Originally Posted by
terpkeg
Gonzaga over Dos Santos Bookmaker +215 3u/6.5u
Really just think that Dos Santos has too many unknowns to be a big favorite over a vet like Gonzaga. Last i saw, he was only a purple belt in bjj under Nog. Obviously I am not bashing the dedication it takes to get your purple, but Gonzaga is a high level bjj black belt. Gonzaga but Carwin on his back early in their fight and while Carwin was able to get back to his feet, Dos Santos does not have the size and strength of Carwin. If Dos Santos winds up on his back, he could have problems. And while Dos Santos looked very impressive against Cro Cop, Werdum, Struve, and Yvel, the Struve and Werdum fights ended quickly and Cro Cop and Yvel are way passed their prime and I would give Gonzaga a large stand up advantage over Werdum and Struve. Further, it seems that Dos Santos has a tendency to drop his hands. Gonzaga has very explosive kicks and has the ability to end fights. The thing I am having trouble with is the fact that Gonzaga seems to melt when pushed into deep water, see Couture and Werdum (the 2nd Werdum fight really confuses me). Nonetheless, i think this is a high variance fight that should be closer to a pick.
Kongo over Buentello -365 4u/1.1u -Buentello has a good jab/ decent stand up, but Kongo should blast him on the feet imo. I dont think Buentello is a strong enough grappler to control Kongo who has improved his takedown defense over the past few years.