one...one more takedown in the third with some GnP and it would of been over! Great job with the other picks tho

thx V. Ya I think Leben was just super gassed and combine that with his eye and he didnt wanna go back out there. Oh well..

**Eccocide** · 11-12-11, 09:26 AM

UFC on Fox 1:

Peralta (+100) 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
Lucas (+120) 1.5 units to win 1.8 units
Henderson by Sub (+350) 1 unit to win 3.5 units
Pierce/Bradley Under 2.5 Rounds (+190) 1 unit to win 1.9 units
Pierce/Henderson 2-fight parlay (-126) 3.78 units to win 3 units

Waiting on movement on a couple more plays. Ill post if I add them. GL tonight.

**Vaughany** · 11-12-11, 09:29 AM

Nice, I'm thinking Pierce finishes Bradley in this one as well

Peralta might be able to steal a decision off Semerzier

**rocky mattioli** · 11-12-11, 09:44 AM

lookin hard at peralta....didn`t like the height disadvantage...but the guy has solid stand-up.....solid fight....

on the bendo sub prop and bendo/ratboy fotn...i knew i`d seen guida somewhere before...

**Eccocide** · 11-12-11, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Nice, I'm thinking Pierce finishes Bradley in this one as well

Peralta might be able to steal a decision off Semerzier

Ya I was surprised to see it at +190. Thought it would be closer to +140ish. GL tonight V.

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

lookin hard at peralta....didn`t like the height disadvantage...but the guy has solid stand-up.....solid fight....

on the bendo sub prop and bendo/ratboy fotn...i knew i`d seen guida somewhere before...

lmao nice. I agree with you on the height disadvantage. I wasnt expecting it to be that noticable but I dont think it will have a lot of impact on this fight. GL tonight bud.

**jacktheknife** · 11-12-11, 01:27 PM

Wow, everyone is officially on Pierce plus the juice. You all did see their first fight, right?