UFC 103 plays

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  • illmatick
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-05-09
    • 5456

    #1
    UFC 103 plays
    posting my UFN plays as well

    Justin Buchholz +200 best bet
    Junior dos Santos -130
    CB Dollaway +215
    Mike Swick -170
  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #2
    Swick is on a nice little tear.
    Comment
    • The HOFF
      SBR MVP
      • 07-02-08
      • 4847

      #3
      Originally posted by Bread
      Swick is on a nice little tear.
      That will be one of my bigger plays for the card.
      Comment
      • brooks85
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-05-09
        • 44709

        #4
        Swick is going to have a 5inch reach advantage over kampmann in a fight that should stay standing.
        Comment
        • ip0nnp
          SBR Rookie
          • 08-25-09
          • 8

          #5
          Swick looks too easy.....
          Comment
          • illmatick
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-05-09
            • 5456

            #6
            been watching some film for the undercard fights in the next event and I think I found a gem in Ryan Jenson at -170. Expect the line to rise quite a bit. If you look at the guys record before entering the ufc his only loss was to Brock larson, The ufc never even gave the guy a chance, his first two fights were against Thales Leites and Damina Maia, probably the two best jiu-jitsu fighters in the UfC. For what its worth he was winning the Leites fight before getting caught in an armbar. His most recent fight against Wilson Gouveia is really what convinced me to play him, caught Gouveie multiple times with a deceptive over-hand right and just missed a few times with some powerfull head-kicks, I was very suprised with how much power he was able generate with his strikes, not only was he out striking him but his takedowns couldn't be stuffed, ground and pound was very impressive, passed Gouveie's guard with ease and didnt have any problems landing his punches. His opp Steve Steinbeiss is nothing special, watched a few of his bodog fights and he seems descent at best, trains out of arizona combat so you know to add an extra 10 cents to the line anytime someone is fighting out of their camp not named Ryan Bader. This is the earliest I locked up my plays for an event, What the hell am I going to do for the next 2 weeks until the fight, dolloway +210 Buckholz +200 and my big play is on Jenson at -170
            Comment
            • illmatick
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-05-09
              • 5456

              #7
              I dont believe this shit, Jenson just dropped down to -160 at 5 dimes, no way did I think the line would drop below -170 anytime before the fight, I honestly dont get it, guess I need to watch some more tape on Steve Steinbeiss
              Comment
              • illmatick
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-05-09
                • 5456

                #8
                updated card, both my plays on dolloway and swick have been called off

                UFN plays
                Justin Buchholz +200 x2
                Cantwell -250x3
                Ryan Jenson -170 x8


                UFC 102 plays

                Dos santos -130 x2
                Efrain -160 x1.5
                Drew Mcfedries -120 x1


                hedge parlay

                Stephens -250
                Steinbeiss +140
                cole miller +135

                1.5 units to win 10.21
                Comment
                • illmatick
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 5456

                  #9
                  that will teach these bastards to move a line against me!!!!
                  Comment
                  • Bread
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-16-08
                    • 23726

                    #10
                    Was Jensen your only winner last night?
                    Comment
                    • illmatick
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-05-09
                      • 5456

                      #11
                      yes bread, it was my largest mma play of the year, line dropped to -150 before the fight, even though I only had the play listed for 8 units once it hit -150 i added close to another 6

                      nice call on Stann!!, Cantell was from a parlay I had in the last event with Nate marquart, turned out to be a nice event for me despite losing with my dog, I see you did pretty well yourself, good job and again excellent call on Stan, I was blinded by the hype around Cantwell, I put too much stock into his performace against Luis Cane
                      Comment
                      • Bread
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 23726

                        #12
                        Let's get em on Saturday my friend. I'm watching from home so will have the old in-fight thread going to bitch as we go.
                        Comment
                        • illmatick
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 5456

                          #13
                          I have bought out of my dos santos play and added a few more

                          Efrain -160 and -145 x2
                          Drew Mcfedries -120 x1
                          Rick story -125 x1.5
                          Hermes Franca +285x1
                          Nik Lent +260 x1.5
                          Comment
                          • Eccocide
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-12-09
                            • 2126

                            #14
                            Just curious why u did that Ill? I have Mirko but he came in light at the weigh-in when he said he was going to bulk up and Dos Santos looked huge. Not that weigh-ins mean a whole lot.

                            GL tomorrow!
                            Comment
                            • illmatick
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 5456

                              #15
                              Usually like to have 5 plays or less, dos santos didn't make the cut, had no choice but to buy back a little on miller, now have less than a unit on Efrain
                              Comment
                              • illmatick
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-05-09
                                • 5456

                                #16
                                Originally posted by illmatick
                                I have bought out of my dos santos play and added a few more

                                Efrain -160 and -145 x2
                                Drew Mcfedries -120 x1
                                Rick story -125 x1.5
                                Hermes Franca +285x1
                                Nik Lent +260 x1.5
                                already hit my top 2 plays, Nik lentz at +260 and story at -125 , rest of my plays are popcorn bets
                                Comment
                                • illmatick
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 5456

                                  #17
                                  probably my largest profit from back to back events, up over $4600 , also 2-0 today in boxing, hit my big play on the over 11.5 rounds in the mayweather fight
                                  Comment
                                  • Eccocide
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-12-09
                                    • 2126

                                    #18
                                    Nice Night Ill. I had a lean on Lentz but fights on short notices scare me!
                                    Comment
                                    • Bread
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-16-08
                                      • 23726

                                      #19
                                      Damn. So you're getting the next ppv and we can all come over, right?
                                      Comment
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