Eccocide's MMA Picks

**jacktheknife** · 04-09-11, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Obviously not happy with the line movement and Im not all that thrilled with the pick as of now. From the interviews leading up to the fight, Kawajiri sounds very unfocused and his head seems to be back home. Not doing any training in cage isn't the best idea as well. I may try to buy off with a prop on Melendez but I'm leaving it for now.

Not exactly sure what the idea was in the first place. With Gilbert's boxing and jitsu, Kawajiri seems bottlenecked into the long shoot/conservative GnP blueprint, which Gil can certainly handle either way, especially if Jake Shields has done his job at all. Has Kawajiri ever even fought in a cage or across time zones before?

**urge2kill** · 04-09-11, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Ya the Jimmo fight. It was just dreadfully boring. I'd say 85% of it was cage clinching and stalling. Very sloppy fight and everyone was glad when it was over. The most entertaining part of it was when Jimmo did the robot after he won lol.

Horrible fight, awesome robot.

**Eccocide** · 04-09-11, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by Ladle

Really like your parlay of Mousasi ITD and Takaya. May have to make a play on that myself!

Let's hope it hits for both of our sake!

Originally posted by illmatick

good to see you on Awad as well. Hopefully these 6 mile runs he's been incorporating into his training camp has helped with his conditioning.

mad athleticism, hehe.

haha I hadn't seen that video. Only thing that worries me about this one is Duarte's size. He's a big boy for the weightclass.

**Eccocide** · 04-09-11, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by jacktheknife

Not exactly sure what the idea was in the first place. With Gilbert's boxing and jitsu, Kawajiri seems bottlenecked into the long shoot/conservative GnP blueprint, which Gil can certainly handle either way, especially if Jake Shields has done his job at all. Has Kawajiri ever even fought in a cage or across time zones before?

Kawajiri was absolutely dominant against Thomson 3 months ago, while Melendez was underwhelming in his past 2 bouts IMO and he hasn't fought in a year. Their first fight was extremely close, could have went either way. Melendez should be the fav, but the price was too high IMO. At this point, the outside factors in the fight have me second guessing.

Originally posted by urge2kill

Horrible fight, awesome robot.

lol it sure was.

**Eccocide** · 04-09-11, 06:15 PM

Was waiting for the best price on this. I dont think it will get much better.

Adding:

Diaz/Daley Starts Round 3 (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units

Bellator 40:

Chandler (-114) 1.71 units to win 1.5 units

Strikeforce:

Awad (+125) 1.5 units to win 1.875 units
Mousasi inside the distance / Takaya 2-fight parlay (+109) 2 units to win 2.18 units
Kawajiri (+175) 2 units to win 3.5 units
Diaz/Daley Starts Round 3 (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units

**Eccocide** · 04-09-11, 08:47 PM

Blah, poop on the Strikeforce card so far lol. I want action on the Mousasi fight so I'm adding:

Strikeforce:

Mousasi in Round 2 (+300) 1 unit to win 3 units

Out for the night.

**Eccocide** · 04-10-11, 10:16 AM

My betting last night was as good as Mousasi's TDD. Dreadful. I've gotten killed on the last 2 Strikeforce cards. That card wiped out the little profits I had for the year lol. Now I'm down 5 bucks. A fresh start I guess.

Bellator 40/Strikeforce Results: -6.95 units

2011 MMA YTD: -0.0475 units

**Eccocide** · 04-27-11, 10:26 PM

Heading out tomorrow to Toronto for the Fan Expo and fights. Its gunna be a great weekend. The crowd is going to be wild. This is the most pumped I've been to go to an MMA event for a while. Here are my bets. I'll try to post from my phone if I add anything else.

UFC 129:

Bocek (+145) 2 units to win 2.9 units
Hominick (+330) 1 unit to win 3.3 units
Rory Macdonald (+100) 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
Menjivar (-140) 2.1 units to win 1.5 units
Jensen (-135) 2.025 units to win 1.5 units
Aldo / Hominick Starts Round 3 (-135) 2.025 units to win 1.5 units
GSP / Diaz-Macdonald Starts Round 3 two-fight parlay (-115) 2.61 units
Ellenberger by TKO (+330) 0.75 units to win 2.475 units

GL to everyone this weekend.

