UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov(June 20, 2020)

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  • THE_LOCKSMITH
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 7237

    #1
    UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov(June 20, 2020)


    ESPN 8:00 pm ET
    Curtis Blaydes vs Alexander Volko
    Shane Burgos vs. Josh Emmett
    Raquel Pennington vs. Marion Reneau
    Lyman Good vs. Belal Muhammad
    Jim Miller vs. Roosevelt Roberts

    ESPN+ 5:00 pm ET
    Bobby Green vs. Clay Guida
    Tecia Torres vs Brianna Van Buren
    Marc-Andre Barriault vs Oskar Piechota
    Courtney Casey vs Gillian Robertson
    Frank Camacho vs Matt Frevola
    Roxanne Modafferi vs Lauren Murphy
    Austin Hubbard vs Joe Solecki



    Last edited by THE_LOCKSMITH; 06-15-20, 03:46 PM.
  • Hugo de Naranja
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-14-16
    • 14140

    #2
    I think Solecki vs. Hubbard is off
    Comment
    • rsynweap84
      Restricted User
      • 06-24-16
      • 622

      #3
      Sorry in advance, not really, but Reneau has made me so much money in the past, I cannot bet against her, especially against "rocky-no-'s" pennington...
      Comment
      • frankieunits2685
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-17
        • 3575

        #4
        It doesn’t stop! Keep them cards coming!
        Comment
        • PaperTrail07
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-29-08
          • 20423

          #5
          Comment
          • Demonata
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 07-12-11
            • 25829

            #6
            One of these days I'm going to make profit on a card
            Comment
            • ichiro4thehall
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-02-09
              • 241

              #7
              What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

              Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

              The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

              Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?
              Comment
              • Demonata
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-12-11
                • 25829

                #8
                Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

                Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

                The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

                Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?
                Here's one thing that will convince you to unload on it, it's a womens ufc fight. Those are always scary as f. Seems like nothing makes sense when trying to cap them.
                Comment
                • WolfTicketDealer
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-05-17
                  • 384

                  #9
                  Might be max bet season on Burgos.
                  Comment
                  • PaperTrail07
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-29-08
                    • 20423

                    #10
                    cant hate on that...
                    Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
                    Might be max bet season on Burgos.
                    Comment
                    • Hugo de Naranja
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-16
                      • 14140

                      #11
                      Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
                      Might be max bet season on Burgos.
                      Any concerns about his chin?
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83686

                        #12
                        Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

                        Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

                        I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

                        Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




                        Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

                        1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
                        Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-15-20, 05:59 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Hugo de Naranja
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-14-16
                          • 14140

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                          Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

                          Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

                          I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

                          Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




                          Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

                          1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
                          Blaydes going to take him down over and over again. Hard to win rounds like that.
                          Comment
                          • Thrilla
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-10-15
                            • 13809

                            #14
                            Papertrail?
                            Comment
                            • Demonata
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                              • 07-12-11
                              • 25829

                              #15
                              So far I like volkov. I think odds should be closer. Deserves more respect.
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Demonata
                                So far I like volkov. I think odds should be closer. Deserves more respect.
                                What's his path to victory? I think the odds are a bit wide now but think Volkov really has to walk a narrow tightrope to win this fight.
                                Comment
                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-16
                                  • 14140

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                                  What's people's thoughts on Van Buren vs Torres? I've no recollection of Van Buren's only UFC fight which I would have watched at the time but Torres seems an unbelievable price here.

                                  Torres has only lost to the 5 best fighters in her weight class basically, and all were decision losses. She's still 9-5 overall when going to the cards. Van Buren is 3-2 when going to the cards and the standard of opponent is incomparable to Torres' record. Another point in Torres' favour is she will be the taller fighter which I'm not sure would be a first but it's def a rare occurence for her.

                                  The way I see it 93.33% of Torres' fights go to the cards and when Torres is not fighting the best of the best she is 9-0 in decision wins.

