My early leans below. May be off as lines were from yesterday/early today
Griffin ML -200 (Huge mismatch here as Alves is too small, slow, and no gas tank to threaten a high IQ fighter like Max who has a ton of length and some solid boxing, especially on the counter. His TDD is improving but his offensive wrestling is certainly capable of taking advantage of guys with weaker TDD. Alves struggled a ton with Millender's reach and I think he'll have trouble keeping this fight in the clinch which is his only option to win IMO)
Santos -3.5 no price yet (Santos has fought CANS when you look at her opponents records but one of the girls just won a fight on DWCS and Santos looked amazing going three rounds with good cardio and excellent striking, including some vicious leg kicks. She has showcased good fight IQ previously and her sprawl looked pretty good as well. She has own private D1 wrestling coach from what I've been told which is HUGE. Borrela has an awful chin and awful standup in general. Her only chance in the standup is to hope the other girl isn't aggressive and just bide time until she can take the fight to the ground. She's physically strong for 125 but she's scared to death of getting hit and Santos should have no problem picking her apart)
Albini ML -120 (This is an ugly looking fight on paper and not a fight to go big on but Albini has shown he has some BJJ when on top of opponents and Jair makes no bones about the fact that he has no ground game. He's a pro kickboxer who went to a split decision against a tiny Russian in his only real competitive fight. He has a solid jab and using leg kicks/knees well but he doesn't have a ton of power like you'd expect by looking at this guy or his record. The other problem is he fights at the same VERY slow pace in almost all of his fights. If Albini gets a TD, this fight is more than likely over by stoppage. If not, Albini still may have the better of it power wise on the feet. I think Albini's chin may be better and I think Jair will fade badly)
Griffin ML -200 (Huge mismatch here as Alves is too small, slow, and no gas tank to threaten a high IQ fighter like Max who has a ton of length and some solid boxing, especially on the counter. His TDD is improving but his offensive wrestling is certainly capable of taking advantage of guys with weaker TDD. Alves struggled a ton with Millender's reach and I think he'll have trouble keeping this fight in the clinch which is his only option to win IMO)
Santos -3.5 no price yet (Santos has fought CANS when you look at her opponents records but one of the girls just won a fight on DWCS and Santos looked amazing going three rounds with good cardio and excellent striking, including some vicious leg kicks. She has showcased good fight IQ previously and her sprawl looked pretty good as well. She has own private D1 wrestling coach from what I've been told which is HUGE. Borrela has an awful chin and awful standup in general. Her only chance in the standup is to hope the other girl isn't aggressive and just bide time until she can take the fight to the ground. She's physically strong for 125 but she's scared to death of getting hit and Santos should have no problem picking her apart)
Albini ML -120 (This is an ugly looking fight on paper and not a fight to go big on but Albini has shown he has some BJJ when on top of opponents and Jair makes no bones about the fact that he has no ground game. He's a pro kickboxer who went to a split decision against a tiny Russian in his only real competitive fight. He has a solid jab and using leg kicks/knees well but he doesn't have a ton of power like you'd expect by looking at this guy or his record. The other problem is he fights at the same VERY slow pace in almost all of his fights. If Albini gets a TD, this fight is more than likely over by stoppage. If not, Albini still may have the better of it power wise on the feet. I think Albini's chin may be better and I think Jair will fade badly)