**xelance** · 04-27-11, 11:00 PM

nice!!!!!!!! Have a great time man

**rocky mattioli** · 04-27-11, 11:15 PM

given the short camp,ellenberger might feel a little urgency to close the show as early as possible.......+330?.....sounds like a plan...

g.l.,brother...

**brooks85** · 04-27-11, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Heading out tomorrow to Toronto for the Fan Expo and fights. Its gunna be a great weekend. The crowd is going to be wild. This is the most pumped I've been to go to an MMA event for a while. Here are my bets. I'll try to post from my phone if I add anything else.

have a good time man, 55k people is going to be crazy.

Make sure you grab all the Round 5 GSP exclusives you can at the expo, their value will skyrocket with only 1000 made and first come first serve.

**Eccocide** · 05-01-11, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by xelance

nice!!!!!!!! Have a great time man

It was AMAZING!!

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

given the short camp,ellenberger might feel a little urgency to close the show as early as possible.......+330?.....sounds like a plan...

g.l.,brother...

Hope you played it. Cashed nicely!

Originally posted by brooks85

have a good time man, 55k people is going to be crazy.

Make sure you grab all the Round 5 GSP exclusives you can at the expo, their value will skyrocket with only 1000 made and first come first serve.

These were basically gone before the doors even opened lol. VIPs were allowed to enter an hour early and most if not all were snagged up by them.

**Eccocide** · 05-01-11, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

Heading out tomorrow to Toronto for the Fan Expo and fights. Its gunna be a great weekend. The crowd is going to be wild. This is the most pumped I've been to go to an MMA event for a while. Here are my bets. I'll try to post from my phone if I add anything else.

UFC 129:

Bocek (+145) 2 units to win 2.9 units
Hominick (+330) 1 unit to win 3.3 units
Rory Macdonald (+100) 1.5 units to win 1.5 units
Menjivar (-140) 2.1 units to win 1.5 units
Jensen (-135) 2.025 units to win 1.5 units
Aldo / Hominick Starts Round 3 (-135) 2.025 units to win 1.5 units
GSP / Diaz-Macdonald Starts Round 3 two-fight parlay (-115) 2.61 units
Ellenberger by TKO (+330) 0.75 units to win 2.475 units

GL to everyone this weekend.

UFC 129 Results: +4.56 units

It feels nice to finally have a very solid night, especially when it was one of the best weekends eva. I met and got pics and autographs with some 30+ fighters including BJ, Shogun, Anderson, Wanderlei, Rashad, Velasquez, Carwin, Big Nog, Condit, Pettis, Korean Zombie, Torres, Melendez, Diego, etc etc etc. The event was insane, crowd was crazy, fights were amazing. Front kick KOs, spinning backfists, Rory ragdolling Diaz, Hominicks Head, etc. Now I need lots of fricken sleep lol. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

**PunisherIND** · 05-02-11, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

UFC 129 Results: +4.56 units

It feels nice to finally have a very solid night, especially when it was one of the best weekends eva. I met and got pics and autographs with some 30+ fighters including BJ, Shogun, Anderson, Wanderlei, Rashad, Velasquez, Carwin, Big Nog, Condit, Pettis, Korean Zombie, Torres, Melendez, Diego, etc etc etc. The event was insane, crowd was crazy, fights were amazing. Front kick KOs, spinning backfists, Rory ragdolling Diaz, Hominicks Head, etc. Now I need lots of fricken sleep lol. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

Wow, how did you get to meet all those fighters? That is an insane list of fighters to meet at 1 event! Was there a Fan Expo at this event? That was definitely a ridiculous event, top to bottom. Don't forget the flying triangle!

**Camdemonium** · 05-02-11, 08:27 PM

Dude post some pics!

**The HOFF** · 05-04-11, 01:59 AM

Originally posted by Eccocide

UFC 129 Results: +4.56 units

It feels nice to finally have a very solid night, especially when it was one of the best weekends eva. I met and got pics and autographs with some 30+ fighters including BJ, Shogun, Anderson, Wanderlei, Rashad, Velasquez, Carwin, Big Nog, Condit, Pettis, Korean Zombie, Torres, Melendez, Diego, etc etc etc. The event was insane, crowd was crazy, fights were amazing. Front kick KOs, spinning backfists, Rory ragdolling Diaz, Hominicks Head, etc. Now I need lots of fricken sleep lol. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

That sounds awesome. Jealous.