                                  Convince me not to unload on Torres by decision at +230? Is Van Buren one of the best in the division?
                                  People said the same when Torres was favored against Marina Rodriguez. Van Buren is a solid prospect but I get where you're coming from. Personally though, I need to see Torres win again before I can back her.
                                  Comment
                                  • Demonata
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-12-11
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                    What's his path to victory? I think the odds are a bit wide now but think Volkov really has to walk a narrow tightrope to win this fight.
                                    I think the derrick lewis fight was a learning experience for him, he was even winning that fight before the knockout. He also has excellent cardio. I see him out pointing blaydes. He has beaten some good fighters as well. I just don't see blaydes being a lock at all. If it goes to decision i see volkov also a possible knock out.
                                    Comment
                                    • WolfTicketDealer
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-05-17
                                      • 384

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                      Any concerns about his chin?
                                      It's a slight concern, but I see KO as being Emmett's only path to victory in this one (unless he rocks/drops Burgos multiple times, but even then, KO is still a more likely outcome). Think Burgos will have a solid speed and volume edge here. Emmett was on his way to losing against Michael Johnson before landing a late KO, and got finished against Jeremy Stephens, so there is reasoning to believe Emmett struggles against strikers.

                                      Only hesitation is that Burgos loves to trade in the pocket. Fighting "long" would help Burgos tremendously, but he's never done that in his career and I doubt he will for this one either. It is worth noting that his only KO loss came to Kattar who is a much better boxer, although Burgos did get dropped by Holobaugh.
                                      Comment
                                      • WolfTicketDealer
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-05-17
                                        • 384

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                        Blaydes gonna bully Volkov and could KO him but I don't know about those -355 odds..

                                        Russian dude has many KO's on his own record and fought some the best in the division.. Was beating Lewis before getting clipped by the black beast in round 3 also..https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Alexander-Volkov-40951

                                        I need to cap this fight further. Volkov has pretty good Take Down defense last I checked also..

                                        Round 3 clip KO.. Hard shot landed.. Not sure Blaydes has Beast punching power though..




                                        Could this land maybe? Did Volkov learn?

                                        1007 Volkov wins by 5 round decision +725
                                        Blegh, last thing I needed to see was a reminder of that Volkov/Lewis fight....
                                        Comment
                                        • PaperTrail07
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-29-08
                                          • 20423

                                          #21
                                          Liking Jim Miller +200 He has fought people WAY better stronger and faster....RR-this is a huge up step in skills
                                          Burgos-guys an animal lol....could he get slept-sure-but he wont be outworked...
                                          Green- Guida on a paycheck collection tour-pushing 40 with very though fights....just don't see a win here for him.....Green will clown around to a decision...
                                          Torres +175....active enough to steal one-also used to fighting a way higher level of competition

                                          Its cashing season boys





                                          Originally posted by Thrilla
                                          Papertrail?
                                          Comment
                                          • bjpenn85
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 5059

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                                            Liking Jim Miller +200 He has fought people WAY better stronger and faster....RR-this is a huge up step in skills
                                            Burgos-guys an animal lol....could he get slept-sure-but he wont be outworked...
                                            Green- Guida on a paycheck collection tour-pushing 40 with very though fights....just don't see a win here for him.....Green will clown around to a decision...
                                            Torres +175....active enough to steal one-also used to fighting a way higher level of competition

                                            Its cashing season boys
                                            Its not about who you have fought, its how good you are!

                                            Standing Roosevelt robert is the better man. Longer the fight goes the better it is for Roosevelt. Maybe an early sub for jim miller?

                                            round 2 and round 3, just forget it. Jim miller will fall off a clip. Like he always does man.
                                            Comment
                                            • PaperTrail07
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-29-08
                                              • 20423

                                              #23
                                              Swimming with the sharks helps...and I agree he is not as good on he feet....but he can grapple has good legs kicks and is not slow....and the cage is smaller...+200 just seemed a bit wide IMO.....
                                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                              Its not about who you have fought, its how good you are!

                                              Standing Roosevelt robert is the better man. Longer the fight goes the better it is for Roosevelt. Maybe an early sub for jim miller?

                                              round 2 and round 3, just forget it. Jim miller will fall off a clip. Like he always does man.
                                              Comment
                                              • Demonata
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 07-12-11
                                                • 25829

                                                #24
                                                If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
                                                Comment
                                                • WolfTicketDealer
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-05-17
                                                  • 384

                                                  #25
                                                  Feels like it's R1 or bust for Miller. He hasn't won a later round since the Poirier fight (and even then that is arguable as R3 was close) and Roberts is definitely a better round winner at this stage of Miller's career.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PaperTrail07
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-29-08
                                                    • 20423

                                                    #26
                                                    Miller decision is + 600......consider me dumb but I'm taking a shot at that lol...
                                                    Originally posted by Demonata
                                                    If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Demonata
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 07-12-11
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                                                      Miller decision is + 600......consider me dumb but I'm taking a shot at that lol...
                                                      Well I'm on volkov so not like I have any room to talk either. lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PaperTrail07
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-29-08
                                                        • 20423

                                                        #28
                                                        This is all true I'm just going on the price and the fact that JM is pretty skilled.......I just see him using his hands as a way to get inside--cage push ect....just a close fight imo....as it goes does he fade......damn right he does lol....
                                                        Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
                                                        Feels like it's R1 or bust for Miller. He hasn't won a later round since the Poirier fight (and even then that is arguable as R3 was close) and Roberts is definitely a better round winner at this stage of Miller's career.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PaperTrail07
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-29-08
                                                          • 20423

                                                          #29
                                                          no doubt...I have by no means locked in these bets----good chatter .
                                                          Originally posted by Demonata
                                                          Well I'm on volkov so not like I have any room to talk either. lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83686

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Demonata
                                                            If you are taking miller take him to win in the first round. Roosevelt will win the decision.
                                                            Jim Miller is a tricky bet always, he likes to stand and bang, gasses late when facing wrestlers and ends up losing decisions by being taken down and put on his back..

                                                            If Jim Miller does win it's usually in the 1st round and by Submission lately.. https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jim-Miller-14463

                                                            Roosevelt to fast and young for Miller.. Probably wins by decision or KO if I had to guess.. I can't bet on Miller in this fight but if I had to it would be by sub.. Roosevelt never sub'd and 26 years old.. Reach, length and speed in his favor..


                                                            I'm going Roosevelt by decision myself.. Roberts could finish though, no guarantees with this..

                                                            Pending 6/20/2020 9:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1411 Roberts wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Roberts by 3 round decision
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Demonata
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 07-12-11
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #31
                                                              Risk: $100.00 - Win: $310.00

                                                              Alexander Volkov +310 - (Alexander Volkov vrs Curtis Blaydes)

                                                              Game Start 06/20/2020 @ 09:00 PM
                                                              Comment
                                                              • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-25-08
                                                                • 7237

                                                                #32
                                                                busy 14 days coming up in July on fight island....

                                                                July 11 UFC 251 Usman v Burns
                                                                July 15 UFC Fight Night Kattar v Ige
                                                                July 18 UFC Fight Night Figueiredo v Benavidez
                                                                July 25 UFC Fight Night Till v Whittaker
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JC2008
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-27-08
                                                                  • 2258

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Kattar/Ige?!! Awesome!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WolfTicketDealer
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-05-17
                                                                    • 384

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Frevola out, disappointing since that fight was guaranteed to be exciting. Hopefully they find a good replacement for Camacho if possible.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • frankieunits2685
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-19-17
                                                                      • 3575

                                                                      #35
                                                                      that blaydes line is getting hit
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