**Mr.Kitty** · 05-04-11, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by Eccocide

UFC 129 Results: +4.56 units It feels nice to finally have a very solid night, especially when it was one of the best weekends eva. I met and got pics and autographs with some 30+ fighters including BJ, Shogun, Anderson, Wanderlei, Rashad, Velasquez, Carwin, Big Nog, Condit, Pettis, Korean Zombie, Torres, Melendez, Diego, etc etc etc. The event was insane, crowd was crazy, fights were amazing. Front kick KOs, spinning backfists, Rory ragdolling Diaz, Hominicks Head, etc. Now I need lots of fricken sleep lol. Hope everyone had a great weekend!

Congratz to a nice night Ecco! you deserved it

I envy you on meeting all those fighters, sounds like you had a blast. Keep up the good work!

**Eccocide** · 05-25-11, 06:06 PM

Sorry guys, been away for a bit. Being canadian and all, I get lost in the NHL playoffs this time of year lol. Here's what I have for UFC 130 so far. I will be adding more, but I'm waiting on some movement.

UFC 130:

Boetsch (+135) 2 units to win 2.7 units
Alves/Tibau 2-fight parlay (-105) 2.625 units to win 2.5 units
Nelson/Mir Starts Round 3 (-124) 2.48 units to win 2 units

**The HOFF** · 05-25-11, 06:13 PM

Looking good on those plays.

**snake11eyes** · 05-25-11, 07:02 PM

Nice to see you back.

**Eccocide** · 05-26-11, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Looking good on those plays.

Thx Hoff, GL to you this weekend

.

Originally posted by snake11eyes

Nice to see you back.

thx snake, I'm gunna try to be more active once the playoffs are done. If the bruins lose tomorrow I may go into hibernation for a bit though lol

.

**thesox0311** · 05-27-11, 11:15 AM

Welcome Back!! Love the last 2 plays. Boetsch scares me though...should be a war.

**Eccocide** · 05-27-11, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by thesox0311

Welcome Back!! Love the last 2 plays. Boetsch scares me though...should be a war.

GL tomorrow bud!

**Eccocide** · 05-27-11, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

UFC 130:

Boetsch (+135) 2 units to win 2.7 units
Alves/Tibau 2-fight parlay (-105) 2.625 units to win 2.5 units
Nelson/Mir Starts Round 3 (-124) 2.48 units to win 2 units

Adding:

Rampage KO of the Night (+625) 1 unit to win 6.25 units

**Ladle** · 05-27-11, 04:00 PM

Best of luck man. I have a bit on Boetsch too, and I like the Alves/Tibau parlay. This is a very good parlay event in my opinion.

**jacktheknife** · 05-27-11, 08:44 PM

Am I the only one raising an eyebrow to Struve being +120 against a guy who was saved by the ref's finger from Chieck Kongo?

**Eccocide** · 05-28-11, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by Ladle

Best of luck man. I have a bit on Boetsch too, and I like the Alves/Tibau parlay. This is a very good parlay event in my opinion.

GL buddy. Yeah this event looks good from a parlay standpoin. Especially some of the undercard fights. That could get dangerous though lol. Sometimes when things look too obvious, it turns out bad! Lets hope thats not the case tonight.

Originally posted by jacktheknife

Am I the only one raising an eyebrow to Struve being +120 against a guy who was saved by the ref's finger from Chieck Kongo?

Tough fight for me to put money on at these odds. Struve is such a slow starter and his striking defense really hasnt shown much progress over the past year. A lot of ppl are banking on Browne because he is usually ultra aggresive and that should serve him pretty well early against Struve as Struve hasnt been able to keep ppl at bay with his reach. I was really dissappointed with Browne's performance against Kongo and thats mainly the reason Im staying away from this one. I think Struve is worth a play if he gets near +150, but I'd stay away and just enjoy the fight otherwise.

**Eccocide** · 05-28-11, 11:38 AM

Adding:

Santiago (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units
Mcdonald / Not Grove by TKO / Torres-Johnson Starts Round 2 3-fight parlay (-118) 2.95 units to win 2.5 units

UFC 130 Recap:

Boetsch (+135) 2 units to win 2.7 units
Alves/Tibau 2-fight parlay (-105) 2.625 units to win 2.5 units
Nelson/Mir Starts Round 3 (-124) 2.48 units to win 2 units
Rampage KO of the Night (+625) 1 unit to win 6.25 units
Santiago (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units
Mcdonald / Not Grove by TKO / Torres-Johnson Starts Round 2 3-fight parlay (-118) 2.95 units to win 2.5 units

Thats all for now. I may play another prop or two, still going over some things.

**The HOFF** · 05-28-11, 12:25 PM

Damn you. I know Santiago is the smart play, especially at +140, and I want to throw some on it. But I can not and will not bet against the All-American simply on principle.

**Vaughany** · 05-28-11, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Damn you. I know Santiago is the smart play, especially at +140, and I want to throw some on it. But I can not and will not bet against the All-American simply on principle.

ha Santiago is definitely the smart play at +140...but I agree Hoff, how can anybody bring themselves to bet against the REAL Captain America on Memorial Day Weekend!

**Eccocide** · 05-28-11, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Damn you. I know Santiago is the smart play, especially at +140, and I want to throw some on it. But I can not and will not bet against the All-American simply on principle.

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha Santiago is definitely the smart play at +140...but I agree Hoff, how can anybody bring themselves to bet against the REAL Captain America on Memorial Day Weekend!

lol I agree it is prolly the worst weekend to be betting against the all-american! I wish I could avoid it but the 'value voice' in the back of my head kept telling me i couldn't pass it up! GL tonight guys!

**Eccocide** · 05-28-11, 05:23 PM

One last add. I hate this play as I am going for Nelson..I'm a big fan andI think he has the tools to win, but I told myself if Mir by Decision got to this price I would play it...

Adding:

Mir by 3 Round Decision (+400) 0.5 units to win 2 units

UFC 130 Recap:

Boetsch (+135) 2 units to win 2.7 units
Alves/Tibau 2-fight parlay (-105) 2.625 units to win 2.5 units
Nelson/Mir Starts Round 3 (-124) 2.48 units to win 2 units
Rampage KO of the Night (+625) 1 unit to win 6.25 units
Santiago (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units
Mcdonald / Not Grove by TKO / Torres-Johnson Starts Round 2 3-fight parlay (-118) 2.95 units to win 2.5 units
Mir by 3 Round Decision (+400) 0.5 units to win 2 units

GL tonight everyone.

**Ladle** · 05-28-11, 05:24 PM

Wow, the value has really gone up on Mir by decision. I'm jumping on that immediately!

BOL!

**Vaughany** · 05-28-11, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Eccocide

One last add. I hate this play as I am going for Nelson..I'm a big fan andI think he has the tools to win, but I told myself if Mir by Decision got to this price I would play it...

Adding:

Mir by 3 Round Decision (+400) 0.5 units to win 2 units

UFC 130 Recap:

Boetsch (+135) 2 units to win 2.7 units
Alves/Tibau 2-fight parlay (-105) 2.625 units to win 2.5 units
Nelson/Mir Starts Round 3 (-124) 2.48 units to win 2 units
Rampage KO of the Night (+625) 1 unit to win 6.25 units
Santiago (+140) 1.5 units to win 2.1 units
Mcdonald / Not Grove by TKO / Torres-Johnson Starts Round 2 3-fight parlay (-118) 2.95 units to win 2.5 units
Mir by 3 Round Decision (+400) 0.5 units to win 2 units

GL tonight everyone.

Nice saver with the late Mir by dec play bro...smart move

**Eccocide** · 05-29-11, 09:42 AM

UFC 130 Results: +4.075 units

Night coulda been better but I'll take it. Alves had a terrible gameplan. No Idea why he kept backing himself into the cage. Very dissappointing. I wish I woulda went bigger on Boetsch..that play stuck out to me a lot but the first time at 185 made me hold back a bit.